Group 1: Pharmaceutical Industry - The domestic raw material pharmaceutical industry is at the bottom of the cycle, with some companies actively transitioning to innovative drug development, which may lead to a harvest period [1] - The raw material drug sector has experienced a four-year downward cycle, with prices of various products, including sartans and heparins, reaching historical lows, resulting in some leading companies operating at a loss [1] - Companies like Huahai Pharmaceutical and Borui Pharmaceutical are focusing on innovative drugs in oncology and autoimmune fields, with several products in various clinical trial stages [2] Group 2: Vaccine and Blood Products Sector - The vaccine industry is facing a continuous decline in performance due to a decrease in newborn numbers and changes in the competitive landscape, although some companies are gradually adopting new technologies and products [3] - The blood products sector is also at the bottom of the cycle, with revenue and net profit expected to decline in 2025 due to inventory levels and demand suppression from medical insurance [3] - The consolidation of leading companies in the blood products industry is expected to increase industry concentration and stabilize pricing [3] Group 3: Medical Services Sector - The medical services sector is experiencing a decline in performance due to DRGs and the consumption environment, with a shift towards utilizing AI technology to enhance the capabilities of primary doctors [4] - The core competitiveness of the medical services industry lies in acquiring and training quality doctors and hospital management, with AI expected to improve patient coverage and diagnostic capabilities [4]

相关研究报告 《集采优化叠加创新驱动，Pharma 迎 来 发 展 新 阶 段 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2025.9.22 医药生物 2025 年 09 月 24 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 0% 12% 24% 36% 48% 60% 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 医药生物 沪深300 《创新药行业进入快速成长期，关注 未来 6-12 个月投资机会—行业周报》 -2025.9.14 《中药及医药商业 2025H1 复盘：短期 承压，静待花开—行业点评报告》 -2025.9.8 原料药公司加速创新药布局，AI+医疗布局逐步深化 ——行业深度报告 | 余汝意（分析师） | 阮帅（分析师） | | --- | --- | | yuruyi@kysec.cn | ruanshuai@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523070002 | 证书编号：S0790524040007 | 原料药板块：创新转型正当时 原料药行业经历近 4 年周期下行，各类产品价格跌至部分龙头企业处于亏损的阶段， 行业整体处于底部区域，其中沙坦类、肝素类、动 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations despite facing substantial operational and financial challenges, including a 45.30% year-on-year decline in net profit for the first half of 2025 [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.516 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.93% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.409 billion yuan, marking the largest decline in net profit over the past decade [3]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to intensified domestic procurement policies, increased competition in the raw material drug industry, and the impact of US-China tariffs, despite an increase in market share [3]. R&D Progress and Challenges - Huahai Pharmaceutical's innovation platform, Shanghai Huatai Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd., has not successfully launched any products in over a decade, with cumulative losses exceeding 1 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024 [4]. - The company is facing competition from earlier approved products in the market, particularly in the treatment of generalized pustular psoriasis and other indications [5][6]. - The HB0034 project, aimed at treating generalized pustular psoriasis, is nearing commercialization, with a formal application expected soon [4][6]. Market Competition - The competitive landscape is challenging, with other companies like Novartis and Eli Lilly having already launched similar products, which may affect the commercial prospects of Huahai's pipeline [6]. - The company is also advancing its HB0025 project for cancer treatment, which is entering critical clinical trial phases [6]. Future Outlook - The company has acknowledged the long and uncertain nature of the drug development process, highlighting the need for strategic adjustments in pricing and product structure in response to market conditions [7]. - There are questions regarding the company's plans to mitigate risks associated with its R&D pipeline and whether it will focus on niche therapeutic areas to reduce competition [7].

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations despite facing substantial operational and financial challenges, including a 45.30% decline in net profit in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.516 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.93% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.409 billion yuan, marking the largest decline in net profit over the past decade [2]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to intensified domestic procurement policies, increased competition in the raw material drug industry, and the impact of US-China tariffs, despite an increase in market share for major products [2]. R&D Progress and Challenges - Huahai Pharmaceutical has established a subsidiary, Shanghai Huatai Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd., focused on innovative drug development, particularly in oncology and autoimmune diseases, but has yet to successfully launch any products [3]. - The subsidiary has reported cumulative losses exceeding 1 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with a net asset value of approximately -1.175 billion yuan as of the end of 2024 [3]. - The most advanced project, HB0034, for treating generalized pustular psoriasis, is expected to submit a formal application for market approval soon, with potential approval in the second quarter of 2026 [3][4]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for Huahai Pharmaceutical's products is challenging, with competitors like Boehringer Ingelheim and Novartis having already launched similar products, which may affect the commercial prospects of Huahai's pipeline [4][5]. - The company is also developing HB0025, a dual-target antibody for advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer, which is entering critical clinical trial phases [5]. Strategic Considerations - The company has indicated the need for potential adjustments in product pricing strategies and product structure optimization in response to declining revenues despite increased market share [6]. - There are questions regarding the company's risk management measures for its R&D pipeline and whether it will focus on more niche therapeutic areas to mitigate competition risks [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced fluctuations in performance in the first half of 2025, with a significant focus on advancing its research projects and a notable increase in R&D investment. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.516 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.93% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 409 million yuan, down 45.3% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 363 million yuan, a decline of 52.48% [1] - The gross margin was 63.32%, an increase of 1.31 percentage points, and the net profit margin was 8.97%, a decrease of 5.74 percentage points [1] - The company revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026, now expecting net profits of 1.164 billion yuan, 1.250 billion yuan, and 1.314 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 2: R&D Progress - The company invested 649 million yuan in R&D in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.07% and accounting for 14.36% of revenue [2] - Key clinical trial endpoints for HB0034 have been reached, and it has been included in the CDE priority review list, with a formal market application expected soon [3] - The HB0017 product is nearing the end of patient follow-up in its key Phase III clinical trial for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis, while the trial for ankylosing spondylitis is progressing rapidly [3] - The company is advancing its projects using AI and extensive biological information, with several new innovative projects in early clinical stages [3] Group 3: Expense Ratios - In the first half of 2025, the company's sales expense ratio was 20.93%, management expense ratio was 15.94%, R&D expense ratio was 11.58%, and financial expense ratio was 2.16%, with year-on-year increases of 1.29 percentage points, 3.23 percentage points, 3.00 percentage points, and 1.47 percentage points respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huahai Pharmaceutical is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company experienced fluctuations in performance during the first half of 2025, with revenue of 4.516 billion yuan (down 11.93% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 409 million yuan (down 45.3% year-on-year) [4][5] - Despite the decline in profits, the company is making significant progress in its innovative drug development, leading to a downward adjustment of the profit forecast for 2025-2026, with new estimates for 2027 introduced [4][5] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 34.2 for 2025, 31.8 for 2026, and 30.3 for 2027, reflecting the positive outlook on the company's innovative drug pipeline [4][5] Financial Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.516 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 63.32% (up 1.31 percentage points) and a net margin of 8.97% (down 5.74 percentage points) [4][5] - Research and development expenses amounted to 649 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.07% and accounting for 14.36% of revenue [5] - The company has several projects in advanced stages of clinical trials, including HB0034, which is expected to be approved for market by the second quarter of 2026 [5] Performance Forecast - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1.164 billion yuan, 1.250 billion yuan, and 1.314 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.0%, 7.4%, and 5.1% [7][9] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 10.786 billion yuan in 2025 to 13.787 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13% [7][9] - The gross margin is expected to improve gradually from 62.2% in 2025 to 62.7% in 2027 [7][9]

证券研究报告 | 医药生物 | 2025年4月26日 www.hczq.com 华创医药投资观点&研究专题周周谈·第123期 华海药业创新研发进入收获期 本周周专题联系人：王宏雨 | 华创医药团队： | | | --- | --- | | 首席分析师 郑辰 | 执业编号: S0360520110002 邮箱: zhengchen@hcyjs.com | | 联席首席分析师 刘浩 | 执业编号: S0360520120002 邮箱: liuhao@hcyjs.com | | 医疗器械组组长 李婵娟 | 执业编号: S0360520110004 邮箱: lichanjuan@hcyjs.com | | 中药和流通组组长 高初蕾 | 执业编号：S0360524070002 邮箱：gaochulei@hcyjs.com | | 分析师 王宏雨 | 执业编号: S0360523080006 邮箱: wanghongyu@hcyjs.com | | 分析师 朱珂琛 | 执业编号: S0360524070007 邮箱: zhukechen@hcyjs.com | 本报告由华创证券有限责任公司编制 报告仅供华创证券有限责任公 ...