Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that ZTE Corporation's target price has been raised significantly, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance [1] - ZTE's revenue for the first half of the year increased by 15% year-on-year to 71.6 billion RMB, while net profit decreased by 12% to 5.1 billion RMB [1] - The shift in product mix towards higher shipment volume servers has negatively impacted gross margin and net margin, which fell by 8 and 2.1 percentage points to 32.5% and 7.1% respectively [1] Group 2 - The report anticipates that ZTE will maintain strong growth momentum in the coming years, supported by the AI infrastructure investment cycle and the trend of domestic semiconductor localization [1] - ZTE's projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 7.976 billion, 8.035 billion, and 9.568 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.3%, a slight increase of 0.7%, and a growth of 19.1% respectively [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.16% on September 3, with only three sectors rising, namely Comprehensive, Communication, and Power Equipment, which increased by 1.64%, 1.61%, and 1.44% respectively [1] - The sectors that experienced the largest declines were Defense & Military and Non-Bank Financials, with decreases of 5.83% and 3.05% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net outflow of capital from the two markets reached 71.426 billion yuan, with only three sectors seeing net inflows: Power Equipment (2.958 billion yuan), Textile & Apparel (0.222 billion yuan), and Comprehensive (3.106 million yuan) [1] - The Non-Bank Financial sector had the largest net outflow, totaling 12.210 billion yuan, followed by Defense & Military with a net outflow of 10.131 billion yuan [1] Communication Sector Performance - The Communication sector rose by 1.61% despite a net outflow of 1.368 billion yuan in capital [2] - Out of 125 stocks in the Communication sector, 28 stocks rose, with 2 hitting the daily limit, while 96 stocks fell, including 1 hitting the lower limit [2] - The top three stocks with significant net inflows were Zhongji Xuchuang (1.061 billion yuan), Erli San (0.385 billion yuan), and Changfei Fiber (0.226 billion yuan) [2] Communication Sector Capital Inflow and Outflow - The top inflow stocks in the Communication sector included Zhongji Xuchuang with a 10.99% increase and a turnover rate of 6.44%, followed by Erli San and Changfei Fiber with increases of 3.43% and 10.00% respectively [4] - The top outflow stocks included Zhongxing Communications with a decrease of 1.99% and a net outflow of 631.68 million yuan, followed by Xinyi Sheng and Jianqiao Technology with net outflows of 315.13 million yuan and 275.11 million yuan respectively [4]

Market Overview - On September 2, the Hong Kong stock market saw all three major indices decline, failing to maintain the previous day's upward momentum[9] - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 9.281 billion on the same day[9] - Major tech stocks generally fell, with Kuaishou down over 2%, and Meituan, Alibaba, Baidu, and JD.com each down over 1%[9] Sector Performance - Semiconductor and chip stocks experienced a pullback, with Shanghai Fudan down nearly 8%[9] - ZTE Corporation's stock dropped over 7% due to second-quarter earnings falling short of market expectations, reporting revenue of CNY 71.553 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.51%, and a net profit of CNY 5.058 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 11.77%[9] - Automotive stocks showed gains, with expectations of a 10% year-on-year increase in national retail sales of passenger vehicles in 2025[9] Banking and Oil Sector - Banking stocks rose, with Agricultural Bank of China up nearly 3%, and other major banks also seeing gains[9] - As of the end of August, 42 listed banks reported a total revenue exceeding CNY 2.9 trillion, a year-on-year increase of over 1%[9] - Oil stocks strengthened as international oil prices rose, with WTI crude up 0.94% to USD 64.61 per barrel, and Brent crude up 1.01% to USD 68.16 per barrel[9] U.S. Market Impact - On September 2, U.S. stock indices collectively fell as investors weighed the latest developments in trade tensions[9] - A U.S. appeals court ruled that many of Trump's global tariffs were illegal, which could lead to the federal government potentially having to refund tens of billions of dollars, further straining the fiscal situation[9] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rose above 4.3%, while the 30-year yield reached 4.99%, the highest level since July 18[12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that ZTE Corporation's revenue increased by 15% year-on-year to 71.6 billion yuan, while net profit decreased by 12% to 5.1 billion yuan [1] - The shift in product mix towards higher shipment volume servers has negatively impacted gross margin and net margin, which fell by 8 and 2.1 percentage points to 32.5% and 7.1% respectively [1] - The report suggests that ZTE is expected to maintain strong growth momentum in the coming years, supported by the AI infrastructure investment cycle and the trend of domestic semiconductor localization [1] Group 2 - The target price for ZTE's H-shares has been raised from 26.5 HKD to 42 HKD, and the target price for A-shares has been increased from 32.86 CNY to 57 CNY [1] - The forecasted net profits for ZTE from 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 7.976 billion, 8.035 billion, and 9.568 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of -5.3%, +0.7%, and +19.1% respectively [1]

Group 1 - The main stocks with significant capital outflow include Shanzi Gaoke (-8.24 billion), Xinyi Sheng (-5.19 billion), and Pacific (-4.83 billion) [1][2] - The sectors affected by the capital outflow include automotive, telecommunications, securities, and internet services [2][3] - Notable stock performances show that Shanzi Gaoke had a slight increase of 0.75%, while Longcheng Military Industry and Zhonghang Chengfei experienced declines of -4.87% and -8.12% respectively [2][3] Group 2 - The total capital outflow from the top 20 stocks indicates a trend of investors pulling back from certain sectors, particularly in specialized equipment and internet services [1][2] - Companies like Wan Tong Development and Liou Shares saw positive stock performance despite significant capital outflow, indicating potential resilience in the real estate and internet service sectors [2][3] - The data reflects a broader market sentiment where certain stocks are under pressure, leading to strategic shifts in investment focus [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 71.553 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.51%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.77% to 5.058 billion yuan [1][2]. - The second curve business, particularly in AI servers and self-developed chips, has become a core growth engine, with government and enterprise business revenue growing by 109.93% to 19.254 billion yuan, accounting for 26.91% of total revenue [2][4]. - The company is transitioning from a "connectivity" model to a "connectivity + computing power" strategy, which has shown significant results [2]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's gross profit margin decreased to 32.45%, down 7.99 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the increased revenue share from the lower-margin government and enterprise business [3]. - The net profit margin also declined to 7.07%, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 8.6 billion yuan in 2025, 9.4 billion yuan in 2026, and 11.5 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 25, 23, and 19 [4][5]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 121.299 billion yuan in 2024 to 199.587 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -2.4%, 16.0%, 18.8%, and 19.4% respectively [5][7]. Business Development - The company is building a super-node solution and expanding its full-stack domestic intelligent computing products, leveraging self-developed AI large-capacity switching chips [4]. - The company aims to create an open ecosystem for domestic intelligent computing, supporting large model training and high-concurrency inference [4].

Group 1 - UBS Group AG reduced its stake in ZTE Corporation (00763) by selling 2.813912 million shares at a price of HKD 37.1869 per share, totaling approximately HKD 105 million [1] - After the reduction, UBS's remaining shareholding is approximately 57.9641 million shares, representing a holding percentage of 7.67% [1]

Group 1 - UBS Group AG reduced its stake in ZTE Corporation (000063)(00763) by selling 2,813,912 shares at a price of HKD 37.1869 per share, totaling approximately HKD 105 million [1] - After the reduction, UBS's remaining shareholding in ZTE is approximately 57,964,100 shares, representing a holding percentage of 7.67% [1]

Core Points - ZTE Corporation has reported no changes in its issued shares and registered capital as of August 31, 2025, maintaining a total registered capital of RMB 4,783,534,887 [1][2] - The number of issued shares remains constant at 755,502,534 for the Hong Kong listed shares and 4,028,032,353 for the Shenzhen listed shares, with no increase or decrease during the reporting period [1][2] - The company confirms that there are no changes in stock options or convertible bonds during the month, indicating stability in its equity structure [1][2] Section I: Legal/Registered Capital Changes - The registered capital for both Hong Kong and Shenzhen listings remains unchanged at RMB 755,502,534 and RMB 4,028,032,353 respectively, totaling RMB 4,783,534,887 [1] Section II: Issued Shares and Treasury Shares Changes - The total number of issued shares (excluding treasury shares) remains at 755,502,534 for Hong Kong and 4,028,032,353 for Shenzhen, with no changes reported [1][2] Section III: Details of Issued Shares and Treasury Shares Changes - No new shares were issued or transferred from treasury shares during the month, indicating no activity in this area [1][2]

Core Insights - On September 2, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and SMIC (00981) were the top three companies by trading volume in the southbound trading of the Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 86.47 billion, 60.46 billion, and 59.59 billion respectively [1] - In the southbound trading of the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, SMIC (00981), Alibaba-W (09988), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) also ranked as the top three, with trading amounts of 48.12 billion, 45.52 billion, and 34.29 billion respectively [1] Southbound Trading Highlights - **Top Active Companies in Southbound Trading (Hong Kong Stock Connect)** - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 86.47 billion, net buying of +20.88 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 60.46 billion, net selling of -5.92 billion [2] - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 59.59 billion, net buying of +4.18 billion [2] - **Top Active Companies in Southbound Trading (Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect)** - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 48.12 billion, net selling of -14.55 billion [2] - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 45.52 billion, net buying of +13.55 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 34.29 billion, net buying of +1.81 billion [2]