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Omdia:未来五年,音乐出版收入增速将超越录制音乐行业
Canalys· 2025-10-24 01:02
Group 1 - The global music publishing revenue is expected to exceed $10 billion for the first time in 2025, with projections indicating it will surpass $13 billion by 2029 and reach $14 billion in the following year [2] - Streaming services are becoming the largest revenue source for music publishers, with Spotify, Apple Music, and YouTube Music expected to contribute an increasing share of revenue throughout the forecast period [2] - The global music publishing revenue is projected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.4% over the next five years, reaching $14.04 billion by 2030, with digital music revenue expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.7% [2] Group 2 - The growth trajectory of music publishing is closely linked to that of recorded music, but music publishing is expected to outpace recorded music in revenue growth by the end of the forecast period [5] - By 2030, music publishing revenue is projected to grow by 3.7%, while recorded music is expected to grow by 2.3%, with music publishing's share of total revenue reaching 21% [5] Group 3 - The music publishing industry is currently experiencing rapid growth, which has been sustained for several years, although a slowdown in streaming growth is anticipated to limit future revenue increases for publishers [8] - Despite the expected slowdown, the long-term growth outlook for the music publishing industry remains optimistic [8]
Omdia:2025年,全球短剧收入将达110亿美元
Canalys· 2025-10-23 01:02
Core Insights - Short-form dramas are projected to generate global revenues of $11 billion by 2025, highlighting their rapid growth in the mobile-first video entertainment sector [1] - The revenue from short-form dramas is expected to be nearly double that of free ad-supported streaming television (FAST) channels, which are projected to reach $5.8 billion by the end of this year [1] - Over 60% of short-form drama revenue comes from subscriptions or transactional payments, with average revenue per user (ARPU) reaching up to $20 per week or $80 per month, indicating strong monetization potential [1] Market Dynamics - China accounts for 83% of the total revenue from short-form dramas, driven by a large audience and mobile viewing trends [1] - The United States leads the international market outside of China, followed by Japan, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and Thailand, all of which are experiencing growing penetration [1] Viewer Engagement - Audiences are increasingly willing to pay for content that captures their attention instantly, despite shorter attention spans, which enhances the commercial viability of this format [2] - Short-form dramas are expected to become a core component of the digital entertainment ecosystem, bridging social video and traditional scripted television [2] - The rise of short-form dramas signifies a transformation in global viewing behavior, marking the next phase in the evolution of digital content [2]
Omdia:印度智能手机市场增长3%,各品牌为节日季做准备,vivo继续蝉联榜首,苹果出货量创历史新高
Canalys· 2025-10-22 01:02
Core Insights - The Indian smartphone market is projected to grow by 3% year-on-year in Q3 2025, reaching a shipment volume of 48.4 million units, driven by pre-festival inventory replenishment and retail promotions [2][7]. Market Performance - Vivo leads the market with a shipment of 9.7 million units, capturing a 20% market share. Samsung follows with 6.8 million units and a 14% share, while Xiaomi and OPPO are nearly tied with 6.5 million units each, both holding a 13% share. Apple returns to the top five with 4.9 million units, driven by demand from lower-tier cities [2][7]. Sales Strategies - The market momentum in Q3 is primarily driven by channel incentives rather than pure consumer demand recovery. Manufacturers are reallocating marketing budgets to impactful retail incentive programs, including dealer competitions with rewards such as cash bonuses and travel [4][6]. Brand Strategies - Vivo's strong market position is attributed to a balanced product portfolio and aggressive retail strategies. Samsung is making progress in the mid-to-high-end market with new models but faces challenges in the entry-level segment. OPPO's growth is supported by targeted promotional plans centered around the F31 series [4][5]. Apple’s Performance - Apple achieved its highest-ever shipment volume in India during Q3, with a market share of 10%. Growth is fueled by demand for high-end models and effective promotional strategies, particularly in smaller cities [5]. Future Outlook - Despite a strong early performance in Q3, growth is not expected to continue into the year-end peak period. Urban consumers remain cautious due to job uncertainty and cost sensitivity, leading to delayed upgrades. The overall smartphone market is anticipated to see a slight decline in 2025, reflecting a fragile recovery sensitive to economic conditions [6].
Omdia:随着Windows 10停止服务,2025年第三季度全球PC市场增长7%,联想继续蝉联榜首
Canalys· 2025-10-21 04:02
Core Insights - The total shipment volume of desktops, laptops, and workstations is expected to grow by 6.8% year-on-year in Q3 2025, reaching 72 million units, driven by device upgrade demands as Windows 10 service termination approaches [2][5] Group 1: Market Trends - The demand for PC upgrades remains strong among enterprises and consumers, particularly as the deadline for Windows 10 service termination approaches on October 14 [5] - A significant portion of Windows users are still on Windows 10 or using PCs older than five years, indicating a need for continued promotional efforts from Microsoft and its partners [5][8] Group 2: B2B Transition Challenges - A recent survey indicates that only 39% of B2B clients have completed their transition to Windows 11, with 18% planning to continue using Windows 10 post-support termination [8] - This presents an ongoing opportunity for Microsoft and its OEM partners to provide transition support and guidance [8] Group 3: Product Innovations - Major industry players are unveiling new product roadmaps to stimulate PC purchasing demand, with Qualcomm and Intel launching upgraded chipsets [8] - The 2026 CES is anticipated to showcase new and attractive PC products, with a focus on "device-side AI" [8] Group 4: Company Performance - Lenovo showed strong performance with a 17% year-on-year increase in shipments, reaching 19.4 million units, solidifying its market leadership [8] - HP ranked second with 15 million units shipped, an 11% increase, while Dell ranked third with a 3% growth [8] - Apple and Asus also performed well, with Apple maintaining over 6 million units shipped for five consecutive quarters and Asus achieving a 7% year-on-year growth [8]
从设备到体验:生态系统合作推动中东和非洲消费科技市场的可持续增长
Canalys· 2025-10-20 01:03
Core Insights - The consumer technology market in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) is shifting from hardware to services, with media and entertainment spending expected to reach $36 billion by 2027, driven by ecosystem collaboration [1][12][16] - Hardware remains foundational, with revenue projected to grow from $32.9 billion in 2020 to approximately $41.9 billion by 2027, while media and entertainment spending is expected to nearly double from $18 billion to $36 billion during the same period [1][12] Market Trends - In some global markets, service revenue has already surpassed device sales, with the GCC market showing an average ARPU exceeding $20, creating space for bundled service models [2][12] - As of Q2 2025, MEA accounts for only 14% of global telecom operators' partnerships with OTT providers, despite a mobile user dominance [2][12] Ecosystem Collaboration - Ecosystem collaboration is leading the shift from product to experience, with manufacturers repositioning devices as service-driven "experience platforms" [4][12] - Bundled offerings, such as Samsung's foldable phones with Netflix, enhance user experience and create strategic opportunities for content providers [4][12] Bundled Service Models - The cost-sharing structure of bundled services varies by partnership type, with telecom-led collaborations typically having operators bear most costs [8][12] - Bundled packages enhance user retention for operators and provide differentiation for manufacturers while expanding reach for service providers [8][12] Role of Telecom Operators and Retailers - Telecom operators and retailers act as enablers in the ecosystem, using multi-layered service bundles to prevent ARPU decline and reduce churn [9][12] - Bundled packages in high ARPU markets offer significant profit margins, enhancing customer retention compared to standalone service purchases [9][12] Consumer Benefits - Bundled packages lower overall usage costs and provide better value compared to purchasing services separately, with convenience and cultural relevance being key factors [9][12] Market Dynamics - The MENA online video market is projected to grow over fivefold to $8.4 billion by 2029, necessitating a shift from subsidy-driven models to sustainable subscription systems [12][16] - The collaboration between manufacturers, telecom operators, and content providers is crucial for capturing long-term value in the evolving market landscape [13][16] Strategic Recommendations - Manufacturers should shift marketing focus from specifications to user experience, while telecom operators expand bundled offerings to mid-tier markets [16][17] - Retailers need to transition from hardware sales to becoming integral parts of the service ecosystem, leveraging partnerships with streaming or software providers [16][17] - Content providers should prioritize collaborations with telecom operators and manufacturers to achieve scale in a fragmented market [16][17]
Omdia:2025年第三季度,中国智能手机市场回调3%,vivo重返第一,竞争态势趋紧
Canalys· 2025-10-16 01:46
Core Insights - The Chinese smartphone market is experiencing a 3% year-on-year decline in Q3 2025, indicating an ongoing adjustment phase with increasing competition among leading manufacturers [2][4] - Vivo regained the top position with 11.8 million units shipped, capturing 18% market share, followed closely by Huawei with 10.5 million units (16% market share) and Apple with 10.1 million units (15% market share) [2][6] - The overall smartphone shipments in China for Q3 2025 totaled 67.2 million units, reflecting a 3% decrease from 69.1 million units in Q3 2024 [6] Market Dynamics - The market's contraction over two consecutive quarters is showing signs of easing, suggesting that the fluctuations caused by the national subsidy program are subsiding, allowing for a return to normal market rhythms [4] - Manufacturers are strategically managing their inventory levels, preparing for the upcoming launch of flagship products and the Double 11 shopping festival [4] Product Strategy - Major manufacturers are updating their mid-range product lines, focusing on practical upgrades in response to rising component costs, with new models featuring large batteries (over 7000mAh) and enhanced durability [4] - The emphasis on battery technology and durability reflects manufacturers' responses to consumer demands for reliability and longevity in devices [4] Future Outlook - Despite the current market decline, Omdia forecasts a moderate growth in smartphone shipments for the entire year of 2025, supported by local subsidies [6] - Domestic brands are differentiating their products through design, battery life, and camera capabilities, while also enhancing AI functionalities to attract local consumers, who are notably inclined towards AI technologies [6]
Omdia:全球智能手机市场在2025年第三季度增长3%,苹果创下史上同期最高纪录
Canalys· 2025-10-14 14:18
Core Insights - The global smartphone market is projected to grow by 3% year-on-year in Q3 2025, driven by strong replacement demand and preemptive stocking by manufacturers ahead of a busy Q4 [2][5] - Samsung maintains the top position with a 19% market share, followed by Apple at 18%, Xiaomi at 14%, and both Transsion and Vivo at 9% each [2][5] Market Dynamics - The recovery in consumer demand for smartphone upgrades and replacements is evident, with all top five manufacturers showing year-on-year shipment growth [5][7] - Major brands have received positive responses to new product launches, with a focus on balancing hardware and software [5][9] Product Highlights - The iPhone 17 series has performed exceptionally well, with the base model upgrading storage without a price increase, while the new designs of iPhone 17 Pro and Pro Max continue to attract consumers [5][7] - Transsion has achieved double-digit growth compared to Q3 2024, marking its highest shipment volume in history, attributed to effective inventory management and demand recovery in the Middle East and Africa [7] Competitive Landscape - The smartphone market is highly competitive, with rising component costs putting pressure on profitability [9] - Manufacturers are exploring additional revenue opportunities through subscription services, accessories, and bundled sales to enhance consumer value propositions [9] Emerging Market Challenges - In emerging markets, the dominance of entry-level devices presents implementation challenges, necessitating sustainable operating models that avoid price wars while maintaining affordability for consumers [9]
邀请函 | GITEX 2025与Omdia深度对话,剖析中东非消费科技趋势
Canalys· 2025-10-14 14:18
Core Insights - Omdia invites participation in an exclusive event during GITEX 2025 to discuss the future landscape of the connected consumer ecosystem with industry leaders [2][5] - The event will take place on October 14, 2025, in Dubai, coinciding with the city's emergence as a global tech hub [2] - Omdia forecasts that the consumer technology ecosystem revenue in the Middle East and Africa will reach $75 billion by 2026, with media and entertainment services expected to grow by 12% [3] Event Details - Date: October 14, 2025 [2] - Time: 6:00 PM – 9:00 PM local time, followed by a reception and dinner [2] - Location: DoubleTree by Hilton Dubai - Business Bay, Bay Square - Building 5, Dubai, United Arab Emirates [2] Key Discussion Topics - The evolving smartphone landscape and emerging opportunities in the Middle East and Africa [5] - How PC manufacturers are adapting to changes in consumer behavior [5] - The integration of devices, streaming services, and telecom operators [5] - Future growth directions for gaming and entertainment [5]
重磅发布:Canalys(现并入Omdia) 2025年中国云渠道领导力矩阵冠军
Canalys· 2025-09-24 04:02
Core Insights - Canalys has released the "2025 China Cloud Channel Leadership Matrix," recognizing Alibaba Cloud, Huawei Cloud, and AWS as the "Champions" for their outstanding performance in channel management, market performance, and ecosystem development [1][7]. Evaluation Criteria - The matrix evaluates seven major cloud service providers in mainland China with annual cloud service revenues exceeding $1 billion, focusing on vision and strategy, channel planning and execution, partner feedback, and AI ecosystem competitiveness [3]. - The inclusion of AI ecosystem competitiveness in the evaluation highlights the rapid transformation of the channel ecosystem driven by AI, which raises the bar for partner capability building and value delivery [3]. Champion Characteristics - Champions have demonstrated exceptional performance in developing the industry channel ecosystem and have made significant progress in corporate strategy over the past 12 months, leading to recognition from both Canalys analysts and channel partners [3]. - To become a leader in the ecosystem, companies must exhibit three key capabilities: providing precise and continuous partner empowerment, lowering entry barriers, and helping partners accumulate practical experience [4][6]. Market Dynamics - The rapid evolution of AI has propelled the Chinese cloud service market into a new phase, reshaping the role of partners from mere executors of market expansion and resource delivery to becoming critical bridges between vendors and customers [3]. - Leading vendors are actively building AI ecosystems and launching various empowerment initiatives, including targeted incentives, joint solutions, and professional training, to help partners excel in the new competitive landscape [3]. Other Vendor Categories - Vendors are categorized into different groups based on their channel strategy and leadership: - Challengers (Contenders) possess advantages in industry leadership and channel strategy - Expanders (Scalers) show strong development momentum but have limited overall leadership - Foundations (Foundation) lag in partner support and channel planning [5]. Long-term Growth Potential - The long-term growth potential of the ecosystem depends on several key factors, including the ability of vendors to conduct sustained and precise empowerment, partners' willingness to invest in sustainable capability building, and the establishment of stable, trust-based cooperative relationships [6][13].
苹果 “Awe dropping” 发布会:硬件创新强势回归
Canalys· 2025-09-16 01:02
Core Viewpoint - Apple's September product launch is not just about releasing new iPhones but represents a clear strategic declaration, focusing on hardware innovation and ecosystem control [1][12] Group 1: iPhone Air - The introduction of iPhone Air marks a significant strategic shift, with Canalys predicting that its shipment volume will nearly double by the second half of 2025 compared to the previous Plus series [3][4] - iPhone Air is not a successor to Plus or mini but a redefinition of Apple's high-end product line, simplifying naming conventions and establishing itself as an independent category [4] - The design of iPhone Air utilizes ultra-thin titanium alloy, pushing engineering limits and serving as a testing ground for future innovations [4] - iPhone Air integrates Apple's self-developed 5G modem and wireless components, enhancing energy efficiency and reducing reliance on suppliers like Qualcomm [4] Group 2: eSIM Adoption - iPhone Air is Apple's first globally launched pure eSIM model, accelerating the industry's shift towards a no-physical-SIM card era [6] - While the U.S. market has fully adopted eSIM since the iPhone 14, other markets still rely on hybrid or physical SIM versions, with China having minimal eSIM penetration due to regulatory caution [6] - The introduction of iPhone Air is expected to drive regulatory changes in China, promoting eSIM adoption as the market for cellular-connected smartwatches grows [6][7] Group 3: IoT Devices and Ecosystem - Apple's strategy emphasizes making iPhones thinner to enhance ecosystem control, facilitating seamless device switching and connectivity experiences [9] - The Apple Watch is positioned as a core component of the ecosystem, with new features enhancing usability and health monitoring capabilities [10] - AirPods are evolving from audio accessories to multifunctional devices, deepening integration within the Apple ecosystem and enhancing user engagement through new health features and real-time translation capabilities [11] Group 4: Market Positioning - Apple's recent product launch reflects a return to its core identity, reclaiming industry leadership through bold hardware innovations and accelerating eSIM transformation [12][13] - The company is responding to market trends, with Canalys forecasting that by the end of 2025, a quarter of smartphones will have AI capabilities, up from 9% last year [13]