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国电电力:高投资下延续中期分红,看好清洁能源持续发力
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company achieved a significant year-on-year increase in net profit, with a return on equity (ROE) rising to 13%. In the first half of 2024, the company reported revenue of 85.8 billion yuan (down 3% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.7 billion yuan (up 124% year-on-year), largely due to a one-time investment gain of 4.6 billion yuan from the sale of assets [1][2][11]. - The company continues to invest heavily in clean energy, with 1.8 GW of new green power capacity added in the first half of 2024, bringing total installed capacity to 107 GW. The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.6 billion yuan, representing 24% of net profit, with an annualized dividend yield of 3.3% based on the latest closing price [1][2][11]. - The report forecasts net profits of 10.33 billion yuan, 8.77 billion yuan, and 10.14 billion yuan for 2024 to 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 9.45, 11.12, and 9.62 [2][3]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 85.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 6.7 billion yuan, marking a 127% increase year-on-year. The weighted ROE increased to 12.9% [1][11][24]. - The operating cash flow improved significantly, reaching 21.9 billion yuan, a 55% increase year-on-year, primarily due to lower fuel prices [11][19]. Business Segments - The company added 1.77 GW of new renewable energy capacity, with total installed capacity reaching 107.13 GW, including 72.57 GW from thermal power and 14.95 GW from hydropower [24][25]. - Thermal power revenue was 72.97 billion yuan, down 2.9% year-on-year, while renewable energy revenue grew by 13.3% to 5.96 billion yuan [25][30]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in water and green energy segments, with new projects set to contribute to profit growth. The report anticipates net profits of 10.33 billion yuan in 2024, supported by ongoing investments in clean energy [2][24]. - The company plans to increase its renewable energy capacity significantly during the 14th Five-Year Plan, aiming for a total of 35 GW of new wind and solar installations [2][24].
北方国际:Q2现金流改善,焦煤贸易毛利率显著修复
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:42
盈利预测: [Table_Page] 中报点评|专业工程 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 北方国际(000065.SZ) Q2 现金流改善,焦煤贸易毛利率显著修复 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: ⚫ 公司发布 2024 半年报。根据财报,24H1,公司实现营收 104 亿元, 同比保持不变,实现归母净利润 5.4 亿元,同比+7%。其中 24Q2 单季 度实现营收 54 亿元,同比-4%;归母净利润 2.8 亿元,同比-11%。业 绩符合预期。 ⚫ 财务费用率提升,现金流改善。24H1,公司期间费用率(不含研发) 为 3.42%,其中销售/管理/财务费用率分别为 2.30%/1.86%/-0.73%, 同比-0.04/+0.36/+1.15pct,财务费用率提升主要系 2024 年美元兑人 民币汇率波动较上年同期减小,汇兑收益较上年降低。24H1,公司经 营性现金流净流出 3.84 亿元,同比少流出 0.65 亿元。 ⚫ 货物贸易毛利率改善,矿服业务开展顺利。分业务看,①货物贸易: 24H1 营收 54 亿元/同比-6%,毛利率 9.8%/同比+6.1pct;蒙古矿山一 体化项目累计采矿 ...
国药股份:业绩符合预期,麻精药领域保持领先优势
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:42
稳步增长 [Table_Contacts] [Table_Page] 中报点评|医药生物 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 国药股份(600511.SH) 业绩符合预期,麻精药领域保持领先优势 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: ⚫ 公司发布 2024 年中报。2024 年上半年公司实现收入 247.57 亿元 (+2.55%,以下均为同比口径)、归母净利润 10.01 亿元(+1.62%)、 扣非归母净利润 10.03 亿元(+5.46%),其中 2024Q2 公司实现收入 126.34 亿元(-2.16%),归母净利润 5.41 亿元(-5.11%)、扣非归母净 利润 5.45 亿元(+1.22%),业绩符合预期。 ⚫ 深耕主业,麻精药领域保持领先优势。分业务来看:(1)麻精药品,积 极推进"大麻药"战略,业务覆盖 31 个省政级区域,持续巩固在麻精 特药领域的渠道优势和龙头地位。参股公司宜昌人福 24 年上半年实现 收入 45.02 亿元(+12%)、净利润 14.25 亿元(+18%),对公司扣非 归母净利润贡献超 28%;(2)医药直销,保持北京市场领先地位,通 过紧盯增量、服务转型 ...
创世纪:受益消费电子复苏,同步开拓海外市场
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:41
[Table_Contacts] [Table_Title] 创世纪(300083.SZ) 受益消费电子复苏,同步开拓海外市场 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: ⚫ 8 月 19 日晚间,创世纪发布 2024 年半年度报告,2024 年上半年,公 司实现营业收入 20.61 亿元,同比增长 0.31%;归母净利润 1.58 亿 元,同比下降 23%。分季度看,公司第二季度营业收入 12.05 亿元, 同比增长 30.39%,环比增长 40.71%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润 9,921.57 万元,同比增长 18.24%,环比增长 68.13%。 ⚫ 消费电子行业周期复苏,公司拳头产品钻攻机有望迎来高速增长。根 据公司半年报,3C 领域一直是公司的优势领域,拳头产品钻攻机可用 于手机、平板、PC、Watch 等 3C 产品相关金属及非金属结构件的精 密加工,在技术水平、产销规模、服务能力等方面可与国际领先企业(日 本 FANUC、日本兄弟公司)竞争。受益消费电子行业的持续复苏,2024 年上半年,公司拳头产品钻攻机出货量同比增长超 180%。 ⚫ 积极开拓海外市场,打开成长空间。根据公司半年报,公司 ...
宝钛股份:钛产品稳步放量,24年2季度业绩环比大增
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:41
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [4]. Core Views - Titanium products are steadily increasing in volume, with a 53% quarter-on-quarter increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2024. The company achieved a revenue of 3.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, and a net profit of 400 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%. The company focuses on promoting sales to boost production and increase market share [2]. - The company is comprehensively advancing technological upgrades and capacity expansion to solidify its titanium material business. It has initiated several technological improvement projects, including high-quality titanium alloy smelting and recycling of return materials [2]. - The company is optimizing its product structure and enhancing market awareness to explore both domestic and international markets. It aims to increase the application ratio of titanium materials in various fields such as aerospace, marine, and hydrogen energy [2]. - The earnings forecast suggests an EPS of 1.65, 2.04, and 2.28 yuan per share for 2024-2026, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 12, and 11 times. The company is considered a leader in the titanium alloy industry, and the reasonable value is maintained at 41.63 yuan per share, corresponding to a 25 times PE valuation for 2024 [2][4]. Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of 6.635 billion yuan in 2022, with a growth rate of 26.5%. The projected revenue for 2024 is 7.359 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 6.2% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is projected to be 791 million yuan, with a significant growth rate of 45.3% compared to 2023 [3]. - The company’s PE ratio is expected to decrease from 35.05 in 2022 to 14.78 in 2024, indicating an improving valuation [3].
普洛药业:运营效率提升加研发助力,盈利能力提升
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:41
[Table_ 相关研究: DocReport] 普洛药业(000739.SZ):持 2024-03-22 续提升研发能力,进一步提 升运营效率 普洛药业(000739.SZ):盈 2023-10-22 利能力提升持续兑现,重视 研发与创新发展 [Table_Contacts] [Table_Page] 中报点评|化学制药 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 普洛药业(000739.SZ) 运营效率提升加研发助力,盈利能力提升 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: ⚫ 原料药制剂一体化优势提升,不断增强企业核心竞争力。根据公司半 年报披露,公司 2024 上半年实现营业收入 64.29 亿元,同比增长 7.96%;实现归母净利润 6.25 亿元,同比增长 3.96%;实现扣非归母 净利润 6.02 亿元,同比增长 1.24%。截止至 2024 上半年末,公司共 有研发人员 1085 名,研发费用 3.15 亿元,两个 API 品种注册获批, 20 个原料药品种新递交国内外 DMF。 ⚫ 制剂业务规模效应带动盈利能力提升显著,CDMO 业务增长稳健。根 据公司半年报披露,2024 上半年,公司原料药 ...
农林牧渔行业:饲料出海系列之印尼:养殖产业链高集约化,一体化龙头优势显著
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:39
Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for key companies in the Indonesian agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, particularly focusing on feed production and integrated farming enterprises [3]. Core Insights - Indonesia, as the fourth most populous country, shows a growing trend in meat protein consumption, with significant reliance on aquatic and poultry products [8][11]. - The country ranks as the third largest aquaculture producer globally, with a high degree of farming intensification and concentration in species such as tilapia, catfish, and shrimp [11][17]. - The poultry farming sector is dominated by broiler chickens, with major integrated companies leading the market and increasing their market share [19][21]. - The feed industry is experiencing sustained growth, with a high concentration of production among leading companies [31][33]. - The report suggests that the growth potential in Indonesia's aquaculture and poultry sectors will drive continued demand for industrial feed [2][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Population and Protein Consumption Trends - Indonesia's population reached approximately 277 million in 2023, with a significant portion consuming aquatic and poultry products, which accounted for 71.9% and 23.3% of meat consumption respectively [8][11]. - The compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for per capita consumption of aquatic products and poultry from 2011 to 2021 were 2.96% and 7.38% respectively [8]. 2. Aquaculture Development - Indonesia is the third largest aquaculture producer, with a total aquaculture output of 14.6 million tons in 2021, of which 5.72 million tons were from cultured species [11][13]. - The main aquaculture species include tilapia, catfish, shrimp, and others, with shrimp being a significant export product [11][17]. 3. Poultry Farming Dynamics - The poultry sector is primarily focused on broiler chickens, with a total production of approximately 3.9 billion birds in 2022 [19]. - Major companies like CPIN, Japfa, and Malindo dominate the market, controlling significant shares of the poultry supply chain [21]. 4. Feed Industry Growth - The total feed production in Indonesia reached 19.17 million tons in 2023, with poultry feed accounting for 85% of this total [31]. - The feed industry is characterized by high concentration, with leading companies such as CPIN and Japfa holding substantial market shares [31][33]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the growth potential in Indonesia's aquaculture and poultry sectors, suggesting that companies expanding feed production capacity in Indonesia should be closely monitored for investment opportunities [2][19].
华住集团-S:主业增长强劲,上调开店指引
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huazhu Group-S (01179 HK) and Huazhu (HTHT O) [4] Core Views - Huazhu Group reported strong Q2 2024 results with revenue of 6 15 billion CNY (+11 2% YoY) and adjusted net profit of 1 25 billion CNY (+16 9% YoY) [1] - Domestic occupancy rate (Occ) outperformed ADR while international markets saw growth in both volume and price [1] - Operational efficiency improved with reductions in rent depreciation and consumables costs [1] - The company achieved a milestone of 10 000 domestic hotels and raised its full-year store opening guidance from 1 800 to 2 200+ [1] Financial Performance - Q2 2024 domestic RevPAR was 244 CNY (-2% YoY) with ADR at 296 CNY (-3% YoY) and Occ at 82 6% (+1pp YoY) [1] - International RevPAR grew 5% YoY to 82 EUR with ADR at 120 EUR (+3% YoY) and Occ at 68 3% (+1pp YoY) [1] - H1 2024 revenue reached 11 43 billion CNY (+14 1% YoY) with adjusted net profit of 2 03 billion CNY (+39 0% YoY) [1] Store Expansion - Q2 2024 saw a net increase of 466 domestic hotels (567 new openings) bringing the total to 10 150 [1] - The pipeline of hotels under development increased to 3 294 (3 266 domestic) up by 156 from Q1 2024 [1] - H1 2024 saw 1 136 new openings with 1 064 remaining to meet the revised full-year target [1] Valuation and Forecast - The report forecasts 2024-2026 net profits of 4 2/4 8/5 4 billion CNY respectively [2] - A 24x PE valuation for 2024 implies a fair value of 35 29 HKD/share for HK-listed shares and 45 38 USD/ADS for US-listed shares [2] Financial Ratios - 2024E revenue growth is projected at 10 7% with EBITDA of 7 287 million CNY [3] - ROE is expected to be 25 6% in 2024E declining to 19 9% by 2026E [3] - Net profit margin is forecasted at 17 5% in 2024E increasing to 18 8% by 2026E [3]
思考乐教育:业绩表现超预期,高增长有望延续
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-23 02:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 5.86 HKD and a target value of 6.23 HKD [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2024, achieving revenue of 400 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 58.8%. The gross margin was 44.4%, and net profit reached 82.65 million RMB, up 92.5% year-on-year. Adjusted net profit was 93.54 million RMB, reflecting a 101.1% increase, exceeding market expectations [2]. - The significant growth in student enrollment supported the impressive revenue performance, with contract liabilities showing strong results, providing solid support for the full-year performance. The non-academic quality courses generated revenue of 370 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 57.8%, while tutoring courses achieved revenue of 32.58 million RMB, up 70.6%. The number of enrolled students reached 184,000, a 58.2% increase year-on-year, with total class hours at 4.564 million, also up 58.1%. Contract liabilities at the end of the first half of 2024 were 250 million RMB, a 93.2% increase year-on-year, laying a strong foundation for revenue in the second half and future renewals [2]. - The improvement in operational efficiency has led to enhanced profitability, with a gross margin of 44.38%, an increase of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year. The sales and management expense ratios were 1.6% and 16.7%, respectively, down 0.4 and 6.8 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from an optimized competitive landscape and improved operational efficiency. The adjusted net profit margin was 23.4%, up 4.9 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company is pursuing long-term development through diversification in non-academic areas, having launched educational tourism and international courses since July 2023. The company aims to strengthen its "LeXue" brand, which includes art, sports, painting, performance, calligraphy, scientific literacy, traditional culture, logical thinking training, and international literacy, to promote comprehensive diversification in the future [2]. - Based on the strong performance in the first half of 2024, the profit forecast has been adjusted upwards. The expected adjusted net profits for 2024-2026 are 170 million RMB, 240 million RMB, and 310 million RMB, respectively. The company is given a 22x PE valuation for 2024, resulting in a target value of 6.23 HKD per share [2]. Financial Summary - The company's main revenue for 2024 is projected to be 852 million RMB, with a growth rate of 49.3%. The adjusted net profit is expected to be 174 million RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 60.9% [3]. - The gross margin is expected to remain strong, with a projected rate of 44.0% in 2024, and the adjusted net profit margin is expected to be 20.4% [9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 28.2% in 2024, indicating strong profitability [9].
国防军工行业新·视角:民用连接器赛道新机遇,高速与液冷贡献弹性增量
GF SECURITIES· 2024-08-22 09:08
[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|国防军工 2024 年 8 月 19 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 国防军工行业 新·视角:民用连接器赛道新机遇,高速与液冷贡献弹性增量 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------|----------------------------|----------|----------------------------|----------|----------------------------| | 分析师: [Tabl | 孟祥杰 | 分析师: | 吴坤其 | 分析师: | 邱净博 | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号:S0260521040002 | | SAC 执证号:S0260522120001 | | SAC 执证号:S0260522120005 | SFC CE.no: BRF275 SFC CE.no: BRT139 010-59136693 010-59133689 010-59136685 mengxiangjie@gf.com.cn wukunqi@gf. ...