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高盛:内地三大航空股受惠油价下跌 评级“买入”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-04-14 06:17
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that Chinese airlines may benefit from slow aircraft deliveries leading to supply shortages and falling oil prices [1] - Concerns about demand growth are noted due to tariff increases causing macroeconomic weakness and faster-than-expected fleet introduction plans [1] - Despite these concerns, Goldman Sachs believes that the demand for air travel in China is relatively resilient, primarily driven by leisure travel [1] Group 2 - The management of the three major airlines indicates that their current fleet plans are based on existing contracts, but actual new aircraft numbers may be lower than expected due to delivery delays and uncertainties in lease renewals [1] - Goldman Sachs forecasts net demand growth for the years 2025 to 2027 at 4.2%, 2.1%, and 1.7% respectively, with ticket prices expected to improve continuously [1] - The airlines' profitability is sensitive to falling oil prices, and it is anticipated that airlines may share some fuel cost savings with customers to attract more passengers [1] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs maintains its net demand forecast while adjusting net profit estimates for the three major mainland airlines from a decrease of 5% to an increase of 2% due to lower ticket prices and revised oil price assumptions [2] - The target price for China National Aviation Holdings (601111) (00753) H-shares remains unchanged at HKD 6.7, while China Eastern Airlines (00670) H-shares target price is raised from HKD 3.4 to HKD 3.5, and China Southern Airlines (600029) (01055) H-shares target price remains at HKD 4.4 [2] - Overall, Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on the three major airline stocks [2]
南航可持续发展综合评价跻身全球前五成为中国内地首家获ESGAcode高阶评价航企
近年来,南航坚决落实党中央、国务院关于推动绿色发展、加快建设美丽中国的重大决策部署,紧密结 合民航实际,以飞机节能减碳、降低地面能耗、旅客绿色出行为抓手,持续开展飞行效能优化、地面节 能降碳、能源绿色转型、环境污染防治、资源循环利用、专业体系构建和协调创新探索等七大行动。 此次联合国国际航创组织对中国南方航空在ESG领域表现的高度认可,是对中国南方航空多年来坚持并 践行可持续发展的充分肯定。未来,中国南方航空将继续践行可持续理念,深化业内外合作,共同探索 航空绿色低碳解决方案,为全球民航可持续发展做出新的更大贡献。(编辑:李季威 校对:张薇 审 核:程凌) (本文图片均由南航提供) 国际航创组织官方报告是基于对全球航企可持续发展实践及战略规划的综合评价。报告指出,南航通过 强化顶层治理、清洁能源替代、技术创新驱动及全链条协同,构建起覆盖"空地一体化"的绿色航空生态 体系。其清洁能源转型数据精准可量化,治理框架深度契合国际规范,为航空业低碳转型提供了系统化 的实践范式。 在联合国公共行政专家委员会第24届会议上,国际航创组织代表将南航作为全球航空业的标杆企业进行 案例分享,并专门提到南航在清洁能源转型、低碳治理 ...
海通证券晨报-2025-04-07
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-07 06:38
Macroeconomic Insights - China will impose a 34% tariff on all imports from the United States starting April 10, 2025, which is expected to significantly reduce agricultural imports from the U.S. [3] - In 2024, China imported agricultural products worth $24.9 billion from the U.S., with major imports including soybeans (22.1 million tons), sorghum (5.7 million tons), corn (2.1 million tons), and wheat (1.9 million tons) [3]. Agricultural Sector - The increase in tariffs is likely to enhance domestic grain prices and benefit the planting industry chain, emphasizing the need for self-sufficiency in grain production [3]. - The report highlights the importance of technological advancements in agriculture, particularly in genetically modified and gene-edited crops, which are expected to accelerate, benefiting seed companies with leading technology reserves [3]. - The report recommends focusing on companies that are actively expanding their domestic brands in the pet food sector, such as Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which primarily generate revenue from domestic sales [4]. Livestock Industry - The report indicates that the pig farming sector is expected to see a significant improvement in profitability for the 2024 annual report and the first quarter of 2025, driven by favorable pig prices and reduced costs [5]. - The analysis of March's supply and demand dynamics in the pig farming industry shows a balanced market, but a potential downward trend in prices is anticipated if there is no support from state reserves [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the poultry sector include Shengnong Development, Yisheng Shares, and Lihua Shares; for the post-cycle sector, recommended stocks are KQ Bio, Haida Group; in the pig farming sector, recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Tiankang Bio, and Shennong Group [7]. - In the seed industry, recommended stocks include Fengle Seed Industry, Quanyin High-Tech, Longping High-Tech, and Dabeinong [7]. - In the pet sector, recommended stocks are Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Ruipu Bio [7]. Chemical Industry - The report suggests that the imposition of a 34% tariff on U.S. imports will accelerate the domestic substitution process for chemical products, particularly in high-end markets [17]. - Beneficiary products include lubricant additives, nucleating agents, adsorption separation resins, and nano-silica, with specific companies recommended for investment [19]. Rare Earth Industry - The report maintains an "overweight" rating on the rare earth sector, anticipating that the recent tariffs will enhance China's strategic advantages in rare earth production and lead to price increases due to supply-demand mismatches [22]. - The export control measures on heavy rare earths are expected to stimulate overseas stockpiling, further driving up prices [23]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector is projected to see stable growth in 2025, with a focus on improving asset-liability matching strategies [25]. - The report recommends increasing holdings in companies like China Pacific Insurance and New China Life Insurance, which are expected to benefit from improved investment returns and stable business strategies [40].
南方航空(600029) - 南方航空可转债转股结果暨股份变动公告
2025-04-01 11:19
证券代码:600029 证券简称:南方航空 公告编号:临 2025-018 转债代码:110075 转债简称:南航转债 中国南方航空股份有限公司 可转债转股结果暨股份变动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 累计转股情况:南航转债的转股期间为 2021 年 4 月 21 日至 2026 年 10 月 14 日。截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日,累计已有人民 币 10,103,740,000 元南航转债转换成公司 A 股股票,累计转股 股数为 1,619,189,273 股,占南航转债转股前公司已发行股份总 额的比例约为 10.56%。 未转股可转债情况:截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日,尚未转股 的南航转债金额为人民币 5,896,260,000 元,占南航转债发行总 量的比例约为 36.85%。 本季度转股情况:自 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 3 月 31 日期间,南航转债累计转股金额为人民币 25,000 元,累计转股 股数为 4,051 股。 元/股调整为人民币 ...
南方航空(600029) - 南方航空H股公告-月报表
2025-04-01 11:01
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年3月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國南方航空股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年4月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01055 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,643,997,308 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 4,643,997,308 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,643,997,308 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 4,643,997,308 | | 2. 股 ...
夏秋航季航班计划开启 成都出发将新开通至少4条国际直飞航线
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-03-31 03:46
3月30日,中国民航正式执行夏秋航季航班计划。四川航空市场迎来新一轮航线布局优化,成都作 为西南地区航空枢纽,国内国际航线网络进一步加密,多家航司新增、恢复及加密航线。 国际航线方面,川航新开成都天府—马德里、天府—槟城2条国际直飞航线;天府—温哥华增至每 周2班,天府—罗马增至每周5班;川航天府航班2—10小时国际中转机会接近每周7000个,覆盖京沪广 深等18个城市。据介绍,川航天府—伊斯坦布尔—雅典、天府—巴厘岛等新增航线也将陆续"上线"。 国航恢复成都—巴黎航线;成都—东京航线复航后,计划7月加密至每日一班。春秋航空推出成都 经上海、宁波中转至大阪、济州岛的"当天直达"航线。韩亚航空将恢复成都往返首尔航线,每天一班。 澳门航空将加密成都天府—中国澳门航线,计划每周10班。 南航成都至大连航线加密至每天2班;新开通成都直飞库尔勒航线;成都至武汉航线加密至每天4 班;成都至揭阳航线加密至每天2班。东航计划新开成都天府—伊宁等部分进疆长航距航线。春秋航空 将新开成都—揭阳(潮汕)航线。(记者 兰珍 王眉灵) 川航计划新开成都天府—厦门、杭州—重庆—林芝等15条航线,恢复成都天府—武夷山、天府—伊 宁等19条 ...
多条“小城”支线航线上新 民航2025夏秋航季开启
满足国内出游需求 夏秋航季包括暑运以及多个公众假期,将持续释放更多出行需求,尤其是随着这两年"小城"旅游的火爆,今年的新航季也将有更多的运力投放在支线航线 上。 22家内地与香港航空公司在内地44个航点与香港间,每周安排客货运航班1454班;11家内地与澳门航空公司在内地24个航点与澳门间,每周计划执行668班 客运航班;20家大陆与台湾航空公司在大陆17个航点与台湾桃园等4个航点间,每周客货运航班量预计将达764班。 此外,国际航线航班方面,民航局已批复193家国内外航空公司每周22946班定期客货运航班计划,比2024年夏秋航季增长33%,涉及78个境外国家,其 中"一带一路"国家58个。 航科院航空运输研究所主任经济师 钟山:每年都有两个航季的调整,但实际上市场需求是在不断变化。所以我们在航季中根据市场的需求,会随时把我们 的航线网络进行优化和调整。现在看到的是基于目前的市场需求做的初步变化,那么后续会根据我们的"五一""十一",包括暑运进行加班包机和各种的灵活 调整,所以实际上我们的管理政策是更加灵活。 加密"小城"支线航线 记者从中国民航局了解到,全国民航正式执行夏秋航季航班计划。新航季将持续至20 ...
南方航空(600029) - 2024 Q4 - 年度财报
2025-03-26 23:50
Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of RMB 174,224 million, an increase of 8.94% compared to RMB 159,929 million in 2023[20]. - The net loss attributable to shareholders was RMB (1,696) million, a significant improvement of 59.71% from RMB (4,209) million in the previous year[20]. - The cash flow from operating activities was RMB 31,445 million, a decrease of 21.65% from RMB 40,134 million in 2023[20]. - The total assets at the end of 2024 were RMB 329,738 million, reflecting a growth of 6.63% from RMB 309,226 million at the end of 2023[20]. - The basic loss per share improved to RMB (0.09) from RMB (0.23) in 2023, marking a 60.87% reduction in losses[21]. - The weighted average return on equity increased by 6.09 percentage points to (4.72)% compared to (10.81)% in 2023[21]. - The total operating revenue for the reporting period was RMB 174,224 million, an increase of RMB 14,295 million or 8.94% year-on-year[64]. - The total operating cost was RMB 159,571 million, an increase of RMB 11,989 million or 8.12% year-on-year, with fuel costs rising to RMB 54,989 million, up 5.65%[65]. - The net cash inflow from operating activities was RMB 31,445 million, a decrease of 21.65% compared to the previous year[81]. - The total liabilities increased to RMB 277,143 million, up 7.74% from the end of the previous year, with current liabilities accounting for 49.94% of total liabilities[67]. Operational Highlights - The company reported a total passenger transport volume of 1.65 billion people, contributing to a significant operational scale in the aviation sector[33]. - The company achieved a passenger transport volume increase of 15.8% and a cargo mail transport volume increase of 15.7% during the reporting period[35]. - The total revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) reached 305,965.93 million, up 23.90% from 246,947.23 million in the previous year[42]. - The total revenue ton kilometers (RTK) increased by 21.54% to 36,207.79 million from 29,791.11 million[42]. - The average passenger load factor improved to 84.38%, an increase of 6.28 percentage points compared to the previous year[43]. - The total number of flights increased by 5.50% to 1,135.10 thousand flights in 2024 from 1,075.95 thousand flights in 2023[44]. - The fleet size reached 917 aircraft, with 345 owned, 241 under finance lease, and 331 under operating lease[45]. Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to build a world-class airline by 2025, focusing on core air transport and collaborative development[55]. - The company is enhancing its hub network strategy, particularly in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area[54]. - The company plans to accelerate the construction of the Beijing Daxing hub and implement digital transformation initiatives[56]. - The company is focusing on strengthening its hub network strategy centered around Guangzhou and Beijing, aiming to enhance its international hub capabilities[59]. - The company is advancing its digital transformation initiatives, with key performance indicators such as social media followers and app downloads ranking among the industry leaders[62]. - The company is committed to advancing digital transformation and strategic industry adjustments to enhance competitiveness and market responsiveness[120]. Governance and Compliance - The company guarantees the authenticity, accuracy, and completeness of the annual report, with no false records or major omissions[5]. - The audit report issued by KPMG Huazhen shows a standard unqualified opinion for the company[5]. - The company’s governance structure complies with relevant laws and regulations, ensuring a balanced decision-making process among its governing bodies[140]. - The company held 2 shareholder meetings and 2 category shareholder meetings during the reporting period, ensuring all shareholders, especially minority investors, could participate in decision-making through online voting[143]. - The board of directors consists of 6 members, including 3 executive directors and 3 independent directors, and held 8 board meetings during the reporting period[144]. - The company received an A-level rating for information disclosure from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for the 2023-2024 period, marking the 11th consecutive year of receiving this rating[153]. Risk Factors - The company faces macroeconomic risks that could impact demand for air passenger and cargo services, directly affecting business performance[125]. - The company is exposed to fuel price fluctuations, with a 10% increase in average fuel prices potentially raising operating costs by RMB 5,499 million[136]. - The company has a significant capital expenditure risk due to high fixed costs associated with aircraft operations, which could lead to financial difficulties if business conditions deteriorate[133]. - The company’s financial performance is sensitive to exchange rate fluctuations, with a 1% change in the USD/CNY exchange rate potentially impacting shareholder equity by RMB 289 million[134]. - The company is subject to regulatory risks related to macroeconomic policies, which could affect its operational performance and future business development[126]. Future Outlook - The company projects that by 2025, global air transport revenue will exceed $1 trillion, with a 4.4% year-on-year growth[111]. - In China, the aviation industry is expected to achieve a passenger transport volume of 780 million by 2025, driven by rising national income and increased public holidays[112]. - The company aims to establish a world-class aviation transport enterprise by 2025, focusing on core aviation operations and collaborative development[113]. - The company plans to deliver a total of 970 aircraft by the end of 2025, with 91 deliveries expected in that year, and a total of 1,084 aircraft by the end of 2027[122]. Employee and Management - The company reported a total of 102,597 employees, with 67,303 in the parent company and 35,294 in major subsidiaries[188]. - The company has established a market-oriented personnel selection and incentive mechanism to enhance employee motivation and performance linkage[189]. - The total pre-tax remuneration for all directors, supervisors, and senior management during the reporting period amounted to RMB 8.2459 million, including deferred compensation[172]. - The company has appointed new senior management members, including a new Chief Safety Officer and a new Chief Flight Officer, indicating a restructuring in leadership[159]. - The company is actively engaging in performance assessments to align management compensation with company performance metrics[159].
中国南方航空股份(01055)发布年度业绩 权益持有者应占亏损17.69亿元 同比收窄57.27%
智通财经网· 2025-03-26 14:27
Core Points - China Southern Airlines reported a total operating revenue of 174.22 billion yuan for the year 2024, an increase of 8.94% year-on-year [1] - The loss attributable to equity holders narrowed to 1.769 billion yuan, a decrease of 57.27% compared to the previous year [1] - The basic loss per share was 0.1 yuan [1] Revenue Breakdown - The majority of the company's operating revenue comes from air transportation, accounting for 94.79% in 2024 [1] - In 2024, passenger revenue constituted 88.68% of total transportation revenue, while cargo and mail revenue made up 11.32% [1] - Total transportation revenue increased by 9.05% year-on-year to 165.145 billion yuan, driven by growth in both passenger and cargo revenues [1] Passenger Metrics - Passenger revenue rose from 136.17 billion yuan in 2023 to 146.45 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 7.55% increase [2] - Total passenger numbers increased by 15.84% to 165 million in 2024 [2] - Revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) grew by 23.90% from 246.947 billion RPK in 2023 to 305.966 billion RPK in 2024, primarily due to increased production capacity [2]
中国南方航空股份(01055) - 2024 - 年度业绩
2025-03-26 14:12
Financial Performance - Total operating revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, was RMB 174,224 million, an increase of 8.06% from RMB 159,929 million in 2023[4] - Transportation revenue reached RMB 165,145 million, up 9.06% from RMB 151,445 million in the previous year[4] - The company reported a net profit of RMB 25 million for 2024, a significant recovery from a net loss of RMB 2,957 million in 2023[5] - Basic and diluted loss per share improved to RMB 0.10 from RMB 0.23 in the previous year[5] - The company reported a net loss of RMB 1,769 million for the year ending December 31, 2024, with total comprehensive income amounting to a loss of RMB 60 million[10] - The company’s net profit for the year ending December 31, 2023, was a loss of RMB 4,140 million, resulting in a total comprehensive loss of RMB 3,040 million[9] - The company reported a net profit of RMB 154 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, compared to a net loss of RMB 3,082 million in 2023, indicating a substantial improvement in profitability[32][33] - The net loss attributable to equity holders for 2024 was RMB 1,769 million, compared to a net loss of RMB 4,140 million in 2023, indicating a significant improvement[84] Operating Expenses - Operating expenses totaled RMB 171,806 million, reflecting an increase of 8.06% compared to RMB 159,052 million in 2023[5] - Operating expenses for flights rose to RMB 83,046 million in 2024, up from RMB 76,799 million in 2023, representing an increase of about 8.5%[44] - Fuel costs increased to RMB 54,989 million in 2024 from RMB 52,050 million in 2023, marking a rise of approximately 5.6%[44] - Operating expenses for 2024 totaled RMB 171,806 million, an increase of 8.14% from RMB 159,052 million in 2023[91] - Flight operating expenses accounted for 48.34% of total operating expenses, rising 8.13% from RMB 76,799 million in 2023 to RMB 83,046 million in 2024, primarily due to increased flight volume and fuel costs[91] Assets and Liabilities - Non-current assets increased to RMB 292,216 million as of December 31, 2024, compared to RMB 281,657 million in 2023[7] - Current liabilities rose to RMB 138,402 million, up from RMB 134,934 million in the previous year[8] - Total assets less current liabilities increased to RMB 191,577 million from RMB 174,662 million in 2023[8] - The total liabilities increased from RMB 129,436 million to RMB 134,934 million due to the reclassification of convertible bonds as current liabilities[20] - The total assets as of December 31, 2024, amounted to RMB 329,738 million, up from RMB 309,226 million in 2023, representing an increase of 6.65%[64] - The company's total liabilities rose to RMB 277,143 million in 2024, compared to RMB 257,229 million in 2023, marking an increase of 7.73%[66] Revenue Growth - The total revenue from customer contracts for 2024 is projected to be RMB 173,838 million, compared to RMB 159,566 million in 2023, indicating a growth of approximately 8.9%[26] - The revenue from cargo operations increased from RMB 15,275 million in 2023 to RMB 18,695 million in 2024, reflecting a growth of about 22.5%[26] - International passenger revenue surged by 52.64% from RMB 21,616 million in 2023 to RMB 32,994 million in 2024[89] - Cargo and mail revenue increased by 22.39% to RMB 18,695 million in 2024, up from RMB 15,275 million in 2023, due to rising international demand[89] Market and Operational Strategy - The company plans to continue expanding its market presence and investing in new technologies to enhance operational efficiency[3] - The company has implemented a strategy to enhance market competitiveness, focusing on optimizing operational efficiency and customer segmentation[72] - The company aims to enhance core competitiveness and achieve high-quality development, focusing on sustainable and safe operations[120] - The company plans to deepen safety management systems and improve safety quality, targeting a stable safety status by 2025[121] Cash Flow and Investments - The company’s cash and cash equivalents increased to RMB 12,984 million, up from RMB 9,531 million in 2023[7] - The company added non-current assets worth RMB 40,788 million in 2024, significantly higher than the RMB 28,099 million added in 2023, indicating a strong investment in growth[32][35] - The group reported a net current liability of RMB 106,995 million as of December 31, 2023, an increase from RMB 101,497 million[20] Shareholder Equity - As of December 31, 2023, total equity attributable to the company's shareholders was RMB 37,071 million, a decrease from RMB 41,275 million at the beginning of the year[9] - By December 31, 2024, total equity attributable to the company's shareholders was RMB 34,943 million, down from RMB 37,071 million[10] - The total equity attributable to shareholders under Chinese accounting standards as of December 31, 2024, is RMB 34,729 million, down from RMB 36,784 million in 2023[68] Safety and Compliance - The company achieved a total of 314.8 million safe flight hours during the reporting period, maintaining a leading safety level in the Chinese civil aviation sector[71] - The company received an AA rating from China National New ESG evaluation, highlighting its commitment to sustainable development[76] Future Outlook - The global economic growth forecast for 2025 is projected at 3.3%, with China's economy expected to remain stable and resilient[119] - The group has committed to expanding domestic demand and stabilizing expectations through proactive macroeconomic policies[119]