Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, emphasizing the transition from "Made in China" to "Created in China" for innovative drugs [10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that domestic innovative drugs are gaining global competitiveness and are currently in the first and second stages of international expansion, primarily through licensing agreements and partnerships [10][12]. - The report identifies key areas of focus for investment, including PD-(L)1 plus, ADCs, and GLP-1 drugs, which are expected to drive future growth and business development (BD) opportunities [10][51]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Transition from "Manufacturing" to "Innovation" - The policy reforms initiated in 2015 have stimulated a shift from generic to innovative drug development in China, with significant increases in R&D investment since 2018 [19][21]. - The number of First-in-Class (FIC) drugs developed in China has risen from 9 in 2015 to 120 in 2024, indicating a substantial increase in innovation [25][26]. Section 2: Continued BD Opportunities - PD-(L)1 plus is identified as a cornerstone for next-generation cancer treatments, with significant demand and potential for new products [51]. - The report notes that ADCs are transitioning towards more differentiated targets, focusing on unmet clinical needs, with promising candidates like PD-L1, DLL3, and EGFR [51]. - The GLP-1 market is experiencing rapid growth, with a focus on multi-target, oral, combination, and long-acting formulations [51]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - For PD-(L)1 plus, companies such as Kangfang Biotech, Shansheng Pharmaceutical, and Junshi Biosciences are recommended for investment due to their strong pipelines [5]. - In the ADC space, companies like Fuhong Hanlin and Zai Lab are highlighted for their potential in addressing unmet clinical needs [5]. - In the GLP-1 sector, firms such as Borui Pharmaceutical and Zai Lab are noted for their promising developments [5].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed results with the Hang Seng Index down by 1.07% to 24,906.39 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.34% and the National Enterprises Index fell by 1.03% [2] Key Stock Movements - Kuaishou saw a significant increase of nearly 9%, while Bilibili rose over 2%. Conversely, Meituan and Xiaomi both dropped over 2%, and JD.com also experienced a decline [2] - AI-related stocks performed well, with Meitu rising over 15%. Oriental Securities expressed optimism about user growth and commercialization of vertical AI products in the second half of the year, particularly for companies with overseas AI applications [2] - Biopharmaceutical B-shares were active, with Lepu Biopharma increasing over 4%. The National Healthcare Security Administration discussed support for innovative drug development with Singapore's GIC [3][4] Gold and Real Estate Sector Performance - Gold stocks continued to decline, with Tongguan Gold dropping over 8%. Recent trends indicate a shift in investor sentiment away from gold towards stocks, as gold prices fell below $3,270 per ounce [4][5] - The real estate sector faced significant declines, with Country Garden falling over 6%. A recent meeting of the Central Political Bureau highlighted limited focus on real estate, emphasizing the need for high-quality urban renewal [6][7]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on small molecule drug conjugates (SMDCs) and related companies, highlighting their potential in cancer treatment due to their ability to enhance efficacy while reducing toxicity [1][5][17] - The report emphasizes the clinical advantages of SMDCs, including better tumor penetration, reduced toxicity to normal cells, and easier control over synthesis and costs compared to antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) [5][11][12] - The report identifies domestic biopharmaceutical companies, particularly Affinivax, as leaders in the SMDC space, showcasing significant advancements in innovative cancer drug development [5][12][17] Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector has shown a relative price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 51.14 as of July 25, 2025, which is significantly higher than its historical low of 24.38, indicating a premium valuation compared to the broader market [19] - The report notes that the healthcare sector's valuation is 279% higher than the Shanghai Composite Index, reflecting strong investor interest and confidence in the industry [19] - Recent market performance indicates a 1.90% increase in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector from July 21 to July 25, 2025, ranking it 16th among 27 sub-industries [26][29] Company Focus - The report suggests monitoring companies involved in the SMDC space, including Affinivax, and those collaborating with them, such as Innovent Biologics and others, which are expected to benefit from the growing interest in innovative cancer therapies [5][17][18] - Specific companies highlighted for their innovative drug development capabilities include Innovent Biologics, Shunyi Pharmaceutical, and others, which are positioned to capitalize on the advancements in SMDC technology [5][18]

Group 1 - The stock price of Valiant Biotech-B (09887.HK) increased by 113% [1] - The stock price of China Antibody-B (03681.HK) rose by 8.37% [1] - The stock price of Lepu Biopharma-B (02157.HK) went up by 5.64% [1] - The stock price of Tongyuan Kang Pharmaceutical-B (02410.HK) increased by 3.81% [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical stocks have shown strong performance, with Fangda Holdings (01521.HK) rising by 23.19%, Clover Biopharmaceuticals-B (02197.HK) increasing by 17.65%, Lepu Biopharma-B (02157.HK) up by 11.25%, and WuXi AppTec (02268.HK) gaining 9.41% [1] - WuXi AppTec is expected to see a more than 67% growth in adjusted net profit for the mid-term [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the pharmaceutical industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [3]. Core Insights - The new centralized procurement regulations emphasize "stability in clinical use, quality assurance, prevention of collusion, and countering excessive competition," which are expected to promote the long-term healthy development of the industry [2][32]. - The report suggests focusing on recently launched innovative products, high-quality raw material suppliers, and key products that have passed the consistency evaluation for generic drugs [2][32]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology index increased by 4% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.91 percentage points, ranking second in industry performance [11]. - Year-to-date, the pharmaceutical and biotechnology index has risen by 16.59%, also surpassing the CSI 300 index by 13.45 percentage points [11]. - The chemical pharmaceutical sector showed the highest growth this week at 6.86%, while traditional Chinese medicine had the lowest decline at 0.88% [16][18]. Individual Stock Performance - In the A-share market, 397 out of 474 pharmaceutical stocks rose, with the top five performers being: - Borui Pharmaceutical (+42.35%) - Lisheng Pharmaceutical (+41.68%) - Nanxin Pharmaceutical (+34.95%) - Aosai Kang (+32.77%) - Yipin Hong (+32.13%) [22]. - In the Hong Kong market, 96 out of 106 pharmaceutical stocks increased, with the top performers including: - Clover Biopharma-B (+63.79%) - Lepu Biopharma-B (+62.04%) - Deqi Pharmaceutical-B (+47.04%) [25]. Industry News and Policies - The 11th batch of national centralized drug procurement was officially launched, including 55 varieties across various therapeutic areas, focusing on clinical needs and market realities [28]. - The new procurement rules are more refined, requiring production experience and quality control capabilities from manufacturers, which will help ensure drug quality and promote industry standardization [28]. - The establishment of the "Commercial Insurance Innovative Drug Directory" marks a significant step in building a multi-tiered medical security system, providing new economic support for innovative drug development [28]. Key Company Announcements - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical reported positive results from its GLP-1/GIP dual receptor agonist HRS9531 in a Phase III weight loss study, with an average weight reduction of 19.2% in the treatment group [29][31]. - The report highlights various corporate actions, including stock incentive plans and capital increases by several companies, indicating active corporate governance and strategic investments in the sector [36].

Market Performance - A-shares steadily advanced this week, with the ChiNext Index reaching a new high for the year and the Shenzhen Component Index hitting a four-month high, approaching its highest point of the year [1] - Weekly trading volume increased to 7.73 trillion yuan, marking the largest weekly trading volume in three months [1] Fund Inflows - Leverage funds actively entered the market, with most industries under the Shenwan first-level industry classification seeing net buying, particularly the computer industry with over 4.4 billion yuan and the electronics industry with over 3 billion yuan [2] - The electronic, biopharmaceutical, and automotive sectors each received over 20 billion yuan in net inflows, while the non-bank financial sector saw a net outflow of over 8.3 billion yuan [2] Rare Earth Demand - The rare earth sector performed strongly, with the rare earth permanent magnet index reaching a three-and-a-half-year high [3] - Demand for rare earths is expected to grow rapidly due to advancements in humanoid robots and electric vehicles, with estimates suggesting a demand of at least 70,000 tons of neodymium-iron-boron by 2025 [3] Energy Metals - The energy metals sector, including lithium and cobalt, reached a two-year high, with lithium carbonate futures breaking 70,000 yuan/ton, marking a 20% increase from recent lows [4] - Short-term lithium salt supply may decline due to reduced exports from Chile and domestic production halts, leading to a potential price stabilization [4] Biopharmaceutical Sector - The biopharmaceutical sector saw significant gains, with the innovative drug index hitting record highs multiple times this week [6] - Notable stocks in the sector, such as Lianhuan Pharmaceutical and Aosaikang, experienced consecutive trading halts, with some stocks showing year-to-date gains exceeding 200% [6][7] Earnings Forecasts - Several pharmaceutical companies have recently forecasted substantial profit increases for the first half of 2025, with estimates suggesting net profit growth exceeding 19 times for some firms [7]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.33% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.65% [1] - Lepu Biopharma surged over 24% [1] - Dongfang Zhenxuan climbed over 12% [1] - Kingsoft Cloud gained over 8% [1] - CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited) rose over 5% [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong biopharmaceutical stocks have strengthened again, with Lepu Biopharma (02157.HK) and Genscript Biotech (01672.HK) both rising by 9% [1] - Other companies such as Kintor Pharmaceutical (01167.HK) and Qianxin Biopharma (02509.HK) have seen increases of over 7% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong innovative drug-themed ETFs have shown significant performance, with the top 10 ETFs all increasing by over 5%, indicating strong market interest in the innovative drug sector [1][2]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The Hang Seng Innovative Drug ETF (520500) led the gains with a 5.73% increase, reaching a value of 1.864 [2]. - Other notable ETFs include the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF with a 5.28% increase and the Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF with a 5.26% increase [2]. - Among the top-performing stocks, Kangfang Biotech (09926.HK) and BeiGene (06160.HK) both rose over 10%, while Innovent Biologics (01801.HK) and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) increased by over 3% [2]. Group 2: Market Trends - A total of 25 ETFs have increased by over 40% this year, with 24 of them being related to the Hong Kong biopharmaceutical theme, highlighting the sector's strong performance [3]. - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug Index has risen over 70% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the Hang Seng Index, reflecting high market recognition of the innovative drug industry [4]. Group 3: Policy and Market Drivers - The continuous optimization of the policy environment has positively impacted market sentiment, with the National Healthcare Security Administration initiating adjustments to the 2025 National Medical Insurance Directory, which includes innovative drugs with high clinical value [5]. - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs going global has reached historic breakthroughs, indicating an increase in global competitiveness [5]. - Fund managers express optimism about the innovative drug sector, citing strong clinical data and ongoing product commercialization as key factors for future performance [6].