GPU Rubin CPX

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电子:AI创新为主轴,顺周期+国产替代齐头并进
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-24 13:45
Group 1: Industry Overview - The report emphasizes that AI innovation is the core axis of the industry, with a focus on cyclical growth and domestic substitution [1][2] - The consumer electronics sector is expected to benefit from the recovery of the Apple supply chain and the demand for AI hardware [2][3] - The semiconductor industry is projected to see increased chip demand driven by AI hardware and opportunities for domestic substitution [2][3] Group 2: Consumer Electronics - Apple is expected to see a 10.5% year-on-year increase in iPhone sales in 2025, following a slight decline in 2024 [7][10] - The iPhone 17 series introduces significant innovations, including a new design and enhanced performance features [10][12] - Multiple Apple hardware products are anticipated to integrate AI capabilities, with potential new product launches in 2026 [12][15] Group 3: Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor market is expected to recover, with global sales projected to reach approximately $626.87 billion in 2024, reflecting a 19% year-on-year growth [41][45] - AI hardware is driving demand for AI SoC chips, with companies in this space experiencing high growth in the first half of 2025 [2][46] - The domestic semiconductor market is expected to grow significantly, with a focus on high-value products like HBM and eSSD [2][3] Group 4: AI and Computing Power - The global investment in AI infrastructure remains high, with major companies like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon increasing their capital expenditures [20][22] - The AI server market is projected to grow rapidly, with an expected increase of nearly 28% in shipments in 2025 [32][35] - The introduction of new AI chips, such as NVIDIA's Rubin CPX, signifies a shift towards specialized AI computing [29][32] Group 5: Market Trends and Innovations - The AI glasses market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market size of over 120 billion yuan by 2030 [18][19] - The report highlights the importance of SoC performance upgrades in the evolution of AI glasses from display devices to interactive terminals [50][51] - The semiconductor industry is witnessing a trend towards ASICs, with a projected CAGR of 45-50% in the coming years [51][52]
“申”度解盘 | AI、机器人与固态电池板块热点轮动
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-09-17 02:32
编者荐语: 本周A股市场机器人板块表现活跃。消息面上,宇树科技披露上市计划,并披露营收结构与未来业务展望。同时国内智元等头部机器人公司加速资本化, 小米、赛力斯等主机厂或发布人形机器人新品。 以下文章来源于申万宏源证券上海分公司 ,作者王臻斌 申万宏源证券上海分公司 . 申万宏源证券上海分公司官微,能为您提供账户开立、软件下载、研究所及投顾资讯等综合服务,为您的财富保驾护航。 本周 A股市场机器人板块表现活跃。 消息面上, 宇树科技披露上市计划 , 并披露营收结构与未来业务展望 。 同时国内 智元等头部机器 人 公司 加速资本化,小米、赛力斯等主机厂或发布人形机器人新品 。 特斯拉 近期 在其官方账号上发布 "宏图计划第四篇章" , 并且 开 通 Tesla AI官方微博,展示人形机器人 图 文 。 市场预计特斯拉将 从电动汽车和能源全面转向人工智能和机器人领域 , 特斯拉 人形机 器人量产预期得以维持 。 在对 机器人板块中长期发展 趋势看好的背景下,短期消息面刺激使本周初 相关上市公司股价表现活跃 。 近阶段市场 另一亮点是 固态电池 板块。固态电池 行业 近期海内外多家巨头的技术路线逐渐清晰。在行业政策 ...
“申”度解盘 | AI、机器人与固态电池板块热点轮动
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-09-15 02:24
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market's robotics sector has shown active performance this week, with companies like Yushu Technology revealing their listing plans and revenue structures, while major domestic robotics firms accelerate their capitalization efforts [1][7]. Market Overview - The A-share market has seen a rotation in technology stocks, with AI, robotics, and solid-state battery sectors experiencing fluctuations, while financial and consumer sectors are undergoing consolidation [6]. - The robotics sector has been particularly vibrant, with Yushu Technology announcing its listing plans and revenue outlook, and major players like Xiaomi and Seres potentially launching humanoid robot products [7]. - Tesla has released its "Fourth Chapter of the Macro Plan" and opened an official Weibo account for Tesla AI, showcasing humanoid robots, indicating a shift towards AI and robotics from electric vehicles and energy [7]. - The solid-state battery sector is gaining attention due to clearer technological routes from major global players, with favorable policies and successful product launches accelerating commercialization [7]. - The AI sector has rebounded significantly, driven by expectations of substantial growth in cloud revenue powered by AI, with Oracle's stock surging nearly 30% and Nvidia launching a new GPU to enhance AI inference efficiency [8]. Market Outlook - Following a period of adjustment since late August, the trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets has decreased, but there are still significant opportunities in technology stocks represented by AI, semiconductors, and solid-state batteries [10]. - The consumer and dividend sectors, which have undergone sufficient adjustments, are also expected to present certain opportunities for investors [10].
云厂订单、算力侧连续超预期、iphone预售乐观,看好iphone全年出货量创历史新高
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-14 11:59
行业报告 | 行业研究周报 消费电子 证券研究报告 云厂订单&算力侧连续超预期、iphone 预售乐观,看好 iphone 全年出货量创历史新高 端侧 AI:苹果新机预售火热,看好全年销量创历史新高。META 催化临近,看好端侧 AI 产品创新大周期。同时建议重点关 注立讯精密为代表的消费电子龙头公司在算力侧的产品突破。 苹果发布会:苹果召开发布会,多款产品同台亮相,芯片、散热、传感器全面升级,预售销售火热,看好今年 iPhone 出货 量创历史新高。9 月 10 日凌晨 1 点,苹果发布会推出 iPhone 17 系列手机、AirPods 和 Apple Watch 等多款产品:iPhone 17 系列形成"标准-Air-Pro-Pro Max"产品矩阵,在屏幕、性能、影像等多个维度实现跨越式升级,标准版首次支持 120Hz ProMotion 自适应刷新率技术、Air 系列全面转向 eSIM 设计、Pro 系列打造 VC 均热板散热系统;AirPods Pro 3 主打更强 主动降噪能力、心率传感器与"实时功能";Apple Watch SE 3、Series 11、Ultra 3 齐发,新增高血压提醒、 ...
AI卷土重来!算力引爆创业板人工智能,高“光”159363大涨3.67%!机构:板块中长期上行逻辑明确
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-10 11:50
周三(9月10日),AI主线卷土重来,光模块等算力硬件再次引爆,叠加AI应用活跃,创业板人工智能 强势反弹逾3.5%。成份股大面积飘红,协创数据大涨超11%创历史新高,中际旭创、新易盛携手大涨超 6%,光库科技、天孚通信、太辰光等多股跟涨超3%。 热门ETF方面,同标的指数规模最大、流动性突出的创业板人工智能ETF(159363)全天强势,场内价 格一度摸高5.57%,收盘仍大涨3.67%收复10日线。全天成交额达15.79亿元,居全市场AI主题类ETF首 位。资金面上,159363近20日累计吸金超20亿元。 数据来源:沪深交易所等。注:"全市场首只"是指首只跟踪创业板人工智能指数的ETF。 风险提示:创业板人工智能ETF华宝被动跟踪创业板人工智能指数,该指数基日为2018.12.28,发布日 期为2024.7.11。创业板人工智能指数2020-2024年年度涨跌幅分别为:20.1%、17.57%、-34.52%、 47.83%、38.44%,指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整,其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表 现。文中指数成份股仅作展示,个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议,也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的 ...
刚刚!重要数据公布,利好这类资产!
摩尔投研精选· 2025-09-10 10:06
Market Overview - The A-share market is showing a "strong Shanghai, weak Shenzhen, and index differentiation" pattern, with total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets at 1.98 trillion, a decrease of 140.4 billion compared to the previous trading day, indicating a lack of trading activity and insufficient capital inflow [1] - The market is experiencing rapid rotation of hotspots, with the number of rising and falling stocks being roughly equal [2] Economic Data - The National Bureau of Statistics released the August CPI data, which presents a mixed picture [3] - In August, the consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year-on-year and remained flat month-on-month. Specifically, urban prices fell by 0.3% and rural prices by 0.6%. Food prices dropped by 4.3%, while non-food prices increased by 0.5%. The average CPI from January to August decreased by 0.1% compared to the same period last year [4] - The decline in food prices, particularly for pork and fresh vegetables, is the main reason for the negative year-on-year CPI, reflecting ample agricultural supply but also indicating weak basic consumer demand [4] Sector Insights - Certain sectors such as seasoning, beer, dairy, and meat products, as well as agriculture and livestock farming, may face negative impacts due to the current economic environment [5] - There is a growing preference for stable, high-dividend assets, akin to "bond-like" investments, as evidenced by the performance of sectors like banking, insurance, coal, electricity, public utilities, and highways, which have risen against the trend [6] - The continuous improvement in core CPI, particularly the rise in service prices, indicates resilient demand in service consumption sectors such as tourism, hospitality, dining, and entertainment, which are closely correlated with core CPI trends [6] Stock Performance - Industrial giant "Industrial Fulian" hit the daily limit, with a collective rebound in computing hardware stocks, including Industrial Fulian, Dongshan Precision, and Jingwang Electronics [7] - Positive news from the AI sector has significantly stimulated related concept stocks, including a 27% post-market surge for Oracle, which anticipates a 77% growth in cloud infrastructure revenue for fiscal year 2026, and OpenAI's projected revenue doubling this year [8] - Nvidia's announcement of a new GPU designed for AI workloads further supports the bullish sentiment in the AI sector, with expectations of policy catalysts enhancing market emotions in the short term, despite potential differentiation in previously high-performing segments [8]
A股收评 | 三大指数缩量反弹 创业板指涨1.27% AI产业链再度活跃
智通财经网· 2025-09-10 07:28
三大指数全天缩量反弹,截至收盘,沪指涨0.13%,深证成指涨0.38%,创业板指涨1.27%。沪深两市成 交额1.98万亿,较上一个交易日缩量1404亿。 1、AI产业链再度活跃 值得注意的是,在高位调整多个交易日后,AI产业链今日再度活跃:光模块、PCB、液冷、电子布等AI 硬件概念全线走强,元道通信、思泉新材、工业富联等多股涨停;游戏、短剧、Sora、多模态等AI应用 概念集体反弹,粤传媒、利欧股份等多股涨停。 券商中国援引分析人士指出,来自AI领域的多则消息,对相关概念股的刺激较大:一是甲骨文在美股 夜盘交易时段大涨近30%,未来几年该公司由人工智能驱动的云收入将大幅飙升;二是OpenAI透露, 公司今年的收入将增长两倍以上;三是英伟达宣布推出专为长上下文工作负载设计的专用GPU Rubin CPX,用于翻倍提升当前AI推理运算的工作效率。 国金证券表示,据IDC测算中国AI市场有望迈向2028年的8159亿元,五年CAGR约33%。产业链呈"算力 先行—模型跟进—应用爆发"的梯度:上游GPU/内存/网络等基础设施扩容,中游模型与MaaS加速商业 化,下游行业应用多点开花,应用侧抓手为企业级AI Age ...