Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423) experienced a stock price increase of over 3% following the release of its Q3 2025 earnings report, with a current price of HKD 43.6 and a trading volume of HKD 146 million [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total transaction volume for Q3 2025 was RMB 736.7 billion, showing a year-on-year stability [1] - The total transaction volume for existing homes was RMB 505.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [1] - The total transaction volume for new homes was RMB 196.3 billion, indicating a year-on-year decrease of 13.7% [1] - Net revenue reached RMB 23.1 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [1] - Net profit was RMB 747 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 36.1% [1] - Adjusted net profit stood at RMB 1.286 billion, down 27.8% year-on-year [1] Business Segment Analysis - Revenue changes by business segment included: existing homes (-4%), new homes (-14%), home decoration (+2%), and rental services (+45%) [1] - Gross margin decreased by 1.3 percentage points to 21.4%, primarily due to a decline in the contribution margin from brokerage income [1] - Adjusted net profit of RMB 1.3 billion exceeded expectations by 5%, attributed to a reduction in home decoration sales expenses [1] Future Outlook - Expectations for Q4 indicate a projected year-on-year revenue decline of 27%, influenced by a high base from the previous year following policy changes [1] - Profitability in 2026 is anticipated to improve significantly, driven by enhanced efficiency in brokerage operations, better margins in home decoration, and increased rental profits due to expanded listings and AI efficiency [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on these projections [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Beike - **Industry**: Real Estate Services Financial Performance - **Q3 2025 Revenue**: Decreased by 3.6% year-on-year to 6 billion RMB [2][3] - **Non-GAAP Net Income**: Decreased by 27.8% year-on-year to 1.29 billion RMB [2][3] - **Gross Profit**: Decreased by 3.9% year-on-year to 4.9 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 21.4%, down 1.3 percentage points [2][3] - **Total Operating Expenses**: 4.3 billion RMB, down 1.8% year-on-year [3] Business Segments Real Estate Transaction Services - **GTV (Gross Transaction Value)**: Increased by 5.8% year-on-year to 50.56 billion RMB, but decreased by 13.3% quarter-on-quarter [2][5] - **AI Contribution**: AI systems identified quality business opportunities contributing over 50% of transaction volume [2][5] - **Revenue**: 6 billion RMB, down 3.6% year-on-year [5] Home Decoration and Furniture - **Revenue**: Approximately 4.3 billion RMB, stable year-on-year [2][6] - **Gross Margin**: Increased by 0.8 percentage points to 32% due to expanded centralized procurement and improved dispatch efficiency [2][6] Family Rental Services - **Revenue**: Reached a record high of 5.7 billion RMB, up 45.3% year-on-year [2][7] - **Managed Units**: Over 660,000 units, a 75% increase year-on-year [2][7] - **Gross Margin**: 8.7%, up 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][7] Shareholder Returns - **Stock Buyback**: Totaled approximately 675 million USD in Q3, a 15.7% increase year-on-year, with a cumulative buyback of about 2.3 billion USD [2][8] Cost Control and Efficiency Improvements - **Labor Cost Reduction**: Fixed labor costs decreased by over 20% due to organizational optimization [21] - **Material Cost Reduction**: Centralized procurement expanded from 4 to 13 categories, with some product prices dropping by over 20% [21] - **AI Implementation**: AI-driven systems led to a 10% reduction in staff while increasing new lease signings by 10% [4][11] Challenges and Future Opportunities - **Market Challenges**: New family transaction business affected by market fluctuations, but long-term growth is expected [14] - **Expansion Plans**: B+ business pilot in 4 cities, with plans to expand to over 30 cities by year-end [16] Technology and Innovation - **AI Utilization**: AI systems integrated into property management, lead identification, and pricing strategies, resulting in significant cost savings [11][12][13] - **Operational Efficiency**: AI-driven decision-making improved operational efficiency and reduced costs across various business segments [11][12] Conclusion - **Overall Performance**: Beike's Q3 2025 results reflect a mixed performance across its business segments, with significant growth in family rental services but challenges in real estate transaction services. The company is leveraging technology and cost control measures to enhance efficiency and shareholder returns while preparing for future growth opportunities in emerging markets.

Core Insights - KE Holdings Inc. reported third-quarter adjusted earnings that slightly exceeded analyst forecasts, with shares increasing over 2% in intra-day trading [1] - The company achieved adjusted earnings per share of RMB1.17 ($0.16), surpassing expectations of RMB1.16 [1] - Revenue increased by 2.1% year over year to RMB23.1 billion ($3.2 billion), although it fell short of the RMB23.58 billion consensus [1] Segment Performance - Existing home transaction gross transaction value (GTV) grew by 5.8% to RMB505.6 billion [2] - New home GTV declined by 13.7% to RMB196.3 billion [2] - Rental services revenue surged by 45.3% to RMB5.7 billion, indicating strong performance in this segment [2] Financial Metrics - Net income decreased by 36.1% to RMB747 million ($105 million) [2] - Adjusted net income fell by 27.8% to RMB1.29 billion ($181 million) [2] Operational Expansion - The number of active stores increased by 25.9% year over year to 59,012 [3] - Active agents rose by 11.4% to 471,501 [3] - Monthly active mobile users averaged 49.3 million, up from 46.2 million in the prior-year period [3]

Group 1: Real Estate Market Trends - The national auction housing market in China has seen a significant decline in both volume and price, with total transaction value dropping by 22.5% year-on-year to 204.87 billion yuan, and the average transaction price decreasing by 12.3% to 4,668 yuan per square meter [2] - The total number of auctioned properties fell by 5.7% to 605,000 units, while the number of successfully auctioned properties decreased by 2.4% to 138,000 units, indicating a cooling market [2] Group 2: Land Supply in Xi'an - Xi'an has announced the release of 11 plots of development land with a total starting price of 3.84 billion yuan, covering an area of 469.368 acres and a planned construction area exceeding 1 million square meters [3] - This land supply is part of a policy aimed at stabilizing land prices and promoting investment, linking land supply to urban renewal and regional development [3] Group 3: Policy Changes in Chongqing - Chongqing has relaxed the conditions for withdrawing housing provident fund for full payment home purchases, allowing withdrawals after six months of purchase and extending the withdrawal period from two years to five years [4][5] - The policy aims to support reasonable housing demand and provide more flexible financial support for contributors while enhancing risk control [5] Group 4: Poly Developments' Financial Management - Poly Developments announced a 2 billion yuan medium-term note with a maturity of five years, with an interest rate of 3.55%, and the interest payment scheduled for November 17, 2025 [6] - This reflects the company's normal debt management practices and its financial strength to meet payment obligations [6] Group 5: Beike's Third Quarter Performance - Beike reported a total transaction value of 736.7 billion yuan in Q3 2025, remaining flat year-on-year, with total revenue increasing by 2.1% to 23.1 billion yuan [7] - However, net profit decreased by 36.1% to 747 million yuan, indicating pressure on profitability amid market adjustments, while the number of active stores and agents grew significantly [7]

Group 1 - Jefferies has lowered the target price for Beike Holdings from $22 to $19 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Beike's Q3 2025 financial report shows a revenue increase of 2.1% year-on-year to RMB 231 billion, but net profit has significantly declined by 36.1%, indicating a situation of "increased revenue without increased profit" [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 net income reached RMB 231 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [4]. - Net profit was RMB 7.47 billion, down 36.1% year-on-year; adjusted net profit decreased by 27.8% to RMB 12.86 billion [2][4]. - Gross profit for Q3 was RMB 49 billion, a decline of 3.9% year-on-year, with gross margin dropping from 22.7% to 21.4% [1][2]. - Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled RMB 557 billion as of the end of Q3 [4]. Core Business Progress - The company faces a profit dilemma despite revenue growth, with the existing housing business being a major drag on profits. Although GTV increased by 5.8%, net income from this segment fell by 3.6% [2]. - The new housing business also showed weakness, with both GTV and revenue declining by over 13% [2]. Rental Business Highlights - The rental service emerged as a bright spot, with Q3 revenue increasing by 45.3% to RMB 57 billion, contributing over RMB 1 billion in profit for the first time in Q3 [3][4]. - However, costs in the rental business rose significantly, from RMB 38 billion to RMB 52 billion, an increase of 38.8%, indicating a scale-for-profit model [3]. - The home decoration and furniture business remained stable, with revenue of RMB 43 billion, roughly unchanged from the previous year, and profit rising from RMB 13.16 billion to RMB 13.76 billion [3].

Core Insights - Beike reported its Q3 2025 financial performance, showing a total transaction value (GTV) of 736.7 billion RMB and a net income of 23.1 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [2] - The company has increased shareholder returns, with a share buyback amounting to 280 million USD in Q3, a 38.3% increase compared to the same period last year, marking a two-year high [2] - Cumulatively, Beike's buyback total has risen by 15.7% year-on-year, with approximately 2.3 billion USD repurchased since the program's initiation in September 2022, accounting for about 11.5% of the total shares before the buyback [2] Financial Performance - Beike's Q3 net income and adjusted net profit exceeded consensus expectations, with the existing home business GTV increasing by 5.8% year-on-year [3] - The new home business GTV grew by approximately 11% year-on-year, reaching 196.3 billion RMB in Q3 [3] - Rental service revenue in Q3 was 5.7 billion RMB, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 45.3% [3] Business Operations - The rental business achieved a profit margin of 8.7% in Q3, up by 4.3 percentage points year-on-year, following a break-even point at the city level in Q2 [3] - Growth in the rental business is attributed to full-process intelligent operations, with AI enhancing efficiency in various processes, leading to a 13% increase in efficiency and a 96% reduction in review time [3] - Asset managers managed an average of over 130 properties per month in Q3, compared to over 90 properties in the same period last year [3] Strategic Focus - The company is actively optimizing its business structure and enhancing technological empowerment, as stated by the CFO Xu Tao [3]

1 GTV for a given period is calculated as the total value of all transactions which the Company facilitated on the Company's platform and evidenced by signed contracts as of the end of the period, including the value of the existing home transactions, new home transactions, home renovation and furnishing and emerging and other services (excluding home rental services), and including transactions that are contracted but pending closing at the end of the relevant period. For the avoidance of doubt, for transa ...

Core Insights - Beike (NYSE: BEKE; HKEX: 2423) reported a resilient performance in Q3, with a total transaction value (GTV) of 736.7 billion RMB and a net income growth of 2.1% year-on-year to 23.1 billion RMB [1] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience through organizational upgrades and technological innovations, with a focus on AI integration in core business scenarios [1][3] Financial Performance - Q3 GTV reached 736.7 billion RMB, with net income of 23.1 billion RMB and a net profit of 747 million RMB [1] - Adjusted net profit for the quarter was 1.286 billion RMB, indicating a stable business foundation [1] - Operating expenses decreased by 1.8% year-on-year and 6.7% quarter-on-quarter to 4.3 billion RMB [1] Business Segments - Non-real estate business revenue share increased to 45%, contributing to the company's resilience against market cycles [1] - The existing home business GTV was 505.6 billion RMB, up 5.8% year-on-year, with improved agent performance following the "tenant separation" pilot in Shanghai [1] - New home business GTV for Q3 was 196.3 billion RMB, with an 11% year-on-year growth for the first three quarters [2] Home Decoration and Rental Services - Home decoration and furnishing business generated 4.3 billion RMB in revenue, with a profit margin of 32%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Rental service revenue reached 5.7 billion RMB in Q3, a 45.3% increase year-on-year, achieving profitability before overhead allocation [2] AI Integration and Efficiency - R&D expenses totaled 1.865 billion RMB for the first three quarters, with Q3 expenses at 648 million RMB, a 13.2% increase year-on-year [3] - AI tools have been implemented across the rental business, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs significantly [3] - The AI assistant "Lai Ke" has been adopted by 414,000 agents, improving client conversion rates [3] Service Innovations - The company launched the "True Guarantee" service system in Q3, ensuring authenticity in property transactions [4] - The "Renovation Fund Custody" service has been implemented in over 30 cities, benefiting more than 20,000 families [4] - A new feature for direct payment of rent using housing provident funds has been introduced in cities like Beijing and Jinan, aiding young renters [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significance of Beike's "cancellation-based repurchase" strategy, which is seen as a more advanced form of shareholder return compared to traditional stock buybacks, especially in the context of the current market environment and the company's robust financial performance [4][18][23]. Group 1: Market Performance and Support - The Hong Kong stock market has shown strong performance in 2023, with the Hang Seng Index up over 29% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up over 30% as of November 4 [3]. - A major driver of this performance has been the substantial inflow of southbound funds, totaling over 1.27 trillion HKD, marking a historical high for annual net inflows [3][4]. - Additionally, 239 Hong Kong-listed companies have engaged in stock buybacks, with a total repurchase amount reaching 1,461.89 billion HKD, contributing to market confidence [4]. Group 2: Beike's Financial Performance - Beike's Q3 2025 results reflect a resilient business model, with a total transaction volume (GTV) of 7,367 billion RMB and a net income of 231 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [6]. - The adjusted net profit for Q3 was 12.86 billion RMB, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimates [6]. - The company's non-real estate transaction business has seen a historic increase in revenue contribution, reaching 45% of total revenue, indicating successful diversification [6]. Group 3: Business Segments and Growth - The home decoration and furnishing segment generated 43 billion RMB in Q3, with a profit margin of 32% [7]. - The rental service segment experienced significant growth, with revenues of 57 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 45.3%, and a profit margin of 8.7% [8]. - Beike's existing home business GTV reached 5,056 billion RMB, a 5.8% increase year-on-year, while new home business GTV was 1,963 billion RMB [9]. Group 4: Cost Control and R&D Investment - Beike demonstrated effective cost control, with operating expenses in Q3 at 43 billion RMB, down 1.8% year-on-year [9]. - The company increased its R&D investment to 6.48 billion RMB in Q3, a 13.2% year-on-year rise, indicating a commitment to innovation [11]. Group 5: Stock Buyback Strategy - Beike's stock buyback in Q3 amounted to 280 million USD, a 38.3% increase year-on-year, marking the highest quarterly buyback in nearly two years [13]. - The total buyback amount for 2025 has increased by 15.7% compared to the same period last year, positioning Beike as one of the top companies in terms of buyback strength in the Hong Kong market [13]. - Since initiating its buyback program in September 2022, Beike has repurchased approximately 2.3 billion USD worth of shares, representing about 11.5% of its total share capital prior to the program [15]. Group 6: Shareholder Value and Market Perception - The management's decision to utilize significant cash reserves for stock buybacks signals a belief that the company's stock is undervalued and reflects confidence in future growth and profitability [16]. - Beike's cancellation-based repurchase strategy is viewed as a more effective way to enhance shareholder value compared to traditional buybacks, as it permanently reduces the total share count [18][20]. - This strategy has attracted long-term institutional investors, including notable firms like Norges Bank Investment Management and Temasek, indicating a positive market perception of Beike's commitment to shareholder returns [21][22].