事件：公司发布2025 年中期业绩，报告期内公司实现营业收入2.16 亿美元，实现归母净利润-0.89 亿美 元。 维持2025 年5.60 亿至5.90 亿美元的全年收入指引，显示出对于已上市产品下半年放量加速的信心。公 司2025 年上半年实现营业收入2.16 亿美元，但管理层重申2025 年5.60 亿至5.90亿美元的全年收入指 引，显示出管理层对于卫伟迦及卫力迦、则乐、鼎优乐、纽再乐等已上市产品下半年加速销售放量的信 心。 下半年多个里程碑事件值得期待。 机构：国投证券 研究员：李奔/冯俊曦/连国强 （CIDP）的上市许可申请。 2）近期有望获得NMPA 批准的上市许可申请方面：呫诺美林曲司氯铵（KarXT）（M1/M4 型毒蕈碱乙 酰胆碱受体激动剂）有望获批用于精神分裂症、维替索妥尤单抗（TIVDAK，组织因子ADC）有望获批 用于化疗期间或之后病情进展的复发或转移性宫颈癌、瑞普替尼（ROS1/TRK）有望获批用于NTRK 阳 性实体瘤。 3）预期的临床开发和数据公布方面：ZL-1310（DLL3 ADC）用于二线ES-SCLC 将公布数据更新，并 于2025 年下半年启动ZL-1310单药治疗的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zai Lab with a target price of $67.22, indicating a potential upside of 96% from the current price of $34.31 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company's total revenue for 1H25 reached $216 million, a year-on-year increase of 15%, with product revenue netting $215 million and collaboration revenue at $1.73 million. The net loss improved by 33% year-on-year to $89.17 million, with an EPS of -$0.08, showing significant improvement from -$0.14 in 1H24 [3][4]. - The growth in revenue for 2Q25 was primarily driven by core products, with significant increases in patient usage of Efgartigimod and sales of other key products benefiting from market expansion and increased penetration [4][8]. - The company reiterated its full-year revenue guidance for 2025, projecting between $560 million and $590 million, with a goal to achieve profitability in 4Q25 [3][5]. Financial Summary - The financial projections for Zai Lab show a steady increase in revenue from $267 million in 2023 to an estimated $1.181 billion by 2027. The gross profit is expected to rise from $171 million in 2023 to $756 million in 2027, while the net profit is projected to turn positive in 2026 with a net income of $19 million [7].

Core Viewpoints - Zai Ding Pharma reported a 9% year-on-year revenue growth for Q2 2025, with total revenue reaching $110 million, despite a slowdown due to declining sales of the PARP inhibitor Niraparib, attributed to intensified competition in the same category [1] - The company expects rapid revenue growth in the next two to three years as multiple new products and indications are anticipated to be approved, aiming for operational profitability by Q4 2025 [1] - Key catalysts in the second half of the year include detailed data disclosure from the Phase III clinical trial of Bemarituzumab (FORTITUDE-101) and data readout from the Phase III trial of KarXT (ADEPT-2) [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Zai Ding Pharma's adjusted operating loss narrowed by 37% to $34.2 million, while net loss decreased by 28% to $54.9 million [1] - Revenue from Niraparib was $41 million, a 9% decline year-on-year due to competitive pressures, while Aigamod revenue grew by 14% year-on-year to $26.5 million, benefiting from extended treatment cycles and increased market penetration [1] - Omaveloxolone generated $14.3 million in revenue, reflecting a 16% year-on-year increase due to expanded market coverage [1] Product Pipeline and Innovations - ZL-1310 has received accelerated development status in small cell lung cancer, and Bemarituzumab has met primary endpoints in its Phase III study for FGFR2b overexpressing gastric cancer, with plans for a market application submission in China [2] - Aigamod has been upgraded in the Chinese guidelines for myasthenia gravis, highlighting its clinical value for early and long-term treatment [2] - ZL-1503 shows promising treatment prospects for atopic dermatitis, supported by its long half-life characteristics [2] Clinical Data and Efficacy - The global Phase II FIGHT study for Bemarituzumab demonstrated a median overall survival of 19.2 months in the chemotherapy combination group, with significant survival benefits in the FGFR2b overexpressing subgroup [3] - In the East Asian subgroup, median overall survival was further optimized to 30.1 months, underscoring the importance of biomarker selection for efficacy [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Viewpoints - The domestic innovative drug industry is expected to reach a turning point in 2025, shifting from capital-driven to profit-driven trends, with continuous performance realization likely to elevate valuations [4][28] - The innovative drug market is anticipated to expand due to the implementation of supportive policies and the introduction of the first Class B medical insurance directory [30] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the relative return of the industry compared to the CSI 300 index is 28.2%, with an absolute return of 51.4% [2] Market Analysis and Outlook - The innovative drug sector is entering a new profit-driven cycle, with significant improvements in supply-demand dynamics and competitive landscape [30] - The industry is witnessing a transition where innovative products are being commercialized, marking the beginning of a profit cycle for leading innovative drug companies [29] Mid-Year Tracking - Ganjin Pharmaceutical reported a revenue of 2.067 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 57.18%, with a net profit of 604 million yuan, up 101.96% [25] - The company has successfully expanded its market share through two rounds of insulin procurement, with international revenue reaching 222 million yuan, a 75.08% increase year-on-year [25] Investment Recommendations - Two main investment lines are recommended: 1. Pharma companies transitioning to innovation, with strong performance resilience and a focus on companies like Sanofi, East China Pharmaceutical, and Aosaikang [30][31] 2. Biotech companies with potential for overseas product registration and growth [31] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on the realization of R&D pipeline value and increasing the weight of commercialization value realization factors [6][30]

Core Viewpoint - Zai Ding Pharma reported a total revenue of $110 million for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.43%, and reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance of $560 million to $590 million [1] Financial Performance - The operating loss for Q2 2025 was $54.9 million, a reduction of 28% year-on-year, while the adjusted operating loss narrowed by 37% to $34.2 million [1] - The net loss was $40.73 million, down 49.27% compared to the previous year [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the total cash and cash equivalents, short-term investments, and restricted cash amounted to $832.3 million [1] Revenue Drivers - Revenue growth in Q2 was primarily driven by increased sales of Efgartigimod, DaxibotulinumtoxinA, and Nuvaxovid, partially offset by a slowdown in sales of Zolbetuximab [1] - The product revenue for Efgartigimod in Q2 2025 was $26.5 million, up 46% from $18.1 million in Q1 2025, attributed to extended treatment duration and improved market penetration [1] - Zolbetuximab generated $41 million in product revenue for Q2 2025, down from $45 million in the same period of 2024, due to changes in competitive dynamics for PARPi products [1] - DaxibotulinumtoxinA, launched in Q4 2024, generated $4.6 million in product revenue for Q2 2025 [1] Research and Development Expenditure - R&D expenses for Q2 2025 were $50.6 million, down from $61.6 million in Q2 2024, mainly due to cost reductions from resource prioritization and efficiency measures [2] - Selling, general, and administrative expenses for Q2 2025 were $71 million, a decrease from $79.7 million in the same period of 2024, also attributed to cost-saving initiatives [2] Strategic Outlook - The company is entering a critical development phase focused on innovation, scalability, and efficient execution, with significant progress across various business areas [3] - The CEO highlighted the potential of ZL-1310 in treating second-line small cell lung cancer and the positive data for Bemarituzumab in first-line gastric cancer, reinforcing recent commercialization opportunities [3] - The company anticipates continued growth momentum for Efgartigimod, supported by updated treatment guidelines in China, and is preparing for the launch of several key products [3] - With a robust cash reserve and ongoing growth in commercial operations, the company is positioned to create long-term value for shareholders [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of the U.S. government's decision to impose tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals, highlighting potential impacts on global pharmaceutical supply chains and the strategies that Chinese innovative drug companies may adopt in response [2][6][10]. Group 1: Impact of Tariffs on Pharmaceutical Industry - The U.S. tariffs on pharmaceuticals aim to encourage multinational companies to establish production facilities in the U.S., thereby reducing reliance on imports [2][5]. - Analysts suggest that the tariff policy may lead to increased instability in the global pharmaceutical supply chain, particularly affecting Chinese innovative drug companies' international strategies [2][6]. - The tariffs could result in higher export costs and reduced profit margins for Chinese companies that depend on the U.S. market [6][10]. Group 2: Responses from Chinese Innovative Drug Companies - Several Chinese innovative drug companies are assessing the potential impacts of the tariffs, with some indicating that they may face valuation pressures in the short term [2][6]. - Companies like Hengrui Medicine and Zai Lab have stated that the tariffs will have limited impact on their operations due to their low reliance on U.S. sales [7][8]. - Analysts recommend that Chinese companies accelerate local production in the U.S. to mitigate tariff risks and explore supply chain diversification in lower-cost regions [10][11]. Group 3: Long-term Strategies and Market Dynamics - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining strong research and development capabilities and diversifying risk through licensing agreements [3][12]. - The global pharmaceutical landscape may shift, with Indian pharmaceutical companies potentially benefiting from the changes in the supply chain dynamics [6][10]. - The article notes that while geopolitical risks are significant, the ultimate competitive advantage for innovative drug companies lies in their ability to deliver clinical value and innovation [12].