一、 2025年度中国动力锂电池市场规模分析及预测 资料来源：起点研究院 SPIR 起点研究院（ SPIR） 数据显示， 202 5 年 中国 新能源汽车动力锂电池出货量为 936 GWh，同比增长 18 %。随着新能源汽车渗透率逐步 提高，未来汽车用动力电池市场规模将不断提升，预计20 30 年 中国 新能源汽车动力锂电池出货量为 2550 GWh 。 二、 2025年锂电池价格走势及预测 起点研究院 SPIR 简介： 锂电池由于技术趋于完善，成本下降空间有限， 2025年磷酸铁锂电池均价为0.38元/wh、三元锂电池均价为 0.65元/wh，未来锂电池价格随 市场需求的变化而变化，三元锂电池在0.5-0.7元/wh之间震荡，磷酸铁锂电池在0.35-0.5元/wh之间震荡，三元锂电池与磷酸铁锂电池价差保 持0.1-0.2元/wh。 三、 2025年中国动力锂电池企业排行 2025年度中国动力锂电池TOP10企业为： 宁德时代、比亚迪、中创新航、国轩高科、亿纬锂能、蜂巢能源、瑞浦兰钧、欣旺达、因湃电池以 及孚能科技。 公司主要产品及服务：新能源电池及储能领域月度 / 季度 / 年度数据库、各细分领域行业白皮书 ...

国内新闻 四部门联合召开动力和储能电池行业座谈会，十余家头部企业参与 1月8日，据"工信微报"消息，工信部、国家发展改革委、市场监管总局、国家能源局于1月7日联合召开动力和储能电池行业座谈 会，研究部署进一步规范动力和储能电池产业竞争秩序工作。同日，据智通财经报道，其自知情人士处获悉，本次会议召集了16 家企业，包括13家动力电池与储能电池企业：宁德时代、比亚迪、中创新航、国轩高科、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、蜂巢能源、瑞浦兰 钧、鹏辉能源、海辰储能、正力新能、浙江吉曜通行能源科技、楚能新能源。另有3家系统集成商：中车株洲所、海博思创、天 合储能。 工信部就7项智能网联汽车强制性国标公开征求意见 国际新闻 现代汽车股价大涨，加速推进机器人与人工智能战略 1月7日，现代汽车股价继续大幅上涨，主要是因为这家韩国汽车巨头在2026年国际消费电子展（CES）上披露了加大机器人和人 工智能领域投入的计划，且现代汽车集团会长郑义宣在CES期间与英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋举行了闭门会议，这一消息引发市场 对双方深化合作的期待。 马斯克旗下xAI完成200亿美元融资，英伟达、思科等参投 近日，特斯拉CEO马斯克旗下的人工智能初创企业xAI ...

【中国石化与中国航油实施重组】1月8日，国务院国资委发布消息，经报国务院批准，中国石油化工集 团有限公司与中国航空油料集团有限公司实施重组。据了解，中国航油是亚洲最大的集航空油品采购、 运输、储存、检测、销售、加注于一体的航空运输服务保障企业，主营业务主要涉及航油、石油、物 流、国际和通航五大板块。中国石化是全球第一大炼油公司和我国第一大航油生产商。 【工信部牵头警示锂电池产业非理性竞争 十余家头部企业参与】1月8日，工信部官微发文称，工信 部、国家发展改革委、市场监管总局、国家能源局于1月7日联合召开动力和储能电池行业座谈会(下称 座谈会)，研究部署进一步规范动力和储能电池产业竞争秩序工作。据记者自知情人士处获悉，本次会 议召集了16家企业，包括13家动力电池与储能电池企业：宁德时代、比亚迪、中创新航、国轩高科、亿 纬锂能（维权）、欣旺达、蜂巢能源、瑞浦兰钧、鹏辉能源、海辰储能、正力新能、浙江吉曜通行能源 科技、楚能新能源。另有3家系统集成商：中车株洲所、海博思创、天合储能。此外，有行业媒体报道 称，中国汽车动力电池创新联盟、中国化学物理电源行业协会全程参与此次座谈会，对行业自律进行倡 导。 •周四（当地时 ...

Core Viewpoint - LG Energy Solution is facing significant challenges in its North American operations, with production halts and strategic shifts among major automotive partners impacting its growth prospects [3][4][6]. Group 1: Production Capacity and Economic Impact - LG Energy Solution has a global production capacity primarily located in China, South Korea, and North America, with over 350 GWh planned in North America alone [3]. - The company has suspended production at two joint venture battery plants with General Motors in Ohio and Tennessee for six months, resulting in an estimated economic loss of 1 trillion KRW [3][4]. - The third joint venture plant in Michigan has delayed its production timeline from 2024 to the second half of 2026, following the end of the joint venture agreement with GM [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Strategic Adjustments - The slowdown in the North American electric vehicle market is attributed to the expiration of a $7,500 EV subsidy by the U.S. government, leading to decreased demand for electric vehicles from major manufacturers like Tesla, Ford, and GM [4][6]. - Ford has shifted its focus from pure electric vehicles to hybrid models, halting the development and production of related electric vehicle projects [6]. - General Motors plans to take a $1.6 billion impairment charge related to its electric vehicle business, with a significant portion allocated to capacity adjustments [6]. Group 3: Supplier Relationships and Financial Strategies - Ford has canceled a battery agreement worth 9.6 trillion KRW with LG Energy Solution and exited a joint venture with SK On for battery production in the U.S. [7]. - Stellantis is repurposing some battery production lines for energy storage systems and has delayed the launch of its electric pickup truck [7]. - LG Energy Solution is considering selling its joint venture battery plant with Honda in Ohio to alleviate financial pressures [8]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Market Shifts - The competitive landscape for global power batteries has shifted dramatically, with Chinese companies capturing 69.4% of the market share among the top 10 battery manufacturers by installed capacity in 2025 [10]. - In contrast, South Korean companies hold only 15.8% of the market share, which is less than that of BYD alone at 16.7% [10]. - Chinese battery manufacturers are rapidly expanding their production capacity in Europe, with significant projects underway to meet the growing demand in the region [9].

工业和信息化部、国家发展改革委、市场监管总局、国家能源局于1月7日联合召开动力和储能电池行业座谈会，研究部署进一 步规范产业竞争秩序工作，本次会议召集了16家重点企业参会，涵盖13家动力电池与储能电池企业及3家系统集成商。与此同 时，乘联分会相关人士崔东树近日发文展望2026年年初国内新能源锂电池需求，指出需求将环比4季度大幅下降，电池生产企业 或采取减产休假方式应对这一波动。 具体来看，需求下滑的驱动因素主要包括五大方面。其一，2026年初新能源乘用车受车购税政策调整影响显著。据悉，2026年 起新能源汽车购置税从免征改为减半征收，单辆新能源乘用车减税额上限从3万元收紧至1.5万元，且准入技术标准大幅加严，不 符合新技术要求的车型无法享受减免，这将导致消费者购车成本变化，预计年初新能源乘用车销量环比4季度下降至少30%，直 接减少对新能源锂电池的需求。其二，新能源商用车在2025年年末完成抢补贴和抢免税冲刺后，年初需求必然出现环比大幅下 降，进而影响锂电池需求规模。其三，尽管2026年初新能源乘用车出口表现较好，但这一增长对独立电池供应商的电池需求拉 动作用有限。其四，美国储能需求对国内电池出口缺乏明显拉动 ...

Core Viewpoint - The production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) is projected to reach 3.915 million tons by 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 61.5% [1] Monthly Production Trends - In 2025, LFP production is expected to show a steady increase throughout the year, with monthly outputs of 200,000 to 300,000 tons from January to May, 300,000 to 400,000 tons from June to October, and exceeding 400,000 tons in November and December [3] Capacity Analysis - By the end of 2025, nominal LFP production capacity is expected to reach 6.53 million tons, an increase of 950,000 tons from 5.58 million tons at the end of 2024. However, significant idle capacity exists due to high costs, outdated equipment, lack of technology, and insufficient funding [5] - The nominal production capacity of companies capable of mass production will total 5.7235 million tons, up 742,500 tons from 4.981 million tons in 2024 [5] Company Market Share - Hunan Youneng leads the market with approximately 30% share, while other companies hold less than 10%. The second tier includes Wanrun New Energy, Defang Nano, Fulian Shenghua, Youshan Technology, Longpan Lithium Source, and Guoxuan High-Tech, each with market shares between 5% and 10% [8] - The third tier consists of Taifeng Xianxing, Anda Technology, GCL-Poly Energy, Dingsheng Technology, Jintang Times, Rongtong High-Tech, Wanhu Chemical, and Sichuan Langsheng, each with market shares exceeding 2% [8] Production Growth Rates - Among the top 20 companies, Zhongchu Innovation's 100,000-ton production line is expected to fully release in 2025, with a staggering growth rate of 1578%. Other companies like Bangpu Recycling and Wanhu Chemical also show growth rates exceeding 200%, while Anda Technology, GCL-Poly Energy, and Fulian Shenghua exceed 100% [9] Process Technology - The phosphate iron process accounts for 82.1% of production, followed by ferrous oxalate, ferric nitrate, iron red, and hydrothermal methods. The latter three processes have the potential to transition from niche to mainstream as they have already achieved mass production of high-pressure solid products [11]

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that 2026 is expected to mark the beginning of a new healthy and orderly development cycle for China's lithium battery new energy industry [3][19]. Investment Overview - In 2025, over 282 public investment projects related to the lithium battery industry chain in China are anticipated, with a total investment exceeding 820 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of over 74% [4]. - The investment projects are primarily concentrated in East and Central China, with regions like Fujian, Shandong, and Jiangsu leading in lithium battery and material manufacturing due to their rich chemical resources and strategic enterprise layouts [6]. Regional Distribution - The Southwest region, particularly Sichuan, is expected to dominate the investment in lithium battery positive materials, accounting for 59% of the projects, with a significant production capacity of over 350 GWh [11]. - Negative materials investment is more evenly distributed, with North and Northwest China favored due to lower electricity costs [11]. - The electrolyte projects are mainly concentrated in East China, benefiting from a robust industrial chain and proximity to downstream markets [11]. Overseas Expansion - Chinese lithium battery companies are increasingly focusing on overseas markets, with significant investments in Thailand, Spain, and Portugal, driven by favorable geopolitical conditions and local demand [7]. - Notable projects include the establishment of a zero-carbon AI super factory in Portugal and a joint venture factory in Spain by CATL and Stellantis [7]. Solid-State and Sodium Battery Development - In 2025, solid-state battery projects are expected to be concentrated in East China, with planned capacities of 74 GWh and total investments of 28 billion yuan [15]. - The sodium battery sector is projected to see significant growth, with planned capacities of 81 GWh and total investments of 32.2 billion yuan, primarily in the Southwest region [15]. Market Outlook - The lithium new energy industry is emerging from a challenging period characterized by supply-demand imbalances and declining prices, with positive signals indicating a recovery starting in 2025 [18]. - The demand for solid-state batteries and sodium batteries is expected to accelerate, with the latter projected to achieve a 100% increase in shipments by 2026 [19].

（记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司是否涉及固态电池检测？ 天溯计量（301449.SZ）1月7日在投资者互动平台表示，公司目前的检测服务主要为消费类电池、动力 电池及储能电池检测业务。公司的检测业务已广泛服务于中创新航、巨湾技研、亿纬锂能、蜂巢能源、 海辰储能等新能源电池企业，以及广汽集团、广汽埃安、小鹏汽车等新能源车企，服务超过2000家新能 源企业。 ...

国内独立储能市场实现超预期增长加之多地出台容量电价补贴政策，带动储能电站IRR收益率提升（普 遍达到6-12%）；欧洲大储和工商业储能需求增加及美国受数据中心（AIDC）配储等需求是拉动国内 储能需求增长的关键。 动力领域则主要受新能源汽车增长（增速约为5~10%）、单车带电量提升（相较于2025年有望继续提升 5~10%）、新能源商用车增长带动（我国新能源商用车渗透率从2024年的20.38%提升至2025年1-11月的 25.7%，其中11月单月渗透率高达33.9%，且在以旧换新等政策驱动下，渗透率仍在快速提升，预计 2026年部分细分市场渗透率有望突破40%）。 2024~2028中国锂电池出货量及预测（GWh） 回顾2025年，锂电池行业历经深度回调后的强势复苏，形成了以"供需错配、反内卷、储能爆发、技术 迭代、产业链新一轮扩产、满产满销、出海加速、卷价值等"为核心的关键词矩阵，本轮行业热度增长 与2020年前后的行业的发展逻辑相比已发生深刻重塑，预计这一趋势将持续顺延至2027年后。 2025年行业订单持续向头部企业集聚导致大厂产能频频告急，中小企业产能出现一定闲置，供需错配成 为行业的核心矛盾；在 ...

一、全球储能电池出货量分析与预测 近期，起点研究院SPIR发布了《2026全球储能行业白皮书》报告。该报告数据显示， 2024年全球储能电池出货量为358Gwh，2025年预计 储能电池出货量637GWh，同比增长77.93%。到2030年储能电池出货量将达到2380Gwh，储能需求增长的主要原因是： ①发电侧：全球能源结构转型，光伏、风电等绿色新能源电力装机量占比上升，带动储能电池需求增长确定性高。 ②电网侧：电网侧储能的需求也将快速增长，主要源于电力系统对稳定性和灵活性的日益增长的要求，特别是在高比例风电和光伏等可再生能 源大规模接入的背景下。电网侧储能能有效平衡电力供需波动，通过快速充放电参与电网调频、调峰，提升系统稳定性。 资料来源：起点研究院 SPIR 二、2025年全球储能电池竞争格局 起点研究院SPIR数据显示，2025年，储能电芯行业集中度CR6达50%左右，呈现高度集中的"一超多强 +黑马突围"双轨竞争格局。其中，宁 德时代占据第一梯队，依然绝对领先；楚能新能源，4年时间强势进入前五；亿纬锂能、海辰储能、中创新航、瑞浦兰钧继续位居行业前六。 图表 2 ： 2025年 全球储能电芯出货排名 资 ...