Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of $317.60, representing a potential upside of 24.57% from the current closing price [12][14]. Core Insights - Coinbase Global, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the U.S., reported Q1 2024 revenue of $1.64 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.34 billion, and achieved a net profit of $1.18 billion, a significant turnaround from a loss of $78.9 million in the same period last year [12][20]. - The revenue is primarily derived from trading, subscription, and service fees, with trading revenue accounting for 65.8% of total revenue, driven by increased market volatility, rising cryptocurrency prices, and a growing user base [12][31]. - The approval of Bitcoin ETFs is highlighted as a significant milestone that could enhance liquidity, expand the user base, and increase market recognition for cryptocurrency exchanges [12][75]. Company Overview - Coinbase was founded in June 2012 and became the first publicly traded cryptocurrency exchange on NASDAQ on April 14, 2021 [12][20]. - The company has a diverse management team with extensive experience in the industry, which is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge [12][30][51]. Financial Analysis - Historical financial data shows a significant recovery, with projected total revenue for 2024 expected to reach $6.41 billion, a 106.28% increase from the previous year [12][15]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2024 was reported at $1.01 billion, marking a substantial improvement from the previous year's loss [12][20]. Revenue Composition - The revenue structure consists of trading fees (65.8%), subscription services (31.2%), and other income (3.0%), with notable year-over-year growth rates of 187% for trading fees and 41% for subscription services [12][31][53]. Market Position - Coinbase's market position is reinforced by its ability to attract significant institutional investors, with major shareholders including Vanguard Group (6.89%) and Susquehanna International Group (5.06%) [12][14][46]. - The cryptocurrency market is characterized by rapid growth, with Bitcoin and Ethereum dominating the market share, accounting for over 50% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization [12][83].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Coinbase with a target price of $317.60, representing a potential upside of 24.57% from the current closing price [1][6]. Core Insights - Coinbase, founded in June 2012, is the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the U.S. and the first publicly listed cryptocurrency exchange globally, having gone public on NASDAQ on April 14, 2021 [1][4]. - The company reported Q1 2024 total revenue of $1.64 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.34 billion, and achieved a net profit of $1.18 billion, a significant turnaround from a loss of $78.9 million in the same period last year [1][4]. - Revenue is primarily derived from trading, subscription, and service income, with respective contributions of 65.8%, 31.2%, and 3.0% in Q1 2024 [1][30]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Coinbase provides a range of services including storage, trading, investment, payment, and transfer of cryptocurrencies, and has expanded its operations internationally [4][34]. - The company has attracted significant institutional investment, indicating strong market recognition and confidence in its business model [11][28]. Revenue Composition - The revenue growth is attributed to increased market volatility, rising cryptocurrency prices, user base expansion, and the active Base ecosystem [1][45]. - The report highlights that trading revenue surged due to heightened trading activity driven by market conditions and user engagement [1][45]. Financial Analysis - The financial outlook for Coinbase shows a projected revenue of $6.41 billion for 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 106.28% [7]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2024 was reported at $1.01 billion, marking a significant recovery from previous losses [1][7]. Market Dynamics - The approval of Bitcoin ETFs is seen as a pivotal milestone that enhances liquidity, broadens the user base, and increases market recognition for cryptocurrency exchanges [1][63]. - The competitive landscape is dominated by a few major exchanges, with Binance leading in global influence and trading volume [1][64]. Management Team - Coinbase's management team is noted for its extensive experience and industry insight, which has been crucial for navigating the competitive cryptocurrency market [28][41]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth for Coinbase as it aims to become a decentralized super application, offering a wide range of services including social, communication, and DeFi interfaces [27][34].

第一上海或其一家或多家关联公司可能或已经，就本报告所载信息、评论或投资策略，发布不一 致或得出不同结论的其他报告或观点。 信息、意见和估计均按"现况"提供，不提供任何形式的 保证，并可随时更改，恕不另行通知。 - 4 - 本报告不可对加拿大、日本、美国地区及美国国籍人士发放 第一上海并不是美国一九三四年修订的证券法(「一九三四年证券法」)或其他有关的美国州政府 法例下的注册经纪-交易商。此外，第一上海亦不是美国一九四零年修订的投资顾问法(下简称为 「投资顾问法」，「投资顾问法」及「一九三四年证券法」一起简称为「有关法例」)或其他有关的 美国州政府法例下的注册投资顾问。在没有获得有关法例特别豁免的情况下，任何由第一上海提 供的经纪及投资顾问服务，包括(但不限于)在此档内陈述的内容，皆没有意图提供给美国人。此 档及其复印本均不可传送或被带往美国、在美国分发或提供给美国人。 在若干国家或司法管辖区，分发、发行或使用本报告可能会抵触当地法律、规定或其他注册/发牌 的规例。本报告不是旨在向该等国家或司法管辖区的任何人或单位分发或由其使用。 ©2024 第一上海证券有限公司 版权所有。保留一切权利 宏观经济评论 第一上海 ...

第一上海研究部 公司評論 research@firstshanghai.co m.hk 2024年6月11日 星期二 【公司評論】 特斯拉（TSLA）：週報 李京霖 852-25321957 特斯拉 FSD v12.4.1開始向部分客戶推出 Jinglin.li@firstshanghai.com.hk 特斯拉已開始向部分客戶推出全自動駕駛 (FSD) 監督 v12.4.1，該版本的特色是 李倩 消除了方向盤監督，而是更多地依靠車艙攝像頭駕駛員監控系統來確認駕駛員的注 852-25321539 意力。馬斯克還表示新版本有大量變化，有理由改名為 v13；還表示未來版本（包 Chuck.li@firstshanghai.com.hk 括 12.5 和 12.6）最終可能會被認定為 v14 和 v15；同時表示，在某些已知的B 陳曉霞 UG得到修復之後，可以達到需要一年多駕駛時間才需要一次人工干預。 852-25321956 xx.chen@firstshanghai.com.hk 里程碑：德州超級工廠生產出第 5000 萬個 4680 電池 特斯拉德州超級工廠本周生產出了第 5000 萬個 4680 電池單元。此 ...

美團-W（3690） 更新報告 為美團未來的利潤貢獻將會得到進一步釋放，新業務的 ROI 逐步提升，結合目前 港股互聯網企業普遍估值在 10-15 倍區間，分別給予美團外賣和到店酒旅業務 24 年扣稅利潤的 23 倍和 15 倍 PE 估值，得出 135 港元目標價，維持買入評級。 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------------|-----------|-------| | 盈利摘要 \n截至12月31日止财政年度 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 股價表現 \n160 | | | | 总营业收入（人民币百万元） | 219,955 | 276,745 | 326,097 | 384,337 | 447,000 | 140 120 | | | | 变动(%) | 22.8% | 25.8 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 8.12 HKD, representing a potential upside of 58.3% from the current price of 5.13 HKD [2][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in 2023 with total revenue of 20.28 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and a net profit of 1.93 billion RMB, up 15.9% [1]. - The first quarter of 2024 showed a decline in revenue to 5.13 billion RMB, down 5.7% year-on-year, primarily due to the coal industry's downturn affecting the mining equipment segment [1]. - The company continues to enhance its core product competitiveness and market share, particularly in the mining equipment and logistics equipment sectors [1]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the mining equipment segment generated revenue of 11.8 billion RMB, a 19% increase, with significant growth in mining truck sales, which reached 4 billion RMB, up 38% [1]. - The logistics equipment segment reported revenue of 5.8 billion RMB, a 26% increase, with strong performance in overseas sales, which surged by 69% to 3.55 billion RMB [1]. - The report projects revenue for 2024 to be 26.85 billion RMB, with net profit expected to reach 2.19 billion RMB, reflecting continued growth [2][3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has become the largest mining truck supplier in China, with a robust order backlog, including significant contracts with major port operators [1]. - The strategic focus on smart, international, and electric products is expected to drive long-term growth, supported by a stable port market [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 31.91 CNY, indicating a potential upside of 17.9% from the current price of 27.06 CNY [2][4]. Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit for Q1 2024 were 32.46 billion CNY and 5.95 billion CNY, respectively, showing a year-on-year decline of 2.6% in revenue but a significant increase of 64.7% in net profit, driven by a one-time gain from asset disposal [1][2]. - The liquid milk business is under short-term pressure, while the milk powder segment is expected to accelerate growth due to improved market conditions and demographic factors [2]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio of 73.3% for the fiscal year 2023, with a consistent track record of over 70% for five consecutive years, alongside a share buyback plan to enhance shareholder returns [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 35.8%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 18.2%, up by 7.4 percentage points [1]. - The company expects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 13.55 billion CNY, 12.68 billion CNY, and 14.04 billion CNY, respectively [2][5]. Business Segments - The liquid milk segment is facing challenges due to fluctuating demand and high base effects from the previous year, but recovery is anticipated in the second half of the year [2]. - The milk powder business is projected to grow, supported by demographic trends and inventory clearance in the industry [2]. - The cheese segment is under pressure, while the ice cream business is expected to maintain stable growth due to market expansion efforts [2]. Shareholder Returns - The company has declared a cash dividend of 7.64 billion CNY for the fiscal year 2023, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [2]. - A share buyback plan of 1 to 2 billion CNY is also in place to further enhance shareholder value [2].

Salesforce（CRM） 更新报告 买入 2024年6月6日 盈利 稳健增长，但营收增长指 引乏力 罗凡环  FY2 5Q1 收 入 低 于 市 场 预 期 ： FY2025Q1 公 司 实 现 收 入 91.3 亿 美 元 852-25321962 （YoY+11%,CC+11%），低于彭博一致预期的91.7亿美元，由于专业服务的持续压 Simon.luo@firstshanghai.com.hk 力、一些许可证收入的波动和持续的审慎购买环境导致收入增长不及预期。GAAP 经营利润率为 18.7%，Non-GAAP 营业利润率 32.1%。GAAP 净利润 15.3 亿美元 李京霖 （YoY+670%）,GAAP净利润率达16.8%（YoY+14.4%）,Non-GAAP净利润24.1亿美 852-25321539 元（YoY+43.8%）,均超过彭博一致预期。经营数据方面，RPO 达 539 亿 （YoY+15%），cRPO 264 亿（YoY+10%）,主要受缓慢的需求环境和销售延长的影 Jinglin.li@firstshanghai.com.hk 响。财务方面，公司Q1经营现金流62.5亿美 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 23.4, indicating a potential upside of 33.4% from the current stock price of HKD 17.58 [3][4]. Core Views - The company has successfully completed a placement of 285 million shares, raising approximately HKD 4.9 billion, which will be used to improve its capital structure and reduce its debt ratio [1][2]. - Following the share placement, the company's debt ratio has decreased to 65%, aligning with its target to lower the debt ratio from 66% in 2023 [2]. - The company reported a revenue of RMB 39.6 billion in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 20.7%, while net profit decreased by 42% to RMB 3.756 billion [2]. - The company aims to achieve a coal production target of 300 million tons per year within 5-10 years, with a projected production of 140 million tons in 2024 [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company recorded a revenue of RMB 118.434 billion in 2023, a decrease of 23% from the previous year, with a forecasted revenue of RMB 127.806 billion for 2024, representing an 8% increase [5][6]. - Net profit for 2023 is projected at RMB 17.779 billion, with an expected increase to RMB 18.410 billion in 2024 [5][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be RMB 2.38 for 2024, with a gradual increase to RMB 2.96 by 2026 [5][6]. Market Outlook - The overall coal market supply and demand are expected to remain stable with a slight easing, leading to a minor decrease in coal prices compared to 2023 [3]. - The company is anticipated to benefit from the integration of its revival projects and the recovery of production in its Australian and Inner Mongolia bases [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to expand its production capacity through both internal development and external acquisitions, with significant projects in Xinjiang and Shanxi expected to come online in the coming years [2][3]. - The company has sufficient cash reserves, including the recent capital raised, to support its strategic development goals [2].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for TCL Electronics (1070) with a target price of 7.00 HKD [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant performance improvement driven by breakthroughs in mid-to-high-end products and multi-business collaboration, with overall revenue for 2023 reaching 789.9 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 10.7% [2]. - The company's global television shipment volume increased by 6.2% to 25.26 million units in 2023, with a notable growth in shipments of 65 inches and above, which rose by 35.3% to 621 thousand units [2]. - The internet business has emerged as a second growth curve, with revenue increasing by 27.6% year-on-year to 18.64 billion HKD, contributing positively to overall profitability [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 71,351 million HKD, with a forecasted increase to 78,986 million HKD in 2023 and projected growth to 84,554 million HKD in 2024 [3]. - Net profit for 2022 was 447 million HKD, expected to rise to 744 million HKD in 2023 and further to 1,111 million HKD in 2024 [3]. - The adjusted net profit for 2023 is forecasted at 803 million HKD, with a significant growth rate of 14.0% [3]. Business Performance - The report indicates that the television business has outperformed the overall market, with a revenue increase of 7.6% to 48.63 billion HKD despite a general decline in the television market [2]. - The domestic market's revenue grew by 5.4% to 16 billion HKD, with market share increasing to 18.1% [2]. - The company's operational efficiency improved, with an overall expense ratio decreasing by 1.5 percentage points to 66.4% [2]. Future Projections - The revenue projections for 2024-2026 are adjusted to 846 billion HKD, 931 billion HKD, and 1,000 billion HKD respectively, with net profit forecasts of 1111 million HKD, 1481 million HKD, and 1690 million HKD [2][3]. - The report anticipates continued growth in both domestic and overseas markets, with a focus on high-end product categories contributing positively to gross margins [2].