每经AI快讯，10月9日，港股中国生物制药跌超5%，报8.12港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Healthcare Security Administration has announced the 11th batch of centralized drug procurement, which will take place on October 21, covering 55 varieties and 162 specifications, including key areas such as antiviral and kidney disease treatment drugs [1][2]. Group 1: Drug Procurement Policy - The 11th batch of centralized procurement aims to stabilize clinical practices, ensure quality, prevent collusion, and avoid excessive competition [1]. - The new procurement rules will optimize price control mechanisms to prevent companies from underbidding, which previously led to unsustainable low prices [1][4]. - The focus on high-value consumables and medical devices is expected to benefit companies with strong cost advantages and product quality, particularly in major categories like cardiovascular and anti-infection drugs [4][5]. Group 2: Market Opportunities and Challenges - The centralized procurement policy presents both opportunities and challenges for pharmaceutical companies, prompting some generic drug firms to shift towards a combination of generics and innovation [2][5]. - The "anti-involution" trend in the procurement sector is expected to primarily benefit high-value consumables, which have been adversely affected by previous procurement rounds [2][4]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Perspective - Investors are advised to adopt a long-term perspective, as some innovative drug stocks are currently overvalued following previous market enthusiasm [3][9]. - The ongoing improvement of procurement policies is seen as a catalyst for the healthy development of the pharmaceutical industry, favoring large innovative drug companies with strong R&D capabilities [5][9]. Group 4: Company Performance and Projections - Companies like Kelun Pharmaceutical, Jingxin Pharmaceutical, and Fosun Pharma are highlighted for their strong R&D pipelines and potential for growth, with Kelun having over 30 projects focused on oncology [6][7]. - Fosun Pharma has made significant progress in its innovative transformation, with multiple products showing promising clinical trial results [6][8]. - China National Pharmaceutical Group is expected to have nearly 20 innovative products approved in the next three years, with several projected to exceed sales of 2 billion RMB [8].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國生物製藥有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月2日 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01177 | 說明 | - | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 30,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.025 | HKD | | 750,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | HKD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 30,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.025 | HKD | | 750,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本 ...

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Securities has initiated coverage on China Biologic Products (01177) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 10, forecasting earnings per share of RMB 0.293, RMB 0.259, and RMB 0.283 for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The investment sentiment in the healthcare sector in mainland China has significantly rebounded over the past year, positioning China Biologic Products favorably within this trend [1] - The company is recognized as one of the largest and best-developed pharmaceutical enterprises in China, with strong capabilities in scale, financing, and commercial infrastructure [1] Group 2: Company Strategy and Development - The company has increased its investment in business development (BD) to rapidly expand its portfolio of innovative drugs [1] - There is potential for external licensing in the short term, with several key catalysts and possible product approvals on the horizon that could add new value to its innovative pipeline [1] - Important clinical data is expected to be released soon, which is likely to accelerate the progress of innovative research and development [1]

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Securities has initiated coverage on China Biologic Products (01177) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 10, forecasting earnings per share of RMB 0.293, 0.259, and 0.283 for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The investment sentiment in the healthcare sector in mainland China has significantly rebounded over the past year, positioning China Biologic Products favorably within this trend [1] - The company is recognized as one of the largest and best-developed pharmaceutical enterprises in China, with strong capabilities in scale, financing, and commercial infrastructure [1] Group 2: Company Strategy and Development - China Biologic Products has increased its investment in business development, rapidly expanding its portfolio of innovative drugs [1] - The company is expected to have several key catalysts and potential product approvals on the horizon, which will add new value to its innovative pipeline [1] - Important clinical data is anticipated to be released soon, which is likely to accelerate the progress of its innovative research and development [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the collaboration between China and the US in innovation is expected to continue, with a recovery in domestic innovation and R&D demand in China [1][2] - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 74.0% since the beginning of 2025, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 37.3% [1] - The price for experimental monkeys, essential for innovative drug R&D, has risen from approximately 85,000 yuan in mid-2024 to about 90,000 yuan [1] Group 2 - China's rich pool of engineers and scientists, along with efficient and cost-effective clinical trials and drug manufacturing capabilities, are seen as core competitive advantages for pharmaceutical innovation [2] - The impact of the US imposing tariffs on innovative drugs is expected to be limited for the CXO sector, as many multinational pharmaceutical companies already have plans to build factories in the US [2] - Future growth in innovative drugs is anticipated to be driven by overseas partners pushing clinical development for licensed pipelines [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the collaboration between China and the US in innovation is expected to continue, with a recovery in domestic innovation and R&D demand in China [1][2] - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 74.0% since the beginning of 2025, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 37.3% [1] - The price for experimental monkeys, essential for innovative drug R&D, has risen from approximately 85,000 yuan in mid-2024 to about 90,000 yuan [1] Group 2 - The US is expected to impose tariffs on innovative drugs, but the impact on the CXO sector is anticipated to be limited [2] - Trump's announcement on September 25 states that unless pharmaceutical companies are building factories in the US, patented drugs will face a 100% tariff starting October 1 [2] - The continuous upward momentum for innovative drugs is expected to primarily come from overseas partners pushing clinical developments for authorized pipelines [2]

Core Viewpoint - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 74.0% year-to-date, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 37.3% [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The recovery in capital market financing and the increase in overseas trading scale for innovative drugs have led to a rebound in domestic innovative drug research and development demand [1] - The CXO industry is expected to see performance recovery in the second half of the year due to the impact of U.S. interest rate cuts [1] Group 2: Regulatory Impact - The anticipated increase in tariffs on innovative drugs by the U.S. is expected to have a limited impact on the CXO sector [1] - Many multinational pharmaceutical companies already have plans to establish factories in the U.S., which may mitigate potential negative effects [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The ongoing upward momentum for innovative drugs is expected to primarily come from overseas partners driving clinical progress for authorized pipelines [1] - There is optimism regarding valuation recovery opportunities in consumer healthcare, with recommendations to buy stocks in companies such as 3SBio, Junshi Biosciences, WuXi AppTec, Genscript Biotech, China National Pharmaceutical Group, and Innovent Biologics [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the reports indicates a recovery in domestic innovative drug research and development due to the resurgence of capital market financing and an increase in overseas transactions for innovative drugs [1] - The price of experimental monkeys, essential for innovative drug research, has risen from approximately 85,000 yuan in mid-2024 to about 90,000 yuan [1] - The CXO industry is expected to see performance recovery in the second half of 2025, driven by the continuous upward momentum of innovative drugs primarily from overseas partners pushing clinical pipelines [1] Group 2 - The report highlights a shift in global early-stage drug innovation research from Europe and the US to China, with multinational pharmaceutical companies increasingly sourcing innovative pipelines from Chinese biotech firms [1] - The proposed administrative order by the Trump administration to restrict the import of experimental treatments from China has sparked intense lobbying from two opposing groups: US biotech investors facing competition from Chinese innovations and large pharmaceutical companies benefiting from low-cost Chinese drugs [1] - The report emphasizes that the income and profit scale of large US pharmaceutical companies far exceed that of US biotech firms, suggesting they may have greater lobbying influence [1] Group 3 - The announcement of a 100% tariff on patented drugs unless pharmaceutical companies build factories in the US is expected to have a limited impact on the CXO sector, as many multinational companies already have plans to establish facilities in the US [2] - Significant investment plans have been announced by several multinational pharmaceutical companies for building factories and R&D facilities in the US, including Eli Lilly's $27 billion and Roche's $50 billion investments over the next five years [2] - The report notes that the construction of factories in the US typically takes over five years, and the progress may be affected by political and market uncertainties [2]

Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700) leads the net inflow with 2.642 billion, representing a 22.29% increase in share price [1][2] - Sunac China Holdings (00412) follows with a net inflow of 889 million, but its share price decreased by 6.00% [1][2] - SMIC (00981) has a net inflow of 684 million, with a share price increase of 5.72% [1][2] Group 2 - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) experiences the highest net outflow at -351 million, with a slight share price increase of 0.18% [1][2] - ZTE Corporation (00763) has a net outflow of -299 million, with a share price decrease of 0.18% [1][2] - China Biologic Products Holdings (01177) sees a net outflow of -210 million, with a share price decline of 1.72% [1][2] Group 3 - Weilu Group (01196) has the highest net inflow ratio at 68.77% [1][3] - Jiangsu Nanjing Highway (00177) follows with a net inflow ratio of 62.76% [1][3] - Air China (00753) ranks third with a net inflow ratio of 54.19% [1][3] Group 4 - Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway (00525) has the highest net outflow ratio at -50.24% [1][3] - China Unicom (00762) follows with a net outflow ratio of -41.90% [1][3] - China Telecom (00728) ranks third with a net outflow ratio of -35.91% [1][3]