Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors believe that the strong support level is at 26,400, holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 25,900. Bearish investors expect a drop to 26,050, holding bear certificates with a redemption price of 27,078 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with support levels at 25,800 and 25,400, while resistance is at 26,900. There are numerous bull certificates near the redemption price of 25,400, with leverage exceeding 21 times [1] - Investors are advised to compare product terms carefully, as some products with higher redemption prices may offer lower leverage and higher premiums, making them less attractive [1] Group 2: Pop Mart (09992.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the possibility of bull certificates dropping to 250 HKD, while others are optimistic about a rise to 268 HKD, holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 240 HKD [8] - The stock price rose to 261.8 HKD, with support identified at 247 HKD. The technical signal is a "buy," with resistance at 283 HKD [8] - Investors are cautioned against short-term products expiring between October and December due to significant time value decay, while longer-term products may offer better leverage [8] Group 3: Zijin Mining (02899.HK) - The stock price has been rising, reaching a high of 31.62 HKD, approaching the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands. Resistance levels are at 32.9 HKD and 33.8 HKD, with a short-term signal indicating a "sell" [15] Group 4: Contemporary Amperex Technology (03750.HK) - The stock price closed at 532 HKD, with a high of 535.5 HKD, nearing the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands. The first resistance level is at 558 HKD, with a potential second resistance at 604 HKD [21] - Investors are advised to consider products with exercise prices between 560-590 HKD, which have lower premiums and higher probabilities of moving from out-of-the-money to in-the-money [21] Group 5: Li Auto (02015.HK) - The stock price has surpassed 100 HKD, closing at 102 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy." Resistance levels are at 106 HKD and 110 HKD, with a target of 120 HKD [26] Group 6: AAC Technologies (02018.HK) - The stock has been declining, and the short-term trend is a "sell." Investors looking for entry points should exercise patience, with support levels at 44.2 HKD and 41.1 HKD [31]

Summary of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) - **Ticker**: 300750.SZ (China), 3750.HK (Hong Kong) - **Industry**: Energy & Chemicals, specifically in battery manufacturing Key Takeaways - **New Product Launch**: CATL plans to introduce an NCM811 battery pack product next year, which will increase the battery capacity of Extended Range Electric Vehicles (EREV) to 80kWh, compared to the current range of 30-50kWh per unit [5] - **Performance Improvement**: The new product is expected to enhance the CLTC range to over 600km, showcasing CATL's continuous innovation in powertrain solutions [5] - **Safety and Longevity**: The new technology will incorporate advanced NP3.0 technology to improve safety and longevity, thereby increasing cycle life [5] - **Market Position**: CATL is recognized for its powertrain solution capabilities, consistently providing better performance through product iterations [5] Financial Metrics - **Stock Rating**: Overweight [2] - **Price Target**: Rmb425.00, representing a 12% upside from the current price of Rmb379.93 as of September 24, 2025 [2] - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb1,729,890 million [2] - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenue growth from Rmb362,013 million in FY 2024 to Rmb603,807 million by FY 2027 [2] - **EBITDA Growth**: Projected EBITDA to increase from Rmb79,515 million in FY 2024 to Rmb136,351 million by FY 2027 [2] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Expected EPS growth from Rmb11.55 in FY 2024 to Rmb22.22 by FY 2027 [2] - **Valuation Metrics**: - P/E ratio expected to decrease from 23.0 in FY 2024 to 17.1 by FY 2027 [2] - EV/EBITDA ratio projected to decline from 12.9 in FY 2024 to 10.8 by FY 2027 [2] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks**: - Faster-than-expected penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage systems (ESS) [11] - Lower geopolitical risks [11] - Better-than-expected profit margins and market share gains [11] - **Downside Risks**: - Weaker-than-expected EV penetration and ESS application [11] - Potential competition from other battery manufacturers [11] - Geopolitical risks affecting the battery supply chain [11] Conclusion - CATL is positioned for significant growth with its upcoming product innovations and strong financial projections. The company maintains an Overweight rating, indicating positive expectations for its stock performance in the near future. However, investors should remain aware of the potential risks associated with market competition and geopolitical factors.

2025.09. 25 本文字数：2609，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 魏中原 三季度即将收官，尽管今年以来全球宏观经济环境复杂多变，但A股IPO市场展现出较强的韧性和活 力，上交所融资金额排名全球第五。 从发行节奏来看，A股前三季度共发行新股75只，上年同期69只，保持了稳中有升的态势。在融资 规模方面，前三季度IPO合计募集资金达743.72亿元，同比增长265亿元，主要受华电新能 （600930.SH）融资181.71亿元推动。值得一提的是，香港交易所前三季度发行66只新股，融资 额超1800亿港元，登顶全球融资额第一名。 年内A股牛市行情持续演绎，新股赚钱效应更是显著提升。上述75只新股首日平均收涨244%，较去 年同期提升近100个百分点，并且年内无一只新股破发。个别兼具题材与业绩的个股上市后股价迭创 新高，较发行价涨超10倍。 前三季度A股IPO募资超700亿元 另外，日前，德勤中国资本市场服务部发布的《2025年前三季度中国内地和香港新股市场回顾与展 望》数据显示，上交所以25只新股、454亿元融资额，排名全球前三季度IPO融资额第五名。 上述报告称， 港交所IPO融资额排名全球第一 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share IPO market has demonstrated strong resilience and vitality in 2023, with significant fundraising achievements despite a complex global macroeconomic environment. Group 1: IPO Market Performance - In the first three quarters of 2023, A-shares issued 75 new stocks, an increase from 69 in the same period last year, indicating a steady upward trend [1][2] - The total fundraising amount for IPOs reached 743.72 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 265 billion yuan, primarily driven by Huadian New Energy's 181.71 billion yuan fundraising [1][2] - The average first-day increase for the 75 new stocks was 244%, nearly 100 percentage points higher than the same period last year, with no new stock experiencing a decline on its debut [1][2][10] Group 2: Fundraising Structure - The fundraising structure showed a pattern of "one company dominating, with smaller averages," where the average and median fundraising amounts were 9.92 million yuan and 5.5 million yuan, respectively [2][3] - Huadian New Energy was the only large-scale IPO this year, accounting for 24.4% of the total fundraising amount [2][3] Group 3: Sector Analysis - The ChiNext board led in the number of IPOs with 27 new stocks raising a total of 195.34 billion yuan, while the Shanghai Stock Exchange's main board led in total fundraising with 372.84 billion yuan [5] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange ranked first globally in IPO fundraising, with 66 new stocks raising over 180 billion HKD, and four of the top five fundraising companies were A-share listed companies going public in Hong Kong [6] Group 4: Investor Sentiment and Market Trends - The significant increase in the "money-making effect" of new stocks is attributed to an overall market recovery, increased risk appetite, and the high quality of new stocks [10] - Major indices in the A-share market have rebounded, with the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, and North Exchange 50 rising over 50% this year, boosting investor confidence [10]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index initially rising nearly 2% before closing down 0.13% at 26,484.68 points, with a total turnover of HKD 314.89 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.89% to 6,379.19 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index saw a marginal increase of 0.01% to 9,444.22 points [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) showed strong performance, rising 4.48% to HKD 59.45, contributing 72.84 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks included Zijin Mining (02899) up 5.13%, JD Group-SW (09618) up 3.46%, while Haier Smart Home (06690) and Hang Seng Bank (00011) saw declines of 4.79% and 3.13% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks mostly rose, with Xiaomi up over 4%, JD up over 3%, and Baidu up over 2% [3] - Copper stocks surged due to production disruptions, with Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) up 11%, and other copper-related stocks also seeing significant gains [3][4] - The robotics sector gained traction, with several companies experiencing notable increases in stock prices [4][5] Copper Market Dynamics - A landslide at Freeport McMoRan's Grasberg mine in Indonesia has halted production, expected to impact global copper supply significantly, with a projected 35% decrease in copper-gold output by 2026 [4] - This disruption is anticipated to support copper prices, as Grasberg accounts for approximately 3% of global copper supply [4] Robotics Sector Developments - The Chinese government is focusing on humanoid robots and related technologies, with significant investments expected in the coming years [5] - Companies like UBTECH and others are rapidly advancing in humanoid robot production, with substantial orders being reported [5] Chip Sector Activity - Semiconductor stocks remained active, with Huahong Semiconductor (01347) rising 4.74% and other chip companies also showing positive movement [5][6] Notable Stock Movements - China Everbright Holdings (00165) surged 25.89% to HKD 12.79, driven by investments in high-tech sectors [7] - Yimai Sunshine (02522) rose 14.08% following the launch of an AI medical imaging product in collaboration with Alibaba Cloud [8] - CATL (03750) reached a new high, up 5.14% to HKD 532, with Morgan Stanley upgrading its rating due to strong demand for energy storage batteries [9] - Chery Automobile (09973) debuted on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, rising 3.8% to HKD 31.92, marking a significant IPO [10] - JD Group-SW (09618) increased by 3.46%, with plans for substantial investments in AI over the next three years [11]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top and bottom AH share premium rates, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading at 881.82% and Ningde Times (03750) at -11.55% [1][2][3] Group 1: Top AH Share Premium Rates - Northeast Electric (00042) has the highest premium rate of 881.82% with a deviation value of 87.12% [1][2][4] - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) follows with a premium rate of 228.63% and a deviation value of 28.72% [1][2][4] - Andeli Juice (02218) ranks third with a premium rate of 225.76% and a deviation value of -3.85% [1][2][4] Group 2: Bottom AH Share Premium Rates - Ningde Times (03750) has the lowest premium rate at -11.55% with a deviation value of 2.42% [1][3] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical (01276) has a premium rate of -3.49% and a deviation value of -2.41% [1][3] - Zijin Mining (02899) ranks third from the bottom with a premium rate of 4.81% and a deviation value of -1.32% [1][3] Group 3: Deviation Values - The highest deviation values are seen in Northeast Electric (00042) at 87.12%, followed by Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) at 31.52% and Dazhong Public Utilities (01635) at 29.80% [1][4] - The lowest deviation values are recorded for Qin Port Co. (03369) at -22.56%, Longyuan Power (00916) at -20.30%, and Longpan Technology (02465) at -16.74% [1][5]

Core Viewpoint - CATL's market capitalization has surpassed Kweichow Moutai, marking a significant milestone in the stock market, with CATL's A-share market value reaching 1.82 trillion yuan compared to Kweichow Moutai's 1.80 trillion yuan [2][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of September 25, CATL's stock price increased by over 4%, starting from a market value of 1.75 trillion yuan and reaching 1.80 trillion yuan [2]. - Year-to-date, CATL's stock has risen by 48.83%, while Kweichow Moutai's stock has decreased by 3.82% [2]. - Over the past 60 days, CATL's stock has increased by 47.10%, while Kweichow Moutai's has only risen by 1.55% [2]. - In the past month, CATL's stock has surged by 25.70%, contrasting with Kweichow Moutai's decline of 2.87% [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - CATL's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 178.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.27%, with a net profit of 30.48 billion yuan, up 33.33% [10]. - The combined revenue from CATL's power battery systems and energy storage systems accounted for 89.43% of total revenue, with respective contributions of 73.55% and 15.88% [11]. - CATL's management indicated a high capacity utilization rate of approximately 90% for the first half of the year, with plans for capital expenditure growth to expand production capacity [11]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - CATL and Kweichow Moutai signed a strategic cooperation agreement aimed at integrating new energy technology with traditional industries to promote green and high-quality development [7][9]. - On September 18, CATL entered a five-year comprehensive strategic cooperation agreement with Li Auto, focusing on battery safety and technology innovation [12][14].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **Global Energy Storage** industry, particularly the **Energy Storage System (ESS)** and **lithium-ion battery** sectors, with a specific emphasis on **CATL** (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited) and its market dynamics [1][10][36]. Core Insights - **ESS Demand Surge**: ESS battery demand is projected to increase by **93%** in 2025, driven by China's doubling of storage capacity to support solar and wind energy expansion [3][16]. - **Lithium-ion Battery Demand**: Global battery demand is expected to grow by **44%** by 2025, with strong demand in China exceeding initial expectations [2][4]. - **EV Battery Demand**: In China, EV battery demand increased by **34%** in the first half of 2025, with expectations of continued growth despite potential slowdowns in the second half [4][19]. Financial Projections - **CATL Financials**: CATL's revenue and earnings estimates have been revised upwards, with a price target set at **CNY 420**. The company anticipates reaching a capacity of **1 TWh** by the end of 2025 and **1.2 TWh** by the end of 2026, maintaining an **80%** utilization rate [6][38]. - **Earnings Growth**: EPS estimates for CATL for 2026 have been increased by **4%** to **CNY 19.7**, indicating a forward P/E ratio of **19x** [6][38]. Market Sentiment - The sentiment among companies in the battery value chain is notably bullish, with high levels of utilization reported across the board. Companies expect sequential improvements in revenue growth and margins for the second half of 2025 and into 2026 [5][10][19]. - Despite recent stock price increases, there is an expectation for further upside, particularly in cyclical component companies and lithium miners, as valuations remain below peak levels from the last cycle [7][34]. Capacity Expansion and Utilization - **Production Capacity**: CATL plans to expand its production capacity significantly, targeting nearly **1,000 GWh** by 2025 and **2,000 GWh** by 2030 [21][39]. - **Utilization Rates**: High utilization rates (over **80%**) are reported, with potential capacity constraints anticipated in parts of the value chain, which could lead to margin expansion [19][20]. Emerging Trends and Applications - **Electrification of Heavy-Duty Vehicles**: There is a growing trend towards electrification in heavy-duty vehicles, with expectations of **50%** EV penetration by 2028 for routes within **500 km** [23]. - **Technological Advancements**: Companies are making strides in battery technology, including solid-state batteries, with CATL targeting small-batch mass production by **2027** [24][25]. Regulatory Environment - **Anti-Involution Reforms**: Regulatory efforts are stabilizing prices in the industry, with mixed impacts on different segments, particularly separators and cathode materials [22]. Conclusion - The overall outlook for the battery and energy storage industry is highly positive, with strong demand growth expected to continue through 2026. Companies are well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, particularly CATL, which remains a top pick in the sector [10][38].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.43%, gaining 115 points to reach 26,633 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.91% with a morning trading volume of HKD 175.8 billion [1] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) saw its stock price increase by over 5%, reaching a new high since its listing, with Credit Lyonnais raising its target price to HKD 670 [1] - JD Group's stock rose by over 6%, with plans to invest continuously over the next three years to develop a trillion-scale artificial intelligence ecosystem [1] Group 2 - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a 13% increase, reaching a new high, amid supply disruptions in cobalt and copper, and announced a HKD 5 billion equity incentive plan [2] - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. rose by over 6%, benefiting significantly from rising gold and copper prices, with its subsidiary expected to be the second-largest IPO globally this year [2] - Semiconductor stocks continued their upward trend, with Alibaba announcing an expansion in AI capital expenditure, and Goldman Sachs optimistic about long-term demand growth for Chinese AI chips; Hua Hong Semiconductor rose by over 6%, while SMIC increased by nearly 2% [2] Group 3 - China Everbright Holdings Co., Ltd. surged by over 21%, with a cumulative increase of 110% in stock price this year, focusing on key industries including artificial intelligence and semiconductors [3] Group 4 - Jinli Permanent Magnet Co., Ltd. rose by over 6%, with the robotics industry expected to see multiple catalysts, as the company has made early investments in the robotics sector [4] Group 5 - Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. increased by over 6%, with new breakthroughs in the nuclear fusion sector and continued advancements in emerging industries [5] Group 6 - Chery Automobile Co., Ltd. saw its stock price rise by over 8% on its first day of listing [6] Group 7 - Changfei Optical Fiber and Cable Co., Ltd. fell by over 2%, as its former largest shareholder liquidated 23.73% of its shares within six months [7]

Core Viewpoint - CATL's stock price has surged over 4%, reaching a new high of 528.5 HKD, driven by strong demand in the electric vehicle and energy storage system markets [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - CATL's share price increased by 4.35%, trading at 528 HKD with a transaction volume of 750 million HKD [1] - The stock price reflects a positive market sentiment and strong performance in the industry [1] Group 2: Analyst Upgrades - Citic Securities has raised CATL's H-share target price by 25.2%, from 535 HKD to 670 HKD [1] - The upgrade is based on discussions at the 2025 World Energy Storage Conference, highlighting full production capacity and strong demand, particularly in the overseas ESS market [1] Group 3: Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share forecast for CATL has been increased by 9% for 2026 and 2027, primarily due to a 10% upward revision in battery shipment projections [1] Group 4: Product Development - CATL is set to launch a new 8-series high-nickel battery next year, which will be used in leading new energy vehicles [1] - CATL maintains its position as a leading supplier of power batteries for Chery Automobile, which recently listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1]