Company Overview - Tencent's main businesses in gaming, advertising, finance, and enterprise services are expected to maintain high-quality growth, with AI accelerating talent deployment [1] Gaming Performance - Domestic gaming revenue is projected to grow by 12% year-on-year in Q4, supported by stable performance of established games like "Honor of Kings" and rising revenue from new titles like "Delta Action" [1] - Overseas gaming growth is expected to normalize with a 24% year-on-year increase in Q4, driven by high revenue from Supercell's "Clash Royale" [1] - For 2026, revenue growth is anticipated to be influenced by deferred income from high revenue in 2025 and upcoming titles such as "Honor of Kings World" and "Crossfire: Rainbow" [1] Advertising and Financial Services - Advertising revenue is expected to grow by 19% year-on-year in Q4 2025, with healthy growth anticipated in 2026 due to deeper utilization of ecosystems like video accounts and mini-programs, as well as enhanced user engagement through AI [2] - Financial and enterprise services revenue is projected to grow by 10% year-on-year in Q4 2025, with financial services experiencing a potential slowdown in payment growth due to macroeconomic disturbances [2] - Enterprise services are expected to benefit from revenue growth in video account e-commerce technology services and cloud computing [2] AI Strategy and R&D Investment - Tencent's AI strategy is entering an accelerated phase, with significant R&D investments expected to continue growing [2] - The appointment of former OpenAI researcher Yao Shunyu as Chief AI Scientist and the release of the 2.0 version of the mixed Yuan model in December highlight the company's commitment to AI development [2] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2025 remain unchanged, while the 2026 revenue forecast has been slightly reduced by 1% to 831.7 billion yuan [2] - Non-IFRS profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been increased by 1% to 262.9 billion yuan and 294.8 billion yuan, respectively, with new projections for 2027 set at 903.5 billion yuan in revenue and 326.9 billion yuan in profit [2] Rating and Target Price - The company maintains a "outperform" rating with a target price of 700 HKD, corresponding to 19x/17x 2026e/2027e Non-IFRS P/E, indicating an 11% upside from the current stock price [3]

中经记者 许心怡 吴可仲 上海报道 一些大DAU（日活跃用户数）游戏正在UGC（用户生成内容）模式上发力——向玩家开放游戏内的美 术资产、音乐、玩法等，并提供易上手的编辑器，供玩家挥洒创意。 游戏厂商此举可以将一部分研发工作分摊给广大玩家，由他们创造出海量玩法，从而解决游戏内容研发 遇到的增长瓶颈问题。不仅如此，由玩家参与创意，还能激活社交传播，进一步完善商业模式。 在海外，不乏Roblox、《我的世界》等发展成熟的UGC平台。而此类平台未能在中国获得同样的人 气。不过，DataEye研究院负责人刘尊向《中国经营报》记者表示，UGC平台的模式在大DAU游戏中有 可能实现。在他看来，大DAU游戏自带庞大用户基数，并且国内游戏厂商已逐步完善扶持体系，解决 了此前创作者面临的工具和收益问题。 拓展玩家创作边界 2025年10月，《原神》在游戏内推出UGC模式"千星奇域"——玩家可以使用编辑器"千星沙箱"，调用 《原神》中海量的玩法功能与资产，在《原神》内创建自己的小游戏，供其他玩家游玩。 截至2026年1月3日，"千星奇域"模式吸引了超过3万名创作者，累计创作的地图关卡总游玩人次超过1.5 亿。这些UGC内容中，既 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rapid growth and significant user engagement of WeChat mini-games, with monthly active users reaching 300 million for IAP mini-games and 400 million for IAA mini-games [1] - The developer ecosystem for WeChat mini-games has surpassed 400,000 developers, with over 5,000 developers publishing their first works on the platform in 2025 [1] - Mini-games are becoming a new fertile ground for IP value derivation, with 70 mini-games achieving daily active users in the millions and over 300 games generating quarterly revenues exceeding 10 million yuan [1] Group 2 - 80% of the developers on the WeChat mini-game platform are teams with fewer than 30 members, allowing smaller teams to find opportunities in a market dominated by larger investments [2] - The introduction of a new incentive policy for IAP mini-games, increasing the maximum incentive for newly launched games to 4 million yuan, is a key driver for the growth of the mini-game ecosystem [2] - The revenue-sharing model has been adjusted to provide developers with an additional 15% discount on top of the 70% revenue share, enhancing financial support for developers during the critical launch period [2] Group 3 - The contribution of mini-games to Tencent's financial performance is evident, with growth in video account live service revenue and mini-game platform service fees contributing to a 5% increase in social network revenue in Tencent's Q3 2025 financial report [3] Group 4 - The "going global" strategy for mini-games is accelerating, with low-cost, short-cycle development of light games at its core, relying on overseas traffic platforms for user acquisition [4] - The PC segment is becoming the fastest-growing area for mini-games, with a 30% increase in active users, a 35% increase in in-app purchase revenue, and a 50% increase in payment penetration rate in 2025 [4] - The integration of AI technology into the mini-game ecosystem is being supported by a new growth plan for AI applications and online tools, providing developers with comprehensive resources [4]

过去两年，AI原生应用多聚焦于内容生成、知识问答等轻交互场景。但随着竞争升维，头部玩家纷纷将AI助手从"信息中 介"升级为"任务执行者"。 除了阿里将千问App接入生态内核心业务之外，其他头部公司也积极争夺AI"超级入口"。 本报记者 袁传玺 随着大模型技术趋于成熟、算力成本持续下探、数据治理体系逐步完善，AI正从"能做什么"的技术验证阶段，加速迈 向"怎么用好"的商业化落地周期。在此背景下，一场围绕"超级入口"的争夺战在科技巨头间全面打响。 1月15日，阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司（以下简称"阿里"）正式宣布，千问App全面接入淘宝、高德、支付宝等核心业务。 用户只需一句自然语言指令，千问App即可在端内完成商品推荐、比价、下单、支付全流程，全程无需跳转其他App。此前， 字节跳动、腾讯等巨头也纷纷布局，争抢"第一触点"。 有业内人士对《证券日报》记者表示，在这场重塑数字生态格局的竞争中，谁能率先构建起"对话即应用"的能力，谁就可 能掌握未来十年AI时代的流量命脉与商业主动权。 AI助手升级为"任务执行者" 信任与安全是关键 如果说软件层面的AI助手是"大脑"，那么硬件载体则是"躯体"。2025年下半年以来，入 ...

一边是以近1.16万亿营收登顶的京东，一边是高盛眼中增长潜力巨大的腾讯阿里，中国企业正用两种截然不同的商业哲学，在全球经济版图上刻下自己的 坐标。 2025年8月，两份重量级榜单几乎同时发布，却给出了两个不同的"中国民企第一"答案。 全国工商联发布的"2025中国民营企业500强"榜单上，京东集团以1.16万亿人民币营收首次问鼎榜首，反超阿里巴巴与华为。而高盛同期发布的2026中国 市场展望报告中，"民营十巨头"名单却由腾讯、阿里巴巴、比亚迪等领衔，以投资价值和增长潜力为标准重新排序。 这场看似矛盾的榜单对决，实则揭示了中国民营经济正在上演的两种发展哲学。 01 榜首之争：两个榜单，两种标准 全国工商联的"民企500强"榜单基于对6379家年营收超10亿元企业的调研编制，是一个以营收规模为核心的评价体系。 在这个体系中，京东登顶标志着一种模式的胜利：这家以物流重资产和自营模式著称的企业，终于在规模上超越了所有对手。 京东的1.16万亿营收背后，是近67万名员工，相当于一个中等城市的人口规模；是每年超过千亿元的人力成本投入；是覆盖全国的物流网络和仓储系统。 与此形成鲜明对比的是高盛的报告。这家国际投行的"民营十 ...

从连续性进行统计， 有2只股获南向资金连续3天以上净买入，连续净买入天数较多的有腾讯控股、阿 里巴巴-W，连续净买入天数分别为8天、5天。以其间净买入金额统计，净买入金额最多的是腾讯控 股，合计净买入为96.85亿港元，其次是阿里巴巴-W合计净买入为44.24亿港元。（数据宝） 1月16日南向资金成交活跃股 | 代码 | 简称 | 成交金额（万港元） | 成交净买入（万港元） | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00981 | 中芯国际 | 570236.85 | 108401.22 | 2.39 | | 01810 | 小米集团-W | 470068.85 | 86704.08 | -2.01 | | 01347 | 华虹半导体 | 269679.07 | 58509.58 | 7.39 | | 09992 | 泡泡玛特 | 342964.15 | 14181.56 | -5.60 | | 02050 | 三花智控 | 94099.67 | 12986.42 | 2.67 | | 09988 | 阿里巴巴-W | 695230.42 | 3959.6 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) is "Buy" with a current price of 617.50 HKD and a fair value estimate of 744.46 HKD [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that advertising and gaming continue to show strong momentum, with significant investments in AI infrastructure [3][7]. - The forecast for Q4 2025 anticipates revenue of 1,947 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year growth of 13% [7]. - The report projects that Tencent's revenue will reach 7,522 billion RMB in 2025 and 8,290 billion RMB in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 13.9% and 10.2% respectively [7][24]. Financial Projections - Revenue (in billion RMB): - 2023A: 6,090 - 2024A: 6,603 - 2025E: 7,522 - 2026E: 8,290 - 2027E: 8,973 - Growth Rates (%): - 2023A: 9.8% - 2024A: 8.4% - 2025E: 13.9% - 2026E: 10.2% - 2027E: 8.2% [4]. - Adjusted Net Profit (in billion RMB): - 2023A: 1,577 - 2024A: 2,227 - 2025E: 2,564 - 2026E: 2,929 - 2027E: 3,235 - Growth Rates (%): - 2023A: 36.4% - 2024A: 41.2% - 2025E: 15.1% - 2026E: 14.2% - 2027E: 10.5% [4]. Business Segment Performance - Gaming revenue for Q4 2025 is expected to reach 574 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 17% [7]. - Social network revenue is projected at 324 billion RMB for Q4 2025, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase [7]. - Marketing services revenue is anticipated to be 421 billion RMB for Q4 2025, showing a 20% year-over-year growth [7]. Valuation Methodology - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating the fair value of Tencent's core business at 6.35 trillion HKD, leading to a total fair value of 744.46 HKD per share [24][27].

| 就在最近（1月14日），腾讯退出了广州明昼科技的投资。 | | --- | | | | | | | | | | 10 SH | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ぱ言 | 股东名称 | 股东类型 | 退出时待股比例 | 语出日期 | 认倒出咨额: | | | | | 1 | | 企业法人 | 15% C | 2026-01-14 | | | 2021-06-21 | | | 2 | 不可 柯小伟 | 自然人股东 | 12 9944% 0 | 2024-01-17 | 11.5/77 | 2059-12-31 | | 2021-04-25 | | | 座 计 合INIV | | 西腾讯创业投资有限公司 | | | | | | | | 提示 | 退出对外投资 | | | | | 03:30 14 | | | | | | 退出投资企业:广州明昼科技有限公司 | | | | | | | | | 退出前持股比例:15.00% | | | | | | | 据了解，明昼科技的部分核心成员来自灵犀互娱与库洛游戏两家广州大厂，曾经深度参与过《 ...

近日，在由AIGC Rank发布的2025年度榜单中，腾讯研究院公众号获评 "年度影响力AI媒体"。 这一荣 誉既是对我们过去一年深耕人工智能与社会发展交叉领域的肯定，也激励我们继续以专业视角观察技术 变革、以理性声音回应时代命题。 回望2025年，我们围绕人工智能议题持续输出深度内容： 腾讯研究院始终秉持腾讯集团"用户为本、科技向善"的使命愿景，致力于在技术狂飙的时代，锚定人文 关怀与制度理性，推动AI健康、包容、可持续发展。 AIGCRank 2025 年度影响力AI媒体 腾讯研究院 版 送料 AIGCRank® 2026年，我们将继续深耕AI时代的社会科学研究，强化跨学科对话，拓展公共讨论的深度与广度。感谢 广大读者、合作伙伴与同行者的长期支持—— 智者同行，共赴新程 。 点个 "在看" 分享洞见 推 荐 阅 读 全年发布人工智能相关文章 120篇 ，系统探讨大模型治理、算法伦理、数字劳动、智能社会等前 沿议题； 多篇原创内容引发学界与业界广泛关注， 单篇最高阅读量突破5w+ ，彰显公共讨论的广泛共鸣； 全年248个工作日 ，坚持每日推出「每日AI速递」栏目，累计发布 248期 ，追踪全球AI政策演 进 ...

智通财经APP获悉，2026年1月16日当天，阿里巴巴-W(09988)、腾讯控股(00700)、中芯国际(00981)位 居沪港通（南向）成交额前3位，成交额分别为40.30 亿元、34.43 亿元、33.48 亿元；阿里巴巴- W(09988)、中芯国际(00981)、腾讯控股(00700) 位居深港通（南向）成交额前3位，成交额分别为29.23 亿元、23.54 亿元、22.23 亿元。 沪港通（南向）十大活跃成交公司 | 公司名称 | 成交金额 | 净买入额 | | --- | --- | --- | | 阿里巴巴-W(09988) | 40.30 亿元 | +5602.18 万元 | | 腾讯控股(00700) | 34.43 亿元 | +5791.12 万元 | | 中芯国际(00981) | 33.48 亿元 | +5.10 亿元 | | 小米集团-W(01810) | 27.68 亿元 | +9.05 亿元 | | 泡泡玛特(09992) | 23.18 亿元 | +3227.01 万元 | | 狮腾控股(02562) | 21.01 亿元 | -4568.67 万元 | | 中国移动(009 ...