Core Viewpoint - Airline stocks are generally rising, driven by positive news regarding holiday arrangements and performance forecasts for the airline industry in China [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Eastern Airlines (00670) increased by 5.29%, trading at 4.38 HKD [1] - Air China (601111) (00753) rose by 3.92%, trading at 6.1 HKD [1] - Southern Airlines (600029) (01055) saw a 2.08% increase, trading at 4.89 HKD [1] - Cathay Pacific (00293) experienced a slight rise of 0.36%, trading at 11.27 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry News - On November 4, the State Council released a notice regarding the holiday schedule for 2026, which includes a 9-day Spring Festival holiday, marking the longest in history [1] - Cathay Haitong Securities noted that A-share airline companies achieved counter-cyclical growth in Q3 2025, surpassing Q3 2019 for three consecutive years, indicating a potential upward trend in profitability [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The concept of "anti-involution" is expected to help reduce losses in Q4's off-peak season and turn around the overall performance for the year [1] - The long-term outlook for Chinese airlines is optimistic, with market-driven ticket pricing, steady demand growth, and an optimized customer base expected to drive an increase in profitability for airlines in 2026 [1]

每经AI快讯，航空股普遍走高，截至发稿，东方航空(00670.HK)涨5.29%，报4.38港元；中国国航 (00753.HK)涨3.92%，报6.1港元；南方航空(01055.HK)涨2.08%，报4.89港元；国泰航空(00293.HK)涨 0.36%，报11.27港元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant rise in airline stocks, driven by positive market sentiment and government announcements regarding holiday arrangements [1] - As of the report, Eastern Airlines saw a 5.29% increase, China National Aviation rose by 3.92%, Southern Airlines increased by 2.08%, and Cathay Pacific experienced a 0.36% rise [1] - The State Council announced that the 2026 Spring Festival holiday will last for 9 days, marking it as the longest Spring Festival in history, which is expected to boost travel demand [1] Group 2 - Cathay Securities noted that A-share airline companies achieved counter-cyclical growth in Q3 2025, surpassing performance from Q3 2019 for three consecutive years, indicating a potential upward trend in profitability [1] - The concept of "anti-involution" is expected to help reduce losses in the off-peak Q4 and contribute to an overall turnaround for the year [1] - The long-term outlook for Chinese airlines is optimistic, with market-driven ticket pricing, steady demand growth, and improved passenger demographics expected to drive profitability upward in 2026 [1]

11月5日，港股航空股逆势上涨，其中，中国东方航空涨3.6%刷新阶段新高，年内累计涨幅达65%，美 兰空港涨超1%，中国国航、中国南方航空涨0.6%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 涨跌幅 v | | --- | --- | --- | | 00670 | 中国东方航空股 | 4.310 3.61% | | 00357 | 美兰空港 | 10.620 1.14% | | 00753 | 中国国航 | 5.900 0.51% | | 01055 | 中国南方航空股 | 4.840 0.62% | 港股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>>责任编辑：栎树 消息上，近期航司机场发布三季报，其中三季度国航归母净利润同比减少11%，东航归母净利润同比增 加34%，南航归母净利润同比增加20%。 有机构指出，"反内卷"将保障Q4淡季减亏与全年扭亏。中国航空具长逻辑，考虑票价市场化，需求稳 健增长与客源结构优化将驱动2026年航司盈利中枢开启上升。 ...

港股航空股逆势上涨，其中，中国东方航空涨3.6%刷新阶段新高，年内累计涨幅达65%，美兰空港涨超 1%，中国国航、中国南方航空涨0.6%。 消息上，近期航司机场发布三季报，其中三季度国航归母净利润同比减少11%，东航归母净利润同比增 加34%，南航归母净利润同比增加20%。 有机构指出，"反内卷"将保障Q4淡季减亏与全年扭亏。中国航空具长逻辑，考虑票价市场化，需求稳 健增长与客源结构优化将驱动2026年航司盈利中枢开启上升。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 涨跌幅 v | | --- | --- | --- | | 00670 | 中国东方航空股 | 4.310 3.61% | | 00357 | 美兰空港 | 10.620 1.14% | | 00753 | 中国国航 | 5.900 0.51% | | 01055 | 中国南方航空股 | 4.840 0.62% | ...

Group 1 - The performance of four mainland airlines in Q3 showed divergence, with China Eastern Airlines experiencing the strongest net profit growth of 34% year-on-year, followed by China Southern Airlines with a 20% increase. Spring Airlines and Air China saw net profit declines of 6% and 11%, respectively [1] - Revenue per available seat kilometer exceeded expectations, with stable data reported for September. The decline in fuel costs is expected to benefit the overall cost structure, although the unit cost performance excluding fuel varied, with Air China lagging in cost optimization [1] - Adjustments were made to Air China's 2025 profit forecast, changing from a loss of 54 million yuan to a profit of 473 million yuan, while forecasts for 2026 and 2027 were lowered by 5.7% and 4.2%, respectively. China Southern Airlines' 2025 profit forecast was reduced by 54%, but forecasts for 2026 and 2027 were raised by 16% and 14%. China Eastern Airlines' forecasts for 2025 to 2027 were increased by 56%, 0.8%, and 0.7%, respectively. Spring Airlines' 2025 profit forecast was lowered by 2.7%, with 2026 and 2027 forecasts remaining unchanged [1] Group 2 - The firm reiterated "underperform" ratings for Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines due to ongoing pressure on domestic ticket prices, which pose downside risks to profits in 2025 and 2026. Conversely, a "buy" rating was maintained for Spring Airlines, attributed to its cost leadership position and expected stable growth in 2025 and 2026 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of four mainland Chinese airlines in Q3 showed significant divergence, with Eastern Airlines reporting the strongest net profit growth of 34% year-on-year, followed by Southern Airlines with a 20% increase. In contrast, Spring Airlines and Air China experienced declines in net profit of 6% and 11%, respectively [1] Group 1: Airline Performance - Eastern Airlines achieved the highest net profit growth at 34% year-on-year [1] - Southern Airlines followed with a net profit increase of 20% year-on-year [1] - Spring Airlines and Air China reported net profit declines of 6% and 11%, respectively [1] Group 2: Revenue and Cost Analysis - Revenue per available seat kilometer exceeded expectations, with stable data reported for September [1] - A decline in fuel costs is expected to benefit the overall cost structure [1] - Excluding fuel, unit cost performance varied, with Air China lagging in cost optimization [1] Group 3: Ratings and Future Outlook - The firm reiterated a "underperform" rating for Air China, Eastern Airlines, and Southern Airlines due to ongoing pressure on domestic ticket prices, posing downside risks to profits in 2025 and 2026 [1] - A "buy" rating was maintained for Spring Airlines, attributed to its cost leadership position and expected stable growth in 2025 and 2026 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 129.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.87 billion yuan, up 37% year-on-year [3]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 49.1 billion yuan, a 0.9% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decrease of 11% year-on-year, primarily due to high non-fuel costs [3]. - The company is adapting to industry changes by maintaining a balanced pricing strategy, with domestic passenger kilometer revenue down 3.0% year-on-year [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company’s operating revenue was 129.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.87 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.64 billion yuan [3]. - The third quarter's unit non-fuel costs remained high, with a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, while fuel costs decreased by 6.7% [4]. - The company’s financial expenses improved, with interest expenses down by 598 million yuan year-on-year [4]. - The company plans to raise 20 billion yuan through a new share issuance to enhance liquidity for its subsidiary, Shenzhen Airlines, which has been in a state of insolvency since 2022 [5]. Profit Forecast and Financial Indicators - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.04 billion yuan in 2025, 5.98 billion yuan in 2026, and 8.22 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 136, 24, and 17 [6][11]. - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow from 166.7 billion yuan in 2024 to 198.7 billion yuan in 2027, with a growth rate of 18.1% in 2024 and gradually decreasing thereafter [12].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic civil aviation industry in China is expected to turn profitable in 2024, with the three major state-owned airlines (Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines) achieving profitability in the first three quarters of 2025 after years of losses [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance of Major Airlines - All three major state-owned airlines reported revenue growth and profitability in the first three quarters of 2025, benefiting from the summer travel peak and foreign exchange gains [2]. - Air China achieved a net profit of 1.87 billion yuan in the first three quarters, while China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines reported net profits of 2.10 billion yuan and 2.31 billion yuan, respectively [3]. - The three major airlines had accumulated losses exceeding 200 billion yuan over the past five years, but signs of recovery are evident, with expectations for profitability in 2025 [3]. Group 2: International Market Growth - The international market has become a key growth area for major airlines, with significant increases in passenger turnover on international routes compared to domestic routes [4]. - For the first nine months of the year, Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines reported international passenger turnover growth rates of 14.9%, 24.16%, and 19.54%, respectively, compared to domestic growth rates of 1.2%, 6.08%, and 4.10% [4]. - China Eastern Airlines has been actively expanding its international routes, including the launch of a new route from Shanghai to Buenos Aires, which will set a record for the longest single-route flight [4]. Group 3: Challenges Faced by Private Airlines - Private airlines such as Spring Airlines and Juneyao Airlines reported declines in net profit for the first three quarters, with Spring Airlines losing its title as the "most profitable airline" to Hainan Airlines [6]. - Despite increased flight and passenger volumes, many airlines are struggling to achieve profitability due to lower ticket prices driven by intense competition and market dynamics [7]. - The average ticket price has decreased significantly, with a drop of over 20% in February and more than 8% during the peak summer months, impacting overall profitability [7][8].

Core Points - The meeting aimed to summarize experiences in the ideological and political construction of the pilot workforce and to analyze new challenges, ensuring the integration of party building and business development for high-quality growth in the aviation sector [4][8] - The meeting gathered leaders from 16 major airlines and regulatory bodies in the Southwest region to discuss the foundational and strategic importance of pilot ideological and political construction [4][6] - The meeting emphasized the need for a stable and safe pilot workforce, aligning with the directives from the central government and the Civil Aviation Administration [4][6] Summary by Sections Meeting Objectives - The meeting was convened to discuss the ideological and political construction of the pilot workforce, reflecting on the recent 20th Central Committee's decisions and the transition from the 14th Five-Year Plan to the 15th [4][6] - It served as a concrete action to ensure safety and promote high-quality development in the Southwest aviation sector [4][8] Participant Contributions - Representatives from various airlines shared valuable experiences, practices, and insights regarding the improvement of pilot ideological and political construction [4][5] - The discussions were multi-faceted, providing a broad perspective on existing issues and generating actionable suggestions for future work [4][5] Key Takeaways - The meeting concluded with three main requirements: enhancing party leadership, improving political awareness for winter safety operations, and ensuring the completion of annual tasks [6][7] - A summary of four key opinions was provided, focusing on reviewing progress, addressing existing challenges, setting clear goals, and employing systematic thinking for pilot workforce management [7][8]