► 生产经营情况 2025Q4 权益黄金产量为 24.24 万盎司（7.54 吨），环比增加 27.6%，同比增加 37.2%。 2025 年权益黄金产量为 76.59 万盎司（23.82 吨），同比增加 14.9%。实现公司 2025 年产量指导值的中位数目标。此前所有 运营项目均创下季度产量纪录，其中 Côté金矿更达到其指导 目标的上限值。 现金成本预计将达到 2025 年指导区间（1,375-1,475 美元/盎 司）的上限，全维持成本（AISC）预计接近 2025 年指导区间 （1,830 至 1,930 美元/盎司）的中点。 证券研究报告|行业研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 9 日 [Table_Title] IAMGOLD 2025Q4 权益黄金产量环比增加 27.6% 至 7.54 吨，2026 年产量指引为 72 万至 82 万盎司 [Table_Title2] 有色金属-海外季报 [Table_Summary] 季报重点内容: 预计将创下历史最高收入，初步年度黄金销量为 817,800 盎司 （Côté项目 70% | Essakane 和 Westwood 项目 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [8] Core Insights - The report highlights the production and sales performance of various aluminum and metal operations, indicating a mixed performance across different regions and products [2][4][6][7][9][10][11][15][17][18][20]. Production and Sales Summary - Worsley alumina production in Q4 2025 was 959,000 tons, a 10% decrease year-on-year but a 3% increase quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 985,000 tons, up 2% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - Brazil alumina production in Q4 2025 was 355,000 tons, a 2% increase year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 387,000 tons, up 6% year-on-year and 17% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - Brazil electrolytic aluminum production in Q4 2025 was 37,000 tons, a 9% increase year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 45,000 tons, up 25% year-on-year and 55% quarter-on-quarter [6]. - Hillside electrolytic aluminum production in Q4 2025 was 181,000 tons, a 1% decrease year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 187,000 tons, down 3% year-on-year but up 11% quarter-on-quarter [7]. - Mozal electrolytic aluminum production in Q4 2025 was 90,000 tons, flat year-on-year and down 3% quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 62,000 tons, down 30% year-on-year and 38% quarter-on-quarter [9]. - Sierra Gorda copper mine produced 18,000 tons in Q4 2025, a 6% decrease year-on-year and a 2% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 19,300 tons, down 4% year-on-year but up 12% quarter-on-quarter [10]. - Cannington zinc mine produced 54,500 tons in Q4 2025, a 29% decrease year-on-year but a 13% increase quarter-on-quarter, with silver production of 242,000 ounces, down 35% year-on-year but up 17% quarter-on-quarter [11]. - Cerro Matoso nickel mine produced 5,600 tons in Q4 2025, a 43% decrease year-on-year and a 40% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 5,000 tons, down 44% year-on-year and 51% quarter-on-quarter [14]. - Australia manganese production in Q4 2025 was 806,000 wet tons, a 26% increase year-on-year but a 6% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 865,000 wet tons, down 8% quarter-on-quarter [15]. - South Africa manganese production in Q4 2025 was 506,000 wet tons, a 4% increase year-on-year and flat quarter-on-quarter, with sales of 546,000 wet tons, up 10% year-on-year [17]. Development Projects Update - The Hermosa project saw an investment of $338 million in growth capital expenditures in the first half of FY2026, focusing on the construction of the Taylor zinc-lead-silver project and exploration of the Clark battery-grade manganese deposit [18]. - The Ambler Metals project has a budget of approximately $35 million for FY2026, focusing on exploration and development activities for high-grade Arctic polymetallic deposits [20]. - Exploration projects in promising areas are being advanced with an investment of $15 million in the first half of FY2026, including $14 million for the Hermosa project [21].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the copper production of Vale increased by 6.2% year-on-year to 108,100 tons, marking the highest quarterly output since 2018, driven by record production at the Salobo mine and stable operations at Sossego and Canadian polymetallic assets [2] - Nickel production in Q4 2025 reached 46,200 tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, supported by the successful commissioning of the second furnace at Onça Puma and capacity enhancements at the Voisey's Bay underground mine [2] - Iron ore production in Q4 2025 was 90,403,000 tons, up 6.0% year-on-year, primarily due to strong performance at the Brucutu mine and ongoing production increases at the Capanema and VGR1 projects [2] Production Summary - Q4 2025 copper production was 108.1 thousand metric tons, a 6.2% increase from Q4 2024 and a 19.1% increase from Q3 2025 [9] - Q4 2025 nickel production was 46.2 thousand metric tons, a 1.5% increase year-on-year but a 1.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter [9] - Q4 2025 iron ore production was 90,403 thousand metric tons, a 6.0% increase year-on-year but a 4.2% decrease quarter-on-quarter [9] Sales Summary - Q4 2025 copper sales were 106.9 thousand metric tons, an 8.0% increase year-on-year and an 18.8% increase quarter-on-quarter [10] - Q4 2025 nickel sales reached 49.6 thousand metric tons, a 5.3% increase year-on-year and a 15.6% increase quarter-on-quarter [10] - Q4 2025 iron ore sales were 84,874 thousand metric tons, a 4.5% increase year-on-year but a 1.3% decrease quarter-on-quarter [10] Average Realization Prices - The average realization price for copper in Q4 2025 was $11,003 per ton, a year-on-year increase of 19.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.1% [11] - The average realization price for nickel in Q4 2025 was $15,015 per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 7.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.8% [11] - The average realization price for iron ore fines in Q4 2025 was $95.4 per ton, a year-on-year increase of 2.6% [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company held its annual meeting on February 6, 2026, outlining strategic directions and highlighting key achievements from 2025, indicating a strong performance outlook for the new year [2][3] - The company expects significant revenue growth, with projected sales of over 100 million units for LABUBU and over 400 million units across all product categories in 2025 [3] - The company is expanding its business to over 100 countries and regions, with more than 700 global stores, enhancing its supply chain capabilities with six major supply chain bases [3] - New product launches have shown strong performance, particularly in domestic and overseas markets, contributing to a positive sales outlook for the new year [4] - The company is diversifying its brand universe by expanding into various sectors, including theme parks, desserts, jewelry, and entertainment [5] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 383.84 billion, 527.68 billion, and 656.98 billion CNY respectively, with net profits of 132.91 billion, 185.99 billion, and 239.1 billion CNY [6][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 9.91, 13.86, and 17.82 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 22, 16, and 12 [6][8]

Group 1: Meituan's Acquisition of Dingdong Maicai - Meituan announced the acquisition of Dingdong Maicai's China business for approximately $717 million (about 4.98 billion RMB) on February 5, 2026[1] - Dingdong Maicai's market value was $694 million (approximately 4.82 billion RMB) prior to the announcement[1] - Dingdong Maicai has achieved a historical high in revenue and GMV in Q3 2025, with revenue of 6.66 billion RMB and GMV of 7.27 billion RMB, marking seven consecutive quarters of GAAP profitability[1][11] Group 2: Ctrip's Spring Festival Travel Forecast - Ctrip's 2026 Spring Festival travel forecast indicates that family travel will account for over 50% of bookings, with Nanjing emerging as a popular destination during the holiday[2] - The number of pre-orders for travel to Shantou increased by 186% year-on-year, leading the list of emerging destinations[2][14] - The average price of family rooms is 9% higher than other room types, reflecting the growing demand for family-oriented travel[2][15] Group 3: Regulatory Standards for Prepared Dishes - The National Health Commission proposed a standard for prepared dishes, stating that the shelf life should not exceed 12 months and that preservatives are prohibited[3][22] - The standard aims to align with public consumption habits and ensure the safety and nutritional quality of prepared dishes[3][22] - The use of food additives should be minimized, and only those necessary for production should be allowed[3][23]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company held its annual meeting on February 6, outlining strategic directions for 2026 and highlighting significant achievements from 2025. The company expects strong performance in the new year, driven by new product launches and the long-term commercial value of its IP operation platform [2][3] - The company anticipates substantial revenue growth, with LABUBU's annual sales expected to exceed 100 million units and total product sales across all categories projected to surpass 400 million units in 2025. The average price of products is over 100 yuan [3] - The company is expanding its business to over 100 countries and regions, with more than 700 global stores, and has solidified its supply chain capabilities with six major supply chain bases [3] - New products have performed well, with significant growth in GMV on domestic platforms like Douyin. The company has launched several new series, which are expected to support strong performance in the new year [4] - The company is diversifying its IP portfolio, establishing a "Pop Mart brand universe" that includes amusement parks, desserts, jewelry, and entertainment [5] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 38.38 billion, 52.77 billion, and 65.70 billion yuan, respectively. Net profit estimates for the same period are 13.29 billion, 18.60 billion, and 23.91 billion yuan, with EPS expected to be 9.91, 13.86, and 17.82 yuan [6][8] - The company maintains a gross margin of approximately 71% in the forecast period, with a projected PE ratio decreasing from 22 to 12 over the same period [8]

Group 1: Meituan's Acquisition of Dingdong Maicai - Meituan announced the acquisition of Dingdong Maicai for approximately $717 million (about 4.98 billion RMB), acquiring 100% of its China business while the overseas operations will be divested before the transaction closes [1][10] - Dingdong Maicai, founded in 2017, focuses on fresh produce delivery within 29 minutes and has expanded rapidly during the pandemic, increasing its front warehouses from 550 in 2019 to nearly 1,400 by the end of 2021 [1][10] - The acquisition aligns with both companies' development philosophies, leveraging strengths in product offerings, technology, and operations, with Dingdong Maicai expected to enhance its market position amid competition in the East China market [1][12] Group 2: Ctrip's 2026 Spring Festival Travel Market Forecast - Ctrip's forecast indicates that the Spring Festival travel market in 2026 is expected to set a record for the "hottest Spring Festival," driven by factors such as extended holidays and a surge in family travel, with family trips accounting for over half of the bookings [2][22] - Southern cities dominate the list of emerging travel destinations, with Shantou leading the growth in bookings with a 186% year-on-year increase, followed by other southern cities experiencing significant growth [2][15] - The trend of "reverse Spring Festival travel" is gaining traction, with international tourists showing increased interest in experiencing the Chinese New Year, particularly from countries like Russia and South Korea, with booking increases of 471% and 95% respectively [2][21] Group 3: National Standards for Prepared Dishes - The National Health Commission has released a draft standard for prepared dishes, which prohibits the use of preservatives and sets a maximum shelf life of 12 months for these products [3][24] - The standard aims to address public concerns regarding the shelf life of prepared dishes, ensuring that they maintain quality and flavor, which are key consumer expectations [5][24] - It emphasizes minimizing the use of food additives, requiring that they do not compromise the nutritional value of the food and are only used when necessary [6][25]

[Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 08 日 [Table_Title] 关注商业航天，坚定算力基建扩张 证券研究报告|行业点评报告 [Table_Title2] 通信 [Table_Summary] 1、关注商业航天，持续进展催化市场关注度上升 当前时点，国内低轨卫星批量发射已进入实质阶段，与商业航天 高度重合，在相关政策、产业驱动，卫星网络作为 6G 网络建设基 础，当前时点建设确定性较强。伴随可回收火箭预研阶段开启首 个发射项目，后续多家商业火箭可回收发射计划有序进展，商业 航天进入加速落地阶段，卫星互联网发展势头迅猛，星座常态化 发射，实现通信容量增大，时延降低，同时有望看到手机宽带直 连卫星与低轨卫星网联智能驾驶系统的相关应用快速落地。卫星 通信、卫星物联网相关受益标的。 2、四部门发文加快培育数据流通服务机构 当前时点，面临近期的流动性担忧以及外围风险厌恶情绪传 导，我们预计市场仍将保持震荡，板块建议相对谨慎，中性配 置。 尽管短期市场对海外加大资本开支背景下 AI 相关收入的疑 惑，以及对 AI 软件板块受挫，但是我们认为目前 AI 发展阶段 仍处于 Scale up 和 Scal ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The China Securities REITs Total Return Index closed at 1042.83 points this week, down 0.91% week - on - week. The average daily trading volume, average daily turnover, and average daily turnover rate decreased by 16.39%, 18.49%, and 0.10 pct respectively, indicating a market decline with shrinking trading volume. The listing of Huaxia Zhonghe Clean Energy REIT on February 2, 2026, with a first - day closing increase of 28.16%, is expected to boost the attention of primary issuance and subscription [1][12]. - Two new commercial real estate REITs were accepted this week. The total planned fundraising scale of the 10 commercial real estate REITs under review has reached 37.7 billion yuan. The market is worried about the supply shock of commercial real estate REITs, and the current distribution rate of listed consumer facility REITs is lower than that of commercial real estate REITs under review, which may limit the upward space of listed consumer facility REITs [2][7]. - All asset sectors in the secondary market declined this week, with the consumer facilities sector having the largest decline of 1.74% and the energy facilities sector having the smallest decline of 0.27%. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market - Two new commercial real estate REITs were accepted this week. Everbright Prudential Everbright Anshi REIT, to be listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, has two shopping malls as underlying assets and plans to raise 4.905 billion yuan. Huatai Zijin Huazhu Anzhu REIT, the first commercial real estate REIT on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, has hotel projects as underlying assets and plans to raise 1.32 billion yuan [2][18]. - Among the 10 commercial real estate REITs under review, there are two hotel - type REITs. The Huazhu project has better location, occupancy, and room rates than the Jinjiang project but is restricted by the "trading price for volume" strategy. The Jinjiang project has a certain risk - diversification effect due to a large number of hotels in different regions [3][23]. - As of February 6, 2026, 10 infrastructure REITs projects are in the inquiry and feedback stage, and 1 project has been accepted [4][24]. 3.2 Secondary Market - All asset sectors declined this week, with the consumer facilities sector having the largest decline, followed by new - type facilities and rental housing, and the energy facilities sector having the smallest decline [25]. - The IDC sector continued to decline this week. Benefiting from the strong demand in the AI computing power sector, the future operating demand of the projects is sustainable, and attention can be paid to opportunities brought by subsequent asset fluctuations [5][27]. - The energy facilities sector had the smallest decline. It is recommended to focus on natural gas power generation, hydropower assets with high stability, or projects with a high guarantee of distributable amounts [6][30]. - The consumer infrastructure sector had the largest decline. After this adjustment, attention can still be paid to consumer facility REITs with high distribution rates, such as Hua'an Bailian Consumption, Jiashi Wumei Consumption, and CICC Yinli Consumption [6][33]. - The industrial park sector had few rising bonds. It is recommended to pay attention to park REITs with stable fundamentals, income distribution adjustment mechanisms, and high distribution rates [37]. - The REITs trading sentiment weakened this week, with the average daily trading volume, average daily turnover, and average daily turnover rate decreasing. The consumer infrastructure sector was actively traded, while the turnover rates of other asset sectors declined [41][45].

Market Overview - From late January to early February, significant global events disrupted asset pricing, leading to fluctuations in gold and silver prices, and a notable decline of 2.48% in the Shanghai Composite Index on February 2[20] - The domestic bond market saw a window for growth, with the yield on 30-year government bonds decreasing by 4 basis points (bp) to 2.22%[20] Bond Market Characteristics - The current bond market is characterized by three main features: a decline in risk appetite, ample liquidity, and favorable supply-demand dynamics[2] - Risk appetite has weakened, with the performance of risk assets declining compared to mid-December to mid-January, leading to a shift of funds back to fixed income[2] - Despite an increase in bond supply in February, demand remains strong, with government bonds seeing good subscription rates and a high coverage ratio of over 12 times for some issuances[2] Inflation Concerns - Inflation remains a key concern, with January's Producer Price Index (PPI) expected to show a month-on-month increase of approximately 0.3%, driven by rising commodity prices[3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is anticipated to rebound significantly in February due to the effects of the Spring Festival, with both year-on-year and month-on-month growth expected to rise[3] Yield Dynamics - The 10-year government bond yield is currently stable at around 1.80%, indicating resistance to a systemic decline in interest rates[20] - The yield spread between 30-year and 10-year government bonds has compressed from 48bp to 44bp, driven by buying interest from funds and smaller banks[4] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected adjustments in monetary policy, liquidity changes, and fiscal policy shifts that could impact market stability[5]