[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|建筑材料 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 建筑材料行业 房地产市场"仍有很大的发展空间"，关注建材板块底部机会 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 持有 前次评级 持有 报告日期 2025-04-20 3570068 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -24% -14% -5% 5% 14% 24% 04/24 06/24 09/24 11/24 02/25 04/25 建筑材料 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]谢璐 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260514080004 | | | SFC CE No. BMB592 | | 021-38003688 | | | | xielu@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 张乾 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260522080003 | | 021-38003687 | | | | gzzhangqian@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 吴红艳 | | | SAC 执证号：S02605 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the internet media industry as "Buy" [3] Core Insights - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the internet sector, such as Pop Mart, which is expanding its channels globally and has a promising IP+product strategy. NetEase Cloud Music is also highlighted for its stable growth in music consumption and user engagement [4][17] - In the gaming sector, the report recommends leading companies like Tencent and NetEase, emphasizing the potential for valuation increases due to improved domestic policies and overseas trends [4][17] - The publishing sector is advised to focus on companies with strong cash dividends and AI integration, such as China South Publishing and Phoenix Media [4][17] - The film industry is expected to show strong performance, with a reported box office of 25.25 billion yuan, a 40% year-on-year increase, highlighting companies like Wanda Film and Maoyan Entertainment [4][17] - In advertising, the report suggests monitoring Focus Media, which plans to acquire New潮传媒, potentially enhancing its operational efficiency and profitability [4][17] Summary by Sections Internet Sector - Companies like Pop Mart and NetEase Cloud Music are recommended for their growth strategies and user engagement improvements. The report notes the positive impact of AI applications on performance and valuation [4][17] Gaming Sector - The report continues to recommend the gaming sector, particularly Tencent and NetEase, due to favorable policy changes and overseas market opportunities. It also highlights companies with strong product pipelines and performance improvements [4][17] Publishing Sector - Focus on companies with high dividend yields and AI capabilities, such as China South Publishing and Phoenix Media, is advised [4][17] Film Sector - The film industry is projected to perform well, with significant box office growth, and companies like Wanda Film and Maoyan Entertainment are recommended [4][17] Advertising Sector - Focus Media's acquisition of New潮传媒 is expected to enhance its operational capabilities and profitability, making it a company to watch [4][17]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of 51.51 CNY and a fair value of 70.84 CNY [4]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading connector manufacturer in the automotive and consumer electronics sectors, benefiting from the growing trend of automotive intelligence and the expansion of high-frequency and high-speed connectors [8][14]. - The automotive connector market is expected to grow rapidly as intelligent driving configurations penetrate mid- to low-end models, enhancing overall market demand [41][48]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major domestic automotive manufacturers, ensuring a stable supply chain and robust order backlog, which supports its growth trajectory [8][28]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 31.29 billion CNY in 2023 to 76.06 billion CNY by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 24.8% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 3.56 billion CNY in 2023 to 10.91 billion CNY in 2026, indicating strong profitability growth [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.84 CNY in 2023 to 2.57 CNY in 2026, showcasing significant earnings potential [2]. Market Trends - The global connector market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8% over the next four to five years, driven by increasing demand across various sectors, including automotive and consumer electronics [41][42]. - The automotive connector market is particularly promising, with the global market size estimated at approximately 14.15 billion USD in 2020, expected to expand further due to the rise of electric vehicles and smart driving technologies [47][48]. Product and Capacity Expansion - The company is continuously expanding its product offerings in high-frequency and high-speed connectors, which are essential for advanced automotive applications, including autonomous driving systems [8][41]. - The company has made significant investments in capacity expansion, enhancing its delivery capabilities and solidifying its position within the supply chains of leading automotive manufacturers [8][28].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The global recorded music market is projected to reach $29.6 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5%. Streaming services are the main growth driver, accounting for 68% of the market, with revenues of $20.4 billion in 2024, reflecting a 7% increase [6][20]. - The Chinese music consumption market shows long-term growth potential, with a market size of $1.6 billion in 2024, growing by 9.6% year-on-year, and accounting for 5% of the global market share [6][31]. - The music industry value chain indicates that record companies hold significant power through their artist discovery and development systems, while streaming platforms are diversifying content to reduce reliance on core copyright resources [6][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Music Industry Demand Stability - The global recorded music industry is experiencing stable growth driven by streaming services, with the market size reaching $29.6 billion in 2024, a 5% increase year-on-year. Streaming services contribute significantly, accounting for 68% of the market [20][25]. - The U.S. remains the largest market with a size of $11.3 billion in 2024, while China ranks fifth with a market size of $1.6 billion, showing a 9.6% growth [31][33]. 2. Record Companies: Core Artist Catalogs Maintain Premium - Major record companies like Universal Music Group (UMG), Sony Music, and Warner Music Group (WMG) dominate the market, with UMG holding a 32% share of the digital music market in 2023 [52][56]. - The record companies maintain a strong position through their extensive artist catalogs and global operations, while also facing competition from streaming platforms that are developing personalized content [42][74]. 3. Streaming: Differentiated Content and Pricing Power - Streaming platforms are increasingly diversifying their content offerings, which helps them reduce dependence on traditional copyright resources. For instance, Spotify's market share is 32%, while Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) holds 15% in the global streaming market [56][63]. - The ability to increase prices is a key growth driver for streaming services, with successful price hikes observed in the U.S. market [6][56]. 4. Conclusion and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on Tencent Music (TME US) and NetEase Cloud Music (09899.HK) due to their strong growth potential driven by both volume and pricing strategies, as well as the increasing share of self-produced content [6][74].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [2] Core Views - The report highlights a recovery in net interest margin and a significant increase in dividend payout ratio [1] - The company's revenue, pre-provision operating profit (PPOP), and net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 are projected to grow by 8.2%, 13.9%, and 6.2% year-on-year, respectively [6][11] - The report emphasizes the stability of asset quality, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 389% [6][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's total revenue growth for 2024 is 8.2%, with a PPOP growth of 13.9% and a net profit growth of 6.2% compared to the previous year [6][11] - The growth rates for revenue, PPOP, and net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 show slight improvements compared to the first quarter [11][19] Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio of 389%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [6][8] - The report notes a decrease in the attention loan ratio to 1.03%, suggesting improved asset quality management [6] Capital and Dividends - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio increased to 9.84%, reflecting a solid capital position [6][8] - The dividend payout ratio reached 21.91%, exceeding 20% for the first time, which enhances the company's attractiveness to investors [6][8] Growth Drivers - The report identifies strong growth in loan and deposit volumes, with loans and deposits increasing by 17.8% and 17.2% year-on-year, respectively [6][8] - The net interest margin is reported at 1.86%, showing a slight recovery due to improved funding costs [6][8] Valuation - The report estimates a reasonable value of 34.71 CNY per share based on a 1.1 times price-to-book (PB) ratio for 2024 [6][8]

[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|建筑材料 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 建筑材料行业 扩内需政策或持续加码，2025 年是盈利修复年 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]谢璐 SAC 执证号：S0260514080004 SFC CE No. BMB592 021-38003688 xielu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 张乾 SAC 执证号：S0260522080003 021-38003687 gzzhangqian@gf.com.cn 分析师： 吴红艳 SAC 执证号：S0260525020003 无 -24% -14% -5% 5% 14% 24% 04/24 06/24 08/24 11/24 01/25 04/25 建筑材料 沪深300 wuhongyan@gf.com.cn 请注意，张乾,吴红艳并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会 的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 建筑材料行业:水泥纳入碳市 | 2025-03-30 | | ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|证券Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 23 家上市券商 2024 年报总结 投资再现胜负手，投行触底迎新机 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2025-04-06 | [相对市场表现 Table_PicQuote] [分析师： Table_Author]陈福 SAC 执证号：S0260517050001 SFC CE No. BOB667 0755-82535901 chenfu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 严漪澜 SAC 执证号：S0260524070005 0755-88286912 yanyilan@gf.com.cn -14% 1% 16% 30% 45% 60% 04/24 06/24 08/24 11/24 01/25 03/25 证券Ⅱ 沪深300 请注意，严漪澜并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注 册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究： | | | --- ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of 36.00 CNY and a fair value of 39.35 CNY [2]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in the inland ship engine market and a pioneer in domestic diesel generator replacement, benefiting from policies promoting upgrades and a recovering domestic demand [6][8]. - The generator business is expected to experience rapid growth due to increasing demand from data centers driven by AI computing power, with the company capturing significant market share in upcoming tenders [8][60]. - The company forecasts a substantial increase in net profit from 326 million CNY in 2025 to 653 million CNY in 2027, supported by a projected 40x PE ratio for 2025 [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Weichai Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. is a high-tech enterprise with a comprehensive service network covering inland, coastal, and major islands in China, supported by over 300 maintenance stations [17][20]. - The company produces a wide range of engines and generators, establishing a full industry chain advantage in power solutions [23]. 2. Diesel Generator Business - The global diesel generator market is expected to grow steadily, with China becoming a key driver of this growth, increasing its market share from approximately 26.37% in 2018 to nearly 30% by 2030 [42][46]. - The company has seen significant growth in its generator business, with a revenue increase of 38.44% year-on-year in 2024, marking a new high [50]. 3. Inland Ship Engine Market - The company benefits from domestic policies promoting the replacement of aging vessels, which is expected to stabilize demand in the inland ship engine market [8][60]. - The introduction of new products aimed at reducing fuel consumption is expected to enhance the company's market share in the inland and near-coastal fishing vessel markets [8]. 4. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a steady increase in revenue from 40.02 billion CNY in 2024 to 89.87 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 27.5% in 2025 [7]. - The projected EBITDA for 2025 is 401 million CNY, with a net profit of 326 million CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 76.2% [7]. 5. Market Dynamics - The demand for diesel generators is expected to rise significantly due to the expansion of data centers, with the market size projected to reach 190 billion USD in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 86.9% [60][67]. - The company has successfully increased its market share in tenders, achieving a 40% share in the 2025-2026 bidding for high-pressure water-cooled diesel generators [71][81].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A/Buy-H" rating for the company, with a current price of 43.32 RMB/38.40 HKD and a fair value of 48.04 RMB/46.46 HKD [4][44]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 284.42 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.07%, and a net profit of 10.17 billion RMB, up 23.51% year-on-year [9][12]. - The report emphasizes the synergy between capacity and management cycles, indicating a continuous improvement in profitability [9][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of the economic cycle, with projections for EPS of 2.40, 2.80, and 3.34 RMB per share for 2025-2027 [9][44]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total business volume of 13.26 billion parcels, a growth of 11.5% year-on-year, with an average revenue per parcel of 15.52 RMB, down 3.4% [9][12]. - The EBITDA for 2024 was 29.05 billion RMB, with a projected EBITDA of 32.45 billion RMB in 2025 [2]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the express delivery segment was 122.21 billion RMB, growing by 5.85% year-on-year, while the economic express segment generated 27.25 billion RMB, up 8.78% [19][22]. - The freight segment achieved a revenue of 37.64 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 13.8% [26]. - The same-city delivery segment saw a revenue increase of 24.29%, reaching 90.11 billion RMB [31]. - The supply chain and international segment reported a revenue of 740 billion RMB, up 23.38% [32]. Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for 2024 was 13.93%, an increase of 1.11 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to network optimization and cost reduction measures [9][10]. - The report highlights the company's focus on high-quality service and operational efficiency, which has led to improved profitability across various segments [16][19]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with revenue projections of 315.85 billion RMB, 351.43 billion RMB, and 392.36 billion RMB for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 11% [40]. - The report anticipates that the company will maintain a stable growth rate in its core segments, driven by economic recovery and strategic investments [40][44].