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Geraldine Weiss Had An Interesting Formula
Forbes· 2025-10-27 17:30
Core Insights - The article discusses the investment strategy based on dividend yields, particularly focusing on stocks that currently yield above their historical averages, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][5]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Stocks with a dividend yield above their historical average may indicate either a recent dividend increase or a drop in stock price, suggesting a potential bargain [3]. - The late Geraldine Weiss popularized this investment approach, emphasizing that "Dividends Don't Lie" [3]. Group 2: Stock Analysis - **EOG Resources**: The company produces over one million barrels of oil annually, with a current dividend yield of 3.7%, up from a historical average of 1.8%. The dividend payout increased from $1.01 per share in 2019 to $3.77 in the past four quarters [7]. - **Molson Coors**: This brewer has a current dividend yield of 4%, higher than its historical average of 2.5%. The stock has lost nearly 50% of its value over the past decade, prompting diversification efforts into hard cider, seltzer, and energy drinks [8][9]. - **Novo Nordisk**: Known for diabetes medications, the stock's yield is currently 3.3%, above its ten-year median of 1.9%. The company has a net profit margin exceeding 35% and a return on equity of about 81%, with the stock trading at approximately 14 times earnings [10][11]. - **Interparfums**: This company has a current dividend yield of 3.2%, up from a historical average of 1.7%. Despite a decline in stock price from about $158 five years ago to around $96, the company reported a 7% increase in sales and a 17% increase in earnings over the past year [12][13].
The Reluctant-To-Go CEO’s Guide To Succession Planning
Forbes· 2025-10-27 16:12
Group 1: CEO and Board Relationship - The relationship between the CEO and the board of directors is crucial in today's economic uncertainty and competitive landscape [1][2] - The National Association of Corporate Directors released a playbook aimed at enhancing trust and collaboration between boards and CEOs [2][3] - Key strategies for building trust include defining roles, enhancing communication, and prioritizing the CEO's well-being [3][5] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The ongoing federal government shutdown is expected to negatively impact the economy, potentially suppressing Q4 GDP growth by up to 0.5% [8][10] - Inflation data for September showed a 3% increase year-over-year, with consumer sentiment dropping to a score of 53.6, reflecting concerns similar to those during high inflation periods [9][10] - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to discuss a potential quarter-point rate cut, with 96.7% of analysts expecting this move [11] Group 3: Succession Planning - Legacy CEOs often resist discussing succession planning, which can lead to challenges in leadership transitions [19][21] - Effective succession planning should involve identifying potential successors and creating a clear transition plan [23][24] - The internal talent pipeline may be weak under legacy CEOs, necessitating a more objective approach to succession planning [25][26]
J.P. Morgan Boosts U.S. Energy Security With Mining Investment
Forbes· 2025-10-27 14:50
Core Insights - JPMorgan Chase (JPMC) has launched a $1.5 trillion plan aimed at enhancing U.S. energy and national security through strategic investments in key projects and companies [2] - The first initiative of this plan involves a $75 million investment to acquire a 3% equity interest in Perpetua Resources, focusing on the Stibnite Mine, which is expected to be a significant supplier of antimony [2][3] Investment Strategy - The initiative, named the Security and Resiliency Initiative, will focus on four main categories: supply chain and advanced manufacturing, defense and aerospace, energy independence and resilience, and frontier and strategic technologies [3] - The investment in Perpetua Resources aligns with the U.S. government's recognition of the importance of domestic supply chains for critical minerals [6][11] Importance of Antimony - Antimony is a crucial component in various products essential for modern life, including smartphones, military weapons systems, and renewable energy technologies [4][5] - The Stibnite Mine is one of the largest antimony resources outside of China and Russia, historically supplying 90% of U.S. antimony needs during World War II [10] Additional Investments - Perpetua Resources has also secured a $180 million investment from Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, which will further enhance its operations and development [8][9] - The combined investments from JPMC and Agnico Eagle are seen as a strong endorsement of the Stibnite Gold Project and the broader U.S. critical mineral strategy [11]
Chef Michael White Returns To New York With Refined Posh And Modern Italian Food At Santi
Forbes· 2025-10-27 14:46
The food at Santi features Chef Michael White's sumptuous crude. EVAN SUNGThe east side of Midtown Manhattan has become a nexus of fine dining Italian restaurants, with Fasano and Il Monello on 49th Street, Il Tinello East on 46thStreet and Lever House on 53rd, now joined by Santi, a splendid ten-month old venture by Chef Michael White and partner Bruce Bonstar of the BBianco Hospitality Group. Well above the trattoria level of home-style cooking and barebones décor, these restaurants are in line with the b ...
Time To Buy The Dip In Kenvue Stock?
Forbes· 2025-10-27 14:25
Core Viewpoint - Kenvue, the consumer healthcare spin-off from Johnson & Johnson, has seen its stock price decline significantly, currently around $15, which is over 65% lower than its highs in 2023, raising questions about whether this represents a long-term buying opportunity or a value trap [2] Company Performance - Kenvue has issued cautious guidance indicating lower-than-expected profit growth due to currency challenges and a decline in demand for cough and cold products [3] - The company has undergone a leadership change with CEO Thibaut Mongon resigning as part of a strategic review [3] - Kenvue is involved in a lawsuit in the U.K. concerning alleged asbestos contamination in baby powder, which has revived investor concerns related to Johnson & Johnson's ongoing talc litigation [3] - Negative news linking Tylenol to developmental issues in children has unsettled retail sentiment, despite the claims being unverified [3] Financial Fundamentals - Kenvue controls a strong consumer health portfolio with globally recognized brands such as Tylenol, Motrin, Neutrogena, Aveeno, and Listerine, which have strong pricing power and consistent demand [4] - The company generates over $1.6 billion in annual free cash flow, has moderate debt levels, and maintains operating margins around 17%, providing financial flexibility [4] Valuation Insights - Kenvue's market value is approximately $27 billion, trading at a lower valuation than competitors like Haleon and Procter & Gamble's health division [5] - Earnings growth in 2025 is expected to be modest, but a strategic update from management could improve sentiment if it indicates credible plans for margin improvement or brand portfolio streamlining [5] Investor Sentiment - Legal and reputational issues are expected to persist, and the CEO's departure introduces uncertainty regarding execution [6] - Until there is clarity on liability from the courts and a long-term strategy from new leadership, the stock may struggle to see significant re-rating [6] - Kenvue appears fundamentally undervalued but faces sentiment challenges, making it potentially appealing for long-term investors seeking stable cash-flow exposure in the consumer healthcare sector [7] - A cautious approach may be advisable in the near term, waiting for signs of a market bottom and clearer direction from management [7] Long-term Outlook - Over a 12- to 24-month outlook, Kenvue's brand strength and cash flow generation suggest that the current sell-off could represent a buying opportunity rather than a permanent decline [8]
The Hidden Signals In Halliburton's Q3 You Probably Missed
Forbes· 2025-10-27 14:14
Core Insights - Halliburton's shares surged 25% in five days, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.7% increase, following solid Q3 2025 performance, indicating a company preparing for the next oilfield cycle [2][11] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was approximately $5.6 billion, a 2% decrease year-over-year, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.58, reflecting a 21% drop from the previous year, both exceeding analyst forecasts [3] Cost Management - Halliburton's cost-saving initiative generates approximately $100 million each quarter, reaffirming the company's commitment to operational efficiency amid fluctuating pricing [5] Backlog and Revenue Visibility - The current backlog exceeds $10 billion, indicating a strong pipeline of secured projects, which enhances revenue visibility and demand durability, particularly in long-term international contracts [6] Technological Advancements - Over half of Halliburton's active U.S. frac fleet is now operated by the Zeus electric system, representing a shift towards lower-emission, higher-efficiency operations, which enhances reliability and aligns with decarbonization goals [7][8] Supply-Side Discipline - The company is idling or retiring non-economic equipment, demonstrating a disciplined approach to capacity management, which prioritizes returns over market share and strengthens pricing power [9] International Expansion - Halliburton has secured major international contracts, including a five-year project in the North Sea and multi-year agreements in Kuwait and Colombia, reinforcing its commitment to higher-margin, less cyclical markets [10] Strategic Positioning - Despite revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, the underlying narrative focuses on structural advancements, with management curbing costs, enhancing the international portfolio, and leveraging technology to sustain profitability [11]
BigBear.ai Stock Up 76%. Learn If $BBAI Will Rise Or Lose To Palantir
Forbes· 2025-10-27 13:55
Core Viewpoint - BigBear.ai's stock has surged 76% in 2025 despite significant revenue declines and soaring losses, raising questions about the underlying reasons for this increase [2][3]. Company Performance - BigBear.ai's revenue fell 18% in Q2 2025 to $32.5 million, leading to a revised full-year revenue forecast cut by 22% to between $125 million and $140 million, indicating a 15% to 20% drop from 2024 [10]. - The company's net loss increased nearly 16-fold to $228.6 million, with 61% attributed to a fair-value loss on convertible note derivatives [11]. - The stock has lost about 25% of its value since its public debut, with a current market capitalization of nearly $3.1 billion [9]. Market Position and Contracts - BigBear.ai has secured contracts in military and civilian sectors, including a partnership with Tsecond for battlefield AI solutions and the introduction of a biometric system at Nashville International Airport [3][14]. - The company claims a backlog of $380 million in contracts and a cash balance of $390 million, which may help offset losses [15]. Investor Sentiment - The stock is viewed as overvalued by Wall Street, with an average price target of $5.83 compared to its current price of $7.22, suggesting a 24% overvaluation [21]. - The stock's performance is influenced by retail investors and short sellers, with a significant volume spike observed following positive news [12][13]. Competitive Landscape - BigBear.ai operates in a competitive AI defense market against larger firms like Palantir and established contractors such as Lockheed Martin and Raytheon [19]. - The company's high price-to-sales ratio of 13 is significantly above the S&P 500's ratio of 3.43, raising concerns about its valuation amidst declining revenues [18]. Insider Activity - There has been notable insider selling, including the former interim CFO selling shares shortly before being appointed as CFO [20].
Time To Book Profits In CRWD Stock?
Forbes· 2025-10-27 13:55
Core Insights - CrowdStrike stock (NASDAQ: CRWD) has surged by 10% in the last week, reaching a peak of $522 on October 23, 2025, resulting in a year-to-date gain of 50% [1] - The stock's recent performance is attributed to analyst upgrades and positive sentiment following the company's strong showing at the Fal.Con event in September [1] - Despite the impressive growth, the stock is considered expensive at its current valuation of approximately $520, raising questions about its future growth potential [2][5] Valuation Concerns - CrowdStrike's price-to-sales ratio stands at 30.1x, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3.2x, while its price-to-free cash flow ratio is 125.9x compared to 21.1x for the broader market [8] - These high ratios indicate that investors are paying a premium for anticipated growth, leading to concerns about whether such growth can justify the elevated valuations [6] Financial Performance - CrowdStrike has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with a three-year average growth rate of 33.5% compared to 5.4% for the S&P 500 [17] - The last 12 months saw a revenue increase from $3.5 billion to $4.3 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 23.5% [17] - The most recent quarter reported a revenue growth of 21.3%, reaching $1.2 billion [17] Profitability and Investment Strategy - Despite strong revenue growth, traditional profitability metrics reveal challenges, as the company invests heavily in growth while generating solid cash flows [11] - CrowdStrike's focus appears to be on expanding market share rather than immediate profitability [11] Financial Stability - CrowdStrike maintains a robust balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of only 0.6% compared to 21.1% for the S&P 500 [18] - Cash constitutes 53.5% of total assets, with $5.0 billion in cash and equivalents providing substantial operational flexibility [18] Market Resilience - CrowdStrike has shown resilience during market downturns, with a significant recovery capacity despite experiencing dramatic fluctuations [14] - During the inflation shock of 2022, the stock dropped 67.7% but rebounded quickly, returning to pre-crisis levels by January 2024 [18] - The company also faced a 50% decline during the COVID-19 pandemic but recovered within two months [18] Investment Outlook - CrowdStrike presents a classic conflict between growth and value, characterized as a high-quality business with strong fundamentals [16] - However, the current valuation around $520 is viewed as excessive, suggesting that waiting for a more favorable entry point may be prudent [16]
Tesla Q3: Numbers You May Have Missed
Forbes· 2025-10-27 13:55
Core Insights - Tesla's Q3 2025 results showed a 12% year-over-year revenue increase, marking the first rise in three quarters, driven by U.S. customers purchasing electric vehicles before tax benefits expired [1] - Net income decreased by 37% year-over-year due to lower vehicle prices and increased operating expenses, particularly from investments in artificial intelligence and R&D [1] - The stock fell approximately 3% in after-hours trading, indicating market reaction to mixed results [1] Vehicle Deliveries and Production - Tesla's global vehicle deliveries reached 497,099 units, while production totaled 447,450 units, indicating a positive trend as deliveries outpaced production [2] - Energy storage product deployments totaled 12.5 GWh, an 80% year-over-year increase from 6.9 GWh, highlighting growth in Tesla's energy-storage sector [2] Supercharger Network Expansion - Tesla expanded its Supercharger network by over 3,500 new charging stalls, representing an 18% year-over-year growth, enhancing the electric vehicle ownership experience [3] - As of June 2025, Tesla operated approximately 70,000 stalls globally, making it one of the largest fast-charging networks and creating competitive barriers [3] Energy Utilization - In Q2 2025, Tesla's Supercharger network provided around 1.6 terawatt-hours of energy across about 45 million sessions, emphasizing utilization efficiency and potential for recurring revenue [4] Full Self-Driving (FSD) Adoption - Between 50% and 60% of new buyers of Model S and Model X select the Full Self-Driving package, while 20% to 30% of Model 3 and Model Y buyers do the same, indicating significant adoption rates [6] - The $99-per-month FSD subscription is gaining popularity, contributing to a shift towards a software-as-a-service model and enhancing recurring revenue visibility [6] Services and Other Revenue - Tesla's "Services and Other" revenue climbed by approximately 25% year-over-year in Q3 2025, reaching $3.5 billion, driven by growth in software, connectivity, servicing, and charging [7] - This growth reflects Tesla's evolution into a diversified technology-energy platform, providing a buffer against vehicle margin fluctuations [7]
What Is Happening With KLA Stock?
Forbes· 2025-10-27 13:25
Core Insights - KLA's stock surged by nearly 80% due to substantial revenue growth and increasing margins, driven by strong demand in AI and semiconductor capabilities [1] - The stock's increase was attributed to a 24% rise in revenue, a 19% increase in net margin, and a 20% growth in valuation multiple [1] Financial Performance - KLA consistently exceeded revenue and EPS forecasts for Q1-Q4 FY25, with Q4 FY25 revenues reaching $3.175 billion and non-GAAP EPS at $9.38 [6] - Advanced packaging revenue is projected to grow significantly, expected to surpass $925 million in 2025, up from $500 million in 2024 [6] Market Position - KLA holds a dominant position in the process control market with a 56% market share, which is crucial for advanced chip manufacturing [6] - The global semiconductor equipment market is anticipated to expand, with sales forecasted to reach $125.5 billion in 2025, reflecting a 7.4% increase [6] Industry Trends - There is an unquenchable demand for AI and High-Performance Computing, leading to significant investments in the semiconductor sector [6]