Core Viewpoint - The rapid increase in mining capacity in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has led to significant energy demands that the local power grid cannot meet, resulting in challenges for mining operations [1][4][5]. Group 1: Mining Capacity and Energy Demand - Since 2021, local mining companies in DRC have increased production capacity from 1 million tons to over 3 million tons, but the energy supply remains inadequate [1][4]. - The copper and cobalt mining processes are highly energy-intensive, with electricity consumption accounting for 60%-70% of the production process [4]. - The DRC's hydropower capacity increased from 2,700 MW to approximately 3,200 MW between 2021 and 2023, with annual generation rising from about 12 TWh to between 14 TWh and 16 TWh [4]. Group 2: Challenges in Power Supply - Mining companies face significant challenges due to limited access to hydropower, leading to reliance on expensive diesel generators and solar storage systems [6][8]. - The average annual diesel procurement cost for mining companies is around $2 million, with power supply interruptions occurring more than once a day [8][9]. - The cost of electricity for mineral development accounts for 20%-30% of total operating costs, with metal mining (copper, aluminum, lead) electricity costs comprising 15%-25% [9]. Group 3: Equipment and Operational Adjustments - KFM has implemented a strategy to procure diesel generators and optimize equipment selection to mitigate the impact of power outages [13][14]. - The company has purchased 13 diesel generators to ensure production continuity during power interruptions, despite the cost being 2-3 times higher than normal electricity [13]. - KFM has also modified equipment to improve operational efficiency, such as enhancing the cooling systems of diesel generators to achieve a 40% increase in performance [18]. Group 4: Future Power Solutions - To address long-term power supply issues, the company is constructing a 200 MW hydropower station, expected to begin operations in 2028 [21][22]. - The company is also exploring larger hydropower projects to meet future production demands of 800,000 to 1 million tons [22].

Core Insights - The local power supply in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is insufficient to meet the growing energy demands of the mining industry, leading to frequent power outages and limitations on production [2][4][5] - The KFM copper-cobalt mine, operated by Luoyang Molybdenum, has a production capacity of over 650,000 tons of copper annually and is exploring alternative power sources to ensure stable operations [2][8] - The DRC-Zambia copper-cobalt belt is the largest sedimentary copper-cobalt mineralization area globally, with significant reserves of copper and cobalt [2] Power Supply Challenges - Since 2021, local mining capacity has surged from 1 million tons to over 3 million tons, but the power grid cannot support this demand [3] - The copper and cobalt extraction processes are highly energy-intensive, with electricity consumption accounting for 60%-70% of the production process [3][7] - The DRC's electricity generation heavily relies on hydropower, with installed capacity increasing from 2,700 MW in 2021 to approximately 3,200 MW in 2023 [3] Mining Operations and Costs - Mining companies are facing challenges due to the inability to secure hydropower, leading to reliance on costly diesel generators and solar storage systems [5][10] - The cost of electricity for mineral development accounts for 20%-30% of total operating costs, with metal mining electricity costs ranging from 15%-25% [7] - Luoyang Molybdenum's KFM mine reported a revenue of approximately 31.4 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a projected annual revenue of 50.6 billion yuan for 2024 [8] Equipment and Maintenance - KFM has implemented a strategy to optimize equipment selection and develop production plans based on varying power loads to mitigate the impact of power outages [11][12] - The mine has procured 13 diesel generators to ensure power supply during outages, with diesel generation costs being 2-3 times higher than normal electricity costs [10] - Equipment management includes maintaining a safety stock of critical components and utilizing local production capabilities to reduce operational costs [16] Talent and Training - There is a significant shortage of skilled personnel for operating electrical equipment in the DRC, necessitating the import of both equipment and expertise [17][18] - Luoyang Molybdenum is investing in local talent development through training programs led by Chinese technical staff [18] Future Developments - To address long-term power supply issues, Luoyang Molybdenum is constructing a 200 MW hydropower station near the mining area, expected to begin operations in 2028 [18]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., is a significant player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on various metals including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, with a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer [2] - The company is also the second-largest producer of phosphate fertilizer in Brazil, holding 100% indirect rights to the CIL phosphate mine, covering the entire phosphate industry chain [2] Production and Financial Performance - The company has seen a significant increase in gold production, with a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 56% to 69% [2] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 94.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% [7] Market Activity - On August 27, the company's stock fell by 2.82%, with a trading volume of 2.86 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 250.53 billion yuan [1] - The stock has experienced a net outflow of 348 million yuan from main funds, indicating a reduction in investment interest [3][4] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 15.95%, with the average circulating shares per person remaining at zero [6] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with some increasing their holdings [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue but significant growth in net profit and non-recurring net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating strong operational efficiency and cost management despite challenging market conditions [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.671 billion yuan, up 60.07% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 8.724 billion yuan, an increase of 55.08% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, revenue was 48.767 billion yuan, down 13.99% year-on-year but up 6.00% quarter-on-quarter [1] Production and Pricing - The company saw production increases in copper and cobalt, with copper production at 353,600 tons and cobalt at 61,100 tons for the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 12.68% and 13.05% respectively [2] - The average spot price for copper in Q2 2025 was 78,000 yuan per ton, down 2.1% year-on-year, while the average spot price for cobalt was 238,800 yuan per ton, up 8.3% year-on-year [2] Cost Management and Profitability - The unit costs for copper and cobalt were 37,000 yuan per ton and 47,300 yuan per ton respectively, with year-on-year increases of 20.80% for copper and a decrease of 4.00% for cobalt [2] - The gross margin for copper and cobalt businesses was 53.63% and 61.83% respectively, with year-on-year increases of 1.27 percentage points and 19.65 percentage points [2] Strategic Expansion - The company completed the acquisition of Lumina Gold, which owns 100% of the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, with a gold resource of 638 tons and an expected mine life of 26 years, positioning gold as a potential second growth driver [3] Financial Ratios - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 21.15%, an increase of 2.77 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The net profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 10.39%, up 4.23 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company's debt ratio was 50.15%, a decrease of 9.01 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a strong balance sheet [4] - The return on equity (ROE) was 11.75%, an increase of 3.01 percentage points year-on-year [4] Investment Outlook - Given the production increases in copper and cobalt, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][24]. Core Views - The company achieved a 60% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in H1 2025, reaching 8.67 billion yuan, driven by rising copper and cobalt prices alongside increased production [6][24]. - The company is actively pursuing a goal of reaching a copper production capacity of 1 million tons, with significant projects like KFM Phase II and TFM Phase III expected to commence production after 2027 [20][24]. - The report highlights that the company has successfully completed the acquisition of the Ecuadorian gold mine and is progressing with its development, aiming for production before 2029 [6][24]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a net profit of 4.73 billion yuan, a 41.2% increase year-on-year and a 19.7% increase quarter-on-quarter [6][24]. - The copper production in Q2 2025 was 183,000 tons, a 10% increase year-on-year, while copper sales reached 199,000 tons, marking a 6.7% year-on-year increase and a significant 60.5% quarter-on-quarter increase [2][7]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 16.315 billion, 17.752 billion, and 18.924 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.6%, 8.8%, and 6.6% [24][25]. Cost and Pricing - The copper production cost in Q2 2025 was calculated at 32,015 yuan per ton, indicating potential for cost reduction in the future [8][9]. - The report indicates that for every 5,000 yuan increase in copper price, the company's net profit would increase by 1.4 billion yuan [20][24]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned as one of the few large copper mining companies maintaining high growth in copper production, with expectations to reach 800,000 to 1 million tons by 2028 [20][24]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong operational leverage to copper and cobalt prices, which could significantly enhance profitability [24].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing fluctuations in financing and stock performance, with a notable increase in net profit despite a decrease in revenue [1][2]. Financing Summary - On August 26, Luoyang Molybdenum had a financing buy-in of 291 million yuan and a financing repayment of 258 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 32.47 million yuan [1]. - The total financing balance as of August 26 is 19.61 billion yuan, which accounts for 0.93% of the circulating market value, indicating a low financing balance compared to the past year [1]. - The company repaid 93,100 shares in short selling on the same day, with a short selling amount of 84,400 yuan, while the remaining short selling volume is 1.647 million shares, exceeding the 90th percentile of the past year [1]. Company Profile - Luoyang Molybdenum, established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012, primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, and trading of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2]. - The revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.671 billion yuan [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Shareholding Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 15.95% to 237,500, with an average of 0 circulating shares per person [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 6.948 million shares, and various ETFs that have also increased their positions [3].

格隆汇8月27日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2025年8月21日，洛阳钼业(03993.HK)遭JPMorgan Chase & Co.以每股均价10.7237港元减持好仓706.86 万股，涉资约7580.2万港元。 减持后，JPMorgan Chase & Co.最新持好仓数目为233,272,833股，持好仓比例由6.11%下降至5.93%。 | 張格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的有關事件的日 相關法 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 泉内 | 股份數目 | | (語參閱十犹*詩 | 有投票權股 期(日 / 月 / | | | | | | | | 份自分比 年) | | CS20250826E00238 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. 7,068,632(L) | 1201(L) | | HKD 10.7237 | 233.272.833(L) | 5.93(L)21/08/2025 | | | | | | ...

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Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 semi-annual results, showing a decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit, indicating strong operational performance and production exceeding expectations [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company achieved revenue of 94.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.67 billion yuan, an increase of 60.1% [1] - The second quarter alone saw revenue of 48.77 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.0%, and net profit of 4.73 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.8% [1] Production and Sales - The company exceeded production targets for most products, with copper production reaching 353,600 tons (up 12.7% year-on-year) and cobalt production at 61,100 tons (up 13.1% year-on-year) [1] - In Q2, copper production was 183,000 tons (up 1.2% quarter-on-quarter) and sales were 199,000 tons (up 7.5% quarter-on-quarter) [2] Price Trends - The average LME copper price in Q2 was $9,471 per ton, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.5%, while the average MB cobalt price was $15.23 per pound, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 37% [2] Segment Performance - The copper segment generated revenue of 13.3 billion yuan in Q2, with a gross profit of 6.9 billion yuan, maintaining a gross margin of 72% [2] - The molybdenum segment achieved revenue of 1.6 billion yuan in Q2, with a gross profit of 630 million yuan, reflecting a gross margin of 6.5% [3] - The niobium segment reported stable production and sales, with revenue of 910 million yuan in Q2 and a gross profit of 440 million yuan [3] Strategic Developments - The company successfully completed the acquisition of the Ecuadorian KGH gold mine, which is expected to start production in 2028, with estimated annual output of approximately 11.5 tons of gold [4] - The mine has a total gold resource of 638 tons and a planned lifespan of 26 years [4] Investment Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 230.1 billion yuan, 248.5 billion yuan, and 268.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 17.6 billion yuan, 19.3 billion yuan, and 20.3 billion yuan [4]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) has shown a strong upward trend, with a recent high of 12.13 HKD, but technical indicators suggest a potential for short-term correction due to overbought conditions indicated by an RSI of 86 [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has risen from a low of 7.75 HKD to a recent high of 12.13 HKD, indicating a bullish trend [1]. - Key resistance levels are identified at 12.5 HKD and 13.6 HKD, while support levels are at 10.8 HKD and 10 HKD [1]. - The stock is currently above all major moving averages, but the RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting caution for investors [1][3]. Derivative Products - Investors are advised to consider specific call options such as the Bank of China call option 18700 with a strike price of 11.13 HKD, offering 3.2x leverage, and the call option 18217 with a strike price of 11 HKD, also providing 3.2x leverage [6]. - The performance of leveraged products has been strong, with notable gains in recent recommendations, highlighting their potential for significant returns in bullish markets [3][6]. Market Sentiment - There is a mixed sentiment among investors regarding the potential for a deep correction following the overbought RSI level, with some believing that the strong momentum could continue to push the stock past the 12.5 HKD resistance [9].