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午评:港股恒指跌0.44% 科指跌1.26% 科网股普跌 锂电池板块走弱 航空股逆势走强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 04:01
航空股延续涨势,首都机场涨超7%。上海浦东、虹桥机场及北京首都机场陆续启动新一轮免税招标, 关键变化是引入外资参与者。国泰海通证券发布研报称,上海机场新一轮免税合同模式出现调整,按照 提成比例中值16%静态测算,新旧模式机场免税收入基本持平;若实际综合提成比例高于中值,新合同 将提升机场免税收入。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 涨跌幅 √ | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00694 | 北京首都机场股1 | 2.860 | 7.12% | | 00670 | 中国东方航空股 | 5.180 | 4.65% | | 00753 | 中国国航 | 6.980 | 3.71% | | 01055 | 中国南方航空股 | 5.750 | 3.23% | | 00293 | 国泰航空 | 11.880 0.42% | | 锂电池股跌幅居前,宁德时代跌超3%。由于储能和商用车需求超预期爆发,摩根大通将2030年全球锂 需求预测上调至350万吨(共识上限)。分析师认为,中期4-7%的供需缺口将迫使碳酸锂价格在明年底 冲向18000美元,较现货价高出约33%。因此该行全面看多,直言锂价已进入 ...
中创新航(03931.HK)深度:迎动储景气周期 蝶变全球电池价值引领者
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-17 12:28
机构:申万宏源研究 研究员:马天一/曾子栋 战略聚焦成效显著,多维突破助力跨越发展。公司历经多轮战略升级,战略重组入局锂电,聚焦乘用车 三元电池转型,再到港股上市后加速国际化,完成了从行业参与者到全球竞争者的跨越。混合所有制股 权结构与稳定专业的高管团队提供坚实支撑,国内外产业基地逐步落地,构建起覆盖动力与储能的全场 景产品体系。动力电池涵盖5C 超充、高能量密度等高端产品,储能电池中大容量电芯及储能系统开发 领先。1H25,公司营收164 亿元,同比+31.7%;归母净利润为4.7 亿元,归母净利率为2.8%,盈利水平 逐步提升。 风险提示:原材料价格大幅上涨的风险;行业竞争加剧导致产品价格大幅下降的风险;海外贸易保护政 策风险。 动储需求双线爆发,行业格局优化开启盈利改善周期。下游新能源汽车市场持续扩容,1-3Q25,中国 新能源车销量达1120 万辆,新能源渗透率攀升至46%,商用车电动化成为重要增量,叠加单车带电量 提升,有力支撑动力电池需求。储能市场高景气延续,国内招标与中标规模稳步增长,投资主体多元, 我们预计全球储能电池出货量从2025 年530GWh跃升至2028 年1343GWh。锂电行业竞 ...
中创新航等成立先进储能私募股权投资基金
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-17 07:28
人民财讯12月17日电,企查查APP显示,近日,凯博诺德先进储能(湖北)私募股权投资基金合伙企业(有 限合伙)成立,出资额4亿元,经营范围包含:私募股权投资基金管理、创业投资基金管理服务;以私募 基金从事股权投资、投资管理、资产管理等活动。企查查股权穿透显示,该合伙企业由中创新航全资子 公司中创新航智慧能源科技有限公司、凯博(湖北)私募基金管理有限公司等共同持股。 ...
中航创新(03931.HK)涨近3%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-17 02:35
每经AI快讯,中航创新(03931.HK)涨近3%,截至发稿,涨2.1%,报26.22港元,成交额1702.23万港元。 ...
中航创新涨近3% 11月动力电池装车量实现快速增长 机构称公司市占率稳步提升
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 02:29
中航创新(03931)涨近3%,截至发稿,涨2.1%,报26.22港元,成交额1702.23万港元。 申万宏源表示,随着下游新能源汽车市场持续扩容,1-3Q25,中国新能源车销量达1120万辆,新能源 渗透率攀升至46%,商用车电动化成为重要增量,叠加单车带电量提升,有力支撑动力电池需求。储能 市场高景气延续,国内招标与中标规模稳步增长,投资主体多元,该行预计全球储能电池出货量从2025 年530GWh跃升至2028年1343GWh。锂电行业竞争呈现头部集中与二线崛起态势,公司市占率稳步提 升,叠加锂电行业进入供需改善周期,为企业盈利改善打开新空间。 消息面上,国泰海通研报指出,11月国内动力电池装车量93.5GWh,同比增长39.2%,环比增长 11.2%;其中,三元电池装车量18.2GWh,占总装车量19.4%,同比增长33.7%,环比增长9.9%,磷酸铁 锂电池装车量75.3GWh,占总装车量80.5%,同比增长40.7%,环比增长11.6%。该行认为,随着锂电行 业下游需求快速增长,动力电池及相关关键材料企业有望受益。 ...
港股异动 | 中航创新(03931)涨近3% 11月动力电池装车量实现快速增长 机构称公司市占率稳步提升
智通财经网· 2025-12-17 02:26
申万宏源表示,随着下游新能源汽车市场持续扩容,1-3Q25,中国新能源车销量达1120万辆,新能源 渗透率攀升至46%,商用车电动化成为重要增量,叠加单车带电量提升,有力支撑动力电池需求。储能 市场高景气延续,国内招标与中标规模稳步增长,投资主体多元,该行预计全球储能电池出货量从2025 年530GWh跃升至2028年1343GWh。锂电行业竞争呈现头部集中与二线崛起态势,公司市占率稳步提 升,叠加锂电行业进入供需改善周期,为企业盈利改善打开新空间。 智通财经APP获悉,中航创新(03931)涨近3%,截至发稿,涨2.1%,报26.22港元,成交额1702.23万港 元。 消息面上,国泰海通研报指出,11月国内动力电池装车量93.5GWh,同比增长39.2%,环比增长 11.2%;其中,三元电池装车量18.2GWh,占总装车量19.4%,同比增长33.7%,环比增长9.9%,磷酸铁 锂电池装车量75.3GWh,占总装车量80.5%,同比增长40.7%,环比增长11.6%。该行认为,随着锂电行 业下游需求快速增长,动力电池及相关关键材料企业有望受益。 ...
申万宏源晨会报告-20251217
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-17 01:52
Group 1: Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook - The monetary policy in 2026 will continue to align with fiscal measures, supporting debt sustainability and fiscal health [2][12] - Interest rate cuts in 2026 may remain restrained due to reduced urgency from anti-involution trends, with a higher probability of one rate cut rather than two [2][12] - The international economic struggle will have financial implications, particularly for the internationalization of the RMB amid intensified US-China competition [2][12] Group 2: Misunderstandings about "Deposit Migration" - There are three main misunderstandings regarding "deposit migration": underestimating excess savings, the speed of market entry, and the investment attributes of excess savings [3][14] - The potential scale of excess savings is estimated to exceed 9.4 trillion, indicating significant funds could enter the stock market [3][14] - The speed of funds entering the market may be underestimated due to reliance on non-bank deposit tracking, which does not accurately reflect the migration of resident funds [3][14] Group 3: Huahai Pharmaceutical (600521) Analysis - Huahai Pharmaceutical is a leading domestic producer of specialty APIs, with a strong focus on global formulation strategies [4][13] - The company has applied for over 70 domestic and international patents in the field of biopharmaceuticals, particularly in immunology and oncology [4][17] - The projected revenue for Huahai Pharmaceutical from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be 8.632 billion, 9.413 billion, and 10.282 billion respectively, with a target market value indicating a potential upside of 30.04% [4][17]
苏奥传感:公司暂未收到控股股东中创新航关于资产注入的相关计划
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-16 12:41
证券日报网讯 12月16日,苏奥传感在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至目前,公司暂未收到控股 股东中创新航关于资产注入的相关计划。后续若有此类重大事项,公司将严格按照法律法规要求及时履 行信息披露义务,敬请关注法定渠道公告。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
中创新航(03931):迎动储景气周期,蝶变全球电池价值引领者
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-16 04:09
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its future performance [2][7]. Core Insights - The company has undergone multiple strategic upgrades, transitioning from an industry participant to a global competitor in the lithium battery sector. It has focused on high-performance ternary batteries for passenger vehicles and is accelerating internationalization post its Hong Kong listing [6][15]. - The demand for dynamic storage is expected to surge, driven by the expanding market for new energy vehicles (NEVs) and the ongoing growth in the energy storage sector. The report anticipates a significant increase in global energy storage battery shipments from 530 GWh in 2025 to 1,343 GWh by 2028 [6][49]. - The company is strengthening its core competitive advantages and aims to establish itself as a leading global battery brand, with a diversified customer base and a growing market share [6][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 27 billion RMB in 2023 to 96.3 billion RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 28.74% [5]. - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is expected to rise from 294 million RMB in 2023 to 3.84 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trajectory [5]. - The report estimates the company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratios to be 40, 17, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a target PE valuation of 21 for 2026 [7][8]. Strategic Focus and Market Dynamics - The company has strategically focused on both power and energy storage markets, developing a comprehensive product system that includes high-end products for both sectors. The report highlights the successful launch of various advanced technologies and products in 2025 [15][24]. - The report notes a robust growth in the domestic new energy vehicle market, with sales reaching 11.2 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, and a penetration rate of 46% [6][38]. - The energy storage market is also experiencing high demand, with significant increases in bidding and winning capacities for energy storage projects, indicating a favorable market environment [45][49]. Competitive Positioning - The company is enhancing its competitive positioning by diversifying its customer base, reducing reliance on its top five customers from 71% in 2023 to 55% in 2024, and establishing deep strategic partnerships with key clients [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological innovation and cost optimization in maintaining competitive advantages, with a focus on high energy density and fast-charging battery technologies [6][24]. Market Outlook - The global demand for new energy vehicles is projected to grow significantly, with total sales expected to increase from 20.94 million units in 2025 to 33.36 million units by 2028, alongside a rise in the penetration rate to 39% [52]. - The report anticipates that the overall demand for lithium batteries, including both power and energy storage, will continue to expand, driven by technological advancements and increasing market acceptance of electric vehicles [49][52].
申万宏源:首予中创新航“买入”评级 迎动储景气周期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 03:54
申万宏源主要观点如下: 申万宏源发布研报称,首次覆盖,给予中创新航(03931)"买入"评级,行业需求景气向上,公司动储放 量后盈利可期。目前锂电下游动力侧商用车加速新能源渗透,储能侧迎来光储平价的建设爆发期。公司 作为锂电行业领军公司,在不断提升行业份额的同时有望充分受益于电芯产品迭代的技术溢价。目前公 司在动力领域不断开拓新客户新车型,储能电芯及储能系统加速外拓海外市场,未来动储电芯出货放量 后规模效应有望逐步彰显。 下游新能源汽车市场持续扩容,1-3Q25,中国新能源车销量达1120万辆,新能源渗透率攀升至46%,商 用车电动化成为重要增量,叠加单车带电量提升,有力支撑动力电池需求。储能市场高景气延续,国内 招标与中标规模稳步增长,投资主体多元,该行预计全球储能电池出货量从2025年530GWh跃升至2028 年1343GWh。锂电行业竞争呈现头部集中与二线崛起态势,公司市占率稳步提升,叠加锂电行业进入 供需改善周期,为企业盈利改善打开新空间。 风险提示 原材料价格大幅上涨的风险;行业竞争加剧导致产品价格大幅下降的风险;海外贸易保护政策风险。 核心壁垒逐步巩固,全力打造全球电池核心品牌 战略聚焦成效显著 ...