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有色金属大宗金属周报:反内卷行情扩散,商品价格普涨-20250720
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-07-20 14:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5][10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a "反内卷" (anti-involution) trend leading to a general increase in commodity prices, with specific catalysts such as policy expectations driving price movements in copper, aluminum, lithium, and cobalt [4][6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Important macroeconomic information includes the U.S. June core CPI being below expectations at 2.9%, and retail sales showing a month-on-month increase of 0.6% [10]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is set to release a growth stabilization plan for key industries including steel, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemicals [10]. 2. Industrial Metals 2.1 Copper - Copper prices are expected to rebound due to policy expectations, with LME copper prices increasing by 0.83% and SHFE copper prices slightly decreasing by 0.03% [6][25]. - Inventory levels have risen, with LME copper stocks increasing by 12.37% [22][25]. - Downstream demand is recovering, with copper rod operating rates at 74.2%, up by 7.2 percentage points [6]. 2.2 Aluminum - Aluminum prices are also expected to rise, with alumina prices increasing by 0.16% to 3165 CNY/ton [6][36]. - SHFE aluminum prices fell by 1.01% to 20500 CNY/ton, but are projected to recover due to strong policy support [6][36]. 2.3 Lead and Zinc - LME lead prices decreased by 1.38%, while SHFE lead prices fell by 1.70% [46]. - LME zinc prices increased by 1.24%, but SHFE zinc prices dropped by 0.45% [46]. 2.4 Tin and Nickel - LME tin prices fell by 0.73%, and SHFE tin prices decreased by 0.65% [60]. - LME nickel prices decreased by 0.33%, while SHFE nickel prices fell by 0.78% [60]. 3. Energy Metals 3.1 Lithium - Lithium prices are on the rise, with lithium carbonate increasing by 4.55% to 66650 CNY/ton, and lithium spodumene rising by 5.49% to 711 USD/ton [75]. - Supply issues are noted, with a slight increase in production but ongoing inventory accumulation [75]. 3.2 Cobalt - Cobalt prices are under pressure, with domestic cobalt prices down by 1.22% to 243000 CNY/ton [88]. - The Democratic Republic of Congo has extended its cobalt export ban by three months, which may lead to a price rebound in Q4 [88].
洛阳钼业收盘上涨1.48%,滚动市盈率11.40倍,总市值1756.47亿元
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-18 10:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and valuation of Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. in the small metals industry, indicating a relatively low PE ratio compared to the industry average [1][2] - As of July 18, Luoyang Molybdenum's closing price was 8.21 yuan, with a PE ratio of 11.40 and a total market capitalization of 175.65 billion yuan [1] - The company ranks 5th in the small metals industry, which has an average PE ratio of 63.07 and a median of 53.34 [1][2] Group 2 - The latest financial report for Q1 2025 shows that Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.25% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 90.47% to 3.946 billion yuan [1] - The gross profit margin for the company stands at 22.33% [1] - A total of 70 institutions hold shares in Luoyang Molybdenum, with a combined holding of 139.7292 million shares valued at 1.177 billion yuan [1]
【港股收评】三大指数齐涨!SaaS概念、稳定币概念表现活跃
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 09:15
Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market indices collectively rebounded, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.33%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 1.51%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index gaining 1.65% [1] - The SaaS sector saw significant gains, with companies like Huilyang Technology rising by 15.56%, Yika by 10.11%, and Kingdee International by 7.27% [1] - The stablecoin concept also surged, highlighted by Yaocai Securities rising by 16.93% and Huajian Medical increasing by 20.41% following the U.S. House of Representatives passing a bill to establish a legal framework for stablecoins [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Gold and non-ferrous metal stocks experienced a broad increase, with Lingbao Gold rising by 6.24% and China Molybdenum by 3.96% as spot gold prices rose above $3340 per ounce [2] - Major financial sectors, including Chinese brokerage and insurance stocks, also saw gains, with Xingsheng International up by 7.41% and China Life by 5.13% [2] Group 3: Automotive and Related Sectors - The automotive sector, including lithium battery and Tesla-related stocks, showed strong performance, with Tianqi Lithium rising by 5.82% and NIO increasing by 4.62% [3] - Other consumer sectors such as film, tobacco, and food stocks also performed well, with companies like Simoer International rising by 4.99% [3] Group 4: Declining Sectors - Sectors such as cosmetics, aviation, and luxury goods saw declines, with China Eastern Airlines dropping by 2.72% [3] - Notably, Chuangmeng Tiandi experienced a significant drop of 30.12%, despite expectations of turning a profit in the first half of the year [3]
洛阳钼业(603993):铜钴延续量价齐增,收购金矿资源升级
Huaan Securities· 2025-07-18 02:37
Investment Rating - Investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.2 to 9.1 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.37% to 67.98% [6] - In the first half of 2025, copper production is projected to be 353,600 tons, up 12.68% year-on-year, and cobalt production is expected to be 61,100 tons, up 13.05% year-on-year [7] - The company completed the acquisition of Lumina Gold in June 2025, gaining 100% ownership of the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, which has a resource reserve of 1.376 billion tons and a gold content of 638 tons [8] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16.217 billion, 18.093 billion, and 18.759 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.67, 9.57, and 9.23 [9] Financial Summary - The company anticipates a revenue of 213.029 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4%, and projected revenues of 223.839 billion, 232.065 billion, and 240.274 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 16.5% in 2024, increasing to 17.0% by 2026 and remaining stable in 2027 [11] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 19.1% in 2024, peaking at 20.2% in 2025, and then declining to 18.3% by 2027 [11]
港股有色金属股震荡上升,金力永磁(06680.HK)、天齐锂业(009696.HK)涨超6%,灵宝黄金(03330.HK)涨超5%,赣锋锂业(01772.HK)、洛阳钼业(03993.HK)均涨超4%,紫金矿业(02899.HK)涨超3.5%。
news flash· 2025-07-18 02:24
港股有色金属股震荡上升,金力永磁(06680.HK)、天齐锂业(009696.HK)涨超6%,灵宝黄金(03330.HK) 涨超5%,赣锋锂业(01772.HK)、洛阳钼业(03993.HK)均涨超4%,紫金矿业(02899.HK)涨超3.5%。 ...
越买越涨?矿业巨头们业绩刷爆,股价却很冷静,洛阳钼业称“将适时展开新并购”
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-07-18 02:22
Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of leading mining companies, Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, is attributed to resource premium realization and capacity structure optimization, despite their stock prices remaining relatively stable after earnings announcements [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 232 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 54% from 151 billion yuan [3][4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum anticipates a net profit between 82 billion and 91 billion yuan for the same period, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 51.37% to 67.98% [3][4]. - Both companies reported significant increases in production volumes for key minerals, with Zijin Mining's copper and gold production rising by 10% and 17% respectively, while Luoyang Molybdenum's copper and cobalt production increased by approximately 12.68% and 13.05% [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Despite strong earnings, the stock prices of Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum have shown limited movement, indicating that market participants may be cautious about potential cyclical peaks in commodity prices [5][6]. - Analysts suggest that the current risk premium for strategic resources like gold and copper is in an upward cycle, which could enhance the overall value of related stocks [6][7]. Group 3: Strategic Actions - Both companies are actively pursuing acquisitions to expand their resource base, with Zijin Mining planning to acquire a large gold mine in Kazakhstan for $1.2 billion and Luoyang Molybdenum completing a deal for a gold mine in Ecuador [8][9]. - Luoyang Molybdenum has expressed intentions to continue exploring operational efficiencies and potential new acquisitions in copper and gold projects [9].
中证内地资源主题指数上涨0.29%,前十大权重包含中国海油等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-17 10:42
Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for domestic resources has shown positive performance, with a recent increase in value and significant year-to-date growth, indicating a favorable market trend for resource-related stocks [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Index for domestic resources rose by 0.29% to 3511.13 points, with a trading volume of 35.435 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 1.37%, by 5.59% over the last three months, and by 5.12% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten holdings in the China Securities Index for domestic resources are: Zijin Mining (15.56%), China Shenhua (6.62%), China Petroleum (5.46%), China Petrochemical (4.52%), Northern Rare Earth (4.1%), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical (3.98%), China National Offshore Oil (3.32%), Luoyang Molybdenum (3.07%), China Aluminum (3.06%), and Shandong Gold (2.99%) [1]. - The index is primarily composed of the materials sector (68.47%) and the energy sector (31.53%) [2]. Group 3: Market Structure - The Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 78.58% of the index's holdings, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange represents 21.42% [1]. - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2]. Group 4: Related Funds - Public funds tracking the domestic resources index include Minsheng Jianyin China Securities Domestic Resources C and Minsheng Jianyin China Securities Domestic Resources A [3].
中证香港300上游指数报2639.21点,前十大权重包含中煤能源等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-17 09:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the China Hong Kong 300 upstream index has shown positive performance, with a 0.94% increase over the past month, an 18.02% increase over the past three months, and a 12.03% increase year-to-date [1] - The China Hong Kong 300 upstream index is composed of securities selected based on the China Securities Industry Classification, reflecting the overall performance of various thematic securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - The index has a base date of December 31, 2004, with a base point of 1000.0 [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the China Hong Kong 300 upstream index include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (28.76%), PetroChina Company Limited (13.17%), Zijin Mining Group (10.73%), China Shenhua Energy Company (9.47%), Sinopec Limited (9.06%), China Hongqiao Group (4.45%), China Coal Energy Company (3.29%), Zhaojin Mining Industry Company (3.19%), Luoyang Molybdenum Company (2.74%), and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (2.33%) [1] - The index's holdings are entirely composed of securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] Group 3 - In terms of industry composition, the China Hong Kong 300 upstream index has a significant allocation to oil and gas at 51.38%, followed by precious metals at 15.91%, coal at 15.56%, and industrial metals at 14.64% [2] - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments to the index, such as delisting of sample companies or corporate actions like mergers and acquisitions [2]
中证香港300原材料指数报2311.34点,前十大权重包含山东黄金等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-16 07:40
Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Materials Index has shown significant growth, with a 41.40% increase year-to-date, indicating strong performance in the materials sector [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Materials Index reported a value of 2311.34 points, with a 6.83% increase over the past month and a 23.83% increase over the past three months [1]. - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of different industries in the Hong Kong market, classified according to the China Securities industry classification standards [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten holdings in the China Securities Hong Kong 300 Materials Index include Zijin Mining (26.28%), China Hongqiao (10.9%), and Zhaojin Mining (7.98%) among others [1]. - The index is fully composed of stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% representation [1]. Group 3: Industry Breakdown - The industry composition of the index shows that non-ferrous metals account for 78.94%, non-metallic materials for 15.04%, chemicals for 4.62%, and paper and packaging for 1.41% [2]. - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2].
洛阳钼业(603993) - 洛阳钼业关于实施回购股份注销暨股份变动的公告
2025-07-15 09:32
重要内容提示: 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司(以下简称"洛阳钼业" 或"公司")本次将注销回购专用证券账户中的104,930,443股股 份,占注销前公司总股本21,499,240,619股的比例为0.49%。本次 注 销 完 成 后 , 公 司 的 总 股 本 将 由 21,499,240,619 股 变 更 为 21,394,310,176股。 回购股份注销日:2025年7月16日。 股票代码:603993 股票简称:洛阳钼业 编号:2025—041 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 关于实施回购股份注销暨股份变动的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 公司于2022年5月24日召开第六届董事会第四次会议,审议通过 《关于以集中竞价交易方式回购A股股份(第三期)的议案》,同意 公司使用不高于人民币5亿元的自有资金,以不高于人民币7.25元/ 股的价格回购A股股份。截止2022年6月8日,公司已完成此次股份回 购,公司通过集中竞价交易方式回购股份104,930,443股,成交总金 额为499,934,733元(不 ...