股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年8月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 金山軟件有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年9月3日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | | | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03888 | 說明 | 普通股 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 2,400,000,000 | USD | | 0.0005 USD | | 1,200,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 2,400,000,000 | ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The AI application sector has underperformed since August, but the long-term logic remains unchanged, with application revenue expected to grow significantly in the coming years [1][4] - The AI infrastructure industry is evolving with the increasing demand for resource management and application integration, driven by the AI wave [28] Company-Specific Insights Kingsoft (金山) - Kingsoft's WPS AI 3.0 aims to make AI the core of user interaction, with significant user growth and expected revenue from AI features to reach approximately 700 million RMB this year [1][12] - Monthly active users of WPS AI increased from 20 million to 30 million, with a projected growth to 60-70 million by the end of the year [10][11] - Kingsoft is focusing on attracting members rather than immediate monetization, with AI-driven membership revenue expected to double this year [12] - The company has made significant strides in the private enterprise market, with higher user value compared to state-owned enterprises [13] - Kingsoft's international revenue exceeded 100 million RMB, with plans for a unified global product launch [14] - Revenue for Kingsoft is projected to reach 5.8 billion RMB this year, with expectations of 7 billion RMB next year [16] Deepin (深信服) - Deepin's AI computing platform (AICP) integrates into its hyper-converged product line, enhancing its cloud computing business [1][17] - The company is expected to see a revenue increase of 10% this year, reaching 8.1 billion RMB, with profits projected to double [21][27] - Deepin's market share in hyper-converged infrastructure is around 20%, benefiting from the domestic shift towards local alternatives [27][23] - The demand for security solutions is increasing, contributing to stable revenue growth [24] iFlytek (科大讯飞) - iFlytek achieved a 17% revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in its learning machine and enterprise deployment businesses [37] - The company is expected to release profits in the second half of the year as promotional costs stabilize [37] SenseTime (商汤科技) - SenseTime anticipates a 25% growth in AIGC revenue, shifting to a light-asset operation model to improve cash flow [38] - The company is optimistic about GPU cloud computing demand, indicating a positive outlook for its future [38] Innovation Flagship (创新旗帜) - Innovation Flagship has seen a significant revenue turnaround in the AI + manufacturing sector, with a 22% growth in the first half of 2025 [39] - The company is focusing on robotics and blockchain solutions, reflecting confidence in its growth strategy [39] Zhongke Chuangda (中科创达) - Zhongke Chuangda's IoT business grew by 136% year-on-year, with strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [1][29] - The company is benefiting from the rise of AI smartphones and has seen a notable increase in its software and automotive sectors [29][30] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The AI application sector is expected to see significant revenue growth in the next two years, despite current market challenges [5][4] - Companies are focusing on product iteration and user accumulation to prepare for future commercialization [5] - The AI infrastructure market is evolving with increased demand for integrated solutions and resource management [28] Conclusion - The AI sector, particularly in applications and infrastructure, is poised for growth despite current market fluctuations. Companies like Kingsoft, Deepin, iFlytek, and others are strategically positioning themselves to capitalize on future opportunities through innovation and market expansion.

Core Viewpoint - Kingsoft Software's Q2 2025 performance showed a revenue of 2.307 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 7%, which was in line with expectations, while operating profit was 383 million yuan, slightly below expectations due to higher-than-expected expenses [1] Group 1: Business Performance - Office business revenue grew by 14% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, driven by the expansion of WPS Personal and WPS 365 [1] - The number of global monthly active devices for WPS Office reached 650 million in June 2025, representing a 9% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The gaming business saw a revenue decline of 26% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to high comparison bases from last year for titles like "Dust White Zone" and "Jian Wang 3" [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - The company launched WPS AI 3.0 and introduced the native Office intelligent assistant "WPS Lingxi," marking a shift from tool-based applications to collaborative intelligent agents [1] - Management indicated a commitment to increasing R&D investment in AI and collaboration, aiming to enhance product and service deployment across various office scenarios [1] - The gaming business will continue to focus on a premium strategy, deepen IP ecosystem development, and steadily advance global expansion for long-term operations [1] Group 3: Financial Metrics - The operating profit margin for Q2 was 16.6%, down 15.5 percentage points year-on-year and 9.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to increased R&D and marketing expenses related to AI and new games [2] - The net profit margin reached 23.1%, up 7.2 percentage points year-on-year and 10.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from one-time gains from Kingsoft Cloud's placement and share subscription [2] Group 4: Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 were lowered by 6.7% and 6.5% to 10.33 billion yuan and 11.56 billion yuan, respectively, due to cautious assumptions regarding the gaming business [2] - Net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 were reduced by 21.0% and 10.0% to 1.41 billion yuan and 1.71 billion yuan, respectively, considering revenue adjustments and increased investments in new games and AI strategy [2] - The target price was adjusted down by 10% to 45 HKD, reflecting a 29% upside potential based on a 32 times 2025 price-to-earnings ratio [2]

Core Insights - The core issue identified by the company is the failure of the new game "解限机" to meet expectations, particularly in its monetization and player engagement strategies [1][4][11] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's gaming revenue was 1.988 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 10% [2] - Q2 revenue was 0.952 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 26% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 8% [2] Game Launch and Reception - "解限机" generated approximately 0.1 billion yuan in its first month, but its peak player count on Steam dropped from 130,000 to 7,000 shortly after launch, indicating a significant decline in interest [4] - The game faced criticism for being both "pay-to-win" and requiring excessive time investment, leading to a perception of lost engagement among players [5][7] Key Mistakes Identified - The first major mistake was reducing the depth of monetization, which led to players feeling a lack of goals and engagement [5][7] - The second mistake involved uncontrolled gray market activities, which were exacerbated by the game's free-to-play model and multi-platform release, damaging the game's ecosystem [5][6] - The third mistake was the fragmentation of the player base across multiple platforms, which negatively impacted the matchmaking experience [6] Game Design Flaws - The game design failed to provide a satisfying feedback loop for player investment, leading to a sense of disinterest [8][10] - The initial player guidance was inadequate, failing to explain key gameplay mechanics, which contributed to player confusion [8] - The reward mechanisms were poorly structured, particularly in the early stages, discouraging casual players from engaging with the game [10] Industry Context - The company faces significant challenges in the mech and competitive gaming market, which has a naturally limited user base [11] - There is skepticism about whether the company can pivot "解限机" into a successful product without addressing its current issues, particularly in monetization and gameplay content [11]

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, despite a general recovery in the gaming sector, Kingsoft's gaming business faced unexpected pressures and challenges, with significant revenue declines in its online gaming segment [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Kingsoft's total revenue from online games and other businesses was 952 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 8% [1] - For the first half of 2025, this segment's total revenue was 1.988 billion yuan, down 10% compared to the same period in 2024 [1] Product Performance - The new game "Mecha BREAK" did not meet expectations after its launch, contributing to the revenue decline due to high comparative figures from 2024 [1][3] - The classic IP "Jian Wang 3" continued to perform strongly, supported by content updates and technical enhancements, while new titles like "Jian Xia Qing Yuan: Zero" faced challenges [3][4][5] Strategic Focus - Kingsoft's management emphasized a strategy of focusing on high-quality games and deepening IP ecosystem development, while also pursuing global expansion [2][8] - The company is looking to optimize existing products and explore new IP collaborations to find growth opportunities [11] Market Outlook - Kingsoft's gaming business is currently in a phase of short-term pressure but long-term potential, with the second half of 2025 seen as a critical period for validating its long-term operational capabilities [12]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Jefferies indicates that Kingsoft Corporation (03888) reported weaker-than-expected revenue and adjusted operating profit for the second quarter, primarily due to underperformance in online gaming, partially offset by the performance of its office software business [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Kingsoft's second-quarter revenue and adjusted operating profit fell short of expectations [1] - The underperformance in online gaming was a significant factor in the disappointing results [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The management highlighted that the new game "Mecha BREAK" did not meet expectations and may require more time for optimization [1] - In the office software segment, targeted strategies are being implemented to meet user and enterprise needs [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating and Price Target - Jefferies maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Corporation [1] - Due to the weak gaming performance, Jefferies has lowered the target price from HKD 42.8 to HKD 40 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Jefferies indicates that Kingsoft Corporation (03888) reported weaker-than-expected revenue and adjusted operating profit for the second quarter, primarily due to underperformance in online gaming, partially offset by the performance of its office software business [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Kingsoft's second-quarter revenue and adjusted operating profit fell short of expectations [1] - The underperformance in online gaming was a significant factor in the disappointing results [1] - The office software business showed some resilience, helping to mitigate the overall impact [1] Group 2: Management Insights - Management highlighted that the new game "Mecha BREAK" did not meet expectations and may require additional time for optimization [1] - Targeted strategies are being implemented in the office software segment to better meet user and enterprise needs [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating and Price Target - Jefferies maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Corporation [1] - The target price has been adjusted down from HKD 42.8 to HKD 40 due to the weaker gaming performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jefferies reported that Kingsoft's Q2 revenue and adjusted operating profit fell short of expectations, primarily due to weaker-than-expected performance in online gaming, partially offset by the performance of the office software business [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Kingsoft's Q2 revenue and adjusted operating profit were below expectations [1] - The underperformance was mainly attributed to the online gaming segment [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The new game "Mecha BREAK" did not meet expectations and may require more time for optimization [1] - The office software segment is implementing targeted strategies to meet user and enterprise needs [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating and Price Target - Jefferies maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft [1] - The target price has been lowered from HKD 42.8 to HKD 40 due to the weaker gaming performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates that Kingsoft (03888) faced revenue pressure in Q2 due to high base effects from key games, leading to a decline in profit margins influenced by decreased revenue and increased costs related to AI investments and new game marketing [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Kingsoft's game revenue and profit forecasts have been downgraded for the year, with the target price reduced from HKD 46 to HKD 42 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Initial data from the launch of "Limitless Machine" fell short of expectations, but it signifies progress in new categories and global expansion [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The office business continues to show robust growth, with AI monthly active users reaching nearly 30 million, a year-on-year increase of 50% [1] - Rapid growth is expected in the second half of the year, reinforcing Kingsoft's leading position in knowledge document office scenarios [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates that Kingsoft Corporation (03888) faced revenue pressure in Q2 due to high base effects from key games, leading to a decline in profit margins impacted by decreased revenue and increased costs related to AI investments and new game marketing [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Kingsoft's game revenue and profit forecasts have been downgraded for the year, with the target price reduced from HKD 46 to HKD 42 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Initial data from the launch of "Limitless Machine" fell short of expectations, although it signifies progress in new categories and global expansion [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The office business continues to show robust growth, with AI monthly active users reaching nearly 30 million, a year-on-year increase of 50% [1] - It is anticipated that the office segment will continue to grow rapidly in the second half of the year, solidifying its leading position in knowledge document office scenarios [1]