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15日投资提示:正川转债下修到底
集思录· 2025-10-14 14:18
Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of recent developments in the convertible bond market, including new issuances and important announcements regarding existing bonds [1][6]. Group 1: New Issuances - Jinlang will be available for subscription on October 17 [1]. - Super Electronics and Taikai Ying are also highlighted as new stock subscriptions on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges and the Beijing Stock Exchange, respectively [1]. Group 2: Important Announcements - The announcement regarding the adjustment of Zhengchuan Convertible Bond was made on October 15, 2025 [1]. Group 3: Convertible Bond Data - A detailed table lists various convertible bonds, including their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stocks [3][5]. - For example, the current price of Jiuzhou Convertible Bond 2 is 123.799, with a strong redemption price of 102.040, and a conversion value of 125.18 [3]. - The remaining scale of Changji Convertible Bond is 4.964 billion, with a conversion value of 126.41 [3].
工资和投资收入比多少才可以考虑全职?
集思录· 2025-10-14 14:18
我有一个朋友。35岁,工作11年,职业到达瓶颈期,国企工作稳定,但无上升通道,因为在 投资上的收益,朋友也并无在职级收入上有追求,深知很多普通工作收入与付出成正相关, 要想得到的多,就要牺牲的多。 但工作中略感无聊,同时上下班各一个小时的地铁通勤时间让人略感疲惫。早上7点出门,晚 上7点到家。工作日基本献身于工作,觉得这样的工作节奏是反人性的,很牛马。 但奈何于一份稳定的马马虎虎的收入和还有人给交社保,所以选择一直苟着。计划未来在某 个时间点辞职躺平,全职投资。 假设我这位朋友通过工作可以获得了全部报酬(货币性及非货币性收入,双边的公积金和双 边都交的的社保)约30W,根据他的年化收入水平,投资收益达到每年多少的时候,可以选 择离职躺平全职投资,或者在什么阶段可以选择全职? 希望有经验的大神给些思路与参考。 补充信息:坐标深圳,有一套小房,且已经想清楚了, 可以接受不再置换大房。朋友爱人收入比他略高,也更稳定,孩子目前一年级读私立小学, 未来也计划读私立高中。小学阶段6年教育支出约30W,初中阶段3年教育支出约30W。 弱小无知 又看到这种话题了,随便扯两句。 结果,发现,大趋势非常消耗时间,主要消耗在信息的 ...
14日投资提示:中国移动广州公司将所持56亿元浦发转债转股
集思录· 2025-10-13 14:18
Group 1 - The article discusses the strong redemption of certain convertible bonds, specifically the "Chengfeng Convertible Bond" and "Niutai Convertible Bond," both set for strong redemption on October 14, 2025 [1] - The "Yanpai Convertible Bond" is noted as not being subject to strong redemption [1] - The company "Qiaoyin Co., Ltd." is under scrutiny due to its subsidiary being listed as an executed person and a dishonest executed person, with three records of dishonesty as of September 27, 2025 [1] Group 2 - The article provides a table of various convertible bonds, detailing their current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stocks [4][6] - For instance, the "Jiuzhou Convertible Bond" has a current price of 123.799, a redemption price of 102.040, and a conversion value of 125.18, with a remaining scale of 0.037 billion [4] - The "浦发转债" (Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Convertible Bond) has a current price of 110.445, a redemption price of 110.000, and a remaining scale of 186.400 billion [6]
投资久了,会不会“认知疲劳”?
集思录· 2025-10-13 14:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the phenomenon of "investment fatigue" among individual investors, highlighting the emotional and mental toll of managing investments alongside other responsibilities [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Fatigue - Individual investors may experience "investment fatigue" after several years of active management, leading to feelings of exhaustion and disinterest in the investment process [1][2]. - Factors contributing to investment fatigue include complex strategies, overwhelming information, busy personal lives, and unsatisfactory investment performance [1][2]. - Some investors choose to simplify their strategies or take breaks when feeling fatigued, while others may feel compelled to continue despite the fatigue [1][2]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - There are two primary investment approaches: event-driven strategies (akin to mining for gold) and growth-oriented strategies (similar to cultivating apple trees) [3]. - The "apple tree" strategy is characterized by simplicity and predictability, allowing investors to manage their portfolios with less frequent oversight [3]. - Long-term holding of well-regarded assets is emphasized as a more effective and less stressful investment approach compared to frequent trading or complex strategies [2][3]. Group 3: Personal Experiences - Many investors report that as they gain experience, their investment returns stabilize while the time and energy they devote to investing decrease [4][5]. - Some investors find that the initial excitement of trading diminishes over time, leading to a more routine and less emotionally charged approach to investing [6][7]. - The psychological impact of losses becomes more pronounced over time, with investors feeling more stressed by drawdowns compared to earlier in their investing careers [8][9]. Group 4: Investment Mindset - Maintaining a comfortable investment zone can help alleviate anxiety and fatigue associated with investing [5]. - The process of learning and accumulating knowledge in investing can be exhausting, but breakthroughs can lead to more effortless and rewarding investment experiences [13]. - For some, investing is viewed as a lifelong hobby, which helps maintain enthusiasm and engagement in the process [12][14].
13日投资提示:闻泰科技147亿资产被冻结,10月13日复牌
集思录· 2025-10-12 14:07
公司于2025 年10月 2 日收到美国食品药品监督管理局(以下简称"FDA")出具的警告信,该警告信基于 FDA 在 2025 年 6 月 9 日至 2025 年 6 月 12 日期间对位于河北省秦皇岛市的公司进行现场检查的结果。针对公司出口至美国市场的医疗器械产品在生产、包装、储 存或安装等方面不符合美国联邦法规 21 CFR Part 820 医疗器械质量体系规范(QS regulation)要求的事项,提出相关检查意见和改进 要求。在该警告信关闭前,FDA 正在采取措施拒绝公司产品进入美国,直至这些违规行为得到解决。 公司 2024 年对美国实现销售收入 11,440.03 万元,占公司同期营业收入比重为 23.84%;2025 年上半年对美国实现销售收入 4,189.03 万元,占公司同期营业收入比重为 19.26%。因此,该事项未来可能会对公司在美国市场的正常经营活动产生一定影响。 易瑞生物:控股股东拟减持不超3%公司股份 博俊科技:控股股东拟减持不超2%公司股份 洛凯转债:强赎 汇通转债:下修到底 禾丰转债:不下修 闻泰科技:147亿半导体资产被荷兰冻结,10月13日复牌 康泰医学:FDA向公司 ...
明天会不会出现4月那样的大跌
集思录· 2025-10-12 14:07
Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that a significant market drop similar to April's is unlikely, emphasizing a deeper understanding of China's political and economic landscape is necessary to interpret current market conditions [1]. Group 1: Market Sentiment - Investors express optimism about the A-share market, with one noting a recent increase in market value since entering the market [2]. - There is a belief that the current situation differs from April 7, with some arguing that the U.S. government shutdown may hinder the execution of tariffs [2][3]. - Various market participants, including those focused on dividends and macroeconomic research, believe that the market will not experience a significant downturn and may even rise [4][5]. Group 2: Sector Perspectives - Different sectors have varying outlooks, with technology stocks expected to attract more funds and not sell off during downturns [6]. - Military and rare earth stocks are anticipated to see a consolidation of funds, while resource stocks are expected to continue rising due to global monetary policies [7][8]. - Consumer sectors, particularly liquor and domestic consumption stocks, are predicted to see a return of funds and significant gains [9]. - Small-cap stocks are expected to benefit from a shift in investment style as large-cap stocks face potential declines [10]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is seen as having absorbed multiple negative news cycles, leading to expectations of a rebound [11]. Group 3: Market Predictions - The overall conclusion is a forecast of a strong market opening and a potential five-day rally [12]. - Some investors predict a minor drop in the Shanghai Composite Index, with expectations that it will not exceed a 100-point decline [14]. - There is a sentiment that while many stocks may drop, certain sectors will see gains, particularly in blood products and software alternatives due to U.S. restrictions [21].
要不要带亲戚投资?
集思录· 2025-10-10 14:16
自从能从投资上赚钱以后,一直有一个念想,就是带着老同学,老朋友一起赚钱,保守点, 一个月5000总能有的,风险也不高。毕竟他们很多人现在只是一个普通的打工人,太不容易 了,五千一万不是小数字了。 可是我知道这事情不会有好的结果,这想法有毒,甚至让亲戚反目成仇,朋友也当不下去 了。因为如果认知跟不上,每一步都牵着拉着,太累了。 可是我时不时就会想这些,放不下。 持有小市值 我在过去十年里有三种带亲戚朋友赚钱的方式,列出来供参考 1.账户买断制。 我出30万对方出10万,用对方账户。如果亏钱了我是他们的三倍,他们也没啥好说的,我的 好处也是能用他们账户打新。 多年下来算上新股基本都是20%左右年化。 双方也都挺满意 的。 3.短期借款 拼多多方式打北交所新股,基本都是我离安全多拿100股差几十万的时候问别人借钱,两天就 还。按中介的价格出价。虽然只有几百块,但对于退休没事干的人来说也不错。 当然,这些都是自己和家人长期信得过的朋友,几十万额度讲清楚后基本不会出现利益纠 葛。 因为这几种方式对双方都是互惠互利的,所以哪怕有点风险(资金和关系上),我也敢冒。 单纯的帮别人赚钱,说实话我不愿意也做不到。 蚁工 没有好下 ...
为啥美股可以一直涨,A股却只能震荡
集思录· 2025-10-09 15:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting nature of the US and A-share markets, highlighting that the US market is a "blood-generating" market while the A-share market is a "blood-letting" market, primarily due to the different regulatory and operational frameworks in place [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In 2022, the US market saw a significant inflow of capital through buybacks and dividends totaling $2 trillion, while only $208 million was raised through IPOs, indicating a stark imbalance in capital inflow and outflow [2]. - The A-share market has experienced a net capital outflow of approximately 1.3 trillion yuan annually from 2018 to 2022 due to various factors such as IPOs, private placements, and management fees, which far exceed the capital generated through dividends [2][3]. Group 2: Regulatory Environment - The regulatory framework in A-shares is designed to facilitate capital raising, with policies that encourage IPOs and other fundraising activities, often at the expense of existing shareholders [3]. - Recent measures introduced by the new leadership aim to address the capital outflow issue by limiting the number of IPOs and enhancing the quality of listings, which has led to a temporary bull market [3]. Group 3: Investment Behavior - The article suggests that the lack of short-selling mechanisms in the A-share market contributes to a predominance of bullish sentiment among investors, leading to market volatility [1][12]. - In contrast, the US market allows for short-selling, which can act as a stabilizing force, enabling investors to profit from declining stocks and thus contributing to a more balanced market environment [1][12]. Group 4: Broader Economic Implications - The article posits that the differences in market structures reflect broader economic ideologies, with the US market benefiting from capitalist principles that promote competition and innovation, while the A-share market is seen as more controlled and less dynamic [10][12]. - The implications of these market dynamics extend to the wealth distribution in both countries, with the US market's performance being closely tied to the fortunes of its large corporations, while the A-share market's structure may exacerbate wealth inequality among retail investors [9][18].
10日投资提示:中环转债复牌
集思录· 2025-10-09 15:02
Group 1 - Zhonghuan Environmental Protection plans to change its controlling shareholder to Beijing Dingyuan, with stock and convertible bonds resuming trading on October 10 [1] - Qiaoyin Co., Ltd. shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 6% of the company's shares [1] - Enjie Convertible Bonds are subject to forced redemption [2] Group 2 - Huati Technology has some bank accounts frozen, with a total of 34,115,009.33 yuan frozen, accounting for 4.10% of the company's latest audited net assets and 16.25% of its latest audited cash [1] - Lichong Group signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Weijing Intelligent for robotics [2] - Shengxun Convertible Bonds will not be adjusted [2] Group 3 - A table of convertible bonds includes details such as current price, redemption price, last trading day, last conversion day, conversion value, remaining scale, and the proportion of convertible bonds to the underlying stock [3][6]
250万能否职业投资养活自己?
集思录· 2025-10-08 14:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the author's financial situation and plans for early retirement (FIRE), highlighting the importance of passive income and investment strategies for achieving financial independence [1][2][19]. Investment Strategy - The author has a total investment account of approximately 2.5 million, with 40% in index funds and 60% in Hong Kong stocks, achieving an annualized return of 8% to 10% [2][4]. - The passive income generated is estimated to be around 200,000 per year, which the author believes can be sustained for at least 10 years [3][4]. Real Estate Situation - The author owns a property purchased early in a prime location, currently valued at around 6.5 million, which has seen a 30% decline from its peak value. The author plans to keep the property and focus on paying off the mortgage [4]. Lifestyle Considerations - The author expresses a desire to leave the corporate job due to feeling capped in career growth and is exploring the FIRE movement as a means to stop working entirely [1][19]. - There is a discussion on the implications of financial independence on personal relationships, particularly marriage, suggesting that financial stability can alleviate concerns about finding a partner [18]. Community Insights - Various community members share their experiences and opinions on the feasibility of living off investments, with some suggesting that a smaller capital base can be sufficient if investment skills are strong [7][20]. - The importance of having a clear understanding of annual expenses and ensuring that investment returns can cover these expenses is emphasized as a fundamental principle of the FIRE movement [19].