Core Insights - The market is experiencing a structural rally despite the overall index decline, with over 2,500 stocks rising and 100 stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - Key sectors showing strong performance include military, energy metals, and regional stocks, driven by geopolitical factors, carbon lithium price surges, and local economic initiatives [3][4] Sector Highlights - **Military Sector**: Stocks like Great Wall Military and Jianglong Shipbuilding saw significant gains due to geopolitical support and expectations of state-owned enterprise reforms, with funds positioning for increased orders next year [3] - **Energy Metals**: Companies such as Shengxin Lithium Energy and Rongjie Co. surged as lithium carbonate futures rose over 8%, surpassing 90,000 yuan/ton, marking a new high for the year [3] - **Regional Stocks**: The Fujian sector is thriving with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, driven by green foreign debt trials and booming cross-border e-commerce data [3] Declining Sectors - **Precious Metals**: Stocks like Zhaojin Mining fell over 3% as gold prices dropped to $4,053, influenced by a decrease in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut [4] - **Solar Energy**: Companies such as Hongyuan Green Energy and Maiwei Co. saw declines near 6% due to high inventory levels and weak demand, as highlighted in a report by Nomura [4] Investment Strategy - **Military Line**: Focus on companies with strong order visibility in the aerospace and naval sectors, such as Chengfei and Jianglong Shipbuilding, which have significant upside potential [4] - **Energy Line**: Monitor the stability of lithium carbonate prices; potential for second-tier stocks like Tianhua New Energy to catch up if prices hold above 90,000 yuan/ton [4] - **Regional Line**: Caution advised for high-flying stocks like Pingtan Development; however, low-position stocks related to Xiamen Free Trade and cross-border e-commerce may present opportunities [4] Market Perspective - The current market differentiation is seen as an opportunity for portfolio reallocation, emphasizing the importance of holding stocks with solid fundamentals and policy support while avoiding speculative bubbles [5]

Core Viewpoint - The price of gold continues to surge, reaching new historical highs, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increased demand from central banks and investors [12][14]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - On October 15, spot gold prices rose to a high of $4,190.47 per ounce, while New York gold reached $4,210 per ounce, both setting new historical records [1][12]. - As of the latest update, spot gold was reported at $4,187.78 per ounce, and New York gold at $4,206.76 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Domestic Gold Market - In the domestic market, the main contracts for Shanghai gold futures rose collectively by over 1% [4]. - The prices for gold jewelry have also increased, with brands like Lao Miao and Chow Tai Fook reporting prices of 1,235 RMB per gram, reflecting a significant rise from the previous day [5][9]. Group 3: Influencing Factors - Recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have contributed to the rising gold prices, as he indicated a potential for further interest rate cuts [12]. - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown adds uncertainty to the economic outlook, which may lead to more aggressive monetary easing by the Fed, thereby reducing the holding costs of gold [12]. - There is a noticeable trend of funds being shifted from U.S. Treasury securities to gold among global central banks, institutional investors, and individual investors [12]. Group 4: Future Predictions - Bank of America has raised its price forecast for gold to $5,000 per ounce by 2026, with a possibility of reaching $6,000 per ounce, contingent on a 28% increase in purchasing volume [14].