1、Legion和海妖联合打新--YB公售信息：https://t.co/wBMBathYJ1募资规模：500万 USDC网络：ETH 主网FDV：2亿美元解锁：TGE 时 100% 解锁海妖的第一个项目可以搞KYC参与下 第一个项目 肉还是很香的2、https://t.co/dz3FolUpKDkaito这个项目强烈建议参与一下base 官方支持 coinbase也支持了有可能复制avnt的路线 ...

Core Viewpoint - The excitement and anxiety of investors who successfully subscribed to the new stock YouSheng Co. (友升股份) before its listing, focusing on the critical moment of selling on the first trading day [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - YouSheng Co. opened at 90.02 yuan, a significant increase of 94.18% from the issue price of 46.36 yuan, leading to a potential profit of 21,830 yuan for investors who sold at the opening [2][4]. - The stock price peaked at 92 yuan shortly after opening but then experienced a decline, closing at 79.50 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 15.35 billion yuan and a dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of 34.65 times [4]. Group 2: Subscription and Abandonment - A total of 31,799,400 shares were subscribed by online investors, while 191,500 shares were abandoned, amounting to 8.8822 million yuan in unclaimed funds [4]. - The high abandonment rate surprised many investors, especially given the current trend of new stocks not typically experiencing a drop below the issue price on the first day [5]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Investors who received a subscription were filled with anticipation and anxiety regarding the optimal selling price, reflecting a psychological and timing challenge in the trading process [2][3]. - The high issue price of 23,180 yuan for 500 shares may have deterred some cautious investors from participating, leading to missed opportunities for those who did not subscribe [5].

Company Overview - The company operates as a national high-value medical device distributor, primarily engaged in direct sales and distribution of medical devices, and provides centralized operation services for medical consumables to end hospitals [5]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2022 was 118.82 billion, projected to increase to 154.43 billion in 2023 and 179.23 billion in 2024 [6]. - Net profit for 2022 was 1.89 billion, expected to rise to 2.27 billion in 2023 and 2.74 billion in 2024 [6]. - Cash flow from operating activities was -1.75 billion in 2022, improving to -1.05 billion in 2023, and projected to be 0.46 billion in 2024 [6]. Industry Context - The company plays a crucial role in the medical device supply chain, linking manufacturers, distributors, and healthcare institutions [5]. - The high-value medical device market is expanding, driven by improvements in national healthcare insurance coverage and increasing public demand for higher quality medical services [11]. SWOT Analysis - Strengths include a vertically integrated management system and a unified business system for medical device distribution, enhancing operational efficiency [11]. - Opportunities arise from the growing market for high-value medical devices and supportive government policies promoting industry development [11][12]. - Weaknesses include a gap in management and operational standards compared to international peers, as well as high operational costs and significant capital requirements [12].

Group 1: New IPOs - This week (September 15 to 19), there are 5 new stocks available for subscription, including 1 from the Shenzhen Main Board, 3 from the ChiNext, and 1 from the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] - The ChiNext new stock, United Power, has an issue price of 12.48 CNY per share and a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.87, compared to the industry average of 28.3 [2] - United Power is a leading enterprise in the new energy vehicle power system, operating independently within the Inovance Technology system since 2016, and plans to raise 3.601 billion CNY through its IPO [2] - Another ChiNext new stock, Jianfa Zhixin, focuses on high-value medical device distribution and plans to raise 484 million CNY [3] - The Shenzhen Main Board new stock, Ruili Kemi, specializes in active safety systems for vehicles and aims to raise funds for various projects [3] - The ChiNext new stock, Yunhan Xincheng, is an innovative high-tech enterprise in electronic component distribution, planning to raise 522 million CNY [4] Group 2: Upcoming IPO Meetings - Three companies are scheduled for IPO meetings this week: Yuxun Co. for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, Xin Guoyi for the ChiNext, and Yuanchuang Co. for the Shenzhen Main Board [5] - Yuxun Co. is a national champion in the optical communication field, focusing on the development and sales of optical communication chips, with an IPO fundraising target of 889 million CNY [6] - Xin Guoyi specializes in high-performance specialty functional materials, aiming to raise 638 million CNY through its IPO [6] - Yuanchuang Co. is a leading player in the rubber track industry, with a significant market share and plans to raise 485 million CNY [7]

kaito打新的兄弟们注意点上面目前项目目前都是只吞精不TGETGE时间完全是未知的一个月？三个月？半年？ ...

- The report primarily focuses on IPO performance in August 2025, highlighting that the A-share market saw 8 new listings with a total fundraising amount of 40.93 billion yuan, a significant month-on-month decline in fundraising scale[3][10][18] - The average first-day increase for new IPOs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 272.76%, with no cases of breaking below the issue price, driven by low issuance PE ratios and the scarcity of new listings[3][14][18] - The report emphasizes the importance of "entry" strategies, recommending participation in low-priced, small-cap IPOs with high first-day increase potential, as well as large-cap IPOs with significant offline allocation[3][19][22]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant performance of new stocks in the market this year, with an average first-day increase of 240% for 67 new stocks listed in the first eight months, and no stocks experiencing a decline on their debut [1][2] - Among the 67 new stocks, 60 had a first-day increase exceeding 100%, with 40 surpassing 200%, and 19 exceeding 300%, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market [1][3] - The top three performing new stocks based on first-day increase were Jiangnan New Materials (603124) at 606.83%, Guangxin Technology at 500.00%, and Dingjia Precision at 479.12% [1] Group 2 - The profitability of new stocks on their first day is notable, with 49 out of 55 new stocks yielding over 10,000 yuan per share, resulting in a "ten-thousand yuan meat sign rate" of 89.09% [2] - The highest single-sign profit was recorded at 64,900 yuan for Ying Shi Innovation, followed by Hongjing Optoelectronics at 59,100 yuan and Tongyu New Materials at 53,800 yuan [2] - The average turnover rate for the 67 new stocks was 79.44%, with 36 stocks exceeding an 80% turnover rate, indicating a high level of trading activity on the first day [3] Group 3 - The average increase since listing for the 67 new stocks is 238.17%, with some stocks, like Xingtou Measurement and Control, experiencing cumulative increases exceeding 10 times their initial price [3] - A senior private equity executive noted that the relatively low valuation of new stock issuances this year, combined with speculative trading by large investors, has led to significant price surges, although caution is advised against chasing high valuations [3]

IPO Market Overview - In August, the A-share IPO market saw 11 companies pass the initial review, marking the highest monthly number since February 2024 [1][2] - A total of 6 companies had their IPOs terminated in August, maintaining a relatively low level [1][4] - Among the 11 companies that passed the review, 9 were approved, while one was deferred and another canceled [2] Company-Specific Insights - Tai Jin New Energy, which focuses on high-end green electrolysis equipment, faced inquiries regarding potential performance declines and extended product acceptance periods [2][3] - The average acceptance period for Tai Jin's products increased from 7-12 months in 2022-2023 to over 1 year in 2024 due to industry changes [3] - Longjin Photon and Lianxun Instruments were newly accepted for IPO, with projected revenues showing growth from 2022 to 2025 [6] Market Trends - The Hong Kong IPO market was highlighted in August, with 40 companies submitting applications, a significant increase from 21 in July [1][7] - A total of 25 A-share companies announced plans to list in Hong Kong, setting a new monthly record for 2025 [8] - In the Hong Kong market, 6 companies successfully listed in August, with notable first-day gains for several, indicating a strong "new share" market performance [8]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: IPO Return Estimation Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model estimates the returns of IPO investments by considering account size, subscription limits, winning rates, and IPO yield rates[47] - **Model Construction Process**: The model calculates the IPO return for a single account using the formula: $ \text{Single Account IPO Return} = \min(\text{Account Size}, \text{Subscription Limit}) \times \text{Winning Rate} \times \text{Yield Rate} $ For full subscription scenarios, the formula is: $ \text{Full Subscription Return} = \text{Subscription Limit} \times \text{Winning Rate} \times \text{Yield Rate} $ - Winning rate is based on actual IPO results - Yield rate is determined by the price difference between the IPO price and the first trading day price for registration-based IPOs, or the price difference on the opening day for non-registration-based IPOs[47] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a structured approach to estimate IPO returns under different scenarios, but it relies on historical data and assumptions, which may introduce subjectivity[47][72] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. IPO Return Estimation Model - **Main Board**: - August 2025: A-class return rate: 0.014%, C-class return rate: 0.013%[48] - Full subscription return: A-class: 6.8 million yuan, C-class: 6.4 million yuan[57] - **ChiNext Board**: - August 2025: A-class return rate: 0.066%, C-class return rate: 0.064%[48] - Full subscription return: A-class: 33.2 million yuan, C-class: 32.1 million yuan[57] - **Cumulative 2025 Returns**: - A-class: 1.134%, C-class: 1.035%[54] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Winning Rate Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the probability of winning IPO shares based on investor category and market conditions[30][31] - **Factor Construction Process**: Winning rates are calculated as the ratio of successful allocations to total applications, segmented by investor categories (A-class and C-class) and market boards (Main Board, ChiNext, etc.)[30][31] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures the allocation efficiency and competitiveness of different investor categories in IPOs[30][31] 2. Factor Name: Yield Rate Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: Represents the profitability of IPO investments based on the price difference between the IPO price and the trading price[47] - **Factor Construction Process**: Yield rate is calculated as: $ \text{Yield Rate} = \frac{\text{Trading Price} - \text{IPO Price}}{\text{IPO Price}} $ - For registration-based IPOs, the trading price is the average price on the first trading day - For non-registration-based IPOs, the trading price is the average price on the opening day[47] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor provides a direct measure of IPO profitability but may be influenced by market volatility and external factors[47] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Winning Rate Factor - **Main Board**: - A-class: 0.12‰, C-class: 0.12‰[30] - **ChiNext Board**: - A-class: 0.25‰, C-class: 0.24‰[30] 2. Yield Rate Factor - **Main Board**: - August 2025: 140.68%[23] - **ChiNext Board**: - August 2025: 302.58%[23]

对很多人来说，KYC 是门槛，多号是门槛，理财那点年化和打新的几个点利润看不上，最大的爱好是去合约 50x 赌大小和九神观点一样，市场上目前确实大大小小的机会不少，这些理财打新都可以勤参与积攒本金列举了一下近期的一些参与项目https://t.co/xh6crE7t4iYuyue (@yuyue_chris):@nine_DeFi 理财看不上的，大部分是因为懒，不想搞号，觉得 kyc 和多号就是阻拦了自己。其实是懒阻拦了自己发财，不是什么门槛 ...