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张亚勤院士:基础大模型最终不超过10个,十年后机器人比人多 | MEET2026
量子位· 2025-12-11 09:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) towards a new paradigm characterized by the integration of information, physical, and biological intelligence, driven by advancements in large models and the emergence of intelligent agents [2][12]. Group 1: AI Evolution and Key Milestones - The transition from discriminative AI to generative AI is highlighted, with ChatGPT and DeepSeek identified as significant milestones in this evolution [4][10]. - The concept of "intelligent emergence" is introduced, where AI capabilities expand beyond mere pattern recognition to more complex functions as data and computational power increase [3][11]. - The future of AI is envisioned as an "Internet of Intelligent Agents," where foundational large models will serve as operating systems, with a limited number of global players [6][23]. Group 2: Trends in AI Development - Five key trends in AI development are outlined, including the shift from generative AI to intelligent agents, which are expected to replace traditional SaaS and applications [15][30]. - The scaling law's impact on pre-training has slowed, while post-training and inference stages are gaining momentum, with inference costs decreasing significantly [19][23]. - The integration of visual, language, and action models is anticipated, with advancements in autonomous driving and robotics being pivotal areas of growth [20][21]. Group 3: Future Directions and Implications - The article predicts that the next 5-10 years will see the rise of the intelligent agent internet, fundamentally reshaping industry structures and economic models [23][38]. - The role of intelligent agents in various sectors, including healthcare, is emphasized, with the potential for agents to assist professionals rather than replace them [34][31]. - The development of new algorithmic frameworks and memory systems is deemed essential for achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI) within the next 15-20 years [40][42].
量子位编辑作者招聘
量子位· 2025-12-11 06:54
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the ongoing AI boom and invites individuals to join the company "Quantum Bit," which focuses on tracking AI advancements and has established itself as a leading content platform in the industry [1]. Group 1: Job Opportunities - The company is hiring for three main directions: AI Industry, AI Finance, and AI Product, with positions available for both experienced professionals and fresh graduates [2][4]. - Positions are open for various levels, including editors, lead writers, and chief editors, with a focus on matching roles to individual capabilities [6]. Group 2: Job Responsibilities - **AI Industry Direction**: Responsibilities include tracking innovations in infrastructure, such as chips, AI infrastructure, and cloud computing, as well as producing accessible reports on technical conferences and papers [6][7]. - **AI Finance Direction**: Focuses on venture capital, financial reports, and analyzing capital movements within the AI industry, including interviews with investors and entrepreneurs [11]. - **AI Product Direction**: Involves monitoring AI applications and hardware developments, writing in-depth product evaluations, and engaging with product experts [11]. Group 3: Benefits and Work Environment - Employees will have the opportunity to engage with cutting-edge AI technologies, enhance their work efficiency, and build personal influence through original content creation [6]. - The company offers competitive salaries, comprehensive benefits including social insurance, meal allowances, and performance bonuses, and promotes a collaborative and open work culture [6]. Group 4: Company Growth and Reach - By 2025, Quantum Bit aims to have over 2.4 million subscribers on WeChat and more than 7 million users across platforms, with a daily reading volume exceeding 2 million [12]. - The company is recognized as the top new media outlet in the AI and frontier technology sectors according to third-party data platforms [12].
英伟达GPU被SpaceX送上太空!在天上训练卡帕西的NanoGPT
量子位· 2025-12-11 06:54
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the groundbreaking achievement of training and running AI models in space, highlighting the collaboration between companies like Nvidia, SpaceX, and Google, as well as the involvement of former OpenAI co-founder Andrej Karpathy's NanoGPT [2][3][4]. Group 1: Space AI Training - The first AI model training in space was successfully conducted using Nvidia's H100 chip aboard the Starcloud-1 satellite, launched by SpaceX [6][7]. - The AI model Gemma, a large open-source model from Google, was run in space, greeting Earth with a message [9]. - NanoGPT, developed by Andrej Karpathy, was also trained directly in space, marking a significant milestone in AI development [9]. Group 2: Future Plans and Infrastructure - Starcloud aims to build a solar-powered 5GW orbital data center, which is expected to have lower construction and operational costs compared to terrestrial counterparts [10]. - The company plans to launch more Nvidia H100 chips and the Blackwell platform in a satellite mission scheduled for October 2026 [11]. - Starcloud's CEO emphasized the potential of space to overcome energy limitations faced on Earth, suggesting that AI operations can be more efficient in a low Earth orbit environment [12]. Group 3: Global Developments in Space Computing - Chinese research institutions have been exploring space-based intelligent computing since 2019, focusing on key technological advancements [17]. - The China National Space Administration has successfully launched the world's first space computing constellation, achieving regular commercial operations [18]. - The TianSuan Plan aims to establish a superintelligent cluster in near-Earth orbit with a computing power of 10 EOPS, addressing challenges related to radiation and heat dissipation [19].
纯文本驱动视频编辑,清华&华为&中科大实现无需掩码/参考帧就能精准移除/添加对象
量子位· 2025-12-11 06:54
LoVoRA团队 投稿 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 近年来,基于扩散的视频生成模型的最新进展极大地提高了视频编辑的真实感和可控性。然而,文字驱动的视频对象移除添加依然面临巨大挑 战: 不仅需要精准定位目标对象,还要同时保持背景连续性、时序一致性以及语义匹配。 现有大多数方法在推理时必须依赖用户提供的掩码或参考帧来确定编辑区域,这不仅增加了使用门槛,也限制了模型在真实场景中的实用性和 泛化能力。 为了解决上述难题,清华&华为&中科大团队提出 LoVoRA (Learnable Object-aware Localization for Video Object Removal and Addition)——一个真正意义上文本驱动、无需掩码和参考帧的视频对象移除与添加框架。 LoVoRA 能够仅凭文本提示精准定位编辑区域,并进行时序一致、背景自然的视频编辑,无需任何人工掩码或外部控制信号。大量实验和用 户评测表明,LoVoRA 在编辑质量、背景一致性、时序稳定性等指标上均优于现有基线方法。 数据集构建 现有的基于指令的视频编辑数据集,例如InsViE, Ditto, Senoritia, ICVE-SFT等 ...
MEET2026挤爆了,AI圈今年最该听的20+场演讲&对谈都在这
量子位· 2025-12-11 06:54
Core Viewpoint - The MEET2026 Smart Future Conference highlighted the rapid evolution of AI technologies, emphasizing the transition towards generative and reasoning AI, and the emergence of intelligent agents as a pivotal development in the journey towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) [1][5][4]. Group 1: Conference Overview - The MEET2026 conference, hosted by Quantum Bit, attracted nearly 1,500 attendees and over 3.5 million online viewers, showcasing significant interest from industry, academia, and investment circles [8]. - Key themes discussed included the integration of AI across various sectors, the importance of intelligent agents, and the belief that the next phase of AI development is imminent [5][4]. Group 2: Key Insights from Speakers - Zhang Yaqin from Tsinghua University emphasized the shift from discriminative to generative and reasoning AI, predicting that foundational models will consolidate into fewer than ten globally within the next 5-10 years, leading to an "agent internet" era [10]. - Wang Ying from Baidu highlighted the challenges users face with AI products and introduced GenFlow, a framework designed to create a universal intelligent agent that can operate across various scenarios, achieving over 1 million monthly active users [12]. - Wang Zhongyuan from the Beijing Academy of Artificial Intelligence discussed the transition from weak AI to AGI, emphasizing the need for multimodal capabilities in AI models to better understand and interact with the physical world [15]. - Qualcomm's Wan Weixing outlined the evolution of AI from perception to physical AI, focusing on the advancements in edge computing and the integration of multimodal capabilities [19]. - Amazon's Chen Xiaojian discussed the importance of building effective agents that can autonomously perform tasks, highlighting the challenges in transitioning from proof of concept to production deployment [21]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Challenges - The conference underscored the need for collaboration between technology and industry to overcome challenges in data, scenarios, and organizational coordination for AI agents [81]. - The discussions revealed a divide between general-purpose agents and specialized agents, with varying paths for development and deployment [82]. - The importance of user-friendly design in AI products was emphasized, suggesting that lowering barriers to entry is crucial for widespread adoption [93].
仿真数据也能Scaling!虚实结合训练,端到端性能全面提升|中科院x港大x小米汽车
量子位· 2025-12-11 01:33
来自香港大学OpenDriveLab、中科院自动化所、小米汽车的联合团队提出了一种解决方案—— SimScale 。 自动驾驶数据荒怎么破? OpenDriveLab 投稿 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 该方案 通过真实世界仿真生成关键场景,以及真实仿真协同训练策略,首次揭示了自动驾驶仿真数据的规模效应 。 现实世界难以提供足够的关键与长尾场景,采集到的大多是价值有限的常态片段,导致 数据越多、提升越难 。 因此,自动驾驶的瓶颈不在规模,而在缺乏能系统生成关键场景并支撑大规模训练的新路径。 无需更多真实数据, 只靠扩大仿真数量,一样能持续突破任何端到端驾驶模型的性能上限 。 为什么要有SimScale? 因为让大模型屡创新高的Data Scaling,在自动驾驶场景中失灵了—— 为此,SimScale应运而生。 什么是SimScale? SimScale是一个能"无限扩张世界"的仿真生成框架,通过高保真神经渲染,自动制造多样化反应式交通场景与伪专家示范。 它也是一套让仿真与真实"相互增益"的训练策略,使各种端到端模型都能越训越强,鲁棒性与泛化性全面提升。 它还是一份首次系统揭示自动驾驶仿真规模效益的"实践 ...
Meta公开抄阿里Qwen作业,还闭源了...
量子位· 2025-12-11 01:33
Core Insights - Meta is shifting from an open-source strategy to a closed-source model with the upcoming release of a new AI model codenamed "Avocado" [2][10] - The new model will utilize Alibaba's AI, specifically the Qwen model, during its training process, which has caused significant market reactions [4][6] - This strategic pivot marks a significant departure from Meta's previous commitment to open-source development, indicating a potential failure of its earlier approach [11][15] Group 1: Strategic Shift - Meta's new model "Avocado" is expected to be closed-source, representing a 180-degree turn from its previous open-source narrative [3][11] - The decision to adopt a closed-source model is driven by the need to enhance product capabilities and competitiveness in the AI landscape [14][15] - The reliance on third-party models, including Qwen, for training the closed-source model highlights the complexities of the current AI development ecosystem [13][18] Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the new model, Alibaba's stock saw a pre-market increase of 4%, closing with a 2.53% gain, reflecting investor optimism about the collaboration [6] - The market's reaction indicates a recognition of Alibaba's growing influence and success in the AI sector, contrasting with Meta's struggles [9] Group 3: Internal Dynamics - Meta's internal restructuring has intensified following the underperformance of the Llama 4 model, leading to a reduction in open-source discussions and significant layoffs within the FAIR lab [28][30] - The appointment of Alexander Wang as the new Chief AI Officer signifies a shift in leadership and focus towards closed-source AI development [21][32] - The internal conflicts and departures of key figures like Yann LeCun suggest a turbulent transition as Meta navigates its new strategic direction [29][31]
乐奇Rokid这一年,一路狂飙不回头
量子位· 2025-12-10 12:02
梦瑶 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 2025的硬件战场一开局就跑偏到眼镜上,而冲到最前面的,叫 乐奇Rokid 。 据IDC预测,2025年中国智能眼镜出货量预计同比暴涨107%,冲到275万台,手机厂说要重做交互,创业公司跟着一起涌过来,连车企都忍 不住来占个"眼镜位"。 满地都是新品,满眼都是入局者,智能眼镜正从极客玩具变成一门真正的抢手生意,在这场从年初卷到年尾的百镜混战里,有一家创业公司始 终稳稳站在「节奏」的前面。 今年2月, 乐奇Rokid 创始人 祝铭明 一句"发言稿就在我的眼镜里"让乐奇Rokid火爆出圈,之后Rokid Glasses五天售出 4万台 的渠道成 绩、Kickstarter 401万美元 的众筹纪录,像连环重拳一样砸进行业里。 不到一年, 乐奇Rokid 在产品、生态、全球化上的几次关键落子,让智能眼镜这条赛道的节奏和坐标系都悄悄换了版,越来越多厂商开始不 自觉地对齐它的路径。 而 乐奇Rokid 的2025,比这一串数字呈现的故事,更完整,也更耐看。 今年智能眼镜的路子被乐奇Rokid跑明白了 今年看一轮又一轮的智能眼镜新品,会发现行业的重心已经悄悄换了方向 ...
这是2025年度AI十大趋势,4个维度10大结论,“开源AI进入中国时间”
量子位· 2025-12-10 10:54
Core Insights - The report highlights that by 2025, AI will transition from the "tool era" to the "partner era," significantly reshaping economic structures, social forms, and human lifestyles through ten key trends [3][34]. Group 1: Key Trends in AI Development - Trend 1: Computing infrastructure is becoming essential, with skyrocketing demand for data centers, making computing economy the primary engine of the intelligent industry [6]. - Trend 2: AI-native demands are reshaping chip innovation, with GPUs facing challenges and NPU becoming prevalent on the edge, while ASIC/FPGA are experiencing growth [9]. - Trend 3: Pre-training will determine the hierarchy of large models, while architectural innovation will influence pre-training levels, with mixed expert models becoming mainstream [13]. - Trend 4: Large models are entering the "inference time," with demands for inference driving model innovation [15]. - Trend 5: The period of information AI applications and physical AI research is emerging, with embodied intelligence becoming a focal point [18]. Group 2: AI Applications and Market Dynamics - Trend 6: AI is reshaping traffic entry points, transitioning from "people finding services" to "services finding people," with AI agents becoming the next generation of interaction paradigms [22]. - Trend 7: Multi-modal capabilities are key for AI application deployment, enabling systems to process and understand various information types, thus enhancing productivity [24]. - Trend 8: AI hardware is proliferating across devices like PCs, smartphones, and IoT, driven by lightweight models and edge computing technologies [25]. - Trend 9: AI4S is accelerating the realization of AGI, with AI reaching doctoral-level problem-solving capabilities in various fields [28]. - Trend 10: Open-source AI is entering a new phase in China, with the country transitioning from a participant to a leader in the AGI domain [31][33]. Conclusion - The report emphasizes that the AI industry is at a historic turning point, where technology is moving from model competition to scenario integration, and the future of AI involves not just technological iteration but also ecological reconstruction and fundamental changes in production and lifestyle [34][36].
Linux之父:Vibe编程是入门编程的绝佳方式
量子位· 2025-12-10 10:54
Core Viewpoint - The discussion highlights the evolving role of AI in programming, emphasizing that while AI-assisted coding can be beneficial for beginners, it poses challenges for long-term code management and maintenance [3][4]. Group 1: AI and Programming - Linus Torvalds views AI-assisted Vibe programming as an excellent entry point for beginners in coding [3]. - However, he warns that using AI-generated code in real-world applications can lead to difficulties in long-term management and repair [4]. - Torvalds asserts that programmers will not be replaced, as there is a continued need for individuals who understand code maintenance [5]. Group 2: Hardware Preferences - During a conversation about hardware, Torvalds expressed a preference for systems with ECC (Error-Correcting Code) memory, criticizing machines without it [11][19]. - He shared a personal experience where a non-ECC memory issue led to significant troubleshooting time, reinforcing his principle of avoiding machines lacking end-to-end ECC protection [19][21]. Group 3: Productivity Metrics - Torvalds criticized the practice of measuring programmer productivity by the number of lines of code written, suggesting that such metrics are not suitable for tech companies [26][28]. - He emphasized that his current role involves more reading and decision-making regarding code merges rather than writing code [22][23]. Group 4: Relationship with Microsoft - The historical tension between Linus and Microsoft has evolved, with both parties now on amicable terms, largely due to the integration of Linux in Microsoft's cloud services [34][38]. - The shift in Microsoft's approach to open source, especially under CEO Satya Nadella, has led to a collaborative relationship, with Microsoft contributing significantly to the Linux kernel [34][36].