Summary of TBEA Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: TBEA Co., Ltd. (特变电工) - **Industry**: Power Transmission and Transformation Equipment, New Energy, Coal Industry Key Points Business Outlook - The overall business environment for TBEA is expected to improve in the second half of the year, having completed the bottoming out of performance. The company aims to enhance competitiveness through product innovation and digital transformation, targeting a recovery in annual performance [2][9] - The ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects will fully initiate bidding in the second half, with significant contract signing expected to support revenue [2][3] New Energy Sector - The price of polysilicon has recovered to above reasonable levels, significantly improving the loss situation from the first half of the year. Both spot and futures prices have risen sharply [2][3] - Despite limited capacity utilization, profitability in the polysilicon sector is expected to improve significantly [3] - The company plans to accelerate the construction of solar power stations while cautiously selecting investment areas due to potential impacts from policy changes [4] International Orders - TBEA secured a significant order worth 16.4 billion RMB from Saudi Arabia, with a minimum execution amount of 11.5 billion RMB. This order is a major breakthrough in the international market, involving UHV transmission and transformation equipment, cables, etc. [2][5][10] - The project is expected to generate additional annual revenue of 1.5 to 2 billion RMB over the next seven years, consolidating domestic market share and expanding new application scenarios [10] Coal Sales and Market Dynamics - In Xinjiang, coal sales are primarily through self-consumption and external transportation, with expected sales exceeding 20 million tons for the year. Despite a decline in national coal prices leading to reduced profitability, stability is anticipated during the winter heating period [2][6][19] - The company has a long-term competitive advantage in coal mining due to favorable conditions and low costs, with plans to increase production capacity by 2030 [19] Export Performance - The export revenue from single-unit products reached 1.1 billion USD in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 66%. With the signing of the Saudi contract, growth in the second half is expected to exceed 200% [3][11] - TBEA exports to over 90 countries, with the Middle East accounting for approximately 41% and other Asian countries for 25% of total exports [12] Future Development Plans - The company plans to establish a factory in Saudi Arabia to meet local demand, while maintaining a cautious approach to overseas capacity layout [13][25] - The overall product line includes transformers, switches, GIS, and converter valves, with a target to achieve over 100 billion RMB in sales across various electrical products [23] Market Trends and Challenges - The demand for power transmission and transformation equipment is expected to remain strong globally, particularly in the Middle East, where economic development is driving electricity demand [17][29] - The company faces challenges in the European market due to strong local competitors and regulatory barriers in the U.S. [24] Conclusion - TBEA is positioned to leverage its international contracts and domestic market strength to enhance its competitive edge in the power transmission and new energy sectors, while navigating challenges in coal sales and international market dynamics [2][9][19]

Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 8.496 billion CNY, indicating stable growth in operations [2] - The revenue growth rate was 37.8%, primarily driven by overseas markets, with domestic market growth around 30% [9] - The overseas revenue increased by nearly 89% year-on-year, with high-voltage switchgear and transformers being the main products [4][5] Order and Project Updates - The growth in orders for the first half of 2025 is in line with the company's initial operational goals, although specific new order statistics are not yet available [6] - Key infrastructure projects are progressing as planned, with several entering the debugging and completion stages [2] - The company is focusing on enhancing supply chain collaboration and project execution efficiency to optimize inventory turnover [3] Product and Market Insights - The company is actively investing in overseas markets, with plans to evaluate new factory setups based on market demand and operational efficiency [11] - The storage business is showing positive trends, with significant growth in household storage and multiple system integration projects being implemented [13] - The company is committed to maintaining a stable delivery cycle for transformers and high-voltage switchgear, supported by ongoing capacity expansion and technological upgrades [7] Strategic Outlook - The company aims to achieve its annual revenue and order growth targets despite uncertainties in the external environment [3] - R&D expenses are expected to remain high as the company continues to invest in innovation-driven development [8] - The company maintains a cautious yet optimistic outlook for market demand in 2026, responding proactively to industry trends [26]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Siyuan Electric (002028) has shown strong performance in H1 2025, with significant growth in both revenue and net profit, driven by increased overseas income and improved profitability metrics, meeting market expectations [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.497 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.293 billion yuan, up 46% year-on-year [2]. - Q2 2025 saw revenue of 5.270 billion yuan, reflecting a 50% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 846 million yuan, up 62% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 31.74%, slightly down by 0.01 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased by 0.82 percentage points to 15.21% [2]. Overseas Revenue Growth - The company's overseas revenue reached 2.862 billion yuan in H1 2025, a remarkable increase of 89% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 35.69%, up 1.87 percentage points [3]. - Overseas revenue now accounts for 34% of total revenue, an increase of 9 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a growing reliance on international markets [3]. Domestic Market Performance - Domestic revenue for H1 2025 was 5.635 billion yuan, a 21% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 29.73%, down 1.34 percentage points [4]. - The performance of subsidiaries such as Siyuan High Voltage and Siyuan Hertz showed significant growth, with revenue increases of 10% and 31% respectively [4]. Investment and Cost Management - The company increased its sales, management, and R&D expenses by 52%, 10%, and 26% respectively in H1 2025, reflecting a strategic focus on market and sales investments [5]. - Inventory and contract liabilities rose significantly, with inventory at 4.715 billion yuan and contract liabilities at 2.562 billion yuan, up 38% and 32% year-on-year respectively, indicating a solid order backlog [5]. Profit Forecast - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 2.82 billion yuan, 3.80 billion yuan, and 5.00 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 38%, 35%, and 32% [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met market expectations, with significant growth in overseas revenue contributing to improved profitability [2][8] - The overseas revenue increased by 89% year-on-year, accounting for 34% of total revenue, driven by strong demand and rising market prices [8] - Domestic revenue also showed a solid growth of 21% year-on-year, although domestic gross margin experienced a slight decline due to increased competition and changes in the market [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 12,460 million RMB in 2023 to 29,631 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 1,559 million RMB in 2023 to 5,003 million RMB in 2027, indicating a CAGR of around 31% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 2.00 RMB in 2023 to 6.43 RMB in 2027, with a corresponding decrease in price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 43.46 to 13.54 [1] Market and Operational Insights - The company has increased its investment in market and sales, leading to a significant rise in sales expenses by 52% year-on-year [8] - Inventory and contract liabilities have also grown substantially, indicating a strong order backlog and a solid foundation for future growth [8] - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in domestic operations, with the delivery of new products anticipated to improve gross margins in the second half of 2025 [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 1H25, with revenue and net profit growth exceeding expectations, indicating robust operational momentum and market demand [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 8.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.29 billion yuan, up 45.7% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue reached 5.27 billion yuan, reflecting a 50.2% year-on-year growth, while net profit was 850 million yuan, marking a 61.5% increase year-on-year [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The overseas revenue surged by 89.0% to 2.86 billion yuan, accounting for 33.7% of total revenue, an increase of 9.1 percentage points [2]. - Domestic revenue grew by 21.1% to 5.63 billion yuan [2]. - The GIS subsidiary's revenue increased by 9.0% to 2.40 billion yuan, while the revenue from circuit breakers and isolators rose by 31.1% to 1.14 billion yuan [2]. Order Growth and Market Trends - The company anticipates continued high growth in new orders, projecting a 25% increase in new contract orders for 2025, amounting to 26.8 billion yuan [4]. - The first three batches of bidding for power transmission and transformation equipment by the State Grid in 2025 are expected to increase by 25% year-on-year [4]. - Strong demand in both domestic and overseas markets is supported by significant investments in power grid infrastructure and renewable energy installations [2][4]. Profitability - The company's overall gross margin remained stable at 31.7%, with overseas gross margin increasing by 1.9 percentage points to 35.7%, while domestic gross margin decreased by 1.3 percentage points to 29.7% [3]. - The net profit margin for 1H25 was 15.2%, reflecting an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged at 2.55 billion yuan and 3.08 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 27x for 2025 and 22x for 2026, with a target price increase of 19.5% to 98 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 12.6% from the current price [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 10.35 CNY [1][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.76 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 252 million CNY, up 45.7% year-on-year [1][3]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 339 million CNY, reflecting a 33.6% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 33 million CNY, a 12.5% increase year-on-year [1][3]. - The company’s gross margin for Q4 2024 was 44.1%, an increase of 10.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the overall gross margin for 2024 was 38.9%, up 4.0 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 1.76 billion CNY in 2024 to 2.75 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.7% [3][8]. - Net profit is expected to rise from 252 million CNY in 2024 to 491 million CNY in 2027, with a CAGR of about 16.2% [3][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 0.41 CNY in 2024 to 0.79 CNY in 2027 [3][8]. Business Segment Analysis - The company’s core subsidiaries, including Changgao High Voltage Switch and Changgao Electric, reported significant revenue growth, with the high voltage switch segment growing by 30% [7]. - The company successfully expanded its product offerings, including the 500kV GIS products, with new orders totaling 204 million CNY in 2024 and expected deliveries of 150 million CNY in 2025 [7]. Investment Outlook - The company has a clear growth trajectory, supported by its established market position in electrical equipment and ongoing product development [7]. - The forecast for net profit in 2025 and 2026 is adjusted to 360 million CNY and 420 million CNY, respectively, reflecting the increased investment in new product development [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 15.458 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.06%, with net profit increasing by 31.42% to 2.049 billion yuan [8] - The company reported a strong order growth of 21.41% in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 3.227 billion yuan [8] - The overseas business showed significant growth, with revenue increasing by 44.7% to 3.12 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 20.2% of total revenue [8] - Domestic business revenue grew by 20.7% to 12.34 billion yuan in 2024, with an improved gross margin [8] - The company added new orders worth 21.457 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 29.94% [8] - The company has a strong cash position with approximately 2.7 billion yuan in net cash and a debt ratio of 46.09% [8] Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to grow from 12.46 billion yuan in 2023 to 18.637 billion yuan in 2025, with a CAGR of 21% [3] - The net profit is expected to increase from 1.559 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.578 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a CAGR of 26% [3] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 36.3 in 2023 to 22.0 in 2025, indicating improving valuation [3] - The company’s ROE is expected to rise from 15.9% in 2023 to 19.1% in 2025, showcasing enhanced profitability [3] Business Performance - The company has successfully expanded its product offerings, moving from a single business model to a comprehensive product system that includes various electrical equipment [8] - The management has demonstrated strong capabilities in navigating through industry cycles and expanding overseas markets [8] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the global trend of increasing investments in power grid construction [8]