Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rapid growth and significant user engagement of WeChat mini-games, with monthly active users reaching 300 million for IAP mini-games and 400 million for IAA mini-games [1] - The developer ecosystem for WeChat mini-games has surpassed 400,000 developers, with over 5,000 developers publishing their first works on the platform in 2025 [1] - The mini-game ecosystem is becoming a new fertile ground for IP value derivation, with 70 mini-games achieving daily active users in the millions and over 300 games generating quarterly revenues exceeding 10 million [1] Group 2 - 80% of the developers on the WeChat mini-game platform are teams of 30 or fewer members, allowing smaller teams to find opportunities in a market dominated by larger investments [2] - The introduction of a new incentive policy for IAP mini-games, increasing the maximum incentive for newly launched games to 4 million, is a key driver for the growth of the mini-game ecosystem [2] - The revenue-sharing model has been adjusted, with developers receiving an additional 15% discount on top of the 70% revenue share, enhancing financial support for smaller teams [2] Group 3 - The contribution of mini-games to Tencent's financial performance is evident, with growth in video account live service revenue and mini-game platform service fees contributing to a 5% increase in social network revenue in Tencent's Q3 2025 financial report [3] Group 4 - The "going global" strategy for mini-games is accelerating, with the PC segment becoming the fastest-growing area, showing a 30% increase in active users and a 35% increase in in-game purchases in 2025 [4] - WeChat mini-games will launch a high-performance mode for PC mini-games in 2026, supporting higher quality art resources and larger game content [4] - AI technology is being integrated into the mini-game ecosystem, with a new initiative providing developers with cloud development resources, AI computing power, data analysis, and advertising monetization support [4] Group 5 - The changes in the mini-game landscape indicate a shift towards quality, long-term operation, and intelligent development, suggesting that the industry is maturing and will focus on comprehensive operational capabilities [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of practical learning experiences in cutting-edge technology and investment research, highlighting the collaboration between entrepreneurs and top-tier companies to explore new opportunities in emerging industries [12][24]. Schedule Overview - The schedule for 2025 includes visits to leading companies in various sectors such as AI, robotics, and new energy, with specific dates and locations outlined for each event [5][9][10]. - Notable events include visits to companies like Tesla, Google, and various AI and robotics firms, providing participants with firsthand insights into industry trends and innovations [7][8][24]. Learning Experience - The program offers deep exploration into the development of cutting-edge technologies, allowing participants to witness the entire process from laboratory to industrialization [12]. - Participants engage in top-level dialogues with founders and executives, gaining insights into strategic decisions and industry disruption logic [12][24]. Participant Feedback - Feedback from participants highlights the value of the program in enhancing their understanding of macroeconomic trends and investment strategies, as well as fostering connections among entrepreneurs [46][47]. - Participants express appreciation for the practical approach of the program, which combines theoretical knowledge with real-world applications in leading technology firms [42][44].

Group 1 - Major blue-chip stocks mostly declined, with HSBC Holdings closing at HKD 128.695, up 0.15% from the previous close in Hong Kong; Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 612.833, down 0.76% [2] - Tencent Holdings reported a latest price of HKD 617.500, with a decrease of HKD 4.500 or 0.72%; its ADR price is HKD 612.833, reflecting a decline of HKD 4.667 [3] - HSBC Holdings had a latest price of HKD 128.500, increasing by HKD 0.300 or 0.23%; its ADR price is HKD 128.695, showing a slight increase of HKD 0.195 [3] Group 2 - Other notable stocks include China Construction Bank at HKD 7.830, down 0.25%, and Xiaomi Group at HKD 37.100, down 2.01% [3] - AIA Group saw a decline of HKD 1.300 or 1.53%, closing at HKD 83.550; its ADR price is HKD 83.075, down HKD 0.475 [3] - Meituan-W closed at HKD 100.000, down 0.79%, while JD.com saw a decrease of HKD 1.500 or 1.30%, closing at HKD 113.600 [3]

Company Overview - Tencent's main businesses in gaming, advertising, finance, and enterprise services are expected to maintain high-quality growth, with AI accelerating talent deployment [1] Gaming Performance - Domestic gaming revenue is projected to grow by 12% year-on-year in Q4, supported by stable performance of established games like "Honor of Kings" and rising revenue from new titles like "Delta Action" [1] - Overseas gaming growth is expected to normalize with a 24% year-on-year increase in Q4, driven by high revenue from Supercell's "Clash Royale" [1] - For 2026, revenue growth is anticipated to be influenced by deferred income from high revenue in 2025 and upcoming titles such as "Honor of Kings World" and "Crossfire: Rainbow" [1] Advertising and Financial Services - Advertising revenue is expected to grow by 19% year-on-year in Q4 2025, with healthy growth anticipated in 2026 due to deeper utilization of ecosystems like video accounts and mini-programs, as well as enhanced user engagement through AI [2] - Financial and enterprise services revenue is projected to grow by 10% year-on-year in Q4 2025, with financial services experiencing a potential slowdown in payment growth due to macroeconomic disturbances [2] - Enterprise services are expected to benefit from revenue growth in video account e-commerce technology services and cloud computing [2] AI Strategy and R&D Investment - Tencent's AI strategy is entering an accelerated phase, with significant R&D investments expected to continue growing [2] - The appointment of former OpenAI researcher Yao Shunyu as Chief AI Scientist and the release of the 2.0 version of the mixed Yuan model in December highlight the company's commitment to AI development [2] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2025 remain unchanged, while the 2026 revenue forecast has been slightly reduced by 1% to 831.7 billion yuan [2] - Non-IFRS profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been increased by 1% to 262.9 billion yuan and 294.8 billion yuan, respectively, with new projections for 2027 set at 903.5 billion yuan in revenue and 326.9 billion yuan in profit [2] Rating and Target Price - The company maintains a "outperform" rating with a target price of 700 HKD, corresponding to 19x/17x 2026e/2027e Non-IFRS P/E, indicating an 11% upside from the current stock price [3]

Core Insights - The article discusses the growing trend of User-Generated Content (UGC) in high Daily Active User (DAU) games, allowing players to create and share their own game content, which helps alleviate development pressures and enhances social engagement [2][6][10] Group 1: UGC Implementation in Games - Major DAU games are adopting UGC models to distribute development tasks to players, enabling them to create diverse gameplay experiences and address content development bottlenecks [2][6] - "Genshin Impact" launched its UGC mode "Thousand Star Realm" in October 2025, attracting over 30,000 creators and generating over 150 million total play sessions by January 3, 2026 [3] - Tencent's "Peacekeeper Elite" introduced its UGC mode "Oasis Genesis" in 2021, achieving over 33 million daily active users by Q3 2025, with player-created content expanding beyond traditional shooting genres [3][4] Group 2: Economic Impact of UGC - "Oasis Genesis" has reportedly distributed over 100 million yuan in incentives, with revenue from top player-created content reaching 5 million yuan in a single month [4] - UGC models provide additional monetization channels beyond traditional in-game purchases, allowing creators to earn from in-game transactions while platforms benefit from increased content consumption [7] Group 3: Challenges and Opportunities - The UGC model faces challenges in China, where previous attempts like Roblox struggled due to high entry barriers for creators and a lack of supportive infrastructure [9] - However, the current landscape shows promise, with a large user base in DAU games and improved support systems for creators, indicating potential for successful UGC implementation [10] Group 4: Role of AI in UGC Development - The advancement of generative AI is expected to lower the barriers for UGC creation, enabling faster game prototype development and enhancing the creative process [10][11] - AI tools are being integrated into UGC platforms to assist in content creation, quality assessment, and gameplay enhancement, potentially transforming the complexity and variety of UGC offerings [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rapid growth and significant user engagement of WeChat mini-games, with monthly active users reaching 300 million for IAP mini-games and 400 million for IAA mini-games [1] - The developer ecosystem for WeChat mini-games has surpassed 400,000 developers, with over 5,000 developers publishing their first works on the platform in 2025 [1] - Mini-games are becoming a new fertile ground for IP value derivation, with 70 mini-games achieving daily active users in the millions and over 300 games generating quarterly revenues exceeding 10 million yuan [1] Group 2 - 80% of the developers on the WeChat mini-game platform are teams with fewer than 30 members, allowing smaller teams to find opportunities in a market dominated by larger investments [2] - The introduction of a new incentive policy for IAP mini-games, increasing the maximum incentive for newly launched games to 4 million yuan, is a key driver for the growth of the mini-game ecosystem [2] - The revenue-sharing model has been adjusted to provide developers with an additional 15% discount on top of the 70% revenue share, enhancing financial support for developers during the critical launch period [2] Group 3 - The contribution of mini-games to Tencent's financial performance is evident, with growth in video account live service revenue and mini-game platform service fees contributing to a 5% increase in social network revenue in Tencent's Q3 2025 financial report [3] Group 4 - The "going global" strategy for mini-games is accelerating, with low-cost, short-cycle development of light games at its core, relying on overseas traffic platforms for user acquisition [4] - The PC segment is becoming the fastest-growing area for mini-games, with a 30% increase in active users, a 35% increase in in-app purchase revenue, and a 50% increase in payment penetration rate in 2025 [4] - The integration of AI technology into the mini-game ecosystem is being supported by a new growth plan for AI applications and online tools, providing developers with comprehensive resources [4]

过去两年，AI原生应用多聚焦于内容生成、知识问答等轻交互场景。但随着竞争升维，头部玩家纷纷将AI助手从"信息中 介"升级为"任务执行者"。 除了阿里将千问App接入生态内核心业务之外，其他头部公司也积极争夺AI"超级入口"。 本报记者 袁传玺 随着大模型技术趋于成熟、算力成本持续下探、数据治理体系逐步完善，AI正从"能做什么"的技术验证阶段，加速迈 向"怎么用好"的商业化落地周期。在此背景下，一场围绕"超级入口"的争夺战在科技巨头间全面打响。 1月15日，阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司（以下简称"阿里"）正式宣布，千问App全面接入淘宝、高德、支付宝等核心业务。 用户只需一句自然语言指令，千问App即可在端内完成商品推荐、比价、下单、支付全流程，全程无需跳转其他App。此前， 字节跳动、腾讯等巨头也纷纷布局，争抢"第一触点"。 有业内人士对《证券日报》记者表示，在这场重塑数字生态格局的竞争中，谁能率先构建起"对话即应用"的能力，谁就可 能掌握未来十年AI时代的流量命脉与商业主动权。 AI助手升级为"任务执行者" 信任与安全是关键 如果说软件层面的AI助手是"大脑"，那么硬件载体则是"躯体"。2025年下半年以来，入 ...

Core Insights - The contrasting rankings of JD.com and Tencent/Alibaba highlight two distinct business philosophies in China's private sector, focusing on current revenue versus future growth potential [1][2] Group 1: Rankings and Evaluation Standards - JD.com topped the "2025 China Private Enterprises 500" list with a revenue of 1.16 trillion RMB, surpassing Alibaba and Huawei, based on a revenue-centric evaluation of 6,379 companies [4][5] - Goldman Sachs' report ranked Tencent, Alibaba, and BYD as the "Top Ten Private Enterprises," emphasizing investment value and growth potential rather than current size [7] Group 2: Business Models - JD.com adopted a heavy asset model, investing significantly in logistics and self-operated goods, which has created substantial competitive barriers despite initial losses [8][6] - In contrast, Tencent and Alibaba utilize a light asset model, focusing on technology, data, and user relationships, allowing for high profitability with lower operational costs [10][12] Group 3: Manufacturing Sector Growth - The manufacturing sector is a significant contributor to the private economy, with 66.4% of the top 500 companies being manufacturers, accounting for 68.84% of revenue and 53.21% of net profit [13][14] - Companies like BYD and CATL are leading in innovation and R&D, with substantial investments in new energy technologies [16][17] Group 4: Future Directions - The diversity in business models among private enterprises is a strength, with companies like JD.com and Tencent exploring synergies between heavy and light asset strategies [18][19] - The implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" in May 2025 is expected to provide a more supportive legal environment for private enterprises [19][20] - A significant portion of the top 500 companies is focusing on digital transformation and green initiatives, with international revenue growth indicating a push towards global expansion [20]

Market Overview - On January 16, the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.29%, with southbound funds totaling a transaction amount of HKD 110.94 billion, comprising HKD 55.52 billion in buying and HKD 55.42 billion in selling, resulting in a net buying amount of HKD 0.94 million [1] Southbound Trading Activity - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) recorded a total transaction amount of HKD 41.37 billion, with buying at HKD 20.23 billion and selling at HKD 21.14 billion, leading to a net selling amount of HKD 0.91 billion [1] - Conversely, the Stock Connect (Shanghai) saw a total transaction amount of HKD 69.57 billion, with buying at HKD 35.29 billion and selling at HKD 34.28 billion, resulting in a net buying amount of HKD 1.00 billion [1] Active Stocks - Alibaba-W had the highest transaction amount among southbound funds, totaling HKD 69.52 billion, followed by SMIC and Tencent Holdings with transaction amounts of HKD 57.02 billion and HKD 56.66 billion, respectively [1] - In terms of net buying, SMIC led with a net buying amount of HKD 10.84 billion, with a closing price increase of 2.39%. Xiaomi Group-W followed with a net buying of HKD 8.67 billion, while Hua Hong Semiconductor had a net buying of HKD 5.85 billion [1] - The stock with the highest net selling was China Mobile, with a net selling amount of HKD 10.74 billion and a closing price decrease of 0.62%. Other notable net sellers included Alibaba Health and CNOOC, with net selling amounts of HKD 4.62 billion and HKD 1.08 billion, respectively [1] Continuous Net Buying - Among the stocks, SMIC, Xiaomi Group-W, and Hua Hong Semiconductor were listed as active stocks in both Stock Connect (Shenzhen) and (Shanghai), with SMIC having a total transaction amount of HKD 57.02 billion and a net buying of HKD 10.84 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings and Alibaba-W have seen continuous net buying for 8 days and 5 days, respectively, with Tencent Holdings having the highest net buying amount of HKD 96.85 billion, followed by Alibaba-W with HKD 44.24 billion [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) is "Buy" with a current price of 617.50 HKD and a fair value estimate of 744.46 HKD [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that advertising and gaming continue to show strong momentum, with significant investments in AI infrastructure [3][7]. - The forecast for Q4 2025 anticipates revenue of 1,947 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year growth of 13% [7]. - The report projects that Tencent's revenue will reach 7,522 billion RMB in 2025 and 8,290 billion RMB in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 13.9% and 10.2% respectively [7][24]. Financial Projections - Revenue (in billion RMB): - 2023A: 6,090 - 2024A: 6,603 - 2025E: 7,522 - 2026E: 8,290 - 2027E: 8,973 - Growth Rates (%): - 2023A: 9.8% - 2024A: 8.4% - 2025E: 13.9% - 2026E: 10.2% - 2027E: 8.2% [4]. - Adjusted Net Profit (in billion RMB): - 2023A: 1,577 - 2024A: 2,227 - 2025E: 2,564 - 2026E: 2,929 - 2027E: 3,235 - Growth Rates (%): - 2023A: 36.4% - 2024A: 41.2% - 2025E: 15.1% - 2026E: 14.2% - 2027E: 10.5% [4]. Business Segment Performance - Gaming revenue for Q4 2025 is expected to reach 574 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 17% [7]. - Social network revenue is projected at 324 billion RMB for Q4 2025, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase [7]. - Marketing services revenue is anticipated to be 421 billion RMB for Q4 2025, showing a 20% year-over-year growth [7]. Valuation Methodology - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating the fair value of Tencent's core business at 6.35 trillion HKD, leading to a total fair value of 744.46 HKD per share [24][27].