Core Viewpoint - Southbound capital has rebounded to recent average levels, indicating a positive sentiment in the market, with significant net inflows into specific Hong Kong stocks and ETFs [2][3]. Group 1: Market Overview - Southbound capital transactions amounted to approximately 128.46 billion HKD, accounting for about 59.63% of the total turnover of the Hang Seng Index [2]. - The Hang Seng Index experienced an upward fluctuation, closing up 0.25% at 24,969.68 points, with a net inflow of approximately 9.45 billion HKD from southbound capital [2]. Group 2: ETF and Stock Performance - Significant net purchases were observed in two Hong Kong stock ETFs, with the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800.HK) receiving a net inflow of 4.16 billion HKD and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828.HK) receiving 1.87 billion HKD [2]. - Notable net inflows included Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) at 899 million HKD, Alibaba Group (09988.HK) at 648 million HKD, Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) at 384 million HKD, and SMIC (00981.HK) at 306 million HKD [2]. Group 3: Individual Stock Movements - Tencent Holdings saw a slight decline of 0.27%, but short-term capital continued to flow in, with an increase of 501,000 shares over the past five days [3]. - Alibaba Group experienced a drop of 1.60%, with a net increase of 2.225 million shares over the past five days [3]. - Xiaomi Group rose by 1.77%, with a net increase of 3.388 million shares over the past five days [3]. - SMIC increased by 5.03%, with a net increase of 2.753 million shares over the past five days [3]. - Kuaishou (01024.HK) fell by 9.25%, despite a net increase of 2.180 million shares over the past five days [3]. - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) rose by 5.43%, with a net increase of 1.235 million shares over the past five days [3].

恒指报收24969.68点，涨0.25%，恒生科技指数报收5439.16点，跌0.38%。芯片股走强，中芯国际、华 虹半导体涨超5%。（第一财经AI快讯） ...

（记者 谭玉涵） 每经AI快讯：北京时间8月12日16:00，恒生指数收盘上涨62.87点，涨幅为0.25%，报收24969.68点；国 企指数收盘上涨28.77点，涨幅为0.32%，报收8916.85点；红筹指数收盘上涨56.89点，涨幅为1.33%，报 收4346.2点。南向资金当日净流入94.5亿港元。半导体、芯片股涨幅居前，中芯国际、华虹半导体涨超 5%；中慧生物-B港股上市第二日再涨31%，复星国际涨超13%；快手跌超9%。 | 指数 | 最新 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 | 24969.68 | 0.25% | | 国企指数 | 8916.85 | 0.32% | | 红筹指数 | 4346.2 | 1.33% | 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 ...

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 raised the target price for 华虹半导体 (01347) by 28% from HKD 37.5 to HKD 48, but downgraded the rating to "Hold" [1] Financial Performance - 华虹半导体 reported Q2 2025 revenue of USD 566 million, an increase of 18.3% year-on-year and 4.6% quarter-on-quarter, driven by a rise in wafer shipments (up 18% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter) [1] - The gross margin improved by 1.6 percentage points to 10.9%, exceeding the company's guidance (7%-9%) and institutional expectations (8.3%) [1] - The quarterly net profit margin increased from 0.7% in Q1 2025 to 1.6%, attributed to improved gross margin and other income (e.g., government subsidies) [1] Capacity and Utilization - Capacity utilization reached 108.3%, up 5.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 10.4 percentage points year-on-year, marking the highest level in 11 quarters, driven by recovering downstream market demand and operational improvements [1] - The average selling price was USD 434, a year-on-year increase of 0.2% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.3% [1] Future Outlook - Management expects Q3 2025 revenue to be between USD 620 million and USD 640 million, indicating a year-on-year increase of 19.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.3%, showing an accelerating growth trend from Q2 [2] - Gross margin outlook for Q3 and Q4 is expected to remain between 10%-12%, largely stable compared to Q2, primarily due to increased depreciation pressure [2]

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 raised the target price for Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) by 28% from HKD 37.5 to HKD 48, but downgraded the rating to "Hold" [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Hua Hong Semiconductor reported Q2 2025 revenue of USD 566 million, an increase of 18.3% year-on-year and 4.6% quarter-on-quarter, driven by a rise in wafer shipments (up 18% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter) [1] - The gross margin improved by 1.6 percentage points to 10.9%, exceeding the company's guidance (7%-9%) and institutional expectations (8.3%) [1] - The net profit margin increased from 0.7% in Q1 2025 to 1.6%, attributed to improved gross margin and other income (such as government subsidies) [1] - Capacity utilization reached 108.3%, up 5.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 10.4 percentage points year-on-year, marking the highest level in 11 quarters, driven by recovering downstream market demand and operational improvements [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Management expects Q3 2025 revenue to be between USD 620 million and USD 640 million, with a median indicating a year-on-year increase of 19.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.3%, showing an accelerating growth trend from Q2 [2] - Gross margin outlook for Q3 and Q4 is expected to remain at 10%-12%, largely stable compared to Q2, primarily due to increased depreciation pressure [2]

华虹半导体今年第二季毛利率超指引上限，单价提升或在第三季之后反映。第二季收入5.66亿美元略超 指引中位数及该行预期，毛利率10.8%超预期和指引上限。管理层指出已在第二季做价格调整，总体涨 价在个位数左右，且会在第三、四季集中体现。指引第三季收入达6.2亿至6.4亿美元，毛利率10至 12%，均高于该行预期。 该行上调华虹半导体2025年底九厂产能预期至每月5万片12英寸产能，并保持之后每六个月增加2.5万 片/月的产能爬坡速率，在2026年第三季完成所有8.3万片规划产能爬坡并贡献收入。 交银国际发布研报称，上调华虹半导体(01347)2025年及2026年收入预测24.1亿及28.7亿美元，前值预测 22.9亿及27.7亿美元。上调2025年毛利率预测到10.8%，前值9.2%，该行升华虹半导体目标价至49港 元，评级"买入"。 ...

该行上调华虹半导体2025年底九厂产能预期至每月5万片12英寸产能，并保持之后每六个月增加2.5万 片/月的产能爬坡速率，在2026年第三季完成所有8.3万片规划产能爬坡并贡献收入。 智通财经APP获悉，交银国际发布研报称，上调华虹半导体(01347)2025年及2026年收入预测24.1亿及 28.7亿美元，前值预测22.9亿及27.7亿美元。上调2025年毛利率预测到10.8%，前值9.2%，该行升华虹半 导体目标价至49港元，评级"买入"。 华虹半导体今年第二季毛利率超指引上限，单价提升或在第三季之后反映。第二季收入5.66亿美元略超 指引中位数及该行预期，毛利率10.8%超预期和指引上限。管理层指出已在第二季做价格调整，总体涨 价在个位数左右，且会在第三、四季集中体现。指引第三季收入达6.2亿至6.4亿美元，毛利率10至 12%，均高于该行预期。 ...

国海证券：维持华虹半导体买入评级，目标价44.43港元。 ...

Group 1 - Chip stocks experienced a significant rise, with Cambrian Technology hitting a historical high, and the Tianhong Chip ETF showing a strong performance [1] - The Tianhong Chip ETF tracks the CSI Chip Industry Index, with Cambrian Technology accounting for 9.37% of its estimated weight [1] - The Tianhong Chip ETF has a total circulation scale of 1.012 billion yuan, making it the largest of its kind in the Shenzhen market [1] Group 2 - SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor reported improved capacity utilization rates, with SMIC at 92.5% and Hua Hong at 108.3% in Q2 2025 [2] - SMIC's Q2 wafer sales volume increased by 4.3% compared to the previous quarter, while Hua Hong's revenue from products at 65nm and below grew by 27.4% year-on-year [2] - TI is set to initiate a new round of price increases in August, which may impact the market dynamics for domestic analog chip manufacturers [2] Group 3 - InnoSilicon has become a chip supplier for NVIDIA, collaborating on the 800V DC power architecture for AI data centers [3] - The demand for high-performance semiconductor hardware is expected to grow due to the rise of AI applications and the recovery in traditional consumer electronics [3] - The trend towards domestic semiconductor companies with independent capabilities is anticipated to continue benefiting the industry [3]

Core Insights - Semiconductor foundries, including SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor, reported mixed financial results for Q2 2023, reflecting ongoing challenges in the industry due to weak demand for consumer electronics [1][2][3] Financial Performance - SMIC reported Q2 2023 revenue of $1.56 billion, a year-on-year decline of 18%, with a net profit of $403 million, down 21.7% [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor achieved Q2 2023 revenue of $631.4 million, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, but net profit fell by 6.4% to $78.5 million [1][3] - SMIC's gross margin was 20.3%, down 19.1 percentage points year-on-year, while Hua Hong's gross margin was 27.7%, down 5.9 percentage points [1][3] Capacity and Utilization - SMIC's revenue from 8-inch and 12-inch wafers accounted for 25.3% and 74.7% of total revenue, respectively, with 8-inch wafer revenue declining by 2.8 percentage points [2] - SMIC's capacity utilization rate was 78.3%, significantly lower than 97.1% in the same period last year but higher than 68.1% in Q1 2023 [2] Market Trends - The semiconductor industry is facing challenges due to weak demand for consumer electronics, with global PC shipments down 15% year-on-year and smartphone sales down 8% [4] - However, there are signs of potential recovery in the second half of the year, driven by new smartphone releases and a gradual recovery in the PC market [4] Future Outlook - Hua Hong Semiconductor expects Q3 2023 revenue between $560 million and $600 million, with a gross margin of 16% to 18%, indicating a decline from Q2 [3] - SMIC anticipates a revenue increase of 3% to 5% in Q3 2023, with a gross margin forecast of 18% to 20% [3] - Both companies are investing in new capacity and technology development to prepare for future growth cycles, with SMIC's capital expenditure reaching $1.732 billion in Q2, up 37.6% [5]