Forbes
Search documents
Amphenol Or Corning: Which Stock Has More Upside?
Forbes· 2025-11-14 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Corning Inc. (GLW) has experienced a decline of 7.8% in its stock price, prompting investors to consider alternative investment options, particularly Amphenol (APH), which shows stronger financial performance and lower valuation [2]. Financial Performance Comparison - Amphenol's quarterly revenue growth stands at 53.4%, significantly higher than Corning's 20.9% [2]. - Over the last 12 months, Amphenol's revenue growth is 47.4%, compared to Corning's 18.3% [2]. - Amphenol's profitability is superior, with a last 12 months margin of 24.6% and a three-year average margin of 22.2%, outperforming Corning [2]. Valuation & Performance Overview - A side-by-side analysis of financials reveals that Corning's fundamentals lag behind Amphenol in terms of growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples [3]. - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio (HQ), which includes 30 stocks, has consistently outperformed its benchmark, achieving returns exceeding 105% since its formation, suggesting a less volatile investment option compared to individual stocks [4][7].
Triggers That Could Ignite The Next Rally In Microsoft Stock
Forbes· 2025-11-14 14:50
Core Insights - Microsoft has demonstrated significant stock rallies, increasing over 30% in under two months on multiple occasions, particularly in 2015 and 2023, indicating a strong potential for future growth and shareholder value enhancement [2] - The company's stock performance has been driven by robust growth in cloud services and AI, particularly through Azure and Copilot, which have shown exceptional traction in enterprises [3] Triggers That Could Boost The Stock - Microsoft's aggressive investment exceeding $34 billion in AI infrastructure and new offerings is expected to propel Azure's growth, with projections indicating it may surpass AWS by 2026 [9] - The uptake of Microsoft 365 Copilot by over 70% of Fortune 500 companies and the expansion of sovereign cloud options in over 11 countries by 2026 will enhance high-margin commercial cloud revenue [9] - The transition of Microsoft's gaming ecosystem from hardware to a service-oriented model, with Game Pass exceeding 500 million users, positions the company for significant growth in the $435 billion gaming industry by 2030 [9] Financial Performance - Microsoft has reported a revenue growth of 15.6% over the last twelve months and an average growth of 13.2% over the past three years [9] - The company has a free cash flow margin of nearly 26.6% and an operating margin of 46.3% for the last twelve months, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [9] - The stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 35.7, reflecting its valuation in the market [9]
Newmont Stock May Still Have Room To Run
Forbes· 2025-11-14 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its strong margins, low-debt capital structure, and robust momentum in the current market environment [2][3]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 gold prices averaged $3,539 per ounce, contributing to strong margins and improved cost guidance [3]. - Newmont has a nearly zero net debt of $12 million, following the retirement of $2 billion in Q3 and $3.5 billion from asset sales, indicating a low-debt structure [3]. - The company achieved a record $4.5 billion in free cash flow year-to-date, driven by production from the new Ahafo North mine [3]. - Despite a decrease in Q3 gold production from planned activities, the stock price increased by over 123% year-on-year [3]. Revenue and Profitability - Newmont reported a revenue growth of 26.6% for the last twelve months (LTM) and an average growth of 23.9% over the past three years [10]. - The operating cash flow margin stands at approximately 32.6%, with an operating margin averaging 23.9% over the last three years [10]. Market Position and Momentum - Newmont is currently ranked in the top 10 percentile of stocks for "trend strength," indicating strong momentum [10]. - The stock is trading 8.7% below its 52-week peak, suggesting potential for further growth [10]. Investment Strategy - The focus on stocks with strong margins and low-debt capital structures is emphasized as a prudent investment strategy [5]. - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes Newmont, has a history of outperforming benchmarks with better returns and lower risk [9].
How GM Stock Gained 40%
Forbes· 2025-11-14 14:20
Core Insights - General Motors (GM) stock has increased by 44% over the past six months, primarily due to a significant 162% rise in the P/E multiple, despite a slight 0.5% decline in revenue and a 47% drop in net margin [1][5]. Financial Performance - The stock rally was supported by better-than-expected earnings and strategic changes in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, alongside strong sales of high-margin trucks and SUVs [4]. - The anticipated tariff impact for 2025 has been reduced, which has further bolstered investor confidence [10]. Strategic Developments - GM announced a $43 million investment in Brownstown Township, Michigan, to manufacture lithium-ion battery packs for the Chevrolet Volt and other extended-range electric vehicles, marking the first major automaker-operated lithium-ion battery manufacturing plant in the U.S. [3]. - The introduction of an economical Bolt EV and layoffs, along with a $1.6 billion charge due to declining EV demand, reflect adjustments in GM's EV strategy [10]. - GM has directed thousands of suppliers to eliminate parts sourced from China, aiming to mitigate risks from geopolitical disruptions [10].
Disney Stock Is Dropping. More Downside Risk?
Forbes· 2025-11-14 14:20
Core Insights - Walt Disney's stock has experienced a significant decline of 7.7% in one day following mixed Q4 FY'25 earnings, primarily due to larger-than-expected declines in its linear TV business, which remains crucial for overall revenues and profits despite growth in the streaming sector [1][3] Company Overview - Walt Disney is valued at $194 billion with $95 billion in revenue, currently trading at $107.61 [3] - The company reported a revenue growth of 5.0% over the last 12 months and an operating margin of 14.8% [3] - The liquidity metrics show a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.03, indicating moderate operational performance [3][4] Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 16.8 and a P/EBIT multiple of 15.1, suggesting a fair valuation [8] - Historical performance indicates that the stock has dropped over 30% in less than 30 days only once since 2010, after which it rebounded by 115% within a year [8] Historical Performance Analysis - DIS stock has seen a decline of 60.7% from a peak of $201.91 on March 8, 2021, to $79.32 on October 4, 2023, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [9] - The stock decreased 42.1% from a peak of $148.20 on January 2, 2020, to $85.76 on March 23, 2020, but fully rebounded by November 24, 2020 [9] - A previous drop of 16.3% from a peak of $115.84 on April 27, 2017, to $96.93 on October 12, 2017, was also followed by a complete recovery by August 6, 2018 [9] Market Resilience Considerations - The analysis suggests that if DIS stock were to drop another 20-30% to $75, investors may need to evaluate their positions based on historical performance during economic downturns [5][4] - The stock has underperformed relative to the S&P 500 during various economic downturns, raising questions about its resilience [5]
Sterling Infrastructure Stock Tumbled 20% – Opportunity Or Trap?
Forbes· 2025-11-14 14:20
Core Insights - Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) stock has seen a significant decline of 20.5% in less than a month, dropping from $411.07 on November 5, 2025, to $326.60 currently, raising the question of whether this dip presents a buying opportunity [2] - Historically, STRL stock has met essential quality criteria, with a median return of 34% in the 12 months following sharp declines, and a median peak return of 79% [3][7] - STRL has experienced six instances since January 1, 2010, where it faced a dip threshold of -30% within 30 days [5] Financial Analysis - To assess the viability of buying the dip, it is crucial to evaluate STRL's revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet robustness [6] - The median time to peak return following a dip event for STRL is 238 days, with a median maximum drawdown of -30% within one year of the dip event [7] Investment Strategy - Buying the dip can be a valid strategy for quality stocks like STRL, which have historically recovered from downturns [3] - Diversification across various asset classes is recommended to mitigate risks associated with exposure to a single asset [4]
Lam Research Stock: Temporary Setback Or More Trouble Ahead?
Forbes· 2025-11-14 13:45
Core Insights - Lam Research (LRCX) shares have decreased by 5.0% due to an analyst downgrade linked to concerns about slowing growth in China and the NAND memory sector [1][4] - The decline in LRCX stock is exacerbated by a broader downturn in technology shares as market expectations for a December interest rate cut have diminished [1][4] Company Overview - Lam Research Corporation is an American company that designs, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment for integrated circuit fabrication [3][6] - The company operates as a $194 billion entity with $20 billion in revenue, currently trading at $153.32 [8] Financial Performance - Lam Research has experienced a revenue growth of 25.7% over the last 12 months, with an operating margin of 33.0% [8] - The company maintains a debt to equity ratio of 0.02 and a cash to assets ratio of 0.31, indicating strong liquidity [8] Valuation Metrics - LRCX stock is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 33.4 and a P/EBIT multiple of 28.9, suggesting a high valuation [8] - Historically, the stock has returned a median of 179% within a year following sharp declines since 2010 [8] Stock Performance Analysis - LRCX stock has shown significant volatility, dropping 56.8% from a peak of $72.98 on January 14, 2022, to $31.50 on October 14, 2022, compared to a 25.4% decline for the S&P 500 [9] - The stock fully rebounded to its pre-Crisis peak by December 11, 2023, and reached a peak of $166.37 on November 10, 2025, currently trading at $153.32 [9] - In previous downturns, LRCX stock has underperformed relative to the S&P 500, indicating potential challenges in maintaining value during market declines [5][9] Market Position and Resilience - The downturn resilience framework suggests that if LRCX stock were to fall another 20-30% to $107, investors may face challenges in retaining their holdings [5] - The stock has historically regained its pre-Crisis peaks, demonstrating some resilience despite significant declines [9][11]
3 Forces That Could Shake Nvidia Stock
Forbes· 2025-11-14 13:41
Core Insights - NVIDIA's stock has historically faced significant volatility, with drops exceeding 30% occurring on multiple occasions, leading to substantial market value loss [1][7] - The company's stock has surged due to high demand for AI hardware, but this growth brings new competitive risks and supply chain vulnerabilities [3][10] Financial Performance - NVIDIA's revenue growth has been impressive, with a last twelve months (LTM) growth rate of 71.6% and a three-year average growth rate of 92.0% [10] - The company has demonstrated strong cash generation capabilities, with a free cash flow margin of approximately 43.6% and an operating margin of 58.1% LTM [10] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for NVIDIA stock stands at 52.6, indicating a high valuation relative to earnings [10] Competitive Landscape - Increased competition is emerging from major hyperscalers like Google, Amazon, and Meta, which are developing their own custom AI chips to reduce reliance on NVIDIA [10] - Competitors such as AMD and Intel are advancing their chip technologies, with AMD projecting revenue growth of over 35% in the next three to five years, particularly in AI data centers [10] Market Risks - NVIDIA's market share in China is expected to decline due to U.S. export restrictions and rising competition from local companies like Huawei [10] - Historical performance indicates that NVIDIA is not immune to market downturns, with significant declines observed during past financial crises [7][8]
Stock Futures Slide As Tech Selloff Continues—Bitcoin Slips To Six-Month Low
Forbes· 2025-11-14 13:30
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures experienced a decline on Friday morning, primarily driven by a drop in major tech stocks, following the worst declines in major indexes in over a month [1] - Dow futures decreased by 0.55% to 47,285 points, while S&P 500 futures fell 0.94% to 6,696.75 points [1] - The Nasdaq Futures index was the most affected, dropping 1.42% to 24,739.25 points [1] Company Performance - Tesla shares fell to $385, marking a 4.15% decrease since Thursday's close [2] - Nvidia's shares dropped 2.93% to $181.40, with other semiconductor stocks like AMD, Broadcom, Qualcomm, and Intel also experiencing declines of 2.39%, 1.12%, 1.43%, and 2.51% respectively [2] - Major tech companies such as Google, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft saw their shares decrease by 1.55%, 1.03%, 1.18%, and 0.73% respectively in premarket trading [2] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market faced a selloff, with Bitcoin's price falling below $96,000 for the first time in six months, down more than 6.9% in the last 24 hours to $95,909.21 [3] - Ether dropped to $3,130, reflecting a decline of over 10.3% in the past 24 hours [3] - Other major cryptocurrencies, including XRP, Solana's SOL, and Binance's BNB, also experienced declines of 8.8%, 10.5%, and 6.2% respectively [3]
Alibaba Looks To Future With ChatGPT Inspired App And Tokenization
Forbes· 2025-11-14 12:30
Core Insights - Alibaba Group Holding is redesigning its flagship mobile AI app to resemble OpenAI's ChatGPT, aiming to enhance its competitive position against major Asian rivals [2][4] - The app will be renamed Qwen and will integrate more agent-style capabilities to facilitate shopping across Alibaba's services [3][6] - The long-term goal is to develop Qwen into a fully capable AI agent, with plans for an international version and significant internal resources allocated for the redesign [5][9] E-commerce Integration - Alibaba is leveraging its traditional strength in e-commerce to attract users to the revamped Qwen app, especially as the e-commerce landscape shifts towards AI-driven models [6][7] - The app will initially remain free, with potential for future monetization as the user base grows [7] Payment Infrastructure - Alibaba is overhauling cross-border payment systems within its $35 billion e-commerce ecosystem, focusing on tokenization to enhance global settlement processes [8][9] - A new payment network utilizing a tokenized, stablecoin-like system for international B2B transactions is expected to launch by the end of the year [9] AI Growth and Performance - Alibaba has reported significant growth in AI-related offerings, with its cloud business becoming the fastest-growing division [10]