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洛阳钼业(603993):铜钴超产业绩高增,金矿打造新增长极
Ping An Securities· 2025-08-28 08:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in its copper and cobalt sectors, with a notable increase in net profit by 60.1% year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [5] - The company is expanding its gold mining operations, which is expected to become a new growth driver in the long term [8] - The report anticipates steady growth in copper and cobalt production due to ongoing overseas expansion projects, enhancing the company's earnings potential [8] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 947.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.8% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 86.7 billion yuan, an increase of 60.1% year-on-year [5] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 487.7 billion yuan, down 14.0% year-on-year but up 6.0% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 47.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.8% [5] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 167.7 billion, 184.0 billion, and 206.6 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.9, 13.6, and 12.1 [8] Production and Operational Highlights - The company exceeded production targets for copper and cobalt in the first half of 2025, with copper production reaching 353,600 tons (up 12.68% year-on-year) and cobalt production at 61,100 tons (up 13.05% year-on-year) [8] - The acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (KGHM Gold Mine) is expected to enhance the company's gold resource portfolio, with an estimated gold resource of 638 tons and a planned production start before 2029 [8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from cost advantages and increased production capacity in the copper and cobalt sectors, which will likely lead to higher earnings elasticity [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of ongoing projects and operational improvements to sustain growth in the coming years [8]
研报掘金丨国信证券:维持洛阳钼业“优于大市”评级,对铜价和钴价具备高业绩弹性
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-28 08:00
Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.67 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a 60% increase, driven by rising copper and cobalt prices along with increased production [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 4.73 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 41.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.7% [1] - The operating cash flow is expected to reach 12.01 billion yuan [1] Production Outlook - The company is entering a production release year starting in 2023, positioning itself as one of the few large copper mining companies to maintain high growth in copper production [1] - With the commissioning of the KFM Phase II and TFM Phase III projects after 2027, the company's copper production is anticipated to reach 800,000 to 1,000,000 tons by 2028 [1] Market Conditions - Assuming the copper spot settlement price remains at 78,500 yuan per ton (up from 78,000 yuan per ton) and cobalt prices stabilize at 240,000 yuan per ton (up from 210,000 yuan per ton), the company is well-positioned for high earnings elasticity in response to copper and cobalt price fluctuations [1] - The cobalt hydroxide discount factor is set at 70%, with a 70% export quota from the Democratic Republic of the Congo [1] Strategic Positioning - The company possesses world-class copper and cobalt mines, and the expansion of its two major projects is expected to significantly enhance its copper production capacity [1] - The company maintains an "outperform the market" rating due to its strong production growth potential and favorable market conditions [1]
国信证券:维持洛阳钼业“优于大市”评级,对铜价和钴价具备高业绩弹性
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 08:00
国信证券研报指出,洛阳钼业2025H1实现归母净利润86.7 亿元(+60.%),经营性净现金流120.1亿 元。2025Q2 归母净利润47.3亿元(同比+41.2%,环比+19.7%),公司盈利增长主因铜钴价格上涨,叠 加铜钴产量增加。自2023年开始公司进入产量释放年,是全球大型铜矿企中少有的保持铜高增长的企 业,随着KFM二期及TFM三期在2027年后陆续投产,2028年后公司铜产量有望达到80-100万吨,并且 厄瓜多尔黄金项目投产。假设2025-2027年铜现货结算价均为78500元/吨(原值78000元/吨),钴金属价 格维持24万元/吨(原值21万元/吨),氢氧化钴折价系数70%,刚果金出口配额70%。公司拥有全球顶 级铜钴矿山,两大世界级项目扩产将使公司铜产量迈向百万吨,对铜价和钴价具备高业绩弹性,维 持"优于大市"评级。 ...
洛阳钼业:上半年钴矿山端营收57.28亿元,同比增31.94%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 07:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, reaching 8.671 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year growth of 60.07%, setting a new historical record for the same period [1] - The company benefited from rising prices of metals such as copper, cobalt, and molybdenum, with gross profit margins for these metals increasing by 1.27, 19.66, and 4.45 percentage points respectively during the first half of the year [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum produced 61,100 tons of cobalt in the first half of the year, generating revenue of 5.728 billion yuan from its cobalt mining operations, which is a year-on-year increase of 31.94% [1]
半年报看板 | 洛阳钼业利润创新高 加速转型“平台型矿业公司”
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 06:55
Core Insights - Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for the first half of 2025 reached 8.671 billion yuan, a significant increase of 60.07% year-on-year, marking a historical high for the same period [2] - The company is accelerating its transformation into a "platform-type mining company" with a strategy focused on "multiple varieties," "multiple countries," and "multiple stages" to enhance development resilience [2][5] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 94.773 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.83% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in the trading business [2] - Despite the revenue decline, net profit reached a historical high of 8.671 billion yuan, benefiting from rising prices of key products and effective cost control [2] - The gross margins for copper, cobalt, and molybdenum increased by 1.27, 19.66, and 4.45 percentage points respectively, driven by higher metal prices [2] Mining Segment Performance - The mining segment generated revenue of 39.402 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 42% of total revenue, an increase of 11% and 28% compared to the same period in 2024 and 2023 respectively [3] - Copper production reached 353,600 tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.68%, with copper mining revenue at 25.718 billion yuan, representing 65% of mining revenue [3] - Cobalt production was 61,100 tons with mining revenue of 5.728 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.94% [3] Management Changes and Future Plans - In April 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum underwent a significant management overhaul, forming a new team characterized by internationalization, professionalism, and youth [4] - The new management team aims to transform the company into a platform-type mining company, including plans for acquisitions [4] - In June 2025, the company acquired Lumina Gold for 581 million Canadian dollars, securing the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, which contains 359 tons of gold [4] Strategic Development Directions - The company plans to expand in three directions: diversifying product offerings to include copper and gold, exploring opportunities in various countries, and considering both operating and green projects for future growth [5]
半年报看板 | 洛阳钼业利润创新高,加速转型“平台型矿业公司”
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-28 06:54
Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum's strong performance in the first half of 2025 is driven by significant profit growth despite a decline in revenue, showcasing effective cost control and rising metal prices [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 8.671 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 60.07% year-on-year, marking a historical high for the same period [1]. - Revenue for the first half of the year was 94.773 billion yuan, down 7.83% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in the trading business [1]. - Operating costs decreased by 10.96% to 74.727 billion yuan, with financial expenses dropping significantly by 43.99% [1]. Mining Segment Performance - Mining revenue reached 39.402 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 42% of total revenue, an increase of 11% and 28% compared to the same periods in 2024 and 2023, respectively [2]. - Copper production was 353,600 tons, up 12.68% year-on-year, with copper mining revenue at 25.718 billion yuan, representing 65% of mining revenue [2]. - Cobalt production reached 61,100 tons, with mining revenue of 5.728 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.94% [2]. Management Changes and Strategy - In April, the company underwent a significant management overhaul, establishing a new team focused on internationalization and professionalism [3]. - The new management aims to transform the company into a platform-type mining company, with plans for acquisitions and mergers [3][4]. - In June, the company acquired Lumina Gold for 581 million Canadian dollars (approximately 307.6 million yuan), securing the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, which contains 359 tons of gold [3]. Future Development Plans - The company plans to diversify its product offerings, focusing on copper and gold while expanding into molybdenum and tungsten [4]. - It aims to explore opportunities in various countries, particularly in Africa and South America, to create synergies [4]. - The strategy includes both expanding existing projects and considering green projects for future development [4].
在非洲挖矿,首先要解决电力问题
经济观察报· 2025-08-27 12:30
Core Viewpoint - The rapid increase in mining capacity in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has led to significant energy demands that the local power grid cannot meet, resulting in challenges for mining operations [1][4][5]. Group 1: Mining Capacity and Energy Demand - Since 2021, local mining companies in DRC have increased production capacity from 1 million tons to over 3 million tons, but the energy supply remains inadequate [1][4]. - The copper and cobalt mining processes are highly energy-intensive, with electricity consumption accounting for 60%-70% of the production process [4]. - The DRC's hydropower capacity increased from 2,700 MW to approximately 3,200 MW between 2021 and 2023, with annual generation rising from about 12 TWh to between 14 TWh and 16 TWh [4]. Group 2: Challenges in Power Supply - Mining companies face significant challenges due to limited access to hydropower, leading to reliance on expensive diesel generators and solar storage systems [6][8]. - The average annual diesel procurement cost for mining companies is around $2 million, with power supply interruptions occurring more than once a day [8][9]. - The cost of electricity for mineral development accounts for 20%-30% of total operating costs, with metal mining (copper, aluminum, lead) electricity costs comprising 15%-25% [9]. Group 3: Equipment and Operational Adjustments - KFM has implemented a strategy to procure diesel generators and optimize equipment selection to mitigate the impact of power outages [13][14]. - The company has purchased 13 diesel generators to ensure production continuity during power interruptions, despite the cost being 2-3 times higher than normal electricity [13]. - KFM has also modified equipment to improve operational efficiency, such as enhancing the cooling systems of diesel generators to achieve a 40% increase in performance [18]. Group 4: Future Power Solutions - To address long-term power supply issues, the company is constructing a 200 MW hydropower station, expected to begin operations in 2028 [21][22]. - The company is also exploring larger hydropower projects to meet future production demands of 800,000 to 1 million tons [22].
在非洲挖矿,首先要解决电力问题
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-08-27 08:54
Core Insights - The local power supply in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is insufficient to meet the growing energy demands of the mining industry, leading to frequent power outages and limitations on production [2][4][5] - The KFM copper-cobalt mine, operated by Luoyang Molybdenum, has a production capacity of over 650,000 tons of copper annually and is exploring alternative power sources to ensure stable operations [2][8] - The DRC-Zambia copper-cobalt belt is the largest sedimentary copper-cobalt mineralization area globally, with significant reserves of copper and cobalt [2] Power Supply Challenges - Since 2021, local mining capacity has surged from 1 million tons to over 3 million tons, but the power grid cannot support this demand [3] - The copper and cobalt extraction processes are highly energy-intensive, with electricity consumption accounting for 60%-70% of the production process [3][7] - The DRC's electricity generation heavily relies on hydropower, with installed capacity increasing from 2,700 MW in 2021 to approximately 3,200 MW in 2023 [3] Mining Operations and Costs - Mining companies are facing challenges due to the inability to secure hydropower, leading to reliance on costly diesel generators and solar storage systems [5][10] - The cost of electricity for mineral development accounts for 20%-30% of total operating costs, with metal mining electricity costs ranging from 15%-25% [7] - Luoyang Molybdenum's KFM mine reported a revenue of approximately 31.4 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a projected annual revenue of 50.6 billion yuan for 2024 [8] Equipment and Maintenance - KFM has implemented a strategy to optimize equipment selection and develop production plans based on varying power loads to mitigate the impact of power outages [11][12] - The mine has procured 13 diesel generators to ensure power supply during outages, with diesel generation costs being 2-3 times higher than normal electricity costs [10] - Equipment management includes maintaining a safety stock of critical components and utilizing local production capabilities to reduce operational costs [16] Talent and Training - There is a significant shortage of skilled personnel for operating electrical equipment in the DRC, necessitating the import of both equipment and expertise [17][18] - Luoyang Molybdenum is investing in local talent development through training programs led by Chinese technical staff [18] Future Developments - To address long-term power supply issues, Luoyang Molybdenum is constructing a 200 MW hydropower station near the mining area, expected to begin operations in 2028 [18]
洛阳钼业跌2.82%,成交额28.60亿元,近5日主力净流入4419.55万
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 08:52
Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., is a significant player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on various metals including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, with a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer [2] - The company is also the second-largest producer of phosphate fertilizer in Brazil, holding 100% indirect rights to the CIL phosphate mine, covering the entire phosphate industry chain [2] Production and Financial Performance - The company has seen a significant increase in gold production, with a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 56% to 69% [2] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 94.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% [7] Market Activity - On August 27, the company's stock fell by 2.82%, with a trading volume of 2.86 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 250.53 billion yuan [1] - The stock has experienced a net outflow of 348 million yuan from main funds, indicating a reduction in investment interest [3][4] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 15.95%, with the average circulating shares per person remaining at zero [6] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with some increasing their holdings [7]
洛阳钼业(603993):Q2业绩高增 铜、钴实现超产
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 02:37
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue but significant growth in net profit and non-recurring net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating strong operational efficiency and cost management despite challenging market conditions [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.671 billion yuan, up 60.07% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 8.724 billion yuan, an increase of 55.08% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, revenue was 48.767 billion yuan, down 13.99% year-on-year but up 6.00% quarter-on-quarter [1] Production and Pricing - The company saw production increases in copper and cobalt, with copper production at 353,600 tons and cobalt at 61,100 tons for the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 12.68% and 13.05% respectively [2] - The average spot price for copper in Q2 2025 was 78,000 yuan per ton, down 2.1% year-on-year, while the average spot price for cobalt was 238,800 yuan per ton, up 8.3% year-on-year [2] Cost Management and Profitability - The unit costs for copper and cobalt were 37,000 yuan per ton and 47,300 yuan per ton respectively, with year-on-year increases of 20.80% for copper and a decrease of 4.00% for cobalt [2] - The gross margin for copper and cobalt businesses was 53.63% and 61.83% respectively, with year-on-year increases of 1.27 percentage points and 19.65 percentage points [2] Strategic Expansion - The company completed the acquisition of Lumina Gold, which owns 100% of the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, with a gold resource of 638 tons and an expected mine life of 26 years, positioning gold as a potential second growth driver [3] Financial Ratios - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 21.15%, an increase of 2.77 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The net profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 10.39%, up 4.23 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company's debt ratio was 50.15%, a decrease of 9.01 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a strong balance sheet [4] - The return on equity (ROE) was 11.75%, an increase of 3.01 percentage points year-on-year [4] Investment Outlook - Given the production increases in copper and cobalt, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]