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Core Insights - Commodities have been experiencing a strong uptrend since mid-2023, coinciding with the rise of AI-related investments, particularly highlighted by NVIDIA's impressive Q1 earnings report [1] Group 1: Commodities Market - The uptrend in commodities is gaining attention, suggesting potential investment opportunities in this sector [1] - The performance of commodities is being influenced by macroeconomic factors and the overall market conditions, which are favorable for growth [1] Group 2: AI Influence - The AI trade has significantly impacted market dynamics, with companies like NVIDIA leading the charge and affecting investor sentiment across various asset classes [1]

7 November 2025 | 12:51PM HKT Economics Research China: Trade growth slowed materially in October Bottom line: China's trade growth slowed materially in October and came in below consensus expectations (exports: -1.1% yoy, imports: +1.0% yoy). Year-over-year trade growth was likely dragged by a lower number of working days in October 2025 (18) compared with 2024 (19). Chinese nominal exports to the US, ASEAN, and LatAm rose in October, while those to EU, Japan, and other EMs declined sequentially. While pay ...

Core Viewpoint - Macquarie Group's first-half profit fell short of analysts' forecasts, leading to a smaller-than-expected dividend increase due to weaker performance in its commodities unit [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's first-half profit did not meet analysts' expectations, indicating potential challenges in its operations [1] - The performance decline was primarily attributed to the commodities unit, which suggests vulnerabilities in this segment [1] Group 2: Dividend Policy - Macquarie Group raised its dividend, but the increase was less than what analysts had anticipated, reflecting the impact of the weaker profit performance [1]

Core Insights - B2PRIME Group has launched B2PRIME Retail, a new business arm aimed at providing institutional-grade technology and infrastructure to individual traders, enhancing client experience with pro-level execution and transparent pricing [1][2] Group Structure and Offerings - B2PRIME Retail is designed specifically for retail clients, allowing them to trade CFDs across seven asset classes, including Forex, Metals, Indices, Commodities, Energies, Cryptocurrencies, and NDFs [2] - The company has obtained the DARE License in the Bahamas, enabling it to offer regulated digital asset services, including Crypto Spot and Perpetual Futures [3] Client Experience and Technology - The onboarding process for clients is fully digital, featuring automated KYC/AML compliance reviews for near-instant account setup, with deposits and withdrawals processed through efficient straight-through rails [3] - B2PRIME Retail will introduce features such as Copy Trading and a next-generation IB program, which includes leaderboards, tiered rebates, partner wallets, and instant payouts [4] Governance and Operations - B2PRIME Retail operates as a separate division with independent management and systems, ensuring strict information barriers between retail and institutional operations to maintain the integrity of the Group's institutional services [5] Trading Conditions - The company offers different trading conditions, including Raw Spread with direct institutional spreads and fixed commissions, as well as Standard accounts with tight spreads and zero commission [6]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the macroeconomic environment and monetary policy, particularly focusing on the Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Canada (BoC), Bank of Japan (BoJ), and Bank of England (BoE) [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Market Sentiment Shift**: Over the past two months, markets have transitioned from a 'central bank put' to a more reflationary outlook following the FOMC meeting, with expectations of monetary policy adjustments influencing market dynamics [1][2]. 2. **Fed Rate Cuts**: There is a high probability (1 to 4 cuts) assigned by markets for additional Fed cuts over the next 12 months, with a notable increase in this probability since September [2][19]. 3. **ECB and Other Central Banks**: The ECB is expected to maintain its current policy stance, while the BoC has already cut rates by 25 basis points. The BoJ is anticipated to raise rates in January, and the BoE is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points soon [3][4]. 4. **Asset Performance**: Many asset classes have benefited from the dovish repricing of monetary policy, particularly developed and emerging market fixed income, credit excess returns, and small-cap equities [4][5]. 5. **Volatility and Risk Management**: A modest pro-risk stance is maintained in asset allocation, with a focus on using cross-asset volatility resets to add hedges as year-end approaches [5][8]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Bond Yield Expectations**: The base case anticipates only modest increases in bond yields, with the US yields expected to consolidate at the lower end of the year-to-date range until visibility improves post-government shutdown [8]. 2. **UK Budget Impact**: The upcoming UK budget is expected to lower 10-year Gilt yields, with forecasts adjusted to 4.0% for year-end 2026 [3][20]. 3. **Global Economic Indicators**: Key indicators have turned weaker recently, influencing expectations for monetary policy adjustments across various central banks [3][4]. This summary encapsulates the essential points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the shifts in market sentiment, central bank policies, and asset performance trends.

Market Overview - Gold prices have surged to record highs since the onset of the Hamas-Israel war, influenced by the weakening US dollar and anticipated rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [3] - Equities increased by 0.3% yesterday, with positive returns over the past week and month [4] - Bonds experienced a slight decline of 0.06% yesterday, following a 0.6% drop last week, but showed a 0.2% increase over the month [4] - Gold fell by 0.5% in the previous session, with weekly and monthly changes of -2.5% and 3.8%, respectively [4] - Commodities rose by 0.7% yesterday, reflecting positive returns for both the week and month [4] - Real Estate advanced by 0.3% yesterday, despite weekly and monthly declines of 3.5% and 2.1% [4] - Bitcoin gained 1.4% yesterday, after a drop of 1.1% last week and a significant 9% decline over the month [4] Investment Strategies - The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, consisting of 30 stocks, has a history of outperforming its benchmark, which includes the S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap indices [5] - The HQ Portfolio has provided superior returns with reduced risk compared to the benchmark index, minimizing volatility [5] - Empirical Asset Management has integrated the Trefis HQ Portfolio into its asset allocation framework, aiming to deliver superior returns with reduced risk compared to the benchmark index [3]

Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q3, with net flows and key operational metrics improving year-on-year, leading to a group AUMA of GBP 542 billion, which is a 6% increase year-to-date, driven by positive market conditions [1] Group Performance - Interactive investor has shown continued strong performance, with significant growth in customers and assets, supported by a pipeline of innovative new propositions and increasing brand awareness [2] - In the adviser segment, customer services have improved, and net flows were 50% better than in Q3 of the previous year, although the company is still experiencing outflows. The focus remains on returning to growth and achieving a net flows target of GBP 1 billion by 2026 [3] Investment Trends - In the investments sector, while equity flows remain challenging, there have been encouraging net inflows in fixed income, real assets, quants, and commodities, indicating growth potential across all investment areas [4]

Investment Strategy - The debasement trade focuses on acquiring "hard assets" to hedge against currency devaluation [1] - Target assets include real estate, metals, land, scarce digital art, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and commodities without price controls [1] - Data centers and hardware powering AI are also considered valuable assets [1] - Equities benefiting from the expansion of the aforementioned industries are attractive investment opportunities [1]

Some China-bound ships carrying crude oil and other commodities to Asia’s top consumer are facing cancellations following Beijing’s retaliatory levies on American vessels https://t.co/JwG13D6Ehi ...