Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price indicating a potential return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in Q1-Q3 2025, with total revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 5.99%, and a total profit of 24.068 billion yuan, an increase of 43.87%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14.280 billion yuan, up 72.61% year-over-year, surpassing the total for the previous year [1]. - The copper production significantly exceeded expectations, with a total output of 543,400 tons in the first three quarters, a year-over-year increase of 14.14%, achieving 86.25% of the production guidance. The sales volume for copper was 520,300 tons, up 10.56% year-over-year [2]. - The company is optimistic about the long-term price and volume growth of copper, gold, and cobalt, with an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 19.5 billion, 25.3 billion, and 28.9 billion yuan respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 1454.85 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, with a net profit of 142.80 billion yuan, marking a historical high for the same period [1]. Production - Copper production reached 543,400 tons, a 14.14% increase year-over-year, with Q3 production at 189,800 tons, up 16.98% [2]. - Cobalt production was 88,000 tons, a 3.84% increase year-over-year, but sales were impacted by export bans, resulting in a 36.08% decrease in sales volume [2]. Cost and Profitability - The total operating cost decreased by 12.35% year-over-year, leading to an increase in gross margins for copper and cobalt, with copper gross margin at 54.07% and cobalt at 63.46% [3]. Expenses - The company managed to reduce its period expense ratio significantly, with financial expenses dropping by 93.87% year-over-year due to reduced borrowing [4]. Financial Forecast - The company expects revenue growth rates of 7.68%, 14.37%, and 7.76% for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, with net profit growth rates of 35.98%, 64.03%, and 44.25% for the same years [5][12].

Group 1 - The article highlights a general decline in gold stocks, with Lingbao Gold falling over 6%, Chifeng Gold down more than 5%, and Shandong Gold decreasing over 3% [1] - There is also a notable drop in non-ferrous metal stocks, including Ganfeng Lithium down nearly 6%, Luoyang Molybdenum down over 5%, and Tianqi Lithium down over 4% [1] - Other sectors such as computing hardware, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, and new energy concept stocks also experienced significant declines [1] Group 2 - In contrast, bank stocks showed resilience, with China Everbright Bank rising over 3%, and other banks like Minsheng Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Chongqing Bank also closing higher [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a decline of 3.91% in stock price on November 4, with a trading volume of 3.279 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 336.532 billion yuan [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, primarily selling cobalt products such as cobalt hydroxide in international markets [3]. - The company operates in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the extraction, smelting, and deep processing of metals including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus [3]. - It ranks among the top five molybdenum producers and is the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer globally [3]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [9]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [10]. Production and Growth Prospects - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, which produced 16,000 ounces of gold in 2022, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [4]. - In 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (Keg House Gold Mine) and is advancing development with plans to commence production by 2029 [4]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, up by 28.08% from the previous period [9]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 634 million yuan from major investors today, with a total net outflow of 5.140 billion yuan over the past three days [5][6].

Core Insights - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has successfully positioned itself as a global mining giant, becoming the world's largest cobalt producer in 2023 and entering the top ten copper producers in 2024 [3][12][15] - The company's net profit for the first three quarters of this year reached 14.28 billion yuan, marking a fivefold increase compared to the entire year of 2020 [5][16] - Luoyang Molybdenum's market capitalization ranks 12th globally among mining companies and 2nd in China [6] Company Performance - The company has seen continuous growth in operating performance, with net profit increasing from 2.3 billion yuan in 2020 to an expected 13.5 billion yuan in 2024 [16] - Copper production increased from approximately 210,000 tons in 2020 to 420,000 tons in 2023, while cobalt production rose from 15,400 tons to 55,500 tons in the same period [12][16] - The company has achieved a 14% increase in copper production in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 540,000 tons [15] Strategic Development - The successful development of the TFM and KFM mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo has been pivotal for the company's growth, attributed to strategic acquisitions made during the 13th Five-Year Plan [10][11] - The company plans to invest up to 1.084 billion USD in the KFM Phase II project to enhance its mining and processing capabilities [27] - Luoyang Molybdenum aims to reach a copper production capacity of 800,000 to 1,000,000 tons by 2028 [27] Market Dynamics - The copper market has been in a bullish phase since 2021, with prices rising from 7,750 USD per ton at the end of 2020 to a peak of 11,000 USD per ton [16] - The company has faced geopolitical risks, including disputes over mining rights and export restrictions in the DRC, but has managed to navigate these challenges effectively [17][21] Community Engagement - Luoyang Molybdenum has invested 184 million USD in community development projects since the operation of the TFM mine, focusing on education, healthcare, and infrastructure [25] - The company has received certification from The Copper Mark, indicating compliance with various social and environmental standards [25] Global Strategy - The company is enhancing its operational efficiency and risk management through global collaborations, leveraging partnerships with international suppliers to improve service delivery [23][34] - Luoyang Molybdenum's approach reflects a shift from resource acquisition to ecological integration, emphasizing sustainable practices and community development [33][35]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 150.74% but a recent decline of 4.24% over the past five trading days [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2] - The company's main business revenue composition includes: refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders reached 304,200, an increase of 28.08% from the previous period [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved operating revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [2] - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholding Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the fourth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 669.5 million shares, an increase of 47.472 million shares from the previous period [3] - The top five circulating shareholders include various ETFs, with notable changes in holdings, such as a decrease of 3.6543 million shares for Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and a new entry of E Fund CSI 300 ETF holding 86.4742 million shares [3]

Group 1 - Tungsten is experiencing a significant price increase, with prices doubling compared to the beginning of the year, including black tungsten concentrate rising by 101.4% to 143,000 CNY/ton [1] - The supply side is tightening due to reduced mining quotas and slower production rates, while domestic demand remains stable, primarily driven by essential purchases [1] - Major companies are managing cost pressures through diversified strategies, effectively transmitting costs without being passively affected [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce's announcement regarding the export conditions for tungsten, antimony, and silver indicates a positive signal for antimony exports, with expectations for a rebound in prices [2] - The rapid price increase of tungsten in the third quarter has enhanced the pricing power of downstream industries, leading to significant earnings growth for integrated companies [2] Group 3 - Jiaxin International Resources focuses on the Bakuta tungsten mine project in Kazakhstan, with expectations for profit growth due to rising tungsten prices [3] - Luoyang Molybdenum's production guidance for 2025 indicates an expected tungsten metal output of 6,500 to 7,500 tons [3]

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 洛陽欒川鉬業集團股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03993 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份 ...

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector stocks experienced a decline in early trading, with Northern Rare Earth and Luoyang Molybdenum falling over 5%, and Zijin Mining and Huayou Cobalt dropping over 4% [1] - The related ETFs for non-ferrous metals dropped nearly 4% due to adjustments in heavy-weight stocks [1] - Specific ETF performance includes: Non-ferrous Metal ETF at 1.701 (-3.95%), Non-ferrous 60 ETF at 1.629 (-3.89%), and Non-ferrous Leaders ETF at 0.872 (-3.75%) [2] Group 2 - Brokerages indicate that the non-ferrous metal sector will face high market volatility risks in 2025, influenced by uncertainties from both demand and supply sides [2] - Emerging demand in the downstream structure of copper and aluminum has shifted from quantitative to qualitative changes, which is expected to support a long-term upward adjustment in the price center of non-ferrous metals [2]

Core Points - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a 5.16% decline in stock price, trading at 16.16 CNY per share with a total market capitalization of 345.73 billion CNY as of November 3 [1] - The company, established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012, primarily engages in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [1] Fund Holdings - Zhonggeng Fund holds a significant position in Luoyang Molybdenum, with its "Zhonggeng Value Dynamic Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund" (007497) owning 3.924 million shares, accounting for 5.47% of the fund's net value, making it the fourth-largest holding [2] - The fund has reported a year-to-date return of 36.98% and a one-year return of 31.58%, ranking 2188 out of 8223 and 2610 out of 8115 respectively [2] - The fund manager, Wu Chenggen, has been in position for 5 years and 155 days, with the fund's total assets amounting to 1.127 billion CNY and a best return of 130.96% during his tenure [2]

Core Insights - The foreign public funds have achieved significant excess returns due to proactive industry positioning and stable investment strategies, with some funds reporting returns exceeding 50% year-to-date [1][2] Group 1: Fund Performance - BlackRock Advanced Manufacturing Fund has a year-to-date return of 66.44%, with a heavy concentration in the manufacturing sector, accounting for 92.52% of its stock investments [2] - The top ten holdings of the BlackRock fund include companies like CATL and Hikvision, with notable stock price increases such as 176.76% for Zhongji Xuchuang [2] - The Robeco Resource Select Fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 79.00%, diversifying its investments across materials, mining, and energy sectors [2] Group 2: Market Outlook - Fund managers maintain a positive outlook for the fourth quarter, expecting low interest rates and ample liquidity to support the A-share market's medium to long-term performance [1][3] - Concerns about geopolitical factors and overseas policy rhythms may cause short-term disruptions, but the overall sentiment remains optimistic for quality technology and resource assets [3][5] - The managers of the BlackRock fund believe that the current low-growth macro environment will anchor a low-interest-rate scenario, pushing investors towards riskier assets with positive cash flows [4] Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - The funds have maintained relatively high positions while making flexible adjustments based on market changes, focusing on sectors like electronics and power equipment [3] - The Allianz China Select Fund has a year-to-date return of 54.48%, with significant holdings in manufacturing and healthcare, reflecting confidence in China's technological innovation [3] - The Robeco fund has strategically included upstream industries related to the current technology innovation cycle, aiming for future gains [5][6]