Core Viewpoint - The focus on alpha investment opportunities is becoming increasingly important as of late June, with recommendations to accumulate leading companies in core sectors and to pay attention to marginal changes in specific sectors and stocks [2][3]. Group 1: Alpha Investment Opportunities - Continuous emphasis on accumulating leading companies in core sectors to exchange time for space [2]. - Attention should be directed towards sectors and stocks with significant expected differences and marginal changes [2]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The Huawei HDC2025 conference introduced the HarmonyOS 6.0 developer beta version and showcased the HarmonyOS PC operating system, along with the first batch of over 50 Harmony smart devices, indicating a maturing ecosystem that benefits related companies [2]. - The announcement of the cross-border payment link between the People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, set to launch on June 22, is expected to facilitate direct payments between the mainland and Hong Kong, reducing cross-border remittance costs [2].

Core Viewpoint - The focus is on core leaders and marginal changes in the computer industry, emphasizing the importance of certainty in investment strategies as market risk appetite fluctuates towards the end of the half-year [2]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The current position and holding levels in the computer sector are low, suggesting a strategy to invest in core leaders, particularly in AI and domestic sectors [2]. - It is recommended to increase positions in leading AI application segments, as the continuous iteration of large models and algorithmic equality accelerates AI application development [2]. Group 2: Industry Developments - The release of the Doubao 1.6 and the video generation model Seedance1.0 pro at the Volcano Engine Force conference is expected to accelerate the development of multimodal applications [2]. - There is potential for further liquidity easing in the context of global economic changes and the high-quality development of domestic financial markets, alongside opportunities for mergers, restructuring, and innovative businesses [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes increasing allocation in the AI sector, particularly focusing on core leading companies as the overall valuation levels have significantly declined after previous adjustments [2][6] - June is identified as a month with a high success rate for the computer sector, suggesting a favorable time for investment [2] - Recent policies are actively promoting areas such as data elements and connected vehicles, which are expected to benefit the AI industry [2] Group 2 - The global AI technology conference held on June 7-8 showcased advancements in autonomous driving systems by Baidu and the latest model by Alibaba Cloud, indicating rapid deployment of AI across various scenarios [2] - The overseas AI industry is experiencing high prosperity, with core company stock prices resonating with the industry, suggesting a potential acceleration in the domestic AI sector [2] - The recommendation is to increase investment in AI computing power and application leaders during this bottom phase [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the focus on alpha investment opportunities, suggesting to strategically invest in core leading companies while capturing alpha opportunities driven by policy, industry, or individual stock fundamentals [2][4] - The domestic computing power industry is expected to maintain high prosperity, benefiting from both policy and industrial transformation, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issuing new requirements for computing power interconnectivity and standardization [2][4] - The merger of domestic companies Haiguang and Shuguang is anticipated to create a competitive effect, accelerating the concentration of market share towards leading companies in the domestic computing power sector [2][3] Group 2 - There is a heightened sensitivity in the market towards marginal changes in the technology industry, particularly in areas such as autonomous vehicles and stablecoins [3] - Key focus areas include monitoring Tesla's developments in autonomous vehicles and the implementation of logistics vehicles domestically, as well as the significance of Hong Kong's stablecoin regulatory draft as a milestone for the domestic virtual currency industry [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the strategy of accumulating positions in core leading companies during market dips, as the computer sector has seen adjustments, and valuations of some leading companies have become more attractive. The long-term industry trend remains positive, suggesting potential for valuation recovery driven by marginal changes in the industry or individual stocks [2][4] - The promotion of online identity verification and network numbers is accelerating, with a new regulation set to take effect on July 15, 2025, allowing the use of network numbers and online certificates for registration and verification in internet services. This initiative is expected to create new market opportunities across various segments, including product equipment, platform construction, and identity verification [2][4] Group 2 - A detailed follow-up on the online identity verification and network number industry is provided, indicating the start of a new era for digital identity [3][4]

中期展望：掘金阿尔法，聚焦 AI 与国产化 。 1 ）从业绩来看 ： 计算机行业有望结束 2020 年以来的持续下行， 进入到反转通道，下半年将伴随着需求端和费用端剪刀差的进一步显现，业绩增长具有加速潜力。 2 ）从持仓水 平来看： 目前仍处于低配状态且显著低于历史中枢，但已连续两个季度提升，未来进一步提升的空间较大。 3 ） 从月历效应来看： 计算机 5 、 6 月份较 4 月份更友好，而 2 月份超额收益最为显著。 4 ）从投资方向来看： 本 轮板块已上行的最大幅度为 98% 、时间跨度为 8 个月，参考历史上的四轮上行趋势，预计本轮上行仍有进一步 延展空间，但挖掘板块中的阿尔法投资机会将逐渐变得更为重要，建议重点关注人工智能与国产化的投资新机 会。 人工智能：星辰大海，扬帆算法平权新时代 。 1 ）在模型端： 国内外大模型厂商竞赛加剧， DeepSeek 指明了性 能提升的第二路径，带动了国产厂商加速崛起，未来多模态能力持续提升可期，建议关注 科大讯飞。 2 ）在算力 端： 持续高景气，英伟达引领芯片性能不断迭代升级，全球科技巨头加大资本开支，推理算力需求激增，建议关 注 海光信息、紫光股份、中科曙光、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of strategically investing in leading companies within key sectors during market adjustments, particularly focusing on the safety of combined advanced driving assistance systems (ADAS) [2]. Group 1: Policy and Industry Trends - In the second quarter, policies are increasingly being implemented, with the National Bureau of Statistics releasing the "Digital China Construction 2025 Action Plan," which includes initiatives for "Artificial Intelligence +" and other key projects [2]. - Major companies like Tencent and Alibaba have highlighted the empowerment of AI in their recent financial reports, indicating a strong industry trend towards AI integration [2]. - The upcoming Microsoft Build conference is expected to keep AI as a central theme, further driving interest in the sector [2]. Group 2: Advanced Driving Assistance Systems (ADAS) - The regulatory focus on the safety of combined ADAS is intensifying, with new policies being introduced to enhance vehicle safety features [2]. - Following the official release of the eCall strong installation national standard, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published a draft for the technical requirements of the Automatic Emergency Braking System (AEBS) on May 16, extending its applicability from M1 to N1 categories [2]. - The installation of AEBS is anticipated to significantly improve vehicle safety performance and stimulate demand across the related industry chain [2].

点击上方"公众号"可订阅哦！ 兴业证券计算机小组 蒋佳霖/孙乾/杨本鸿/陈鑫/张旭光/杨海盟/桂杨 本周观点聚焦 周观点 继续重点布局 AI 应用及国产化 继续积极布局 AI 应用与国产化。 展望下半年，板块业绩有望持续改善；前期"对等关税"及业绩窗口期带来的风 险偏好下降正不断修复，当前建议积极挖掘阿尔法投资机会，重点布局 AI 应用及国产化。从中短期来看，包括 0519 鸿蒙 PC 正式发布、 0519 微软 Build 开发者大会、 0520 谷歌 I/O 开发者大会将陆续召开，可关注产业边 际变化。 月历效应对 5/6 月份均较友好。 临近半年末，市场出于对常规扰动项的考虑，对加仓具有强风偏属性的计算机板 块有所顾虑。我们统计了 2010 年以来的数据，计算机的月历效应对半年末的时间窗口相对友好。在收益率中值 为正的月份中，按照胜率及收益率中值由大到小综合排序，依次为 2 月、 11 月、 6 月、 10 月、 5 月，其中 5/6 月的胜率分别为 53% 、 60% ，收益率中值分别为 0.03% 、 2.26% 。 持续关注鸿蒙 PC 的产业进展。 华为于 0508 官宣搭载 HarmonyOS5 ...

点击上方"公众号"可订阅哦！ 兴业证券计算机小组 重点布局 AI 应用及国产化。 从细分领域来看，在当前的位置，综合考虑产业本身的迭代催化、后续的政策发力 方向、订单的落地节奏等因素，建议重点布局 AI 及国产化，以及 eCall 及金融科技。其中，上述领域中，从受 业绩影响的维度来看，对 5 月的风险偏好改善相对更敏感的是 AI 应用及国产化；同时考虑到产业的催化密度， 预计 AI 应用将最为核心。 国内 AI 产业持续加速发展。 自 4 月底以来，国内 AI 产业正迎来密集催化。 4 月 25 日，中共中央政治局就加 强人工智能发展和监管进行集体学习； 4 月 28 日，阿里巴巴发布了最新 Qwen3 模型； 4 月 30 日，小米开源 推理大模型 Xiaomi MiMo ，同日 DeepSeek 开源了最新的数学定理证明专用模型 DS-Prover-V2-671B 。后 续，包括 DS-R2 等在内的大模型进展值得期待。 风险提示：板块业绩不达预期；下游需求存在景气度不稳定的风险；科技创新可能带来短期业绩下降。 注：文中报告节选自兴业证券经济与金融研究院已公开发布研究报告，具体报告内容及相关风险提示等详 ...

点击上方"公众号"可订阅哦！ 兴业证券计算机小组 蒋佳霖/孙乾/杨本鸿/陈鑫/张旭光/杨海盟/桂杨 本周观点聚焦 1、本周 观 点： 持续加大板块配置比例，关注 AI 产业变化 2、深度跟 踪 ： AI 应用：巨头逐鹿，加速繁荣 周观点 持续加大板块配置比例，关注 AI 产业变化 加大板块配置比例，布局核心赛道龙头品种。 下周板块将完成 2024 年报及 2025 年 Q1 业绩披露，业绩端的压力释放充分。 5/6 月份是比较好的财报空窗期，叠加板 块前期调整充分，板块有望迎来较好的投资窗口期。同时，目前公募基金的持仓水平仍具备较大提升空间，持续建议加大板块配置比例，把握板块修复行情，重点布局 风险偏好修复预期下，具备较大弹性的主赛道龙头公司。 AI 产业加速发展，布局核心环节头部公司。 近期，国内大厂在 AI 产品层面取得了新的进展，飞猪推出旅行 AI "问一问"，字节跳动发布 AI 协同办公平台"扣子空间"， 百度推出通用超级智能体"心响"。后续伴随大模型持续迭代，其在各类应用场景中的落地有望进一步加速，并催生出大量的具备高价值的 AI 产品，建议持续重点跟踪 AI 产业变化，并积极布局应用、模型、算力等 ...