Macro Economic Overview - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the use of more proactive fiscal policies to support employment and foreign trade, and to improve people's livelihoods [3][4] - Recent policies focus on industrial internet applications and the development of new energy sectors, indicating a shift towards digitalization and innovation [3][4] Fixed Income Market - As of August 2025, the total bond custody amount reached 174.54 trillion yuan, with a net increase of 15,060.06 million yuan, indicating a slight decrease in growth compared to previous months [9][10] - The leverage ratio in the bond market slightly increased to 106.88%, reflecting a cautious optimism in the market [13][14] Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is entering a new growth phase driven by innovation and optimization of centralized procurement, with major companies like Heng Rui Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products showing robust revenue growth [17][18] - The recent adjustments in the national medical insurance directory are expected to benefit innovative drugs, leading to potential rapid growth for companies involved [18][19] Non-Bank Financial Sector - The performance of non-bank financial companies is primarily driven by property and equity investments, with significant contributions from the property insurance sector [21][22] - The net profit growth of listed insurance companies improved in the first half of 2025, largely due to the profitability of property insurance [21][24] Agricultural Sector - The price of white feather chicken increased due to supply disruptions and rising demand, with the average selling price reaching 7.17 yuan/kg in August 2025 [30][31] - The egg market faces pressure from high production capacity, limiting the potential for price increases despite some upward movement in prices [32][33] Machinery Industry - The valuation of global robotics companies is being redefined, with Figure's recent funding round valuing the company at 39 billion USD, indicating a bullish outlook for the robotics sector [37][38] - Key components in robotics are expected to see significant valuation increases, with potential PE ratios reaching 200 times as the industry matures [38][39] Consumer Services Sector - The upcoming National Day holiday is expected to boost travel bookings, with a steady increase in pre-booking trends observed [42][45] - The tea and coffee sector continues to show strong performance, with leading brands expanding their market presence despite some overall industry slowdowns [43][45] Real Estate and Construction - China Overseas Property is experiencing growth in both scale and profitability, with projected net profits increasing from 16.1 billion yuan in 2025 to 19.6 billion yuan by 2027 [47][48] - The company is focusing on high-quality expansion and has seen a significant increase in managed area and new contract signings [49][50] Electronics Industry - The domestic high-power server power supply market is growing, with companies like Oulu Tong positioned as leaders in this space, benefiting from the rise of AI applications [51][52] - The demand for higher power server supplies is expected to increase, with new products in development to meet the needs of advanced AI servers [53]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) closed with a gain of 1.50% on September 22, with a trading volume of 1.263 billion yuan [1] - The fund was established on January 3, 2024, with a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1] - As of September 19, 2024, the fund's latest share count was 8.17 billion shares, with a total size of 7.676 billion yuan, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 1966.38% in shares and 1931.78% in size compared to December 31, 2023 [1] Group 2 - The current fund manager is Ma Jun, who has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 87.92% during the management period [2] - The top holdings of the fund include Innovent Biologics (9.52%), WuXi Biologics (9.47%), BeiGene (8.73%), and others, with their respective market values and share counts detailed [2] - The cumulative trading amount over the last 20 trading days reached 37.235 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 1.862 billion yuan [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the biopharmaceutical industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The growth of healthcare expenses, which reached 9.06 trillion yuan in 2023, is outpacing GDP growth, indicating that commercial health insurance may provide a solution to the pressures faced by the medical insurance system [3][15] - The commercial health insurance sector is expected to grow significantly, with premiums projected to reach 97.74 billion yuan by 2024, driven by low penetration rates and the need for additional funding sources [20][24] - Policies are increasingly supportive of commercial health insurance, particularly in relation to innovative drugs, which are now being included in the commercial health insurance directory [71][76] Summary by Sections Part 1: Healthcare Financing System - The healthcare financing system in China consists of government, social, and personal contributions, with social contributions being the main driver for future growth [10][15] Part 2: Growth of Health Insurance - The commercial health insurance market is expected to fill a significant funding gap, with an estimated shortfall of over 1.7 trillion yuan by 2030 [21][22] - Medical insurance is the primary source of compensation within commercial health insurance, with a compensation rate of approximately 68.79% in 2022 [27][31] Part 3: Core Products of Medical Insurance - The report highlights the importance of medical insurance as a key focus area, noting that it directly compensates for medical expenses, unlike critical illness insurance [31][35] Part 4: Policy Support for Health Insurance Development - A series of policies since 2009 have aimed to promote the development of commercial health insurance, with specific targets for market size and coverage [71][72] Part 5: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on innovative drug companies with rich pipelines, DTP pharmacies, and companies in the TPA industry, as well as innovative medical devices and high-end medical service providers [77]

Core Insights - China Biopharmaceutical's self-developed innovative drug TQF3250, a GLP-1 receptor agonist, has received acceptance for clinical trial application from the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) in China, aimed at treating type 2 diabetes [1][2] - TQF3250 is an oral small molecule GLP-1RA that selectively activates the cAMP-biased GLP-1R signaling pathway, effectively promoting insulin secretion while reducing β-inhibitory protein recruitment and receptor internalization, thereby extending the duration of drug efficacy [1] - Preclinical studies indicate that TQF3250 significantly improves glucose tolerance at doses as low as 1 mg/kg in mouse models, showing comparable efficacy to the similar drug Orforglipron [1] - In monkey models, TQF3250's no-observed-adverse-effect level (NOAEL) reached 24 mg/kg/day, with no significant cardiac or genetic toxicity risks identified, indicating good safety [1] Market Potential - Third-party statistics show that the global GLP-1RA market is expected to exceed $50 billion in 2024 and surpass $150 billion by 2031 [1] - The current GLP-1RA market is predominantly composed of injectable formulations, while TQF3250, as an oral capsule, presents multiple advantages: 1. Convenient administration, significantly enhancing patient compliance 2. Stability in storage, with the formulation showing stability for 24 months at 25ºC 3. Metabolic safety, primarily metabolized by CYP3A enzymes, resulting in low risk of drug interactions [1] Development Strategy - The company aims to accelerate the clinical development of TQF3250 to provide a more convenient and effective treatment option for patients with type 2 diabetes [2]

Core Viewpoint - China National Pharmaceutical Group (01177.HK) has received acceptance for the clinical trial application (IND) of its self-developed innovative drug TQF3250, a GLP-1 receptor agonist, from the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) in China, aimed at treating type 2 diabetes [1]. Group 1 - TQF3250 is an oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist that selectively activates the cAMP-biased GLP-1R signaling pathway [1]. - The drug effectively promotes insulin secretion while reducing the recruitment of β-inhibitory proteins and receptor internalization, thereby extending the duration of its efficacy [1].

Core Viewpoint - China Biopharmaceutical (01177) has received acceptance for the clinical trial application (IND) of its self-developed innovative drug TQF3250, a GLP-1 receptor agonist, intended for the treatment of type 2 diabetes [1][2] Company Summary - TQF3250 is an oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist that selectively activates the cAMP-biased GLP-1R signaling pathway, effectively promoting insulin secretion while reducing β-inhibitory protein recruitment and receptor internalization, thereby extending the duration of drug efficacy [1] - Preclinical studies indicate that TQF3250 significantly improves glucose tolerance in mouse models at doses as low as 1 mg/kg, showing comparable activity to the similar drug Orforglipron, demonstrating high efficacy in glucose reduction [1] - In monkey models, the no-observed-adverse-effect level (NOAEL) for TQF3250 reached 24 mg/kg/day, with no significant cardiac or genetic toxicity risks identified, indicating good safety [1] Industry Summary - Third-party statistics show that the global market for GLP-1 receptor agonists is expected to exceed $50 billion in 2024 and is projected to surpass $150 billion by 2031 [1] - The current GLP-1 receptor agonist market is predominantly composed of injectable formulations, while TQF3250, as an oral capsule formulation, presents multiple advantages: 1. Convenient administration, significantly enhancing patient compliance 2. Stable storage, with the formulation showing stability for 24 months at 25°C 3. Metabolic safety, primarily metabolized by CYP3A enzymes, resulting in low risk of drug interactions [1] - Currently, there is only one approved oral GLP-1 receptor agonist globally, and the company aims to accelerate the clinical development of TQF3250 to provide a more convenient and effective treatment option for type 2 diabetes patients [2]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完 整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內 容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 （於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） 網站：www.sinobiopharm.com （股份編號：1177） 自願公告 TQF3250膠囊「GLP-1受體激動劑」臨床試驗申請獲NMPA受理 中國生物製藥有限公司（「本公司」，連同其附屬公司統稱「本集團」）董事會（「董事會」）宣佈，本集團自 主研發的國家1類創新藥TQF3250膠囊「GLP-1受體激動劑(GLP-1RA)」的新藥臨床試驗申請(IND)已獲 得中國國家藥品監督管理局(NMPA)受理，擬用於治療2型糖尿病。 TQF3250是一款口服小分子偏向型GLP-1RA，通過選擇性激活cAMP偏向的GLP-1R信號通路，高效 促進胰島素分泌，同時減少β－抑制蛋白募集和受體內吞，從而延長藥效持續時間。 臨床前研究顯示，在小鼠模型中，TQF3250在低至1 mg/kg的劑量下即可顯著改善糖耐量，其活性 與同類藥物Orforglipron相當，展現出高效降糖作用。在 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) has shown significant growth in both share volume and fund size since its inception, indicating strong investor interest in the innovative drug sector [1][2]. Fund Performance - As of September 18, 2024, the fund's share volume reached 8.17 billion shares, with a total size of 7.839 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 1966.38% in share volume and 1974.81% in size compared to its initial figures on December 31, 2023 [1]. - The fund manager, Ma Jun, has achieved a return of 90.14% since taking over management on January 3, 2024 [2]. Trading Activity - The ETF recorded a trading volume of 12.58 billion yuan on September 19, 2024, with an average daily trading amount of 18.71 billion yuan over the last 20 trading days [1]. - Year-to-date, the ETF has accumulated a total trading amount of 206.404 billion yuan over 176 trading days, averaging 11.73 billion yuan per day [1]. Top Holdings - The ETF's major holdings include: - Innovent Biologics (9.52% holding, 263 million yuan market value) - WuXi Biologics (9.47% holding, 258 million yuan market value) - BeiGene (8.73% holding, 238 million yuan market value) - CanSino Biologics (7.62% holding, 208 million yuan market value) - China National Pharmaceutical Group (7.17% holding, 196 million yuan market value) [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese innovative drug industry is gradually catching up with Europe and the United States in terms of technology, with some targets and technical pathways already leading globally. The number and value of new drugs authorized for overseas markets continue to increase, leading to world-class pricing and non-linear investment elasticity. The domestic market is experiencing strong growth in demand, with domestic new drug sales continuing to rise, and several innovative pharmaceutical companies have turned losses into profits, entering a stable growth phase [2]. Group 1: Innovative Drugs - The innovative drug sector is witnessing a significant increase in sales driven by strong domestic demand, with a number of innovative companies achieving profitability [2]. - The trend of domestic innovative drugs going overseas is accelerating, with increasing numbers and values of new drug authorizations [2]. - The pricing power of innovative drugs is improving, reflecting the global competitiveness of Chinese pharmaceutical companies [2]. Group 2: High-Value Medical Consumables - The orthopedic sector is expected to see mild price reductions due to continued domestic substitution and accelerated overseas business progress [2]. - The neurosurgery and neurointervention fields are experiencing stable growth post-collection, with new products being launched [2]. - The high-value consumables market is expected to benefit from ongoing domestic replacement and the introduction of new products [2]. Group 3: Medical Devices - The medical device sector is seeing a recovery in bidding prices, with ongoing high-speed growth in bidding data this year [2]. - Companies are entering a phase of inventory reduction, with performance expected to improve in the second half of the year [2]. - The low-value consumables sector is experiencing product upgrades and accelerated expansion into overseas markets [2]. Group 4: Blood Products - The supply side of the blood products industry is concentrating on central state-owned enterprises, gradually clearing the competitive landscape [2]. - The demand side is expected to see continuous upgrades to new products, with industry sentiment gradually improving [2]. Group 5: API (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients) - The API sector is benefiting from the end of a capital expenditure peak, with three growth logic points driving upward trends: new high-end market products, integrated consolidation and overseas expansion, and cost-leading CDMO [2]. - Leading companies in the API sector are expected to see explosive growth in revenue and profits [2]. Group 6: CXO (Contract Research Organization) - The CXO sector is witnessing a recovery in A+H financing activity, with multiple significant business developments enhancing market confidence [2]. - The focus is on optimizing the supply-side landscape and increasing market share for leading CRO companies [2]. Group 7: Traditional Chinese Medicine and Retail Pharmacy - The traditional Chinese medicine sector is showing signs of recovery, with friendly pricing for new drugs and ongoing observation of collection progress [2]. - The retail pharmacy sector is influenced by the pace of supply-side clearing and business model upgrades, with expectations of increased store closures in the second half of 2025 [2]. Group 8: Research and Development Services - The domestic innovative drug business development is heating up, likely driving downstream demand recovery [2]. - The overseas market presents significant growth opportunities for domestic companies, leveraging cost-effectiveness and service differentiation [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is drafting an executive order that will impose three major restrictions on commercial transactions involving Chinese innovative drug patents or rights, focusing on national security reviews by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) [1][2]. Summary by Sections Executive Order Details - The draft includes three main provisions: 1. Inclusion of Chinese innovative drug BD transactions in the CFIUS mandatory review list, ending the previous "low-risk automatic exemption" practice [2]. 2. FDA will implement "racial sensitivity supplementary reviews" for drugs relying on Chinese clinical data, requiring at least 20% comparative data from non-Asian populations [2]. 3. Establishment of a "key drug domestic production fund" to provide production subsidies for 15 categories of drugs, including antibiotics and acetaminophen, while implementing a "domestic priority" principle in federal procurement [2]. Market Reaction - The market reacted swiftly to the policy risks, with the Hong Kong innovative drug index (HK1105) dropping 3.82% on September 11, 2025, and the A-share innovative drug sector (BK1106) declining 2.17%, with over 80% of stocks in the sector experiencing pullbacks [3]. - The following day, the indices showed signs of recovery, indicating investors' responses to policy uncertainties and rational corrections [3]. Globalization Trends - Despite the geopolitical risks, the trend of Chinese innovative drugs going global remains intact, with total license-out transactions to Europe and the U.S. reaching $9.43 billion as of September 2025 [3]. - Major transactions include a $950 million licensing deal between BeiGene and Royalty Pharma, and a $6 billion global licensing agreement between 3SBio and Pfizer, highlighting a shift towards milestone payments and regional licensing [3]. Industry Challenges - The domestic market faces challenges, with annual growth in medical insurance fund spending (approximately 12%) lagging behind the growth in innovative drug R&D investment (approximately 25%) [4]. - The average reduction in medical negotiations remains high at 54%, and commercial health insurance coverage for innovative drugs is below 15%, creating a supply-demand imbalance that necessitates going global [4]. Risk Resilience Assessment - Goldman Sachs has categorized Chinese innovative drug companies into three risk resilience tiers based on their sensitivity to policy changes and operational capabilities [4][5]. - Companies with mature global layouts exhibit the strongest resilience, while those heavily reliant on domestic markets show the weakest resilience [5][10]. Strategic Defense Framework - A three-dimensional defense system is proposed to address risks associated with the executive order, focusing on transaction review, data compliance, and supply chain security [13]. - Strategies include conducting national security risk pre-assessments for transactions over $50 million and establishing partnerships with U.S. law firms to navigate regulatory challenges [14][15]. Conclusion - The construction of a quantifiable "risk resilience index" is essential for Chinese innovative drugs in the global 2.0 era, emphasizing the need for companies to embed policy hedging clauses in transaction structures and consider racial diversity data in clinical stages [23].