Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to see significant growth in adjusted net profit and revenue in Q3 2025, driven by strong performance in its smartphone and automotive segments, despite some challenges in the Chinese market [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue is projected to increase by 21.46% year-on-year to 112.36 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit expected to rise by 68.88% to 10.56 billion yuan, largely due to profitability in automotive and innovative businesses [1]. - Smartphone revenue is anticipated to decline by 3.49% year-on-year to 45.80 billion yuan, with a slight decrease in average selling price (ASP) to 1,065 yuan [1]. - IoT revenue is expected to grow by 5% year-on-year to 27.41 billion yuan, with an improved gross margin of 23.5% [2]. - Internet services revenue is projected to increase by 9% year-on-year to 9.23 billion yuan, maintaining a healthy gross margin of 75% [2]. - Automotive deliveries are forecasted to reach 109,000 units, generating revenue of 29.43 billion yuan, with the automotive business likely achieving its first quarterly profit of 707 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global smartphone shipment is expected to maintain a top-three position, with a 1.8% year-on-year increase to 43.50 million units, although the Chinese market is projected to see a slight decline of 1.7% [1]. - The company is focusing on high-end models like the Xiaomi 17 series, which has shown strong initial sales performance [1]. - The automotive segment is anticipated to benefit from increased deliveries and the release of new models, contributing to sustained growth in both delivery volume and profitability [2]. Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 5.2% and 3.6% to 43.76 billion yuan and 64.02 billion yuan, respectively, due to rising storage costs [2]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.0x for 2025 and 16.9x for 2026 based on adjusted net profit [2]. - The target price has been lowered by 15% to 59.5 HKD, reflecting a potential upside of 29.6% based on the sum-of-the-parts valuation method [2].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is expanding its ecosystem with the launch of the AI glasses, positioning itself in the wearable technology market and aiming to enhance user interaction within its "human-vehicle-home" strategy [12][13][21] Product Launch - On June 26, Xiaomi held a "Human-Vehicle-Home Ecosystem Launch Conference," introducing several smart hardware products including the MIX Flip 2 foldable phone, Pad 7S Pro, and the highly anticipated YU 7 [1] - The AI glasses, weighing only 40g, are designed for comfort and come in three colors, with a price range of 1999 to 2999 yuan [7][9] Technical Features - The AI glasses feature a dual-chip Snapdragon AR1 processor, a 12MP ultra-wide-angle camera, and support for various AI tasks such as real-time image recognition and video live streaming [4][11] - They offer a battery life of 8.6 hours and can be charged in 45 minutes via a Type-C port [9] Market Positioning - The AI glasses are seen as a significant step for Xiaomi in the wearable device market, with over 50,000 pre-orders before the launch [12] - Xiaomi aims to capture the market for AI assistant-enabled wearables, leveraging its established supply chain and ecosystem [12][20] Strategic Importance - The introduction of AI glasses aligns with Xiaomi's broader strategy to create a seamless smart ecosystem that integrates various devices for enhanced user experience [13][17] - The glasses serve as a hardware platform for the "Super Xiao Ai" assistant, facilitating voice interaction and smart home control [16] Industry Impact - Xiaomi's entry into the AI glasses market is expected to lower consumer price expectations for smart eyewear, challenging the perception of AR glasses as high-priced tech gadgets [20] - The move is likely to stimulate interest in the smart glasses category, potentially revitalizing the supply chain and encouraging further innovation in the sector [20][21]

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