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明明是长线投资者却总忍不住看盘,怎么治?
集思录· 2026-01-27 14:05
Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by long-term investors who frequently check market performance, leading to distractions and emotional stress [1][2]. - It highlights the psychological factors contributing to the urge to monitor investments, such as heavy positions, job dissatisfaction, and lack of alternative interests [2][12]. - Suggestions for managing this behavior include adopting a different investment strategy that requires less frequent monitoring [2][9]. Group 2 - The article mentions various strategies and considerations for investors, such as the effectiveness of different asset allocation methods and the impact of market conditions on investment decisions [7][8]. - It raises questions about the long-term viability of investment strategies and the importance of maintaining a balanced portfolio to mitigate risks [7][8]. - The discussion includes the potential benefits of diversifying investments into REITs and commodities, despite the associated risks [7][8].
28日投资提示:维尔利预计2025年亏损3.5亿至2.5亿
集思录· 2026-01-27 14:05
Group 1 - Company Weili expects a full-year loss of 350 million to 250 million in 2025 [1] - Company Shanshi Network Technology anticipates a full-year loss of 220 million to 180 million in 2025 [1] - Company Qiangli New Materials projects a full-year loss of 142 million to 100 million in 2025 [1] - Company Nongda Technology has newly listed shares on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] Group 2 - Convertible bond code 118057 (Jiaoxi Convertible Bond) is not subject to forced redemption [2] - Convertible bond code 127062 (Lezhi Convertible Bond) will not undergo adjustment [2] - Convertible bond code 110089 (Xingfa Convertible Bond) is subject to forced redemption [2] Group 3 - Convertible bond code 113045 (Huanxu Convertible Bond) has a current price of 163.745, with a redemption price of 101.632 and a remaining scale of 0.182 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 113672 (Furong Convertible Bond) has a current price of 136.554, with a redemption price of 100.534 and a remaining scale of 0.024 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 118009 (Huarui Convertible Bond) has a current price of 159.074, with a redemption price of 101.105 and a remaining scale of 0.534 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 123159 (Songsheng Convertible Bond) has a current price of 168.297, with a redemption price of 100.540 and a remaining scale of 0.863 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 118029 (Fumiao Convertible Bond) has a current price of 138.132, with a redemption price of 100.218 and a remaining scale of 1.024 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 127042 (Jiawei Convertible Bond) has a current price of 508.000, with a redemption price of 100.893 and a remaining scale of 1.011 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 118043 (Fuli Convertible Bond) has a current price of 160.044, with a redemption price of 100.397 and a remaining scale of 2.364 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 127039 (Beigang Convertible Bond) has a current price of 135.000, with a redemption price of 101.130 and a remaining scale of 6.203 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 123242 (Sailong Convertible Bond) has a current price of 133.250, with a redemption price of 100.330 and a remaining scale of 1.536 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 127071 (Tianjian Convertible Bond) has a current price of 134.900, with a redemption price of 100.810 and a remaining scale of 4.917 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 123182 (Guanglian Convertible Bond) has a current price of 156.595, with a redemption price of 100.960 and a remaining scale of 6.552 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 111016 (Shentong Convertible Bond) has a current price of 132.137, with a remaining scale of 4.154 billion [4] - Convertible bond code 113639 (Huazheng Convertible Bond) has a current price of 183.222, with a remaining scale of 4.878 billion [4] Group 4 - Convertible bond code 128097 (Aojia Convertible Bond) has a current price of 109.912, with a redemption price of 110.000 and a remaining scale of 4.580 billion [6] - Convertible bond code 128101 (Lianchuang Convertible Bond) has a current price of 122.888, with a redemption price of 110.000 and a remaining scale of 2.978 billion [6] Group 5 - Xingfa Convertible Bond is subject to forced redemption [7] - Yongxi Convertible Bond is not subject to forced redemption [7] - Lezhi Convertible Bond will not undergo adjustment [7] - Convertible bond code 127042 (Naipu Convertible Bond) is set to be listed on January 30 [7]
现在的老登股,有点可转债的味道了?
集思录· 2026-01-26 13:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment potential of certain stocks, particularly focusing on banks and utility companies, suggesting that holding these stocks can provide stable returns over time, especially in a bullish market or during a style rotation [1][16]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Companies like China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, Yangtze Power, and China Mobile are highlighted as potential investments, with the worst-case scenario being the collection of dividends over time [1]. - The current price-to-book (PB) ratio of China Merchants Bank is approximately 0.89, which is historically low, indicating that the opportunity outweighs the risk [3]. - The article suggests that convertible bonds are currently overpriced, and many investors may have forgotten the risks associated with them, as seen in previous years [3][4]. Group 2: Comparisons Between Investment Types - The article contrasts convertible bonds with the mentioned stocks, arguing that the latter lacks investor-friendly features such as buyback options and downwards adjustments [14]. - It is noted that while convertible bonds have protective clauses, many investors are primarily attracted to the potential for price appreciation rather than the guaranteed returns [16]. - The discussion includes the idea that the current low prices of certain stocks may present a buying opportunity, especially as they are core assets that could rebound [16]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Historical Context - The article reflects on past market behaviors, mentioning that sectors like real estate and liquor have faced significant downturns, which raises concerns about the stability of banks [6][7]. - There is a sentiment that the current market conditions may lead to a rotation in asset classes, suggesting that the undervalued stocks could start to gain traction [16]. - The potential for a bullish market or style rotation is emphasized, indicating that these stocks could experience a rebound in value [16].
27日投资提示:龙大转债提议下修
集思录· 2026-01-26 13:19
Group 1 - Jianlong Micro-Nano plans to reduce its shareholding by no more than 2% [1] - Meinuohua expects a full-year profit of 100 million to 123 million in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.69% to 84.11% [1] - Qixiang Tengda anticipates a full-year loss of 660 million to 470 million in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Aojia Convertible Bond and Huahai Convertible Bond will not undergo adjustments [1] - The proposed adjustment for Longda Convertible Bond is scheduled for January 27, 2026 [1] - Various convertible bonds have specific details regarding their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values [4][6]
26日投资提示:双良节能2025年预计亏损10.6亿元到7.8亿元
集思录· 2026-01-25 14:19
Group 1 - Shuangliang Energy is expected to report a net loss of between 1.06 billion to 780 million yuan in 2025 [1] - Oujing Technology has halted production at two subsidiaries to reduce losses [1] - Blue Sky Technology's controlling shareholder plans to transfer 2% of shares through inquiry [1] Group 2 - Zhongchong Co. plans to repurchase shares worth 100 million to 200 million yuan for convertible bond conversion [1] - Yitian Intelligent anticipates a total loss of between 186 million to 152 million yuan for the year 2025 [1] - Wannianqing received administrative regulatory measures from Jiangxi Securities Regulatory Bureau due to information disclosure violations [1] Group 3 - Jiangshan Oupai expects a pre-loss of 180 million to 230 million yuan in 2025 [1] - Hebang Bio received a warning letter due to revenue recognition and information disclosure issues [1] - Huazheng Convertible Bond is subject to forced redemption [1] Group 4 - Daotong Convertible Bond will not be forcibly redeemed [2] - Several convertible bonds including Huazheng, Ta21, and others will not undergo adjustments [2] - Lianrui Convertible Bond is set to be listed on January 28 [1]
汪汪队狂砸,拿大蓝筹的亏惨了?
集思录· 2026-01-25 14:18
现在的统计是,过去5天GJD通过宽基ETF减持了3000亿。已知GJD在2024年增持了 8000~1w亿,这部分持仓估计本轮会减持完毕,那就是还要减持2周。 GJD的总持仓是3w~4w亿,那我们就观察2024年新增的1w亿减持完毕后,是否会继续减 持。我个人认为不会。 岁神 国队也太疯狂了吧一天卖了600多亿的沪深300基金,还有150亿上证50etf,然后砸那些价 值投资股,逼大家玩小票吗,拿着蓝筹就这个后果吗? 资水 @didide 你不懂规则 呵呵,我就说一个问题,救市资金买入的时候除了大蓝筹、银行、50为代表的头部资产谁涨 了还不是跌的暗无天日,这也就是大家抱怨的指数到了3500股票还在2400。现在无非是还债 的啥时候,你看头部以下的资产跌了吗?指数出现暴跌了吗?小盘他有多少筹码呢?因噎废 食不做了?那你卖出呗。 我看你不是研究懂了规则,而是拿着头部资产吃到了救市资金买入的红利,又不愿意背负救 市资金退出的代价,买的时候吃的满嘴是油,卖出的时候亏钱了掀桌子说昏招,买入就是为 了卖出这又有什么问题,如果说卖出是昏招,那昏招根源就是买入。你在买入的时候不会说 这是昏招,因为你知道什么对你有利什么对你不 ...
本周热点:重心转移到投资后心态都变了?
集思录· 2026-01-23 13:24
Group 1 - The article discusses the shift in mindset after focusing on investments, highlighting the emotional and psychological changes investors experience [1] - It raises questions about who is stepping in to support the market as funds withdraw, indicating a concern about market stability [1] - The article mentions the penalties imposed on influential figures manipulating the market, prompting discussions on market integrity [1] Group 2 - The community encourages engagement through discussions on various investment-related topics, emphasizing the importance of shared knowledge [2]
一月份有亏的吗?现在亏了一个点了
集思录· 2026-01-23 13:24
Group 1 - The article discusses the performance of various investments in January, with some investors reporting minor losses while others achieved gains of around 8% [1][5][10] - There is a notable focus on specific sectors, with heavy investments in gold stocks, banking, insurance, and technology stocks, indicating a diverse investment strategy among participants [4][13][15] - Some investors express concerns about market volatility and the potential for significant downturns, suggesting a cautious approach to trading and portfolio management [11][14] Group 2 - Several investors mention their strategies, such as focusing on long-term growth and diversifying across different markets, including A-shares, US, and European stocks [9][7] - The sentiment among investors varies, with some feeling optimistic about the market's potential for recovery, while others remain wary of possible losses [6][12] - There is a trend of investors reflecting on their past performance and adjusting their strategies to balance risk and opportunity, particularly in light of recent market conditions [5][14]
残酷的斩杀线对投资的风险提示
集思录· 2026-01-22 14:11
Core Viewpoint - The article illustrates the unpredictable nature of life through the story of a once-successful individual whose life drastically changed due to an accident, leading to financial and personal turmoil [1][2][3]. Group 1: Personal Circumstances - The individual was a middle-level employee earning an annual salary of 300,000 to 500,000 yuan, living a life envied by peers before a sudden accident changed everything [1]. - The accident resulted in multiple fractures and brain injury, leading to a long and painful recovery process that ultimately affected his ability to work and maintain his previous lifestyle [1]. - After the accident, the individual faced significant challenges, including being dismissed from his job after a few months of social security payments, leading to financial instability [1][2]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The individual had a monthly mortgage payment of over 30,000 yuan, which became a burden after losing his income [2]. - The article highlights the financial strain on families when one income source is lost, particularly in high-income households where both partners contribute significantly [4]. - The narrative suggests that the individual’s financial situation may have had underlying pressures even before the accident, indicating a precarious financial balance [6]. Group 3: Investment Lessons - The story serves as a cautionary tale for investors, emphasizing the importance of not being fully invested and maintaining a buffer for unexpected risks [7]. - It warns against the use of leverage in investments, as borrowing can create financial vulnerabilities [7]. - The article stresses that health and safety are foundational to wealth, and any disruption in these areas can lead to significant financial collapse [7].
1月23日投资提示:很卷
集思录· 2026-01-22 14:11
Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of issuing two new stocks per week on the Beijing Stock Exchange has led to a decline in the performance of new stock offerings, indicating a saturation of speculative funds in the market [1]. Group 1: New Stock Performance - The initial excitement around new stock offerings has diminished, with the combined return from two new stocks this week only reaching 0.08%, similar to the return from a single stock in the past [1]. - Investors have expressed a preference for a single new stock issuance per week, as it simplifies the process and allows for additional interest earnings from reverse repos [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The increase in new stock issuances has resulted in a competitive environment, referred to as "involution," where the profitability of new stock subscriptions is decreasing [1].