智通财经APP获悉，思科(CSCO.US)周四成为市场关注焦点。尽管这家网络设备巨头公布的业绩与指引 被部分华尔街人士评价为"稳健"，内存成本大幅上行引发投资者对毛利率的担忧，思科股价盘初跌超 10%。 美国银行分析师Tal Liani指出，思科第四财季的市场预期"偏保守"。公司给出的第三财季收入指引同比 增长9.5%，明显高于市场预期的7.3%。不过，他同时表示，更强劲的硬件增长、更高的云业务占比， 以及内存价格同比暴涨约400%，正在侵蚀公司毛利率。 Liani在报告中称，产品提价有望对冲部分成本压力。近期园区交换机与计算相关产品价格已上调约 3%，在年初至今内存价格持续走高的背景下，进一步提价的可能性仍然存在。管理层预计，毛利率压 力在短期内仍将持续，但通过运营效率提升，或可抵消影响，从而维持运营利润率的稳定。Liani维持 对思科的"买入"评级和95美元目标价，并认为公司正同时受益于强劲的硬件周期和网络升级周期。 他补充称，思科在园区网络更新周期中处于有利位置，服务器、Wi-Fi以及工业物联网解决方案有望带 来额外增长。安全业务预计全年仍将偏弱，但SASE、XDR以及升级后的防火墙等新产品需求健康，当 ...

思科股价一度下跌7.4%，创2023年以来最大跌幅。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

Core Viewpoint - Cisco (CSCO.US) experienced a pre-market decline of over 6%, trading at $80.20, following a forecast for a lower adjusted gross margin in Q3, indicating a significant year-over-year decrease [1] Financial Performance - Cisco expects an adjusted gross margin of 65.5% to 66.5% for Q3, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 2.1 to 3.1 percentage points, which is a larger drop compared to the previous quarter [1] - In Q2, Cisco reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 67.5%, down 1.2 percentage points from 68.7% in the same period last year [1] Market Impact - The guidance for lower gross margin and explicit inclusion of tariff impacts based on current trade policies may lead the market to adopt a more cautious pricing framework in the short term, despite strong performance in Q2 [1] - Analysts suggest that Cisco is increasing expenditures to develop new AI products, while the tech industry faces threats from memory chip shortages, contributing to rising costs [1]

Core Viewpoint - Cisco (CSCO.US) experienced a pre-market drop of over 6%, trading at $80.20, following a forecast for a decline in adjusted gross margin for Q3, indicating potential market caution due to lower profitability expectations and tariff impacts [1] Financial Performance - Cisco expects Q3 adjusted gross margin to be between 65.5% and 66.5%, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 2.1 to 3.1 percentage points, which is an increase in the decline compared to the previous quarter [1] - In Q2, Cisco reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 67.5%, down 1.2 percentage points from 68.7% in the same period last year [1] Market Impact - The guidance for lower gross margin ranges and explicit inclusion of tariff impacts in EPS and margin forecasts may lead to a more cautious pricing framework in short-term trading [1] - Cisco is increasing expenditures to develop new AI products, while the tech industry faces threats from memory chip shortages, contributing to rising costs [1]

【时政新闻】 ①美国上周初请失业金人数为22.7万人，前值为23.1万人； 【市场动态】 ①美股三大股指期货盘前齐涨，截至发稿，道指期货涨0.17%，标普500指数期货涨0.23%，纳指期货涨 0.22%； ②欧洲主要股指涨跌不一，截至发稿，英国富时100指数跌0.04%，法国CAC40指数涨0.96%，德国DAX 指数涨1.28%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.76%； 【公司新闻】 ①思科盘前跌近8%。消息面上，思科预计公司第三财季的调整后毛利率为65.5%至66.5%； ②AppLovin盘前跌超7%。消息面上，摩根大通将AppLovin的目标价从650美元下调至500美元； ②商务部：中美通过经贸磋商机制在各层级保持密切沟通； ③美国防部副防长称要推行"北约3.0"； ④特朗普称白宫年度州长会仅拒邀两人； ⑤美众议院否决对加拿大加征关税； ⑥美国会预算办公室：美国财政路径不可持续； (本文来自第一财经) ③诺和诺德盘前涨近1%。诺和诺德将在爱尔兰生产Wegovy减重片剂，供应美国以外市场； ④文远知行盘前涨近3%。消息面上，文远知行与优步（Uber）宣布，正式启动阿布扎比市中心首个 Robotaxi商业运营 ...

Market Movements - US stock index futures are all up, with Dow futures rising by 0.33%, S&P 500 futures up by 0.31%, and Nasdaq futures increasing by 0.29% [1] - European indices also show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up by 1.22%, UK's FTSE 100 up by 0.11%, France's CAC40 up by 0.74%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up by 0.59% [2] Oil Prices - WTI crude oil is down by 0.09%, priced at $64.57 per barrel, while Brent crude oil is down by 0.17%, priced at $69.28 per barrel [3] Economic and Market News - David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates "far more than twice" this year, contrary to market expectations, citing political pressure and upcoming leadership changes at the Fed as catalysts for aggressive rate cuts [4] - John Cito from Apollo Asset Management warns that the software industry is entering a "violent technology cycle," with a significant reset in valuation logic as the market begins to aggressively differentiate between winners and losers [5] - The Federal Reserve is reportedly planning to revoke certain non-public corrective orders issued to banks, signaling a potential easing of regulatory burdens [6] Employment Data - The US non-farm payrolls report for January showed an increase of 130,000 jobs, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 70,000, leading to a delay in rate cut expectations from June to July [7] - Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi cautions against overconfidence in the employment data, suggesting that the labor market remains fragile and susceptible to shocks [7] Company-Specific News - Apple (AAPL.US) faces delays in its AI upgrade plan for Siri, with significant features potentially being rolled out in multiple phases rather than all at once [9] - Sanofi (SNY.US) announced a sudden CEO change, with Paul Hudson stepping down amid disappointing R&D results, leading to a drop in stock price by over 6% [10] - Cisco (CSCO.US) reported a 10% year-over-year revenue increase to $15.3 billion, but stock fell over 7% due to concerns over future profit margins amid rising storage chip costs [11] - Applovin (APP.US) reported a 66% revenue increase in Q4, with net profit soaring by 84%, indicating strong performance in the AI and digital advertising space [12] - McDonald's (MCD.US) achieved its fastest revenue growth in over two years, with Q4 sales reaching $7 billion, driven by value meal offerings [13] - Confluent (CFLT.US) exceeded expectations in Q4, with revenue rising by 21% to $314.8 million, marking a strong performance before its acquisition by IBM [14] - Albemarle (ALB.US) reported a Q4 revenue of $1.43 billion but faced a net loss of $455.9 million, leading to a drop in stock price by over 2% [15] - Unilever (UL.US) reported Q4 sales of €12.6 billion, slightly down year-over-year, but expects stable growth in 2026, supported by a €1.5 billion share buyback plan [16]

Market Movements - US stock index futures are all up, with Dow futures rising by 0.33%, S&P 500 futures up by 0.31%, and Nasdaq futures increasing by 0.29% [1] - European indices also show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up by 1.22%, UK's FTSE 100 up by 0.11%, France's CAC40 up by 0.74%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up by 0.59% [2] Oil Prices - WTI crude oil is down by 0.09%, priced at $64.57 per barrel, while Brent crude oil is down by 0.17%, priced at $69.28 per barrel [3] Economic and Market News - David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates "far more than two times" this year, contrary to market expectations, citing political pressure and upcoming leadership changes at the Fed as catalysts for aggressive rate cuts [4] - Apollo Global Management warns that the software industry is entering an "extremely violent technology cycle," with a significant reset in valuation logic, emphasizing the need for humility in understanding future market dynamics [5] - The Federal Reserve is signaling a reduction in regulatory burdens for banks, planning to revoke certain non-public corrective orders that were previously issued to improve operations [6] Employment Data - The US non-farm payrolls report for January shows an increase of 130,000 jobs, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 70,000, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3% [7] - Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi cautions against overconfidence in the employment data, suggesting that the labor market remains fragile and could easily face shocks [7] Company-Specific News - Apple faces delays in its AI upgrade for Siri, with significant features being split into multiple releases due to testing setbacks [9] - Sanofi announces a leadership change, with CEO Paul Hudson being replaced by Merck executive Paul Garibaldi, following disappointing R&D results [10] - Cisco's Q2 revenue increased by 10% to $15.3 billion, but the stock fell over 7% due to concerns about future profit margins amid rising storage chip costs [11] - Applovin reports a 66% increase in Q4 revenue to $1.66 billion, with net profit soaring by 84%, indicating strong performance in the AI and digital advertising space [12] - McDonald's sees a 9.5% increase in Q4 revenue, driven by value meal offerings, marking the fastest growth in over two years [13] - Confluent's Q4 revenue reaches $314.8 million, with a 21% year-over-year increase, as the company prepares for privatization by IBM [14] - Albemarle reports a Q4 revenue of $1.43 billion but faces a net loss of $455.9 million, leading to a shutdown of key production lines [15] - Unilever's Q4 sales exceed expectations, driven by strong performance in key markets, with a forecast for 2026 sales growth aligning with analyst expectations [16]

专题：聚焦美股2025年第四季度财报 网络设备供应商思科系统（CSCO）周三公布，经调整后的季度毛利率低于市场预期，原因是该公司正 受到全球存储芯片价格上涨的冲击，这导致其股价在周四盘前交易中下跌 7%。 OpenAI、 Alphabet、微软等美国科技企业对人工智能基础设施的快速建设，消耗了全球大量存储芯片 供应。芯片厂商优先为高毛利的数据中心供应组件，而非消费电子设备，从而推高了芯片价格。 该股在 2025 年大涨 30% 后，今年迄今已上涨超 11%，因华尔街押注其数据中心网络产品将从 AI 领域 的强劲支出中显著受益。 思科为运行 AI 应用的数据中心提供关键的高速网络基础设施，包括搭载多种存储芯片的交换机和路由 器。 Direxion 资本市场主管杰克・贝汉表示："本季度思科需求强劲、收入加速增长，这些都是明显利好， 但毛利率受压确实让这份财报打了折扣。思科将积压订单转化为实际收入的速度，将是今年下半年的关 键关注点。" 根据伦敦证券交易所集团（LSEG）数据，这家网络设备制造商第二季度经调整毛利率为67.5%，低于 分析师平均预期的68.14%。 思科首席执行官查克・罗宾斯在与投资者的电话会议中表 ...

每经记者｜宋欣悦 每经编辑｜何小桃 兰素英 ① 【三大期指齐涨】截至发稿，道指期货涨0.25%、标普500指数期货涨0.28%、纳指期货涨0.22%。 ② 【存储概念股盘前上涨，闪迪涨超7%】存储概念股盘前上涨。截至发稿，闪迪涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%，西部数据、希捷科技涨超3%。消息面上， 日本存储巨头铠侠业绩显示，公司2025财年Q3净利润为878.1亿日元，全年利润指引高出预期。 ③ 【中概股普跌】中概股盘前普跌。截至发稿，阿里巴巴跌1.0%，拼多多跌0.3%，百度跌1.2%，京东跌1.6%。 ④ 【大摩：100GW光伏计划或将特斯拉能源业务估值提升多达500亿美元】摩根士丹利在本周发布的一份最新研报中指出，特斯拉规划建设100GW垂直 整合光伏制造产能的计划，可能使其能源业务估值提升多达500亿美元。但该公司需要大力投资才能实现这一目标。 校对|段炼 ⑤ 【季度毛利率低于预期，思科跌近8%】思科盘前跌近8%。消息面上，思科预计，公司第三财季的调整后毛利率为65.5%至66.5%，而分析师此前的平 均预期为68.2%。 ⑥ 【"华尔街之狼"重仓押注Meta约20亿美元】被誉为"华尔街之狼"的比尔·阿克曼 ...

Group 1 - Cisco (CSCO.US) shares fell 7.74% to $78.92 in pre-market trading [1] - In Q2, Cisco's revenue increased by 10% year-over-year, exceeding expectations [1] - Orders for AI infrastructure from large cloud providers accelerated significantly to $2.1 billion [1] Group 2 - The revenue guidance for the current fiscal year has been raised by at least 1% [1] - The revenue guidance for Q3 is above expectations, but the gross margin guidance is expected to decline by over 3 percentage points year-over-year to 65.5% [1]