Si Fu, Ph.D. +852-2978-0200 | si.fu@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Kevin Wang, CFA +852-2978-2446 | kevin.wang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. 26 May 2025 | 12:12AM HKT China Musings The Renaissance of the Renminbi Kinger Lau, CFA +852-2978-1224 | kinger.lau@gs.com Goldman Sach ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Lingyi (002600.SZ) with a 12-month price target of Rmb10.10, indicating an upside potential of 24.7% from the current price of Rmb8.10 [8]. Core Insights - Lingyi's management is optimistic about growth driven by the demand for precision components in consumer electronics and server cooling modules, particularly due to the shift in smartphone form factors and the rise of AI applications [1][2]. - The company is expanding its product offerings in foldable phones and AI glasses, targeting higher dollar content per device and anticipating increased shipments [3][6]. Summary by Sections Cooling / Thermal Modules for AI Smartphones - Lingyi provides over 200 SKUs of metal precision parts for major smartphone brands, focusing on high-end models using copper materials for 2025, with plans to introduce hybrid materials in 2026 [2]. - The company's factory in India is expected to meet client demand, contingent on the capacity expansion by assemblers in the region [2]. Foldable Phones - The company supplies metal middle frames and precision parts for foldable phones, with a positive outlook on the growing trend and plans to engage with global-tier smartphone brands [3]. AI Glasses - Lingyi manufactures structural parts and cooling components for AI/AR glasses, expecting significant upside as major global technology companies plan to launch their own versions [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Lingyi are Rmb44.21 billion in 2024, increasing to Rmb79.75 billion by 2027, with EPS expected to grow from Rmb0.25 in 2024 to Rmb0.73 in 2027 [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating for Maxscend with a 12-month target price of Rmb86, indicating an upside potential of 23.2% from the current price of Rmb69.81 [2][11]. Core Insights - Management is optimistic about the company's RF modules expansion, the ramp-up of in-house capacity utilization, and new growth opportunities in the long term [1][2]. - The smartphone market is anticipated to take time to transition to the next product cycle (6G), and the shift from fabless to fab-lite may also require time to enhance efficiency and profitability [2]. Summary by Sections 2025 Business Outlook - Management expects quarterly revenues and margins to increase sequentially in 2025, driven by RF modules expansion, improved smartphone seasonality in the second half of 2025, and normalizing depreciation as utilization rates rise [3]. - Inventory levels are projected to decline but remain relatively high due to geopolitical tensions [3]. Xinzhuo Project Development Progress - The 6" and 12" wafer production lines have commenced mass production, with the 12" production line currently achieving a capacity of 4,000 wafers per month, aiming for 5,000 wafers per month by the end of 2025 [4]. - As capacity increases, the depreciation cost per wafer is expected to decrease, leading to margin improvements [4]. New Growth Opportunities - Management is positive about the potential of LEO satellite direct-to-cell functions, which could create additional RF module opportunities for Maxscend [8]. - There are also long-term prospects in high-end markets such as AI and robotics, allowing the company to leverage its in-house capacity more effectively [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies related to the foldable phone and AI device supply chain, including SZS, Fositek, Lingyi, AVC, AAC, and Huaqin [17]. Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for Lens Technology Co. (300433.SZ) as it expands its product offerings from smartphone components to emerging markets such as AI glasses and automotive components, which is expected to enhance profitability through improved utilization rates and specification upgrades [1][4]. - There is an anticipated increase in global foldable phone shipments and a rising demand for AI devices driven by generative AI use cases, aligning with the company's optimistic view on AI glasses and foldable phones [2][4]. Summary by Sections 2025 Outlook - Management is optimistic about growth in 2025, supported by new smartphone model launches from major customers, which is expected to improve utilization rates during traditionally slow seasons [4][8]. Tariffs' Impact - Tariffs are expected to have a minor impact on growth due to the company's shipping practices and global production sites in Vietnam, Thailand, Mexico, and China, allowing for flexible capacity adjustments [8][9]. New Business Expansion - Lens Tech aims to penetrate the automotive components market, targeting major OEMs with higher dollar content per vehicle, and has formed a strategic partnership with Rokid in the AI glasses sector, anticipating growth as market demand increases [9][4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to SICC (688234.SS) with a 12-month price target of Rmb75.50, indicating an upside potential of 24.7% from the current price of Rmb60.55 [10]. Core Insights - The management of SICC is optimistic about market demand driven by the increasing launch of 800V electric vehicles (EVs) and the growing need for EV fast charging. Additionally, the demand for SiC substrates in augmented reality (AR) glasses is expected to rise significantly [1][3]. - SICC is positioned well within the AD/ADAS trend, enhancing SiC's penetration in the EV market. The company is a local leader in SiC substrates, benefiting from local car OEMs diversifying their supply chains amid geopolitical tensions [1][3]. Summary by Sections Capacity Expansion - SICC's production facilities are located in Shanghai and Jinan, China. The Shanghai plant has a capacity of 300k units per year for phase 1 (6-inch or 8-inch SiC substrate) and an additional 300k units per year in phase 2, primarily for 8-inch SiC substrate. The Jinan site has a capacity of 100-150k units per year for 6-inch SiC substrate. The company plans to expand its 8-inch capacity to non-China markets to increase its market share among global SiC device manufacturers [2]. SiC Penetration in EVs - Management anticipates that the penetration rate of SiC in mainstream EV models will continue to rise as more 800V EV models are introduced in the coming years. The localization trend of SiC substrates is expected to support the company's growth, as local suppliers offer more cost-effective products, allowing customers to diversify their supply chains [3]. SiC Application in AR Glasses - SiC is identified as the optimal solution for AR glasses due to its superior reflection control and lightweight properties. Management projects that the demand for SiC substrates from AR glasses may eventually surpass that from EVs in the long term, presenting significant upside potential for SICC [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Bilibili Inc. (BILI) with a 12-month price target of $23.60, representing an upside of 24.6% from the current price of $18.94 [1][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights a better-than-industry advertising growth and an improved gaming outlook, which are expected to drive margin expansion for Bilibili [1][4]. - The gaming segment is anticipated to benefit from the resumption of the Pretty Derby game and the upcoming Sanguo NSLG anniversary, which could enhance user engagement and revenue [2][24]. - Bilibili's advertising revenue is projected to grow significantly, with a focus on increasing ad load and eCPM, supported by expanding verticals such as mini-games and AIGC applications [3][28]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Bilibili's revenue estimates for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted, with total revenues projected at RMB 30,376.6 million for 2025, RMB 33,460.3 million for 2026, and RMB 36,608.4 million for 2027 [6][19]. - The EBITDA for 2025 is estimated at RMB 4,531.7 million, with a significant growth trajectory expected in subsequent years [6][14]. Advertising Segment - Bilibili is experiencing one of the fastest advertising growth rates in China, with a projected advertising revenue of RMB 9,595 million for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17% [20][28]. - The report notes that performance advertising has seen the fastest growth, increasing by 30-40% year-on-year in Q1 2025, now accounting for over 50% of total ads [29]. Gaming Segment - The resumption of the Pretty Derby game is expected to contribute positively to Bilibili's gaming revenue, with an annual grossing estimate of RMB 500 million [2][23]. - The Sanguo NSLG Season 8 is anticipated to introduce new gameplay and monetization strategies, which could further enhance revenue stability and growth [24][26]. Margin and Profitability - The report indicates a target of 40-45% gross profit margin and 15-20% adjusted operating profit margin in the mid-to-long term, driven by a favorable revenue mix and operating leverage [29]. - The EBITDA margin is projected to improve from 8.8% in 2024 to 20.0% by 2027, reflecting the company's focus on cost management and revenue growth [14][31].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Innolight with a 12-month price target of Rmb115, indicating an upside potential of 25.2% from the current price of Rmb91.87 [10][14]. Core Insights - Innolight is positioned as a leading supplier of optical transceivers in the datacom market, particularly benefiting from the growth in AI and data center expansions [10][11]. - The demand for 800G transceivers is expected to remain strong, driven by cloud service providers transitioning from 400G to 800G for AI inferencing applications [2][10]. - The company anticipates easing supply constraints by the third quarter of 2025 due to new capacity from laser suppliers, which should support shipment growth [7][10]. - Profitability is projected to improve due to a favorable product mix, particularly with an increase in silicon photonics modules, which have higher gross margins compared to traditional transceivers [8][10]. Summary by Sections Demand Outlook - The demand outlook for 2025 remains unchanged, with solid orders from customers. The transition to 800G is expected to ramp up in the second half of 2025, particularly for AI applications [2][10]. - The migration from 400G to 800G in traditional cloud datacenters is anticipated to gain momentum into 2026, although it currently accounts for less than 20% of overall 800G demand in 2025 [2][10]. Supply Constraints - Innolight's revenue growth has been flat over the past three quarters due to upstream component constraints, particularly with EML laser supply. Management expects improvements in supply conditions by 3Q25 [7][10]. Profitability and Margins - The company has reaffirmed its trend of profitability improvement, driven by a shift in product mix towards silicon photonics transceivers and enhanced manufacturing efficiency [8][10]. - The gross margin is expected to increase from 33.8% in 2024 to 38.3% in 2025, with net margins projected to rise from 21.7% in 2024 to 24.3% in 2025 [9][10]. Future Projections - The ramp for 1.6T transceivers is set for 3Q25, but the overall volume is expected to remain small compared to 800G. The mainstream adoption of 1.6T is anticipated in 2027 [3][10]. - The financial outlook shows significant revenue growth, with projections of Rmb29.3 billion in 2025 and Rmb33.6 billion in 2026 [9][10].

21 May 2025 | 12:53PM JST Automobiles: Tariff responses: Automakers plan to offset about 30% of negative tariff impact; tire makers expect to fully offset it Kota Yuzawa +81(3)4587-9863 | kota.yuzawa@gs.com Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. Ken Kawamoto +81(3)4587-1921 | ken.kawamoto@gs.com Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the basic materials sector, including Angang-H, Baosteel, Conch-A, and Zijin-A, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks with potential upside ranging from 22% to 51% [10]. Core Insights - The feedback from producers as of mid-May suggests that end-user order books were flat month-over-month (MoM), which is softer than past seasonal trends. Infrastructure recovery has paused, reflected in weak cement shipments and a lack of funding for new projects [1][2]. - Current Chinese demand for cement and construction steel is reported to be 12-14% lower year-over-year (YoY), while demand for copper has increased by 9% YoY. The demand for flat steel and aluminum is 1-3% lower YoY [1]. - The report highlights that while the supply chain is partially replacing US-bound shipments with production from other countries, the reduction in Chinese metal demand is less severe than initially feared [1]. Summary by Sections Downstream Demand Snapshots - The downstream order book trend was mostly stable MoM in May, with 25% of respondents indicating a pickup in the downstream sectors and 31% indicating a lower trend [2][3]. Steel Production - Steel production cuts are in preparation, and rush orders for exports are re-emerging. The report suggests that steel-making raw materials could potentially drop to sub US$80-90 per ton if production cuts are implemented [9]. Cement Market - The cement market has experienced a sudden deterioration, with current demand showing significant declines [9]. Aluminium and Copper - The report notes a disruption in Guinea bauxite supply affecting alumina, while copper demand remains more resilient than expected [9]. Coal Market - The coal market is characterized by very weak demand and pricing, indicating challenges for companies in this sector [9]. Lithium Market - The lithium market is facing a rising surplus, which may impact pricing and demand dynamics [9]. Paper Packaging - Improving shipment trends are noted in the paper packaging sector, driven by upcoming online shopping festivals and lower US-China tariffs [9].

Investment Rating - The report highlights a positive investment outlook for the nuclear energy sector, with 14 stocks identified as having strong leverage to the nuclear energy opportunity, including Cameco, Mirion Technologies, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, and Southern Company, all rated as "Buy" [6][7]. Core Insights - Nuclear energy is positioned for significant growth due to increasing demand for reliable and clean electricity sources, with a COP28 declaration aiming to triple nuclear energy capacity by 2050 [6][11]. - The current global nuclear fleet consists of approximately 440 reactors, expected to expand to around 500 by 2030, with over 400 additional reactors planned or proposed in the coming decades [6][11]. - The report emphasizes the broad opportunities across the nuclear value chain, including materials, technologies, and services, driven by renewed investment and policy support [6][11]. Summary by Sections Nuclear Energy Overview - Nuclear energy has been a proven technology since the 1950s, but its growth has been inconsistent due to policy shifts and public perception [6][25]. - The global nuclear power generation mix has declined from 17% in the 1980s to approximately 9% in 2023, with the U.S. maintaining around 18% [28][29]. Current Drivers of Demand - Key drivers for renewed nuclear demand include increasing power consumption, a shift towards cleaner energy sources, and the need for baseload power to complement intermittent renewable sources [16][19]. - The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for traditional nuclear is estimated at ~$125/MWh, while Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) could achieve LCOE of ~$100/MWh or less once fully developed [19][21]. Investment and Policy Support - Global investment in nuclear power generation has grown at a CAGR of ~14% from 2020 to 2024, driven by improving policy support and the need for less emission-intensive alternatives [44]. - At COP28, 31 countries pledged to triple global nuclear capacity by 2050, supported by major energy users and financial institutions [60][61]. Future Outlook - The report projects that by 2040, nuclear generating capacity will grow to 575 GW globally, increasing its share of the electricity mix from ~9% to over 12% [55][56]. - There are currently 61 reactors under construction, with 59 expected to come online between 2025 and 2032, alongside a robust pipeline of planned and proposed reactors [47][48].