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非银金融周报:科创板重启未盈利企业第五套上市标准,监管发文规范分红险-20250622
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-22 12:01
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent implementation of the fifth listing standard for unprofitable companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aimed at enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of the system to support high-quality technology enterprises [3][16] - Regulatory measures have been introduced to standardize dividend insurance, which is expected to lower the liability costs for insurance companies and promote sustainable dividend levels [4][19] Summary by Sections Market and Sector Performance - During the week of June 15-21, 2025, the average daily trading volume of A-shares was 12,150 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.4% week-on-week but an increase of 60.1% year-on-year [20] - The non-bank financial index fell by 1.09%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.64 percentage points, ranking 11th among all primary industries [2][13] - The securities sector declined by 1.73%, while the insurance sector saw a slight increase of 0.27% [2][13] Securities: Sci-Tech Innovation Board Reforms - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has introduced the "Opinions on Setting Up a Sci-Tech Growth Layer" to facilitate the listing of unprofitable enterprises on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [3][14] - The new measures include specific requirements for the growth layer's positioning, entry and exit conditions, and enhanced information disclosure [15][16] Insurance: Regulatory Changes - The National Financial Supervision Administration has issued guidelines to regulate dividend insurance, emphasizing the need for companies to justify their proposed dividend levels based on actual asset-liability and investment returns [4][19] - The guidelines aim to reduce competition based on inflated dividend levels and promote a more sustainable approach to dividend distribution [19]
有色能源金属行业周报:刚果金政府宣布延长3个月钴的临时禁令,全球钴供应预期有所收紧或对钴价有所支撑-20250622
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-22 11:46
证券研究报告|行业研究周报 刚果金政府宣布延长 3 个月钴的临时禁令,全 球钴供应预期有所收紧或对钴价有所支撑 [Table_Title2] 有色-能源金属行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: ►本周沪镍价格环比下跌,青山停产或进一步冲击印尼 本土镍矿开采 截止到 6 月 20 日,LME 镍现货结算价报收 14,770.00 美 元/吨,较 6 月 13 日下跌 1.34%,LME 镍总库存为 205,140.00 吨,较 6 月 13 日增加 3.85%;沪镍报收 11.87 万元/吨, 较 6 月 13 日下跌 1.16%,沪镍库存为 25,304.00 吨,较 6 月 13 日减少 1.51%;截止到 6 月 20 日,硫酸镍报收 28,500.00 元/ 吨,较 6 月 13 日价格持平。根据 SMM,从供给端来看,国内 和国际市场都显现出各自的复杂变化。国内方面,菲律宾镍矿 价格由于印尼需求增长,持续保持强劲运行态势。与此同时, 国内冶炼厂面临成本上升的压力,在成本倒挂的背景下,华东 地区的冶炼厂计划进入检修期,这将导致国内产量可能有所减 少。而在印尼方面,火法矿升水依然坚挺,冶炼 ...
公募REITs周速览:连涨七周,迎首批数据中心REITs
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-22 11:32
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From June 16 - 20, 2025, the China Securities REITs Total Return Index closed at 1124.63 points, up 0.88% week - on - week, with the market rising for seven consecutive weeks since April 30, 2025. The China Securities REITs (Closing) Index closed at 893.99 points, up 0.87% week - on - week. The total market value of China's REITs market reached 206.6 billion yuan, up 1.21% month - on - month after exceeding 200 billion yuan in early June, mainly driven by the rental housing and warehousing logistics sectors [1][8]. - In terms of major asset classes, the transportation infrastructure sector of REITs declined this week, while other assets rose, outperforming stocks, bonds, and futures [1][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market 3.1.1 Price - Among the seven REITs sectors this week, the highway sector fell 1.10%, while other asset types had positive growth. The rental housing sector led with a 4.41% increase, and REITs with expansion plans continued to be favored. The municipal environmental protection sector rose 3.27%, ranking second, mainly driven by the 8.10% increase of the Guotai Junan Jinan Energy Heating REIT [13]. 3.1.2 Liquidity - The overall market trading remained highly active this week, with an average daily trading volume of 569 million yuan, an average daily trading volume of 118 million shares, and an average daily turnover rate of 0.60%, up 3.80%, - 0.79%, and 0 pct respectively week - on - week [21]. - The sectors with the highest average daily turnover rates this week were rental housing (0.85%), municipal environmental protection (0.83%), and energy facilities (0.78%). The high trading activity in the consumer facilities sector this week was mainly driven by the Huaan Bailian Consumer REIT [24]. 3.1.3 Valuation - The rental housing sector's valuation yield is currently at a historical low, with a relatively consistent valuation among projects, averaging 2.67%. The consumer sector REITs are still in a high - valuation state, with the ChinaBond valuation yield of the Jiashi Wumei project turning negative. The valuations of the industrial park infrastructure, municipal environmental protection, transportation infrastructure, and warehousing logistics sectors are more differentiated [29]. 3.2 Primary Market 3.2.1 Initial Offerings - Since 2025, 8 projects have been listed, raising 13.4 billion yuan. As of June 20, 2025, there are about 12 - 15 potential issuance projects this year, with an expected total issuance scale of over 20 billion yuan, and the market total scale is expected to exceed 220 billion yuan [3][37]. - Four REITs were approved this week. On June 18, the 2025 Lujiazui Forum announced that the CSRC would approve the registration of the first two data center REITs in the country. On June 19, the Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT and the Chuangjin Hexin Shounong Industrial Park REIT were also officially approved [3][39]. 3.2.2 Other News This Week - Multiple cultural and tourism public REITs projects were launched. On June 12, a tender was issued for the Qingcheng Mountain - Dujiangyan Scenic Area Infrastructure REITs project. The Lijiang Tourism Development Investment Group Co., Ltd. announced a tender to issue cultural and tourism infrastructure public REITs based on the Yulong Snow Mountain, with an intended issuance scale of no less than 2.5 billion yuan [50].
GPT-5或于今夏面世,5月国内游戏市场同比增长近10%
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-22 09:12
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights & Investment Recommendations - GPT-5 is expected to be released this summer, marking a significant step towards achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The integration of natural language capabilities and scientific reasoning will enhance model performance and improve application sentiment [2][24] - The Chinese gaming market experienced a year-on-year growth of 9.86% in May 2025, reaching a market size of 28.051 billion yuan. Mobile games grew by 11.96%, driven by new and mature products [2][24] - The report suggests a cautious outlook on trade negotiations, emphasizing AI as a key investment direction amid global macroeconomic fluctuations. It highlights the importance of technology innovation and self-sufficiency for long-term development [3][25] - Recommended investment opportunities include leading internet companies in Hong Kong, the gaming industry, and the film and cultural tourism sectors, with specific companies identified as beneficiaries [3][25] Summary by Sections Market Overview - During the 24th week of 2025, major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the Hang Seng Index saw declines of 0.51% and 2.25%, respectively. The SW Media Index fell by 1.81% [12][17] Sub-industry Data Gaming Industry - The gaming market in China is showing robust growth, with significant contributions from new releases and established products. The resilience of the overseas market is highlighted, with localization becoming a core competitive barrier [2][24] - The top three iOS games are "Honor of Kings," "Peacekeeper Elite," and "Genshin Impact," while the top three Android games are "Heart Town," "Sword and Legend," and "Genshin Impact" [30][31] Film Industry - The top three films by box office revenue are "Sauce Garden Case" (76.669 million yuan), "New Dragon Trainer" (48.016 million yuan), and "Breakup List" (25.714 million yuan) [27][28] TV Series Industry - The top three TV series based on viewership index are "Ling Jiang Xian" (82.1), "Seven Roots Heart Simple" (76.6), and "Chang'an's Lychee" (81) [33][34] Variety and Animation - The leading variety show is "Infinite Overcoming Class Season 3," followed by "Mahua Special Happiness Season 2" and "Hahaha Season 5" [35] - The top animation series includes "Cang Yuan Tu" and its related series, with a viewership index of 328.9 [36]
类权益周报:地缘冲突的涟漪-20250622
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-22 09:11
证券研究报告|宏观研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 22 日 [Table_Title] 地缘冲突的涟漪 [Table_Title2] 类权益周报 [Table_Summary] ► 行情回顾:地缘冲突的涟漪 6 月 9-13 日,权益市场高位回落。截至 2025 年 6 月 20 日, 万得全 A 收盘价为 5087.26,较 6 月 13 日下跌 1.07%。 小微盘行情显著承压,是本周市场较为关键的边际变化,这 或是在主动调和积累已久的结构性矛盾。5 月底中证 2000 拥 挤度达到历史高位,这对小微盘行情的支撑逻辑提出了更高 的要求。而地缘冲突的加剧则给了市场主动释放风险的窗 口,中证 2000 加速下跌。 ► 海外线索:以伊冲突延续,美联储继续暂停降息 本周以伊冲突延续,未见缓和迹象。同时,美联储继续暂停 降息,表态略偏鹰,预测偏向"滞胀",推动美元走强。此 外,美国核心零售韧性仍存,汽车零售大幅放缓。日本方 面,日本央行维持利率不变,明年起削减购债规模。 整体来看,海外"乱纪元"的叙事并未改变,继关税之后, 中东地缘冲突爆发,美国搅入其中,进一步推升不确定性。 此外,距离 ...
电力设备与新能源行业周观察:固态电池产业化推进,美国储能补贴有望延长
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-22 09:11
证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 6 月 22 日 [Table_Title] 固态电池产业化推进,美国储能补贴有望延长 特斯拉 Optimus gen3 推进研发 随着国内外企业布局&AI 技术突破,人形机器有望迎来量产落地 时点。在降本需求的驱动下,人形机器人核心零部件的国产替 代需求强烈,市场空间广阔,率先取得突破的国内企业有望深 度受益。 2.新能源汽车 固态电池产业化不断推进 我们认为,电池技术的升级迭代始终是终端需求扩大的核心推 动力,固态电池凭借高能量密度以及高安全性等优势,成为确 定性的下一代电池技术方向。随着电池技术的成熟以及产业链 配套的完善,固态相关新产品有望陆续发布、产能建设不断落 地、终端性能预计持续获得验证,固态电池的产业化进程加 速。材料、电池、设备等全产业链各环节均有望实现迭代升 级,看好具备技术优势、订单率先落地以及实现放量的公司。 3.新能源 美国参议院修订美丽大法案,储能补贴有望延长 我们认为,此次美国修订后法案延长了储能 ITC 补贴时间+放松 补贴门槛,若该法案通过,则明确利好美国大储市场景气度。 目前美国仍是高溢价高盈利市场,此次放 ...
稳定币+RWA:跃向数字金融3.0
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-21 11:33
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Stablecoins are emerging as a new global digital currency solution, characterized by asset anchoring, low volatility, and high settlement efficiency, becoming essential tools for on-chain payments and cross-border settlements. The current phase is marked by accelerated policy development and the establishment of compliance frameworks, transitioning stablecoins from a gray area to institutionalized development. A diverse ecosystem of stablecoins is expected to coexist in the future [2] - Real World Assets (RWA) emphasize the digital circulation of real-world assets (such as photovoltaic and real estate rights) through on-chain verification and mapping. The initial focus is on green energy and industrial equipment assets, with preliminary mechanisms for on-chain yield mapping and cross-border issuance established. RWA is transitioning from a technical concept to a verifiable and tradable asset form, entering a phase driven by practical demand [2] Summary by Sections 01 Stablecoins: A Global Digital Currency Solution - Stablecoins are designed to maintain price stability, typically pegged to fiat currencies or commodities, and are increasingly used for transactions and value storage. They play a crucial role in the volatile cryptocurrency market, particularly in cross-border payments [10] - The development of stablecoins in Hong Kong is supported by the establishment of a digital currency infrastructure, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) initiating the digital Hong Kong dollar project and conducting trials for tokenized asset settlements [16][19] - The HKMA's regulatory sandbox for stablecoin issuers is progressing, with several institutions participating in testing mechanisms for issuance and reserve management [19] 02 RWA: From Concept to Implementation - RWA is defined as non-digital assets and related rights that are tokenized for on-chain trading. As of June 2025, the total value of global on-chain RWA assets has surpassed $23.3 billion [36] - Stablecoins serve as a bridge between traditional finance and the crypto world, enhancing liquidity and efficiency in RWA transactions, and enabling innovative financial products [37][41] - The integration of stablecoins with RWA facilitates cross-border payments and reduces transaction costs, making it easier for investors to engage in fragmented asset investments [44] 03 Industry Chain and Development Status: Policy-Driven, Compliance-Enhanced - The industry is supported by a three-tier structure: upstream providing technology and compliance support, midstream focusing on asset tokenization, and downstream involving applications in payments and investments [58] - The overall industry is still in an exploratory phase, with significant room for improvement in infrastructure, legal frameworks, and application ecosystems [58] - The report highlights the competitive landscape, noting key players such as Ant Group and JD.com, which are actively developing stablecoin and RWA projects [74][81]
一线二手房销售五连跌
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-21 09:55
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The second - hand housing transaction in 15 cities increased slightly week - on - week but decreased year - on - year, and the year - on - year growth rate has narrowed since June. The new housing transaction in 38 cities increased week - on - week but the year - on - year decline widened [1][2]. - The second - hand housing in first - tier cities decreased week - on - week for five consecutive weeks, while the new housing increased week - on - week. The second - hand and new housing in second - and third - tier cities showed different trends [1][2][3]. - In key cities, the second - hand and new housing transactions in first - tier cities had different performance in terms of week - on - week and year - on - year changes. The housing prices in first - tier cities also showed a downward trend in May [24][50]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Transaction Volume Observation 3.1.1 Second - hand Housing - In the week of June 13 - 19, the transaction area of second - hand housing in 15 cities was 2.34 million square meters, with a week - on - week increase of 3% and a year - on - year decrease of 5%. The year - on - year growth rate since June narrowed to 1% [1]. - First - tier cities' second - hand housing decreased week - on - week for five consecutive weeks, with a 2% decline. Among them, Shenzhen and Shanghai decreased by 10% and 4% respectively, while Beijing increased by 5%. Second - and third - tier cities' second - hand housing increased week - on - week for two consecutive weeks, with growth rates of 4% and 14% respectively [1][2]. 3.1.2 New Housing - In the week of June 13 - 19, the transaction area of new housing in 38 cities was 2.68 million square meters, with a week - on - week increase of about 5% and a year - on - year decrease of 14%. The year - on - year decline was larger than that in previous months [2]. - First - tier cities' new housing increased week - on - week by 2%, with Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen increasing by 32%, 8%, and 8% respectively, while Shanghai decreased by 16%. Second - tier cities' new housing decreased week - on - week by 1%, and third - tier cities' new housing increased week - on - week by 18% [2][3]. 3.2 Key City Observation 3.2.1 First - tier Cities - Second - hand housing: In the week of June 13 - 19, the transaction area of second - hand housing in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen decreased week - on - week by 2%. Shanghai and Shenzhen decreased year - on - week, while Beijing increased. In June 1 - 19, Beijing and Shenzhen increased year - on - month, while Shanghai decreased [24]. - New housing: In the week of June 13 - 19, the transaction area of new housing in first - tier cities increased week - on - week by 2%. Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen increased, while Shanghai decreased. In June 1 - 19, Beijing and Shanghai increased year - on - month, while Shenzhen and Guangzhou decreased [24][25]. 3.2.2 Other Key Cities - In Hangzhou, the second - hand and new housing transaction areas decreased week - on - week by 7% and 1% respectively in the week of June 13 - 19. In Chengdu, the second - hand housing transaction area increased week - on - week by 5%, and the new housing transaction area decreased week - on - week by 17% [24][25]. 3.3 Price Observation - In May, the second - hand housing price index in first - tier cities decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year. The month - on - month decline was 0.7%, and the year - on - year decline was 2.7%. The new housing price index in first - tier cities also showed a downward trend, with a month - on - month decline of 0.2% and a year - on - year decline of 1.7% [50].
估值周报(0616-0620):最新A股、港股、美股估值怎么看?-20250621
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-21 07:51
证券研究报告 全球主要指数估值总览 图表1:全球主要指数PE(TTM) 注:自2010年1月起,截至2025年6月20日 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 上证指数 创业板指 恒生指数 恒生科技 标普500 纳斯达克指数 道琼斯工业指数 日经225 德国DAX 中位数 最大值 最小值 现值 A股 港股 美股 日股 德股 资料来源: wind ,华西证券研究所 最新A股、港股、美股估值怎么看? ——估值周报(0616-0620) 李立峰 SAC NO:S1120520090003 冯逸华 SAC NO:S1120523070007 2025年6月21日 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 风险提示 3 一、A股市场估值水平 二、A股行业估值水平 三、部分机构集中持有个股估值水平 四、港股市场估值水平 五、港股行业估值水平 六、美股市场估值水平 七、中概股估值、中美银行股估值比较 1.1 A股绝对估值变化 2 目录 资料来源: wind ,华西证券研究所 4 4 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 40 50 60 15.17 2010-01 2011-01 2012-01 2 ...
君亭酒店(301073):加盟扩张+国际酒店合作,强组合拳打破传统成长框架
HUAXI Securities· 2025-06-20 03:56
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [4] Core Insights - Junting Hotels is a leader in mid-to-high-end hotel management, leveraging strong operational capabilities to create a business and leisure service matrix [1][14] - The company is expanding its franchise business and collaborating with international hotel giants to enhance inbound tourism and business travel demand [2][3] - The company aims to transform into a hotel management platform, with multiple revenue streams expected to contribute to growth [8] Company Overview - Junting Hotels operates under three main brands: Junting, Junlan, and Jinglan, with a focus on unique cultural characteristics and tailored services [1][14] - The company has established a joint venture for franchise operations, targeting a thousand stores within three years, covering key urban areas and tourist cities [3][14] Financial Performance - The company has experienced revenue growth, with projected revenues of 806 million, 1.062 billion, and 1.437 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.2%, 31.8%, and 35.3% [8][10] - The net profit is expected to reach 64 million, 128 million, and 230 million yuan for the same years, with corresponding EPS of 0.33, 0.66, and 1.18 yuan [8][10] Industry Context - The hotel industry is entering a phase of stock competition, with an increasing focus on mid-range and high-end hotel chains, while luxury hotel chain growth is under pressure [41][44] - The demand for high-quality service experiences is rising, leading to a shift in consumer preferences towards mid-range and high-end hotels [41][44]