Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) with a target price range of HKD 547.75 to HKD 608.61 [1][5]. Core Insights - Tencent's 4Q24 financial results exceeded expectations, with revenue of CNY 172.4 billion, a year-over-year increase of 11%, and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3%. The NON-IFRS net profit reached CNY 55.3 billion, up 30% year-over-year but down 8% quarter-over-quarter [1][8]. - The company is increasing its investment in AI infrastructure, anticipating significant advancements in application scenarios [1][34]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 4Q24, Tencent achieved revenue of CNY 1724 billion, YOY +11%, QOQ +3%, exceeding expectations by 2%. The NON-IFRS net profit was CNY 553 billion, YOY +30%, QOQ -8%, surpassing expectations by 4% [1][8]. - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is adjusted to CNY 721.8 billion, with a YOY growth of 9%. The NON-IFRS net profit forecast is CNY 225.9 billion, reflecting a YOY increase of 16.4% [5][6]. Business Segments - **Gaming**: Revenue reached CNY 492 billion, YOY +20%, marking the highest growth rate since 2021. The international gaming segment contributed CNY 160 billion, YOY +15%, while the domestic market generated CNY 332 billion, YOY +23% [4][20]. - **Social Networks**: Revenue was CNY 298 billion, YOY +6%, driven by mobile game income and TME membership growth [27]. - **Marketing Services**: Revenue reached CNY 350 billion, YOY +17%, supported by the WeChat ecosystem [31]. - **Financial Technology and Enterprise Services**: Revenue was CNY 561 billion, YOY +3%, meeting expectations [33]. Capital Expenditure and AI Investment - Tencent's CAPEX for the quarter was CNY 39 billion, a significant increase of 418% YOY and 225% QOQ, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure [33][34]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its AI capabilities, with plans to integrate self-developed and open-source models into its applications [34]. Shareholder Returns - Tencent announced a cash dividend of CNY 41 billion, corresponding to a dividend rate of approximately 17%, and plans to repurchase over CNY 80 billion worth of shares [38].

Group 1 - Tencent has established FuSure Reinsurance, which recently received a long-term insurance license from the Hong Kong Insurance Authority, allowing it to integrate its general insurance business into a composite license management system [1] - FuSure Reinsurance aims to diversify its product line and expand into international markets, focusing on low-volatility personal risk reinsurance products such as health and accident insurance, while also exploring innovation opportunities in health, auto, pet, cyber security, and liability insurance [1] - The company was registered in Hong Kong in May 2020 with a registered capital of HKD 1 billion, with Tencent holding an 85.01% stake and Grand Azure Limited holding the remaining 14.99% [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Insurance Authority emphasizes Hong Kong's role as a "super connector" between mainland China and international markets, facilitating mainland companies' expansion abroad and helping to diversify insurance risks [2] - The authority encourages the industry to develop innovative solutions for monitoring, transferring, mitigating, and managing risks for both mainland and overseas clients, enhancing Hong Kong's status as a global risk management center [2] - All professional reinsurance companies in Hong Kong can benefit from a 50% reduction in profits tax for their reinsurance business [2]

【港股相关ETF】 医药龙头——恒生医药ETF（159892） 互联网龙头——恒生互联网ETF（513330） 消费龙头——港股消费ETF（513230） 汽车龙头——港股通汽车ETF（159323） （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 3月28日，港股三大指数高开低走，恒生科技指数午后一度跌超2%。盘面上，科网股普遍下跌，生物医 药股冲高回落，黄金股多数上涨。主流ETF方面，恒生科技指数ETF（513180）午后跟随指数下挫，蔚 来、海尔智家、联想集团、地平线机器人、中芯国际等持仓股悉数下跌，同程旅行、携程集团等少数公 司上涨。 消息面上，腾讯的回购动向一直广受市场关注。3月19日，腾讯控股发布2024年度全年业绩公告，并宣 布2025年将继续回购股份，预计规模至少800亿港元；现金红利增长32%至约410亿港元，2025年总股东 回报最少达1210亿港元。而自3月24日起，腾讯控股便再度启动回购，已连续4个交易日回购，单日金额 均超5亿港元，或标志着腾讯今年新一轮回购周期的开始。自去年11月15日起，腾讯近乎每个交易日都 在进行回购(截至1月16日)，随后暂停两个多月，现如今重启。今年以来，腾讯累计回购金额已超1 ...

自3月24日以来公司已连续4日进行回购，合计回购394.00万股，累计回购金额20.02亿港元。 其间该股 累计下跌0.49%。 今年以来该股累计进行15次回购，合计回购4100.00万股，累计回购金额161.20亿港元。（数据宝） 腾讯控股回购明细 | 日期 | 回购股数（万股） | 回购最高价（港元） | 回购最低价（港元） | 回购金额（万港元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.03.27 | 98.10 | 515.500 | 502.500 | 50059.41 | | 2025.03.26 | 99.00 | 509.500 | 502.000 | 50081.71 | | 2025.03.25 | 98.90 | 515.000 | 501.500 | 50053.72 | | 2025.03.24 | 98.00 | 517.500 | 505.000 | 50052.95 | | 2025.01.16 | 393.00 | 386.400 | 376.800 | 150005.31 | | 2025.01.15 | 396.00 | 385. ...

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 互联网 | 收盘价 | | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 3 月 26 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 港元 | | 502.00 | 港元 583.00 | +16.1% | | | 腾讯控股 (700 HK) | | | | | | 常青游戏贡献总收入 20%，MOBA/射击优势显著，海外增长领先行业 | 财务数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年结12月31日 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 609,015 | 660,257 | 713,818 | 767,880 | 818,920 | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 609,015 | 660,257 | 713,818 | 767,880 | 818,920 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 同比增长 (%) | 9.8 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 7. ...

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 互联网 | 收盘价 | | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 3 月 26 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 港元 | | 502.00 | 港元 583.00 | +16.1% | | | 腾讯控股 (700 HK) | | | | | | 常青游戏贡献总收入 20%，MOBA/射击优势显著，海外增长领先行业 | 财务数据一览 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年结12月31日 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 609,015 | 660,257 | 713,818 | 767,880 | 818,920 | | 收入 (百万人民币) | 609,015 | 660,257 | 713,818 | 767,880 | 818,920 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 同比增长 (%) | 9.8 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 7. ...

AI 驱动广告高速增长，Q1 春节档游戏强劲 ——腾讯控股（0700.HK）24Q4 季报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预期游戏增速持续提升，预计 24~26 年 IFRS 归母净利润为 1941/2261/2501 亿 元（24~26 年原值为 1951/2245/2498 亿元，因根据财报上调广告等收入，我们调整 盈利预测），24~26 年 non-IFRS 归母净利润为 2227/2576/2856 亿元。采用 SOTP 估值，给予对应目标价 559.92 港币（517.04 人民币 HKD/RMB=0.92），维持"买 入"评级。 风险提示 腾讯控股 00700.HK 公司研究 | 季报点评 政策风险、游戏收入不达预期风险、广告行业竞争风险 公司主要财务信息 | 项雯倩 | 021-63325888*6128 | | --- | --- | | | xiangwenqian@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860517020003 | | | 香港证监会牌照：BQP120 | | 李雨琪 | 021-63325888-3023 | | | liyuqi@o ...

腾讯控股 00700.HK 公司研究 | 季报点评 AI 驱动广告高速增长，Q1 春节档游戏强劲 | | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 554,552 | 609,015 | 660,257 | 737,770 | 807,370 | | 同比增长 (%) | -1.21% | 9.82% | 8.41% | 11.74% | 9.43% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 100,017 | 152,784 | 200,097 | 229,061 | 257,041 | | 同比增长 (%) | -14.32% | 52.76% | 30.97% | 14.47% | 12.22% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 188,243 | 115,216 | 194,073 | 226,083 | 250,091 | | 同比增长 (%) | -16.27% | -38.79% | 68.44% | 16.49% | 10.62% | | 每股收益（元） | ...

公司评论 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com.hk 2025 年 3 月 25 日 星期二 【公司评论】 腾讯控股（700.HK）：周报 | + 852 2532 1957 | | | --- | --- | | Jinglin.li@firstshanghai.com.hk | | | 吕彦辛 | | | +852 2532 1539 | | | Alexandra.lyu@ firstshanghai.com.hk | | | 行业 TMT | | | 股价 | 513 港元 | | 市值 | 4.718 万亿港元 | | 总股本 | 91.97 亿 | | --- | --- | | 52 周高/低 | 547 港元/294 港元 | | 每股净资产 | 107.99 港元 | 股价表现 2025 年 3 月 24 日消息，智能机器人公司智元机器人新一轮融资由腾讯领投，这 是腾讯在具身智能领域的首次出手。其中，腾讯认缴出资额 166 万元，持股比例 为 2%。本轮投资由多家产业方及老股东共同参与，包括龙旗科技、卧龙电驱、华 发集团、蓝驰创投等。此前智元机器人已获高瓴、红 ...

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·软件服务(HS) 腾讯控股（00700.HK） 2025 年 03 月 25 日 证券分析师 张良卫 执业证书：S0600516070001 021-60199793 zhanglw@dwzq.com.cn 2024Q4 业绩点评：AI 赋能，营收利润皆超 预期 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | FY2023A | FY2024A | FY2025E | FY2026E | FY2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 609015 | 660257 | 716550 | 782730 | 854621 | | 同比(%) | (10.66) | 8.41 | 8.53 | 9.24 | 9.18 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 115216 | 194073 | 210262 | 234571 | 266681 | | 同比(%) | (38.79) | 68.44 | 8.34 | 11.56 | 13.69 | | Non-IFRS 净利润 | 157,688.05 ...