Omdia发文称，蜂窝物联网(IoT)市场将在未来六年迎来高速扩张，全球蜂窝物联网连接数预计将在2030年达到51亿。报 告指出，蜂窝物联网的快速增长，主要受到三项关键技术的推动：5G RedCap、5G海量物联网以及4G LTE Cat-1bis模 组。 5G RedCap：中阶连接解决方案的关键角色 Omdia研究显示，5G RedCap(下文称5G)将成为推动市场发展的重要力量。预计从2025年开始，该技术的部署将加速。 RedCap被定位为一种适用于无需高阶5G性能(如超可靠低时延通信uRLLC或增强型移动宽带eMBB)的中阶设备连接方 案。 这一增长的重要推手是汽车行业。消费者对集成5G功能的智能汽车需求日益增长，推动了车载连接模组的快速发展。 Omdia物联网研究负责人Andrew Brown指出："亚太地区在物联网市场的主导地位不容忽视。该地区占据全球80%的物联 网连接，显示出全球技术领导力正向亚洲转移，这将深刻影响未来物联网的创新方向与部署策略。" 亚太地区高度集中的物联网部署不仅凸显这一区域在全球物联网生态中的战略地位，也强调其在连接设备技术演进中的 核心角色。 此外，随着业界为2030年 ...

Investment Rating - The communication sector maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks such as Tianfu Communication, Ruijie Network, China Mobile, and China Telecom, while China Unicom is rated as "Overweight" [3][5][61]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the communication sector's fund holdings increased to 3.61%, up by 1.31 percentage points, indicating a shift from underweight to overweight status [2][15]. - The communication sector's TTM P/E ratio as of July 24, 2025, is 35.71x, which is at the 37.5% historical percentile since early 2011 [2][15]. - Key areas of focus include the domestic computing power and its supporting industrial chain, particularly in optical modules and related technologies [1][14]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The communication index fell by 0.77% last week, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.67% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.33% [1][14]. Fund Holdings - Q2 2025 saw a rise in the communication sector's fund holdings, with a notable increase in the allocation towards optical modules and military communications, while reducing exposure to data centers and wireless equipment [2][15]. Recommended Stocks - Key recommended stocks include: - Tianfu Communication (300394 CH) with a target price of 119.12 and a "Buy" rating - Ruijie Network (301165 CH) with a target price of 88.70 and a "Buy" rating - China Mobile (600941 CH) with a target price of 126.40 and a "Buy" rating - China Telecom (601728 CH) with a target price of 9.13 and a "Buy" rating - China Unicom (600050 CH) with a target price of 7.62 and an "Overweight" rating [5][61]. Key Stock Performance - The top five stocks with increased fund holdings in Q2 2025 include: - Xinyi Technology (300502 SZ) with a total market value increase of 191.65 billion - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 SZ) with an increase of 182.70 billion - Tianfu Communication (300394 SZ) with an increase of 29.69 billion - Yuanjie Technology (688498 SH) with an increase of 16.90 billion - Haige Communication (002465 SZ) with an increase of 11.01 billion [25][26].

Core Insights - AT&T is expanding its 5G Reduced Capability (RedCap) network coverage across the United States, targeting devices that require lower bandwidth and power consumption while maintaining low latency and reliable service [1][3][8] - The 5G RedCap technology market is projected to grow at a 25% compound annual growth rate from 2024 to 2033, indicating significant potential for IoT applications [2] - AT&T's 5G RedCap network now covers 200 million people, marking a major milestone in enabling AI-powered IoT innovations [3][8] - The Franklin Wireless RG350 is the first commercially approved RedCap product on AT&T's network, showcasing the company's commitment to developing the RedCap ecosystem [4] Competitive Landscape - AT&T faces competition from T-Mobile and Verizon in the RedCap technology market, with T-Mobile also advancing its infrastructure and emphasizing power efficiency [5] - Verizon is conducting trials for RedCap technology but is currently behind AT&T and T-Mobile in commercialization efforts [6] Financial Performance - AT&T's stock has increased by 41% over the past year, outperforming the Wireless National industry's growth of 18.4% [7] - The company's shares trade at a price/book ratio of 12.58 forward earnings, which is lower than the industry average of 12.96 but above its historical mean of 10.96 [9] - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have remained stable over the past 60 days, indicating consistency in financial projections [11]

Core Insights - The global cellular IoT module shipments are expected to continue their growth trend, with a year-on-year increase of 16% in Q1 2025, driven by strong demand in India, China, and Latin America for smart meters, POS terminals, and asset tracking [1] - India leads the growth with a remarkable 32% year-on-year increase, while North America and some Asia-Pacific markets experience a decline due to weak demand and macroeconomic headwinds [1] - 5G technology is the fastest-growing segment, with a year-on-year growth of 37%, followed closely by Cat 1 bis technology, which also shows strong growth at 35% [1] Market Dynamics - China maintains its leadership in the global IoT module market with a 19% year-on-year growth, supported by the adoption of 5G and Cat 1 bis technologies in various sectors [1] - The average selling prices of modules and chips are decreasing, leading to increased price pressure from Chinese competitors, prompting companies to seek breakthroughs in higher-margin areas [4] - Qualcomm remains the leader in the chip market, with ASR and UNISOC following in second and third place, respectively [5] Manufacturer Performance - Quectel retains the top position in global cellular IoT module shipments, with China Mobile and Fibocom following closely, collectively accounting for over 50% of global shipments [4] - China Mobile's market share has surpassed double digits due to strong domestic demand for 4G Cat 1 bis modules [4] - u-blox has exited the cellular IoT module business to focus on its core strengths in GNSS and short-range connectivity [4] Future Outlook - The cellular IoT module market is expected to grow steadily in 2025, driven by demand for smart interconnected devices, asset tracking, and automotive applications in emerging markets [6] - Geopolitical tensions, strategic adjustments by manufacturers, and supply chain dynamics may constrain growth [6] - Chinese manufacturers are likely to maintain their global dominance, while Western manufacturers may benefit from demand recovery and easing geopolitical tensions [6]