Core Insights - ZTE Corporation's stock price increased by 2.11% on November 13, reaching 40.57 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 2.075 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 194.068 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 1.98%, but has experienced a decline of 4.77% over the last five trading days and 24.91% over the last 20 days [1] - For the period from January to September 2025, ZTE reported a revenue of 100.52 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.63%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.69% to 5.322 billion CNY [2] Financial Performance - ZTE has cumulatively distributed dividends of 17.137 billion CNY since its A-share listing, with 8.114 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders of ZTE have seen reductions in their holdings, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 76.8764 million shares, down by 11.3435 million shares from the previous period [3] Market Activity - The net inflow of main funds into ZTE was 91.918 million CNY, with large orders accounting for 26.05% of total purchases and 26.44% of total sales [1] - ZTE has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" three times this year, with the most recent instance on October 17, where it recorded a net buy of -554 million CNY [1]

Market Overview - On November 12, the A-share market showed a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.07%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.36%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.39% [2][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.95 trillion yuan, a decrease of 48.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - The insurance, pharmaceutical, and oil & gas sectors saw the largest gains, while sectors such as cultivated diamonds, photovoltaics, and controllable nuclear fusion experienced the most significant declines [2] International Market - In the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 326.86 points (0.68%) to close at 48,254.82 points, while the S&P 500 increased by 4.31 points (0.06%) to 6,850.92 points. The Nasdaq Composite fell by 61.84 points (0.26%) to 23,406.46 points [4][5] - European markets also saw gains, with the FTSE 100 up 0.12%, the CAC 40 up 1.04%, and the DAX up 1.22% [4] Commodity Prices - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude oil down 4.18% to $58.49 per barrel and Brent crude down 3.76% to $62.71 per barrel [4][5] Industry News - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association issued a statement refuting rumors aimed at discrediting the photovoltaic industry, emphasizing ongoing efforts to promote industry self-discipline and combat malicious short-selling [6] - The National Energy Administration announced plans to promote the application of renewable energy for heating, encouraging the development of multi-energy coupling comprehensive energy supply stations [7][8] Investment Insights - According to Debang Securities, the short-term market may continue to see a structural trend dominated by "new energy + policy themes," with a focus on the progress and effects of the "anti-involution" policy in the photovoltaic sector [12] - Pacific Securities noted that technology stocks are expected to show differentiation, with those supported by performance likely to maintain upward momentum, while those without may face significant corrections [12] Capital Market Developments - The Shanghai Stock Exchange International Investor Conference highlighted the importance of stabilizing the capital market and enhancing its internal stability, with plans to deepen reforms and expand long-term investment [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The European Commission is exploring methods to phase out equipment from Huawei and ZTE in telecom networks, labeling them as "high-risk suppliers" despite a lack of evidence supporting security concerns [1] Group 1: Regulatory Actions - The European Commission is pushing for legislation to ban member states from using products from Huawei and other high-risk suppliers [1] - This move reflects ongoing tensions regarding the security of Chinese telecom equipment, which has been a recurring theme in EU policy discussions [1] Group 2: Security Concerns - Claims regarding the security risks of Huawei's equipment, such as potential backdoors for cyberattacks, have been deemed baseless and absurd by various analysts [1] - German cybersecurity agencies have evaluated Huawei products and found no suspicious components or backdoors [1] - UK intelligence agencies have stated that the security risks associated with Huawei's 5G equipment are manageable [1] Group 3: Industry Impact - Chinese telecom companies, represented by Huawei, are focusing on technological innovation to build core competitiveness [1] - The ongoing narrative around security risks and market access barriers is seen as an attempt to hinder the development of Chinese telecom technology and industry [1] - The exclusion of Chinese telecom firms from the EU market is predicted to ultimately harm the EU's own interests [1]

Group 1 - The European Commission is pushing for legislation to mandate EU member states to exclude Huawei and ZTE equipment from mobile communication networks, reflecting a trend of increasing geopolitical and ideological concerns in EU-China economic relations [1][2] - Since 2019, the EU has been emphasizing "5G security issues," with the European Commission developing policy recommendations and the U.S. government exerting pressure on EU countries regarding security concerns [1][2] - The EU's focus has shifted from "development" to "security" in the context of 5G and infrastructure, with the European Commission regularly promoting the implementation of 5G security measures [1][2] Group 2 - The European Commission's 5G policies remain at the recommendation level, and their implementation depends on member states' legislative actions, which may be influenced by the Commission's efforts to create a sense of security threat [2] - The Commission's rhetoric regarding "high-risk" companies like Huawei and ZTE is seen as politically motivated and detrimental to EU-China technological and economic cooperation, potentially empowering anti-China sentiments within member states [2][4] - The EU's approach to security and trade relations with China may undermine its own competitiveness, as it faces challenges such as market fragmentation and outdated infrastructure in the digital economy [3][4] Group 3 - Chinese telecommunications companies like Huawei and ZTE offer world-leading efficiency and performance in equipment and technology, which surpasses the traditional competition based on price and labor costs [3] - The EU's insistence on excluding Huawei and ZTE could lead to significant increases in telecom system costs and service disruptions, hindering the optimization of critical infrastructure [4] - The EU needs to reconsider its politicization of economic issues and demonstrate a pragmatic attitude in managing bilateral trade relations with China to enhance its competitiveness [4]

Core Viewpoint - ZTE Corporation's Q3 profitability was primarily impacted by fluctuations in quarterly revenue structure, with a significant decline in net profit year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.322 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 32.69% [1] - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 264 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 87.84% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 89.85% [1] Business Segments - The computing power business is experiencing accelerated growth, leveraging industry-leading chip design capabilities to strengthen long-term competitiveness in the AI sector [1] - The operator business faced challenges due to delivery schedules and downstream demand, but the computing power segment continues to gain momentum [1] Valuation and Rating - Based on comparable company valuations, a 2025 price-to-earnings ratio of 40 times is suggested, corresponding to a target price of 60.13 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, projecting a target price of RMB 60.13 based on a 2025 PE of 40x [5][9]. Core Insights - The operator business is under pressure due to delivery pace and downstream demand, but the computing power business is accelerating its growth [1]. - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached RMB 100.52 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.63%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 5.32 billion, down 32.69% year-on-year [5][9]. - The computing power business saw significant growth, with government and enterprise business up 130% year-on-year and computing power business scale reaching approximately RMB 25 billion, up 180% year-on-year [5][9]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 141.34 billion, RMB 155.97 billion, and RMB 173.35 billion, respectively [5][9]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected at RMB 7.19 billion, RMB 8.32 billion, and RMB 9.92 billion for the same period [5][9]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 30.55%, down 9.88 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 5.29%, down 3.49 percentage points year-on-year [5][9]. Business Performance - The operator business's revenue is under pressure due to a decline in capital expenditure and changes in delivery pace, while the government and enterprise/server business has shown accelerated growth [5][9]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its chip business, which is expected to become a new profit engine, leveraging self-developed chips and AI servers [5][9]. - The company won a major breakthrough award at the 2025 China Computing Power Conference for its intelligent computing super node system [5][9].

Core Points - ZTE Corporation's stock price decreased by 3.01% on November 12, reaching 39.67 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 189.76 billion CNY [1] - The company has experienced a year-to-date stock price decline of 0.28%, with a 3.48% drop over the last five trading days and a 21.29% decline over the last 20 days [1] - ZTE's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 was 100.52 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.63%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.69% to 5.32 billion CNY [2] Financial Performance - ZTE has recorded a cumulative cash distribution of 17.14 billion CNY since its A-share listing, with 8.11 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders of ZTE have seen a decrease in holdings, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 76.88 million shares, down by 11.34 million shares from the previous period [3] Business Overview - ZTE Corporation, established on November 11, 1997, is primarily engaged in the sales of electronic and communication equipment, with its main business revenue composition being 49% from carrier networks, 26.91% from government and enterprise business, and 24.09% from consumer business [2] - The company operates within the communication equipment industry, focusing on areas such as core networks, RCS concepts, satellite internet, IPV6, and vehicle networking [2]

Core Insights - On November 11, brokerages issued target prices for listed companies a total of 21 times, with notable increases in target prices for Century Huatong, ZTE Corporation, and Zhuhai Smelter Group, showing increases of 50.48%, 47.02%, and 34.74% respectively, across the gaming, communication equipment, and industrial metals sectors [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Century Huatong received a target price of 26.50 yuan, reflecting a target price increase of 50.48% [2]. - ZTE Corporation's target price was set at 60.13 yuan, indicating a 47.02% increase [2]. - Zhuhai Smelter Group's target price reached 20.40 yuan, with a 34.74% increase [2]. - Other companies with significant target price increases include Jinlei Co. (30.79%), Changan Automobile (30.29%), and Sanhua Intelligent Control (29.84%) [2]. Brokerage Recommendations - The top companies recommended by brokerages on November 11 include Zhonglian Heavy Industry, Xinbao Co., and Sany Heavy Industry, each receiving two brokerage ratings [3]. - Zhonglian Heavy Industry had a closing price of 8.44 yuan, while Xinbao Co. closed at 15.30 yuan, and Sany Heavy Industry at 20.91 yuan [3]. Rating Adjustments - Nanjing Steel Group's rating was upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by Zhongtai Securities on November 11 [4]. - A total of 14 companies received first-time coverage from brokerages, with Zhejiang Energy Power rated "Hold" and Zhonggu Logistics rated "Hold" as well [5]. Newly Covered Companies - Newly covered companies include Zhejiang Energy Power (rated "Hold"), Zhonggu Logistics (rated "Hold"), and Longxin General (rated "Outperform") [5]. - Other companies receiving first-time ratings include Yifeng Pharmacy (rated "Outperform") and Haier Smart Home (rated "Buy") [5].

Core Viewpoint - On November 11, brokerages provided target prices for listed companies, with notable increases for Century Huatong, ZTE Corporation, and Zhuhai Smelter Group, reflecting significant potential upside in the gaming, communication equipment, and industrial metals sectors respectively [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Century Huatong (002602) has a target price increase of 50.48%, with a highest target price of 26.50 yuan [2]. - ZTE Corporation (000063) shows a target price increase of 47.02%, with a highest target price of 60.13 yuan [2]. - Zhuhai Smelter Group (600961) has a target price increase of 34.74%, with a highest target price of 20.40 yuan [2]. - Other companies with notable target price increases include Jinlei Co. (30.79%), Changan Automobile (30.29%), and Sanhua Intelligent Control (29.84%) [2]. Brokerage Recommendations - The number of brokerages recommending specific companies on November 11 includes Zhonglian Heavy Industry (2), Xinbao Co. (2), Sany Heavy Industry (2), Longi Green Energy (2), and Tongwei Co. (2) [3]. - The only company with an upgraded rating is Nanjing Steel (600282), which was raised from "Hold" to "Buy" by Zhongtai Securities [4]. First Coverage - On November 11, 14 companies received initial coverage from brokerages, including Zhejiang Energy Power (rated "Buy"), Zhonggu Logistics (rated "Buy"), and Longxin General (rated "Outperform") [5]. - Other companies receiving initial coverage include New Asia Strong, Guotai Junan, and Yifeng Pharmacy, with ratings ranging from "Buy" to "Outperform" [5].

Macro News - The European Commission is considering forcing EU member states to gradually remove Huawei and ZTE equipment from their telecom networks, with China urging for a fair and transparent business environment [1] - Mexico has postponed its plan to impose high tariffs on Chinese imports, with China advocating for inclusive economic globalization and opposing unilateralism and protectionism [2] - The People's Bank of China has released a monetary policy report for Q3 2025, emphasizing the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy and the need for counter-cyclical adjustments [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission has recommended 18 private investment projects to the China Securities Regulatory Commission, with 14 already issued and a total fund amount of nearly 30 billion yuan [4] Industry News - Goldman Sachs has circulated a report on China's humanoid robot supply chain, indicating that none of the nine surveyed companies have confirmed large orders or provided clear mass production timelines [4] - The central bank emphasizes the need for effective execution and transmission of a moderately loose monetary policy [5] - Multiple banks have announced an increase in the minimum investment threshold for gold accumulation plans [5] Company News - Aowei New Materials has announced that its humanoid robot business is still in the product development stage and has not yet achieved mass production or scaled sales, posing a risk of rapid stock price decline [9] - Shennong Technology has stated that some research reports on its performance predictions only represent individual analysts' views [9] - Meidi Group has announced a mid-2025 profit distribution plan of 10 yuan per 10 shares, with the record date set for November 17 [10] - Qinan Co. plans to acquire 99% of Yigao Optoelectronics for 885 million yuan, promising a cumulative net profit of no less than 240 million yuan over three years [13] Global Market - U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones rising 1.18% to a record high, while the Nasdaq fell 0.25% [18] - European stocks rose for the second consecutive day, driven by strong earnings reports and increased bets on a rate cut by the Bank of England [18] - International oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil futures up 1.5% to $61.04 per barrel [18] Investment Opportunities - Volcano Engine has launched the Doubao programming model, which is expected to become a leading AI application for B-end users, with a cost reduction of 62.7% compared to the industry average [19] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to accelerate the cultivation of application scenarios in key areas such as AI and robotics [20]