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现在买入银行是49年加入国军吗?
集思录· 2025-07-10 14:01
现在买入银行是49年加入国军吗? Beter 顶多是48年加入国军,离49年还有一年呢。 gobidaozhao 只有1个银行品种,可以大胆买、放心买、满仓买,不需要考虑48、49、50年: 浦发转债!!! lichang1019 上涨是价值回归赶紧买,下跌是分红提高赶紧买,银行赢麻了。 周期为王 哥,我买了两三个月,大清就亡了? 最多亏2.13% 特别提醒:据此操作、输赢责任自负!!! myloue 买银行如果用价值投资和吃股息想法,一定会套个五六年。这几年的涨幅看起来也就一倍, 但是这算其他股票,相当于五六倍。其他明牌股票涨五六倍你敢买吗。 kkqq999 这些问题,价值派是给不了答案的,就算套了,他们也会说:我是买来吃息的,不关心涨 跌,就算跌三五年,我也无所谓。 所以,如果你买入银行股是希望靠上涨赚钱的,应该问技术派。 地理科代表 @白石子999 单从银行本身看,前期涨的太多了,回调正常。但我想的是,未来稳定币出来以 后,会不会冲击或者取代银行的地位? 巴菲特开始清仓美国银行股了。 美国的这个稳定币法案严重利空金融股(银行,支付公司) pppppp 过几周确定破位后,就是国军了; 趋势下行,需要较大的 ...
11日投资提示:兴森科技控股股东拟减持不超1.5%股份
集思录· 2025-07-10 14:01
特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: 佳力转债:下修到底 恒辉转债:强赎 兴森科技:控股股东拟减持不超1.5%公司股份 起帆转债,李子转债,通22转债:不下修 关注集思录微信 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 ...
10日投资提示:牧原股份预计半年度盈利增长1130%至1190%
集思录· 2025-07-09 14:11
志特转债:强赎 友发集团:预计2025年半年度盈利2.77亿至3.07亿,同比增长151.69%至178.93% 福斯特:预计上半年净利润同比减少49.05% 牧原股份:预计2025年半年度盈利102亿至107亿,同比增长1129.97%至1190.26% 锡振转债:7月14日上市 华辰转债,路维转债:【上市】 关注集思录微信 特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 泰福泵业:公司拟现金收购南洋华诚不低于51%股份 漱玉转债,声迅转债,文科转债:不下修 ...
未来一线城市的房子租售比可能到4%吗?
集思录· 2025-07-09 14:11
Core Viewpoint - The rental yield in first-tier cities in China is currently around 1.5% to 2%, significantly lower than the 4% benchmark, suggesting that property prices may need to decrease by 40% to 50% to reach a more sustainable rental yield [1][2]. Group 1: Rental Yield Comparisons - Rental yields in major international cities are higher than those in Chinese first-tier cities, with Tokyo at approximately 5% to 6.9%, New York around 6%, Los Angeles at about 4%, and London at approximately 5% [1]. - Historical rental yields in Shenzhen have decreased from 7% in 2007 to an estimated 1.5% in 2025, indicating a long-term downward trend [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The shift from "agreement transfer" to "public bidding" for land sales in 2004 led to increased land prices, which subsequently drove up property prices, with a 40% increase noted from 2004 to 2006 [4]. - The cultural context in China, where homeownership is prioritized over renting, contributes to a higher demand for purchasing homes compared to renting, resulting in a supply-demand imbalance in the rental market [5][6]. Group 3: Future Projections - If rental yields are to improve, societal acceptance of renting as a viable long-term living arrangement must increase, similar to trends observed in other countries [6]. - The potential introduction of property taxes in China could alter the pricing structure of real estate, leading to further declines in property values and increased rental yields [2].
7月9日投资提示:盟升电子股东拟询价转让3.68%股份
集思录· 2025-07-08 14:54
泉峰转债:强赎 松霖转债,豪美转债:不强赎 盟升电子:股东拟询价转让3.68%公司股份 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 甬金股份:公司实控人取保候审 杭氧转债,奥维转债,天23转债:不下修 广核转债:【申购】 关注集思录微信 特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 正帆科技:拟以现金方式购买汉京半导体62.23%股权 ...
经济差,工作难找,学历一般的孩子怎么办?
集思录· 2025-07-08 14:54
Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by recent graduates in finding employment, highlighting a specific case of a nephew who graduated from a less prestigious university and has not secured a job yet [1] - It emphasizes the importance of self-reliance and the need for young individuals to start working, even in low-paying jobs, to gain experience and skills [4][11] - The narrative includes personal anecdotes about different career paths and the varying success rates of individuals based on their educational background and job choices [6][9] Group 2 - The article suggests that joining the military could be a viable option for young individuals, especially those from difficult backgrounds, as it provides stable income and benefits [2][3] - It outlines the pros and cons of military service, indicating that while it offers financial security, it may not suit those with strong personal ambitions or unique talents [2] - The discussion also touches on the evolving job market, indicating that opportunities have improved compared to previous years, but still require effort and adaptability from job seekers [11][13]
7月8日投资提示:天能重工股东拟询价转让4%股份
集思录· 2025-07-07 12:33
Group 1 - Recent trend of shareholders opting for inquiry-based share reductions instead of direct secondary market sales, indicating a competitive bidding process based on price, quantity, and time priority [1] - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of 2.6 to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 55.62% to 67.59% [1] - Tianeng Heavy Industry's shareholders plan to transfer 4% of the company's shares through inquiry [1] Group 2 - Announcement regarding the Blue Fan convertible bond is pending [1] - Huachen and Luwei convertible bonds are set to be listed on July 10 [1]
十年了,过来人谈谈2015年7月股市的腥风血雨
集思录· 2025-07-07 12:33
不知不觉已经十年了,尤记得2015年7月的股市的腥风血雨。 上证指数从5178点跌下来。 7月4 暂停IPO,打新的钱都已经冻结了,后来退回。 7月6日开始后,连续几天大幅下跌。特别是7月8日,经历几天千股跌停,真是腥风血雨。 十年过去,上证指数还是在3400徘徊。 BeeBeeSee 千股跌停之后的分级B下折的惨况至今印象深刻,那天鸭蛋和丑丑同时发帖提及高铁B,只恨 那会啥都不懂,错失机会。后来抓紧时间学习,可惜机会早已不在。 真是人教人,教不会,事教人,一教就会。那一刻,我就明白了这个坛子的含金量有多高。 梦想会计师 古希腊一位国王,要求智者找出一句人间最有哲理的箴言。这句箴言不仅要浓缩人生的智 慧,而且必须有一语惊人之效:能让人胜不骄,败不馁;得意而不忘形,失意而不失志,始 终保持一种积极向上的平常心态。智者给他的箴言是一句话:"这也会过去!" huxj2015 于2015年6月10日前将整体仓位降到了10%以下。 我比较特殊,在5100点开始融券做空,我的券商当时只有180ETF可融券,吃到整个下跌。 是我交易过程中唯一一次使用融券。 再说一个当时的情况,在大跌的底部,就是总理宣布救市的第二天(我们称 ...
为什么消费刺激不起来
集思录· 2025-07-06 14:02
截至2025年5月底全社会存款326万亿,其中居民存款160万亿,1年期存款利率已经低于 1%。10年期国债收益率早已经低于2%(最新为1.66%)。为什么消费还是起不来? 看看居民存款的结构就明白了: 前10%储户掌握近70%存款,约6亿人存款接近零;存款超50万的群体仅占0.37%。 前20%高净值家庭拥有全国约83%的家庭存款,而底部40%的家庭仅拥有约2.5%的存款。 这还只是人民币存款的情况,还有不少高净值家庭的存款是以其他货币形式存在。 tangyin88 量化投资先锋 @GODSAVEME 贫富差距不够大,比如日本,消费也是起不来。 差距大的,就没这种问题,比如美国,印度。 美国的消费的50%由10%的富人完成,中国前20%只消费了40%。 中国的富人们没消费觉悟,身家亿万的还要把包装盒攒起来卖掉,饮料瓶上的二维码也要扫 掉。 中国的穷人们也没觉悟,十四亿人口的大国居然还要从美国买血,看看美国的穷人们怎么干 的。 还是认识不清, 刺激消费的主要对象应该是谁? 是有钱人还是工薪阶级? 这个问题认清了才能 出政策。 市场经济带来的自然结果就是贫富差距增大, 一没有好的税收制度去调节, 二没有舆 论环 ...
7日投资提示:航天宏图实控人拟转让5.1%股份给百瑞金钩私募
集思录· 2025-07-06 14:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various companies' stock movements, including share transfers and bond adjustments, indicating potential investment opportunities and market trends [1]. Group 1: Share Transfers - Aotewei's controlling shareholder plans to transfer 4.99% of the company's shares [1]. - The controlling shareholder of Yirui Bio intends to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [1]. - The consistent action party of Aerospace Hongtu plans to transfer 5.1% of shares to a private equity fund [1]. - Guolian Aviation's shareholder intends to reduce their holdings by no more than 1% [1]. Group 2: Convertible Bonds - Qilu Convertible Bond is subject to strong redemption [1]. - Qibin Convertible Bond has been adjusted down to the lowest level [1]. - Several convertible bonds, including Tian Nai, Tai 21, Jing Neng, Changqi, Jin Neng, and Oujia, will not undergo adjustments [1]. - Guangneng Convertible Bond is set for subscription on July 9 [1]. Group 3: New Stock Offerings - Huadian New Energy is listed for subscription on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [1]. - Two REITs, Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT (508016) and Chuangjin Hexin Shounong REIT (508039), are available for subscription [1].