中芯国际港股发布的第二季度业绩报告显示，公司二季度整体实现销售收入 22.09 亿美元，环比下降 1.7%，同比增长 16.2%；毛利率为 20.4%，环比下降 2.1 个百分点；产能利用率 92.5%，环比增长了 2.9 个百分点。 | | | | 销售收入分析 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 按技术平台划分的 | 二零二五年 | 二零二五年 | 二零二四年 | 二零二四年 | 同比 | 同比 | | 销售收入 | 第二季度 | 第二季度 | 第二季度 | 第二季度 | | | | | 千美元 | % | 千美元 | % | 千美元 | % | | | (未经审核) | (未经审核) | (未经审核) | (未经审核) | | | | 嵌入式非易失性存储器 | 141,158 | 24.9 % | 137,126 | 28.7 % | 4.032 | 2.9 % | | 独立式非易失性存储器 | 27,603 | 4.9 % | 23,675 | 4.9 % | 3.928 | 16.6 % | | 功率器件 | 166,713 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of $541 million for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.6%, primarily driven by increased wafer deliveries, but faced pressure on profitability due to rising R&D expenses and foreign exchange losses [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was $541 million, with a year-on-year increase of 17.6% and a quarter-on-quarter stability [1]. - Gross margin stood at 9.2%, close to the lower end of the previous guidance, with a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.2 percentage points due to depreciation from new production lines [1]. - Shareholder profit was $4 million, down from $30 million in Q1 2024, falling short of expectations due to significant increases in R&D expenses and foreign exchange losses [1]. Group 2: Demand and Product Performance - In Q1 2025, different technology platforms showed varied performance, with year-on-year revenue growth rates of 9% for embedded storage, 38% for independent storage, 14% for power devices, 4% for analog and power management, and 35% for logic and RF [1]. - Power devices, which account for 30% of revenue, turned positive after five quarters of year-on-year decline, driven by increased demand for super junction and MOSFET products [1]. - Embedded storage, accounting for 24% of revenue, experienced a slowdown in growth this quarter [1]. Group 3: Capacity and Pricing Outlook - The second phase of the Wuxi 12-inch capacity ramp-up is progressing steadily, expected to reach a monthly capacity of 40,000 wafers by the end of 2025 and complete 83,000 wafers by mid-2026 [2]. - The overall capacity utilization rate in Q1 2025 was 102.7%, maintaining full load [2]. - The average selling price (ASP) of wafers decreased by 1% quarter-on-quarter to $419, but future price declines are expected to be limited, with new capacity expected to improve order structure [2]. Group 4: Future Projections and Ratings - The company adjusted its wafer foundry ASP forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to $444 and $465, respectively, indicating growth of 6% and 5% [2]. - The gross margin forecasts for 2025 and 2026 were adjusted to 10.5% and 15% due to anticipated depreciation peaks from new factories [2]. - The target price was raised to HKD 37, maintaining a buy rating, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 adjusted to $2.4 billion, $2.92 billion, and $3.37 billion, respectively [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 43.0 HKD [7][8]. Core Views - The company achieved Q1 2025 revenue of 541 million USD, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.6% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.3%, primarily driven by increased wafer shipments [16][20]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 9.2%, up 2.8 percentage points year-over-year but down 2.2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter due to depreciation from new production lines [16][20]. - For Q2 2025, the company guides revenue between 550-570 million USD, with a gross margin forecast of 7-9%, mainly impacted by depreciation [21]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Q1 2025 revenue reached 541 million USD, with wafer shipments of 1.231 million pieces, a year-over-year increase of 20.0% [16][20]. - The company expects full-year revenue growth driven by sustained capacity utilization and an increase in 12-inch capacity [16][18]. Capacity and Production - The production capacity utilization rate was 102.7% in Q1 2025, with the second 12-inch production line expected to ramp up steadily [2][21]. - The company aims to shorten ramp-up time and increase shipment volumes to stabilize gross margins [2]. Pricing and ASP - The average selling price (ASP) in Q1 2025 decreased by 0.9% quarter-over-quarter, but the company anticipates stable pricing for the year, with potential increases in 12-inch prices [3][5]. - The company believes that 2024 will be the price low point, with opportunities for price increases if supply-demand conditions tighten [3]. Segment Performance - Q1 2025 revenue from analog and power management grew by 12% quarter-over-quarter, benefiting from increased demand for power management chips [4][26]. - The 12-inch wafer revenue reached 310 million USD in Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 40.8% [24]. Financial Forecast - The report maintains revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 2.168 billion USD, 2.453 billion USD, and 2.739 billion USD respectively, with net profit estimates of 52.31 million USD, 82.49 million USD, and 97.02 million USD [5][18][19]. - The target price of 43.0 HKD is based on a 1.5 times price-to-book ratio for 2025 [5][29].