16 June 2025 | 3:19PM HKT Hengrui Medicine (600276.SS): ADA 2025: Encouraging data sets from GLP-1 portfolio; Expect initial launch in 2026 On June 13, abstracts from the American Diabetes Association's 85th Scientific Sessions (ADA 2025, June 20-23) have been released. Among China players with data updated for GLP-1 related assets, we highlighted Hengrui with fresh data points for both oral tablet and injection formulation of HRS9531 (GLP-1/GIP), for which the ex-China rights have been licensed-out to a Ne ...

Japan Technology: Semiconductors: Investor visit feedback and sector outlook (June 2025) We summarize feedback gathered from over 40 investor meetings conducted across the east coast of the United States and Singapore in late May and early June 2025. While concerns regarding tariffs, export regulations, and the macroeconomic environment persist, investor sentiment towards the semiconductor/SPE sector has improved compared to the period before the 1Q earnings season (April-May). We especially note heightened ...

16 June 2025 | 12:26PM HKT China: 70-city average primary property prices fell further in May Bottom line: The National Bureau of Statistics' 70-city house price data suggest the weighted average property price in the primary market fell by 2.4% mom annualized in May after seasonal adjustments. The widening in sequential decline of house prices was broad-based across all city tiers. We emphasize the 70-city data are for primary market transactions (new home sales) only; secondary market data by NBS and some ...

16 June 2025 | 2:29AM EDT US Economics Analyst June FOMC Preview: A Cautious Take on Tariffs (Mericle) Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | jan.hatzius@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec Phillips +1(202)637-3746 | alec.phillips@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC David Mericle +1(212)357-2619 | david.mericle@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ronnie Walker +1(917)343-4543 | ronnie.walker@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Manuel Abecasis +1(212)902-8357 | manuel.abecasis@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Elsie Peng +1(212)357-31 ...

16 June 2025 | 8:17PM HKT GC Tech: AI / AR glasses: proliferating new products, increasing affordability, AI features; growing consumer appetite Consumer appetite for technology experience has expanded from smartphone to AI / AR glasses. We see increasing popularity of AI / AR glasses, driven by new products by Meta, Xreal, Rokid, RayNeo, Meizu, INMO, with Xiaomi and Apple also having products in their pipeline. Affordability, rising use cases and increasing integration of AI features have been supporting i ...

15 June 2025 | 7:52PM HKT China Strategy The comeback of Chinese POEs (Part 3): The ascent of Prominent 10 We expect market (cap) concentration in the listed POE sector to rise over time (Part 2). Against that backdrop, our analysis suggests that ten existing leaders—Chinese Prominent 10—are capable of growing their dominance in the stock market, akin to the US Mag 7 stocks. These "Prom 10" stocks are all rated Buy by GS analysts. They amount to US$1.6tn in market cap and 42% of MSCI China index weight, tra ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to LONGi Green Energy Technology Co. and a "Sell" rating to Flat Glass Group (A), Flat Glass Group (H), Tongwei, and Xinyi Solar Holdings [14]. Core Insights - Overall sentiment in the solar industry has turned more negative compared to the previous year, with lower expectations for supply-side policy support [1][4]. - Demand for solar installations is expected to face significant downside risks, with projections indicating a 55% year-over-year decline in installations from June to December 2025 and a 30% decline in 2026 [2]. - Tier 1 companies are maintaining optimistic price expectations, which may not align with the deteriorating internal rate of return (IRR) for solar farms in the current pricing environment [3][5]. - Leading module manufacturers are shifting focus towards integrated "Solar+BESS" solutions to enhance customer returns under new policy conditions [7]. - The report anticipates that 17% of end-2024 capacity will exit the market during 2025-2026 due to cash burn pressures and market access constraints [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Sentiment - The 2025 SNEC event in Shanghai reflected a smaller scale with fewer exhibitors and a more negative overall sentiment compared to 2024, with a notable increase in visitors from India and Central Asia [1][4]. Demand Projections - Industry experts predict a significant decline in solar installations, with expectations of a 55% year-over-year drop in the latter half of 2025 and a 30% decline in 2026, contrasting with more optimistic consensus estimates [2]. Pricing and Capacity - Tier 1 companies are guiding to maintain current solar prices, which may be overly optimistic given the current market conditions affecting solar farm IRR [3][5]. - Some companies have begun offering Topcon Modules at prices below Rmb 0.6/W, indicating a potential shift in pricing dynamics [5]. Competitive Landscape - Competition is intensifying in the high-efficiency module segment, with leading companies mass-producing higher wattage modules to compete effectively [6]. - The report highlights that leading players are actively exploring integrated service offerings combining solar and battery energy storage systems (BESS) [7]. Market Dynamics - The report suggests that the combination of cash burn pressures and market access constraints will lead to a significant exit of capacity from the market [8].

12 June 2025 | 9:11PM HKT GC Tech: Focuslight (688167.SS): Laser and Optics components, rising demand from local SPE and data center We talked to Focuslight (688167.SS, not covered) management recently. Key takeaways 1. Key growth drivers in 2025: Management views laser and optical products for (1) pan-semiconductor, (2) optical communication, (3) AR/ VR market as key drivers this year, and expects to see double digit revenues YoY growth in 2025E. The company has global customer base and is shifting some of ...

14 June 2025 | 5:29PM HKT Greater China Semis: May: IC import/ export value +8.9%/ +33.4% YoY Apr-May data (Exhibits 1-4): IC import volume was +9.9% YoY in May 2025 (vs. +7.6% YoY in Apr 2025), and import value was +8.9% YoY (vs. 11.1% YoY in Apr 2025), implying IC import ASP was down 1% YoY in May 2025. IC (integrated circuits) production growth was +4.0% YoY in Apr 2025 (link), vs. +9.2% YoY in Mar 2025, showing a flattish production volume. On inventory, China's electronics sector DOI (days of inventory ...

15 June 2025 | 7:44PM HKT China Strategy The comeback of Chinese POEs (Part 1): The tide has turned After losing almost US$4tn of market cap and underperforming the SOE sector by 56pp (cum dividends) since late 2020, Chinese private-owned enterprises (POEs), which represent 60% of the entire listed universe by market value, are in the process of regaining their "mojo" in the equity market. Key arguments are: While the beta story has improved, we believe selectivity is still required for success in the broad ...