Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China National Airlines (601111.SH) [4][6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 80.8 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 1.81 billion yuan, an improvement from a loss of 2.78 billion yuan in H1 2024 [1] - The decline in oil prices has alleviated the pressure from rising costs, contributing to a better profit performance despite a challenging pricing environment in domestic routes [1][2] - The company is actively adjusting its pricing strategy in response to market conditions, leading to a year-on-year decrease of 6.2% in domestic passenger kilometer revenue [2] - Financial expenses have improved due to a reduction in dollar-denominated debt and a decrease in interest expenses, with a 27% year-on-year decline in financial costs [3] Financial Forecasts - The projected revenue for 2025 is 179.3 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.6% [5][11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.04 billion yuan in 2025, a significant increase from a loss of 237 million yuan in 2024 [5][11] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.06 yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 125 [5][11] Additional Insights - The company plans to increase its investment in Shenzhen Airlines to address its financial difficulties, which is expected to enhance operational capabilities and improve the overall competitiveness of the airline network [3] - The report anticipates a recovery in industry pricing, although it has adjusted the net profit forecast for 2025 to 1.04 billion yuan due to subdued pricing data during the peak summer season [4]

Core Viewpoint - The three major Chinese airlines, Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines, reported a significant reduction in losses for the first half of 2025, with a total loss reduction of 2.008 billion yuan compared to the previous year [1][3]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - China Eastern Airlines showed the most notable performance, reducing losses by 1.337 billion yuan, the highest among the three airlines [1]. - Air China followed closely, with a loss reduction of 976 million yuan [1]. - China Southern Airlines experienced a year-on-year increase in net losses by 305 million yuan; however, after excluding non-recurring losses, its losses decreased by 1.431 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 2: Revenue and Cost Management - The strong performance of international routes was a key driver for the improvement in the airlines' results, with double-digit year-on-year growth in passenger revenue, capacity input, and passenger turnover for all three airlines [1]. - Effective cost control and a decline in fuel prices contributed to reduced expenditures, with cost increases for all three airlines not exceeding 5% year-on-year [1]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - China Eastern Airlines opened 14 new international routes, becoming the domestic airline with the most international destinations, with capacity input and passenger turnover for international routes increasing by 24.38% and 28.74%, respectively [1]. - China Southern Airlines plans to enhance performance through optimizing sales rhythm, product innovation, and capitalizing on the peak season for cargo [3]. - Air China emphasized the importance of cost control through centralized, collaborative, and refined management, achieving savings in major cost areas such as fuel, landing, catering, and maintenance [3]. Group 4: Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite the positive performance in the first half, the airlines face challenges in achieving profitability for the full year due to intensified market competition, declining ticket prices, and uncertainties in the international environment [3]. - The airlines are focusing on optimizing route networks, enhancing cost control, and innovating products to improve competitiveness and work towards the goal of turning profitable for the year [3].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share listed airlines have shown a significant reduction in losses for the first half of 2025, with state-owned airlines still in the red but improving, while private airlines have turned profitable, indicating a contrasting performance in the industry [2][5]. Financial Performance - The three major state-owned airlines (Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines) reported a combined loss of 4.77 billion yuan, a reduction of 2.008 billion yuan compared to the previous year [2]. - China Eastern Airlines had the least loss among the three, with a net loss of 1.431 billion yuan, a reduction of 1.337 billion yuan year-on-year [3]. - The revenue for the three major airlines showed growth: Air China at 80.757 billion yuan (up 1.6%), China Eastern at 66.822 billion yuan (up 4.09%), and China Southern at 86.291 billion yuan (up 1.77%) [2]. International Operations - China Eastern Airlines expanded its international operations significantly, opening 14 new international routes and restoring flight numbers to over 110% of 2019 levels [3]. - Air China and China Southern Airlines also increased their international capacity, with Air China's international passenger capacity up 16.7% and China Southern's up 22.5% [4]. Cost Control Measures - Cost control has become a critical focus for the airlines, with China Eastern Airlines implementing a "cost hard battle" plan to manage expenses effectively [6]. - The airlines reported a decrease in fuel costs, with Air China, China Eastern, and China Southern seeing reductions of 10.34%, 8.08%, and 9.15% respectively [7]. Market Conditions - The average ticket price for domestic economy class fell by 6.9% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating ongoing pressure on pricing [8]. - The recovery of international routes remains incomplete, with the overall market still facing challenges in returning to pre-pandemic levels [8].

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國國際航空股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月1日 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00753 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | | 0 | | 4,955,610,672 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,955,610,672 | | 0 | | 4,955,610,672 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China National Airlines [5][6]. Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 80.757 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.56%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -1.806 billion yuan, reducing losses by 35.11% compared to the same period last year [2]. - The company turned a profit in Q2 with a net profit of 238 million yuan, following a loss of 2.044 billion yuan in Q1 [2]. - Passenger revenue decreased slightly, but the decline was within expectations, attributed to rising fuel costs and an increase in the proportion of international routes [3]. - The introduction of the "Self-Discipline Agreement for Air Passenger Transport" aims to promote high-quality development in the industry and stabilize ticket prices [4]. Financial Performance - The company’s passenger revenue for the first half of 2025 was 73.196 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 0.59 million yuan year-on-year [3]. - The unit cost of ASK (Available Seat Kilometer) excluding fuel increased to 0.304 yuan, while the unit fuel cost decreased from 0.158 yuan to 0.137 yuan, contributing to the profit recovery in Q2 [3]. - The company plans to introduce 47 aircraft and retire 18 in 2025, indicating cautious growth in fleet size [4]. Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.88 billion yuan, 6.31 billion yuan, and 7.93 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.11, 0.36, and 0.45 yuan [5][11].

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601111 | 說明 | | 於上海證券交易所上市 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 12,492,810,328 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 12,492,810,328 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 12,492,810,328 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 12,492,810,328 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 17,448,421,000 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 致：香港交易及結算所有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The three major Chinese airlines, Air China, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines, have reported significant revenue growth and reduced losses for the first half of 2025, driven by operational scale expansion, cost optimization, fleet upgrades, and digital transformation initiatives [1][2]. Financial Performance - Air China achieved operating revenue of 80.757 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% - China Eastern Airlines reported operating revenue of 66.822 billion yuan, up 4.09% year-on-year - China Southern Airlines continued its growth trend with operating revenue of 86.291 billion yuan - Despite remaining in a loss position, all three airlines showed significant reductions in losses: - China Eastern Airlines' net loss attributable to shareholders was 1.431 billion yuan, a reduction of 1.337 billion yuan from the previous year - Air China's net loss attributable to shareholders was 1.806 billion yuan, down 977 million yuan year-on-year - China Southern Airlines reported a net loss of 1.533 billion yuan, maintaining a low loss scale [1]. Operational Expansion - The three airlines have expanded their transportation scale, which has been a solid support for revenue growth: - China Southern Airlines carried 83.28 million passengers, a year-on-year increase of 4.83% - China Eastern Airlines achieved a total transportation turnover of 135.06 billion ton-kilometers, up 11.89% year-on-year, with passenger volume reaching 73.1696 million, an increase of 8.03% - Air China recorded a capacity input of 177.576 billion seat-kilometers, a 3.37% increase, with passenger transport of 77.114 million, up 2.87% - International routes have become a significant driver of operational recovery, with China Eastern Airlines' international and regional route available seat kilometers (ASK) increasing by 24.38% year-on-year [2]. Fleet Optimization - The airlines are focusing on fleet construction to optimize their core revenue source, the passenger business: - China Eastern Airlines introduced 24 new aircraft and retired 12 old ones, with a current fleet size of 816 aircraft, including 11 C919 domestic aircraft - Air China added 9 aircraft, including 1 A320, 5 B737, 1 C919, and 2 C909, while retiring 5 aircraft, totaling 934 aircraft with an average age of 10.28 years - China Southern Airlines introduced 37 aircraft and retired 11, enhancing operational efficiency and laying the foundation for future energy-saving and service upgrades [3]. Digital Transformation - Digital transformation has become a strategic focus for the three airlines to enhance operational efficiency and optimize service experience: - Air China is promoting AI applications, including smart customer service and intelligent maintenance, with in-flight meal booking services covering all domestic flights - China Eastern Airlines is expanding cross-border e-commerce logistics in the cargo sector to improve operational efficiency through digital means - In addition to internal operational optimization, the airlines are actively expanding their international route networks while consolidating their domestic market positions [4]. Business Layout - The airlines are enhancing their business layout by strengthening domestic market foundations and expanding international route networks: - China Eastern Airlines has seen significant growth in international routes - Air China is increasing coverage of remote area routes to enhance the value of its regional network - China Southern Airlines is optimizing its domestic and international route structure, increasing flights from Xinjiang to Central Asia - The management of China Southern Airlines anticipates a significant increase in passenger volume and seat occupancy during the summer travel season, although ticket prices are expected to decline year-on-year [4].

Core Viewpoint - The three major airlines in China have collectively reduced their losses by 2.008 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with international routes being a key factor for performance improvement [1][3]. Financial Performance - The total loss for the three major airlines in the first half of 2025 was 4.77 billion yuan, a reduction of 2.008 billion yuan year-on-year [3]. - Air China reported a revenue of 80.757 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.56%, with a net loss of 1.806 billion yuan, reduced by 976 million yuan [2][3]. - Eastern Airlines achieved a revenue of 66.822 billion yuan, up 4.09% year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.431 billion yuan, reduced by 1.337 billion yuan [2][3]. - Southern Airlines reported a revenue of 86.291 billion yuan, a 1.77% increase, but a net loss of 1.533 billion yuan, which is an increase in loss by 305 million yuan [2][3]. International Route Performance - International passenger revenue for the three airlines saw significant growth, with Air China's international revenue up 16.09%, Eastern Airlines up 20.34%, and Southern Airlines up 15.74% [7]. - Eastern Airlines expanded its international route network by opening 14 new international routes, becoming the domestic airline with the most international destinations [7]. - The capacity and passenger turnover for international routes increased significantly, with Eastern Airlines' international capacity up 24.38% and passenger turnover up 28.74% [7]. Cost Management - The three airlines managed to keep their cost increases below 5% year-on-year, with specific increases of 1.14% for Air China, 3.27% for Eastern Airlines, and 0.17% for Southern Airlines [11]. - The decline in fuel prices contributed to a significant reduction in fuel costs, with Air China, Eastern Airlines, and Southern Airlines seeing decreases of 10.34%, 8.08%, and 9.15% respectively [11]. - Eastern Airlines implemented a cost management committee to enhance control over major costs, achieving a 9.5% reduction in average bridge time at major airports [12]. Future Strategies - The airlines plan to capitalize on the traditional peak season for cargo and explore new routes, including Southern Airlines' focus on the South American market [13][15]. - Eastern Airlines aims to enhance its network layout and increase domestic and international flight offerings, particularly targeting emerging markets in the Middle East, Africa, and South America [15].

Core Insights - In H1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 80.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -1.81 billion yuan, a reduction in losses by 0.98 billion yuan [1] - Q2 2025 saw operating revenue of 40.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, and a net profit of 0.24 billion yuan, marking a return to profitability [1] Business Analysis - Revenue growth was driven by an increase in passenger transport, with revenue reaching 73.2 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.6 billion yuan year-on-year. This was supported by a rise in capacity and passenger load factor, although offset by a decline in yield [2] - The company’s RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) grew by 5.2% year-on-year, with international RPK increasing by 17%. However, passenger kilometer yield decreased by 4.9% [2] - Cargo revenue increased by 2.5 billion yuan to 3.6 billion yuan, driven by higher capacity and load factor, despite a slight decline in yield [2] Cost and Financial Performance - The decline in oil prices led to an improvement in unit costs, with the unit cost per seat kilometer at 0.44 yuan, down 2.17% year-on-year. The gross margin for H1 2025 was 3%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points [3] - Total expenses related to sales, management, research, and finance decreased by 1.1% year-on-year, with financial expenses dropping significantly due to reduced interest payments and recorded exchange gains [3] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 0.24 billion yuan, an increase of 1.35 billion yuan year-on-year, attributed to improved gross margin and reduced financial expenses [3] Industry Outlook - Recent regulatory measures by the Civil Aviation Administration of China aim to mitigate "involution" competition, which is expected to improve airline revenue levels in the short term [3] - The industry is projected to experience low single-digit growth in supply due to constraints from order shortages and production capacity, while passenger volume is expected to maintain high single-digit growth. A supply-demand turning point is anticipated in 2026, potentially leading to increased ticket prices and profit release for the company [3] Profit Forecast - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.8 billion, 6 billion, and 9.3 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting slower-than-expected demand recovery [4]

Core Viewpoint - China National Airlines (601111.SH) reported a revenue of 80.757 billion yuan for the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.56% while narrowing its net loss to 1.806 billion yuan compared to a net loss of 2.782 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue reached 80.757 billion yuan, marking a 1.56% increase year-on-year [1] - The net loss attributable to the parent company's shareholders was 1.806 billion yuan, an improvement from the previous year's net loss of 2.782 billion yuan [1]