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6日投资提示:浙矿股份拟4.06亿元收购哈萨克斯坦铅银矿
集思录· 2026-01-05 13:44
Group 1 - Zhejiang Mining Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 100% equity of Alaigyr Company in Kazakhstan for approximately 406 million RMB, which includes a cash payment of about 4.8853 million RMB and shareholder loans amounting to approximately 40.1564 million RMB [1] - The acquisition price will be finalized based on subsequent audits, evaluations, and the financial condition of the target company's balance sheet on the closing date [1] - Alaigyr Company holds a core asset, which is a lead-silver mine located in the Karaganda region of Kazakhstan [1] Group 2 - Shandong Zhanggu expects a net profit of 72 million to 80 million RMB for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.65% to 11.83% [2] - Various convertible bonds are listed with their respective details, including current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, and conversion values [4][6] - Hengyi Petrochemical's controlling shareholder has raised the upper limit of its share buyback plan to 15 RMB [8]
5日投资提示:山东章鼓被立案调查
集思录· 2026-01-04 13:57
Group 1 - Shandong Zhanggu is under investigation for suspected violations in the disclosure of financial information in periodic reports [1] - Luxshare Precision plans to repurchase company shares worth between 1 billion to 2 billion yuan [1] - Yanggu Huatai has terminated the issuance of shares to acquire 99.64% of Bomi Technology [1] Group 2 - The following convertible bonds have announced no adjustments: Liuyao Convertible Bond and Tianneng Convertible Bond [2] - Liuyao Convertible Bond has a current price of 107.893, with a redemption price of 108.000, and the last trading day is set for January 12, 2026 [6] - Tianneng Convertible Bond has a current price of 132.529, with a redemption price of 101.118, and the last trading day is set for January 13, 2026 [4]
保安哥的2025年:劫后余生又新高
集思录· 2026-01-04 13:57
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the volatile journey of an investor over the years, highlighting the impact of leverage on investment outcomes and the emotional toll of market fluctuations. It emphasizes the importance of risk management and the lessons learned from both gains and losses in the stock market. Financial Performance Summary - The investor experienced significant fluctuations in annual returns, with a peak return of 116% in 2017 and a low of -50% in 2018. The overall trend shows a recovery in 2024 with an expected return of 85% [2]. - The net worth fluctuated dramatically, reaching a high of 340 million by 2025 after starting from a low of 7 million in 2023 [2]. Investment Strategy and Experience - The investor began using leverage in 2016, maintaining positions above 100% thereafter. This led to substantial gains in 2017 but also resulted in significant losses in subsequent years, particularly in 2018 and 2022 [3][4]. - The experience of losing half of the capital in 2018 was a turning point, leading to a deeper understanding of market risks and the emotional challenges of trading [3][4]. - The investor's strategy evolved to include higher leverage, with positions exceeding 300% in 2019, which contributed to rapid capital growth but also increased risk exposure [4][5]. Emotional and Psychological Aspects - The investor describes a shift in mindset from confidence to fear during market downturns, particularly after experiencing significant losses. This change reflects a deeper awareness of market unpredictability [5][6]. - The emotional burden of managing both market risks and personal financial pressures is highlighted, with the investor choosing to shield family members from the full extent of financial struggles [13][14]. Current Holdings and Market Outlook - The current portfolio includes major stocks such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, SF Express, and Gree Electric, with a total position size of 75% [7]. - The investor expresses a cautious approach moving forward, focusing on large-cap stocks to mitigate risk while acknowledging the potential for lower returns compared to previous high-leverage strategies [6][20].
大家今年赚钱了准备干点啥?
集思录· 2025-12-31 13:28
Group 1 - The stock market has seen significant gains this year, particularly in precious metals, leading many investors to profit [1] - Some individuals are focusing on personal well-being and outdoor activities, indicating a shift in priorities beyond just financial gains [2] - There is a growing interest in amateur scientific exploration, with individuals investing time in reading and participating in scientific activities for personal enjoyment rather than profit [3] Group 2 - Some investors are planning to allocate funds for family activities and gifts, such as vacations and luxury items, reflecting a balance between spending and saving [7][12] - There is a sentiment of caution among investors regarding future spending, with some choosing to save more and limit expenditures due to market uncertainties [9][14] - The emotional aspect of investing is highlighted, with some individuals expressing a desire to continue engaging in the market for the thrill it provides, despite potential risks [13]
新年快乐!
集思录· 2025-12-31 13:28
Market Performance Summary - The article provides a detailed overview of the performance of various stock indices in 2023, highlighting significant year-to-date gains for several indices, such as the ChiNext Index with a 49.57% increase and the Sci-Tech Innovation Index with a 46.30% increase [1]. - The article notes a general trend of declining volatility and growth in the market since September, suggesting a shift towards a slow bull market [1]. Index Performance Breakdown - The ChiNext Index (399006) is currently at 3203.17, with a year-to-date increase of 49.57% [1]. - The Sci-Tech Innovation Index (000680) stands at 1636.70, reflecting a 46.30% increase year-to-date [1]. - The Northbound 50 Index (899050) has a year-to-date increase of 38.80%, currently priced at 1440.43 [1]. - The CSI 2000 Index (932000) shows a year-to-date increase of 36.42%, priced at 3203.23 [1]. - The overall performance of major indices indicates a strong recovery in the market, with many indices showing double-digit percentage increases year-to-date [1].
31日投资提示:瑞华泰股东拟减持不超1%股份
集思录· 2025-12-30 14:05
Group 1 - The company Proya plans to repurchase shares worth between 800 million to 1.5 billion yuan [1] - The major shareholder of Ruihua Tai, Guotou Gaoke, intends to reduce its stake by no more than 1% [1] - The convertible bond "Yingte Convertible Bond" is subject to forced redemption [2] Group 2 - Blue Sail Medical intends to transfer 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Wuhan Bikaier [1] - Several convertible bonds have been listed, including Dingjie Convertible Bond and Tianzhun Convertible Bond [1] - New shares of Hengtong Guang have been listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] Group 3 - The current price and redemption price of various convertible bonds are detailed, with specific dates for the last trading and conversion days [4][6]
2025年收益很高,是我的大航海时代
集思录· 2025-12-30 14:05
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significance of AI in investment strategies, particularly highlighting the advantages of Deepseek in understanding the Chinese market and enhancing investment returns [2][3]. Group 1: AI and Investment Strategies - Deepseek is recognized as a pivotal development in China's AI sector, providing insights that align closely with the A-share market, unlike foreign AI tools [2]. - The use of AI has led to a substantial increase in investment returns, with a notable contribution from quantitative strategies and options trading [2][3]. - The author suggests that maintaining a humble and inquisitive mindset while using AI tools can significantly enhance investment outcomes [2]. Group 2: Risk Management and Strategy Optimization - The article discusses the importance of cognitive improvement in recognizing market opportunities, emphasizing that understanding and knowledge are crucial for long-term success [3]. - It advocates for a shift from additive to subtractive strategies in investment, focusing on optimizing high-quality strategies while eliminating less effective ones [4]. - The combination of arbitrage and equity strategies is suggested to enhance overall investment performance, as they complement each other in terms of frequency and potential returns [3]. Group 3: Personal Development and Learning - The author reflects on the importance of continuous learning and adapting strategies, even in unfamiliar areas, to foster growth and understanding [7]. - There is an emphasis on the value of learning from others and recognizing expertise, particularly in unfamiliar fields, to enhance investment knowledge [7]. - Future research directions include expanding into international political economy and cultural conflicts to gain a broader perspective [7].
30日投资提示:万孚转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-12-29 14:22
Group 1 - Wanfu Convertible Bond proposes a down adjustment [1] - Hongtu Convertible Bond adjusts but does not lower the adjustment period [1] - Oulutong's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 1.91% of the company's shares [1] - Unisplendour plans to acquire shares of Ruineng Semiconductor, leading to a stock suspension [1] Group 2 - Hongchuan Convertible Bond announced a down adjustment [2] - Hongtu Convertible Bond will not lower the adjustment period [2] - Wanfu Convertible Bond proposes a down adjustment [2] - Baolai Convertible Bond will not undergo a down adjustment [2] Group 3 - Various convertible bonds listed with current prices, redemption prices, last trading dates, last conversion dates, conversion values, remaining scales, and the proportion of convertible bonds to underlying stocks [4][6] - For example, Yingbo Convertible Bond has a current price of 142.440, a redemption price of 100.100, and a conversion value of 142.56 with a remaining scale of 1.103 billion [4] - Liuyao Convertible Bond has a current price of 107.862, a redemption price of 108.000, and a conversion value of 83.85 with a remaining scale of 8.017 billion [6] Group 4 - Quick query highlights include Hongchuan Convertible Bond's adjustment not reaching the bottom and Baolai Convertible Bond not undergoing a down adjustment [8]
北京房价加速下跌啊
集思录· 2025-12-29 14:22
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in real estate prices in major cities like Beijing, highlighting a shift in buyer psychology and investment logic in the real estate market [1][5][10]. Group 1: Real Estate Price Trends - In Beijing's Haidian district, the transaction price for a specific property type dropped to 750,000, down from 968,000 six months prior, indicating a substantial decline [1]. - The article notes that while previously, real estate was seen as a guaranteed investment, the current market reflects a shift where prices are not expected to rebound quickly, and the investment logic has changed from growth to value [10][9]. Group 2: Buyer Sentiment and Behavior - There is a noticeable shift in buyer sentiment, with many individuals now opting for full cash purchases rather than relying on loans due to job instability and economic uncertainty [5][6]. - The article mentions that the perception of real estate as a secure investment has diminished, leading to a decrease in interest in purchasing properties, especially in first and second-tier cities [4][3]. Group 3: Economic and Policy Context - The article outlines a broader economic context where the government is shifting its focus away from real estate investment, indicating a change in national strategy towards infrastructure and new industries [13][14]. - It highlights that the funding for real estate development has decreased significantly, with projections showing a decline in investment from 15.4 trillion in the 14th Five-Year Plan to an estimated 8-10 trillion in the 15th Five-Year Plan [16].
海南自贸港封关,普通人有啥薅羊毛的机会?
集思录· 2025-12-28 13:54
"离岛免税"政策升级,丰富了大家的购物选择、增加了免税额度。个人有啥薅羊毛的机会? 面上的不要谈,政策宣传大家都知道,要具体到某物件或某服务,知恨晚的报上来。 crazyer124 免税店的商品没有什么价格优势,以iPhone17为例,当前海南免税店只有中免才有货,甚至 才有这个品种,以iPhone Pro Max 256G为例(因为刚入手一台),当前官方定价是9999 元,官方活动价是9699元,所以市场上也基本上是9699元。免税店是9299元,但是拼多多 百亿补贴是8999元包邮到家。香港港版的价格在7600元左右,我不知道免税店有啥优势。 当初去海南旅游的时候也去了三亚免税城,无论看到哪个商品随便一比价都无法和电商的价 格比。 海南这个地方,发展这么多年还是一样的农村,各届政府想了很多点子都没有搞起来。讲 真,三亚那个地方一点性价比都没有,比出国旅游还贵,服务还差,这怎么可能搞起来?简 单一点,有多少人才愿意去那里发展?北上广深不香吗? Horatio 上去三亚过周末,逛了趟海棠湾那个免税店,感觉没有任何便宜可捡。 iPhone比官网便宜小几百,算上常规的一些优惠券能便宜大几百,但相比pdd没什么优势 ...