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中孚实业(600595):电解铝权益提升增弹性,分红在即未来可期
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-18 13:05
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Zhongfu Industrial with a target price of 6.3 CNY [3][12]. Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from increased electrolytic aluminum capacity and a decline in raw material costs, leading to improved profitability and asset quality [9][10]. - The company is set to initiate its first dividend in years, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns [10][46]. - The transition towards green electricity consumption in the electrolytic aluminum sector presents a significant competitive advantage for the company [10][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 22,761 million CNY in 2024 to 27,764 million CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.7% [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rebound from 704 million CNY in 2024 to 2,688 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.18 CNY in 2024 to 0.67 CNY in 2027 [4]. Company Overview - Zhongfu Industrial is a veteran in the electrolytic aluminum industry, with a diversified business model encompassing coal, electricity, and aluminum processing [8][15]. - The company has undergone significant restructuring since 2021, improving its financial health and operational efficiency [8][17]. - As of 2024, the company has a production capacity of 690,000 tons of deep-processed aluminum and 750,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, positioning it among the top players in China's aluminum sector [15][27]. Growth Drivers - The completion of 100% control over electrolytic aluminum assets is expected to enhance production capacity by 19.3% [10][58]. - The company is actively working on cost optimization through self-supplied electricity and high self-sufficiency in carbon materials [10][61]. - The upcoming regulatory changes regarding green electricity consumption in the electrolytic aluminum industry are anticipated to favor companies like Zhongfu that are investing in green energy solutions [10][11]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute at least 60% of its distributable profits as cash dividends from 2025 to 2027, reflecting a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [10][47]. - The expected dividend yield for 2025-2027 is projected to be between 2.5% and 7.7%, depending on the approach to covering past losses [10][50].
中孚实业: 河南中孚实业股份有限公司2025年半年度业绩预增公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-11 10:11
Group 1 - The company expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company between 680 million and 720 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 237 million to 277 million yuan compared to the same period last year, which is a year-on-year increase of 53.35% to 62.37% [1][2] - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, between 620 million and 660 million yuan, an increase of 195 million to 235 million yuan compared to the same period last year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 46.04% to 55.47% [2] - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025 [1] Group 2 - The previous year's total profit was 568 million yuan, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 443 million yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses of 425 million yuan [2] - The earnings per share for the previous year was 0.11 yuan [2] - The main reasons for the performance increase include cost reduction and sales price increase in the electrolytic aluminum business, as well as stable production and sales in the deep processing of aluminum, leading to increased processing fees and profits [2]
中孚实业广元基地源网荷储一体化项目落地,绿色低碳转型再立新功
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-06-07 04:38
Core Viewpoint - Zhongfu Industrial (600595.SH) is a pioneer in the green, intelligent, and digital transformation of the domestic aluminum industry, particularly focusing on green development through initiatives like 500,000 tons/year of green low-carbon hydropower aluminum and distributed photovoltaic projects [1][2] Group 1: Project Developments - The company’s subsidiary, Sichuan Zhongfu, signed an investment cooperation agreement with Penghui Energy to build a large-scale user-side energy storage project in Guangyuan Economic and Technological Development Zone, which includes a first phase of 100MW/400MWh and a second phase of 300MW/600MWh [1] - The first phase will become the largest user-side energy storage project in the country, significantly enhancing both companies' brand influence and market voice in the green energy sector [1] Group 2: Policy and Market Impact - Recent national and provincial policies supporting new energy and storage development will enhance the peak-shaving capacity of the North Sichuan power grid, alleviating power shortages during peak summer periods and ensuring stable energy supply for the company’s aluminum production [2] - The project aligns with local government policies and has received strong support, indicating a promising outlook for the company’s energy supply stability in Guangyuan [2] Group 3: Future Collaborations and Innovations - Sichuan Zhongfu and Penghui Energy will collaborate on solid-state battery research and efficient discharge technology for traditional storage, aiming to create a second growth curve while accumulating low-carbon technologies and developing low-carbon products [2] - The company is also advancing another integrated source-grid-load-storage project in Henan, which is set to install approximately 22.98MWp of photovoltaic capacity by the end of May 2025 [2]