股价走势图 有色金属/工业金属 金诚信（603979.SH） 2025 年 08 月 27 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/8/27 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 59.77 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 62.00/31.20 | | 总市值(亿元) | 372.83 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 372.83 | | 总股本(亿股) | 6.24 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 6.24 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 69.52 | 数据来源：聚源 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 金诚信 沪深300 相关研究报告 《矿服资源协同作战，铜矿业务快速 成长—公司首次覆盖报告》-2025.6.26 孙二春（分析师） 冯伟珉（联系人） sunerchun@kysec.cn fengweimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070040 金诚信发布 2025 年半年度报告，归母净利同比增长 81.29% 公司发布 2025 年半年度报告，2025H1 实现营业收入 ...

2025年上半年，公司主营业务收入主要来自子公司塔中矿业有限公司。塔中矿业有限公司生产系统运行 平稳高效，通过持续优化生产组织和工艺流程，主要金属产品产量实现全面增长。其中，铅金属量2.92 万吨，同比增长44.53%；锌金属量2.84万吨，同比增长25.15%；铜金属量737.82吨，同比增长29.90%； 银金属量46.80吨，同比增长40.08%。在产能建设方面，塔中矿业有限公司重点推进的选矿厂抛废项 目、600万吨/年技改项目和低品位矿石选精项目均取得积极进展。其中，选矿厂技改项目主体工程预计 年内完成，将有效提升公司选矿处理能力；低品位矿石选精项目的重启进一步拓展了资源利用空间。这 些重点项目的顺利实施，为公司未来产能释放和可持续发展奠定了坚实基础。 此外，公司备受市场关注的阿根廷盐湖项目顺利完成前期合规手续办理和基础设施建设方案优化。公司 表示，项目严格执行进度和资金管控，通过技术创新和精细化管理实现运营成本显著下降。下半年将重 点推进盐湖提锂主体工程建设，进一步加强成本管控。(CIS) 8月25日晚间，西藏珠峰（600338）发布2025年半年度报告，公司上半年实现营业收入11.23亿元，同比 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The Shanghai copper futures price fluctuated downward and returned to the previous trading range. The monthly spread on the futures market widened, and the tightness in the spot market remained unchanged. The domestic social inventory decreased by 0.47 thousand tons compared to Monday. With the reduction in domestic smelting production and imports, the domestic copper supply decreased. However, the current off - season for downstream demand and the strengthening of the spot - futures price spread suppressed demand. Under the short - term situation of weak supply and demand, the social inventory is expected to continue to decline slightly [6]. - The LME copper inventory dropped to 117 thousand tons, with a cancelled warrant ratio of 58.3%. The LME inventory is expected to continue to decline. The high back structure of LME0 - 3 will keep the domestic import window closed and the export window open. Both Shanghai and LME copper face the risk of low inventory [6]. - The Kamoa copper mine lowered its 2025 annual production guidance by 150 thousand tons. Given the current tight supply of copper ore, the reduction in large - mine production will make the global copper ore market more tense in the second half of the year, and the tightness at the raw material end is expected to be transmitted to the smelting end, leading to production cuts by smelters. Fundamentals are still favorable for copper prices [6]. - The US CPI in May was lower than expected, opening up the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September. However, the tense situation in the Middle East and the progress of Sino - US negotiations have increased market caution. In the short term, copper prices will continue to fluctuate under the influence of sentiment [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The Shanghai copper market showed a downward trend, with the monthly spread widening. The domestic social inventory decreased, and the spot premium remained flat. The supply decreased due to smelting cuts and reduced imports, while demand was suppressed by the off - season and the strong spot - futures spread. The LME inventory is decreasing, and the high back structure affects import and export windows. The reduction in Kamoa copper mine's production guidance will tighten the copper ore market, and the fundamentals support copper prices, but market sentiment causes short - term fluctuations [6]. 3.2. Industry News - Cobalt Blue completed the feasibility study of its Halls Creek project in Western Australia, with a phased development plan for copper and zinc production. The Onedin deposit will be mined through open - pit methods and processed to produce copper, while zinc will be recovered as monohydrate zinc acid. The Sandiego deposit will be mined underground to produce copper and zinc concentrates. The project will use a photovoltaic solar grid with battery energy storage for power supply [9]. - Ivanhoe's Kakula mine in the Kamoa - Kakula copper complex in Congo resumed operations in its western area on June 7 after flood control measures, and the eastern area's mining is expected to start soon [9][10]. - On June 11, the government of Guixi City held a project promotion meeting, inspecting multiple copper - related projects such as the regeneration copper - based new material industrial park, copper production and recycling projects, and semiconductor and electronic material projects, and coordinating to solve project - related problems [10].

Core Viewpoint - The company is preparing for its 2024 Annual General Meeting (AGM), focusing on various proposals including financial reports, profit distribution, and the appointment of auditors, while emphasizing its commitment to corporate governance and shareholder rights [4][8][28]. Meeting Agenda - The AGM will cover several key proposals including the review of the 2024 Board of Directors' work report, Supervisory Board's work report, financial settlement report, profit distribution plan, and the appointment of the auditing firm for 2025 [4][5][8]. - Voting will be conducted through a combination of on-site and online methods, with specific time slots allocated for each [6][7]. Company Performance - The company reported a significant increase in net profit, achieving a growth rate of 34.37%, with the main business revenue contributing 70.78% to total income [17]. - The mining service segment maintained stable performance, generating revenue of approximately 654.38 million yuan, while the resource development segment saw a remarkable revenue increase of 412.85% [17][18]. Strategic Developments - The company has expanded its resource projects to five across four countries, indicating a robust global layout and a dual-driven strategy [18][19]. - The acquisition of Lubambe Copper Mine is expected to enhance the company's resource reserves and production capacity, leveraging its expertise in mining services [19][20]. Future Plans - For 2025, the company aims to achieve specific production targets, including 7.94 million tons of copper and 30 million tons of phosphate rock [22][23]. - The company plans to enhance its international market presence and continue developing high-value projects while maintaining a focus on domestic key clients [24][25]. Governance and Compliance - The company emphasizes adherence to legal regulations and corporate governance standards, ensuring the protection of shareholder interests and the execution of AGM resolutions [27][28]. - The board of directors is committed to optimizing governance mechanisms and enhancing decision-making processes to support sustainable growth [27].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 9.94 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.584 billion yuan, up 53.59% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.811 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.49% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.41%, with a net profit of 422 million yuan, up 54.10% year-on-year but down 14.01% quarter-on-quarter [1] Resource Business - The resource development segment has fully launched as a new growth engine, with five resource projects established across four countries by the end of 2024, including four operational projects [2] - The company is progressing with the production operations at the Two Chas River phosphate mine and Dikulushi mine, while the Lonshi copper mine's west area is expected to reach full production capacity by Q4 2024 [2] - A feasibility study for the Lonshi copper mine's east area has been completed, with a planned investment of 750 million USD for construction, expected to take 4.5 years, aiming for an annual production of approximately 100,000 tons of copper metal [2] - In 2024, the company produced 48,700 tons of copper metal and sold 49,200 tons, alongside producing 356,500 tons of phosphate rock and selling 361,100 tons [2] - For 2025, the company plans to produce 79,400 tons of copper metal (equivalent) and sell 78,900 tons, while aiming to produce and sell 300,000 tons of phosphate rock [2] Mining Services Business - The mining services segment continues to develop steadily, with new and renewed contract amounts reaching approximately 11.5 billion yuan in 2024 [3] - The company focuses on "large projects, large clients, and large owners" as its market development strategy, successfully renewing contracts for the Plang copper mine and the Kamoa-Kakula copper mine [3] - The company has achieved a smooth transition from infrastructure to production in its first EPC general contracting project [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 3.39, 3.91, and 4.61 yuan for 2025-2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 10, and 8 respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth for 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by the resource development segment, while the mining services segment faced challenges [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.942 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.584 billion, up 53.59% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.810 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42.49%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.41%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 422 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 54.10% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 14.01% [1]. Resource Development Segment - The resource development segment saw a significant increase in revenue, with sales reaching 3.21 billion in 2024, a staggering growth of 412.85%, accounting for 32% of total revenue. In Q1 2025, this segment's revenue share rose to 46% [2]. - The gross profit from the resource development segment was 1.36 billion in 2024, representing 43% of the company's total gross profit, which increased to 62% in Q1 2025 [2]. - The company produced 48,700 tons of copper and 357,000 tons of phosphate rock in 2024, with plans to increase copper production to 79,400 tons and phosphate rock to 300,000 tons in 2025 [2]. Mining Services Segment - The mining services segment faced pressure, completing 93.4% of its production target with revenues of 6.54 billion in 2024, remaining flat year-on-year. This trend continued into Q1 2025, where gross profit dropped by 14.61% to 350 million [2][3]. - The company completed a total mining volume of 41.49 million tons and a total excavation volume of 4.1717 million cubic meters in 2024, slightly below targets [2]. Profit Drivers and Challenges - The increase in net profit for 2024 was primarily driven by gross profit growth from the resource segment, while rising costs from taxes and financial expenses posed challenges [3]. - In Q1 2025, the growth in net profit was attributed to gross profit increases, particularly from the mining resource development segment, which saw a year-on-year revenue increase of 232.7% and gross profit growth of 247.26% [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from both the mining services and resource segments, with ongoing expansion in high-margin overseas operations and resource volume growth anticipated [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a total operating revenue of 9.942 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.584 billion yuan, up 53.59% year-on-year [1]. - The mining resource segment significantly contributed to the performance increase, with revenue reaching 3.21 billion yuan in 2024, a staggering 412.9% increase year-on-year [2]. - The Lonshi copper mine reached full production ahead of schedule, producing 48,700 tons of copper metal in 2024, with plans to increase production to 79,400 tons in 2025, a 63% increase compared to 2024 [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported total revenue of 2.972 billion yuan, a 42.35% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 491 million yuan, up 52.77% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 2.811 billion yuan, a 42.49% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 422 million yuan, up 54.10% year-on-year [1]. Mining Resource Segment - The mining resource business generated 3.21 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, with a gross profit margin of 42.25%, down 6.12 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2025, the mining resource segment generated 1.3 billion yuan in revenue, a 232.7% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit of 588 million yuan, up 247.3% year-on-year [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects net profits of 2.251 billion yuan and 2.812 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a 3% and 12% upward revision [4]. - The expected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025-2027 are 10.4X, 8.3X, and 7.0X, respectively [4].