金饰消费格局正在改变。 "走，去洪湖公园吹吹风吧！"在深圳水贝经营金饰生意多年的谢经理最近有点烦恼，"金价太高了，一 个上午就成交了一单。没事做，跟同行出去走走。" 近日，国际金价重回涨势，金饰价格也水涨船高。与此同时，自11月1日实施的黄金税收新政，对非投 资性黄金的税收抵扣规则进行了调整，直接影响了深圳水贝市场的黄金交易，导致价格出现调整。目 前，深圳水贝市场商家给客户的报价都已经包含相关税费，价格一度突破每克1100元，品牌金饰的克价 也普遍超过1300元。 而在11月14日，国际金价突然大跌，现货黄金价格下跌超过3%。消息面上，美联储官员对政策前景的 表态，让市场对美联储可能不会在下一次会议上降息的担忧日益加剧。据CME"美联储观察"，美联储 12月维持利率不变的概率大幅攀升，目前已经升至50%以上，达54.2%。 现场有消费者前来回收金饰，但在听到价格后却显得有些犹豫。"买入价格是每克1082元，但回收只有 918元，以往买入与回收的价差只有30元左右，现在的价差太大了。"有消费者表示。 谢经理认为，以往消费者购买黄金首饰很多出于保值需求而购买，如今店面销售价与回收价格拉开了距 离，保值增值作用被削 ...

11月11日，A股三大指数集体调整，截至午间收盘，上证指数跌0.38%，深证成指跌0.52%，创业板指跌 0.74%，北证50跌0.19%。沪深京三市半天成交额1.27万亿元。全市场超2900只个股上涨。 板块题材上，培育钻石、光伏设备、电池化工、燃气、医药商业、有色金属板块涨幅居前；煤炭开采加 工、保险、白酒、AI语料、算力硬件、证券板块跌幅居前。 培育钻石概念爆发 培育钻石概念大幅拉升。培育钻石和超硬材料指数分别涨11.48%和7.27%，成分股其中，四方达 （300179）20cm涨停，惠丰钻石盘中涨幅一度超25%，沃尔德涨超16%，力量钻石（301071）涨超 10%。 消息面上，11月7日，商务部、海关总署公告2025年第70号宣布，自11月7日起至2026年11月10日，商务 部、海关总署公告2025年第55号、56号、57号、58号，及商务部公告2025年第61号、62号暂停实施。其 中涉及对超硬材料相关物项实施出口管制。 锂电电解液、六氟磷酸锂板块涨幅居前。海科新源（301292）涨超13%，天际股份（002759）涨超 9%，多氟多（002407）、华盛锂电等多股跟涨。 光伏设备板块大爆发， ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in gold tax policy has led to significant market disruptions, particularly in the Shenzhen gold market, resulting in increased price volatility and a widening gap between purchase and recovery prices [3][4][9]. Pricing Chaos - The gold pricing in the Shenzhen market is currently experiencing a "temporary chaos," with prices fluctuating rapidly. For instance, the price per gram rose from approximately 989 CNY to 993 CNY within a single day, including a tax component of about 70 CNY per gram [5][6]. - The gap between buying and selling prices has expanded to over 100 CNY per gram, compared to just 27 CNY six months ago [6][9]. Market Reaction - Despite a busy market, actual purchases have decreased significantly, with many consumers opting to wait and see due to the sudden price hikes. Only essential buyers, such as those preparing for weddings, are making purchases [9][12]. - The "one-price" gold products, which have smaller price adjustments and appeal to younger consumers, are gaining popularity as gifts [9]. Tax Policy Impact - The recent tax policy changes, effective from November 1, have led to increased costs for non-member jewelry brands, as their input tax deduction rates have decreased from 13% to 6%, resulting in higher VAT payments and potential profit pressure [11][12]. - The gold market's supply chain involves raw material suppliers, gold manufacturers, and retailers, with the tax burden now affecting the entire chain [12][13]. Long-term Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that non-member jewelry companies will face increased profit pressures in the short term, while member companies may be less affected. Over time, the industry is expected to consolidate, with brands that can set prices showing greater resilience [16]. - The policy aims to streamline transactions and reduce capital occupation, which could lead to increased industry concentration and improved operational efficiency in the gold jewelry sector [16].

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in gold tax policy has led to significant price discrepancies in the gold jewelry market, causing confusion and a cautious approach among merchants and consumers [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Following the tax policy change on November 1, the gold price gap between purchase and recovery has widened from over 20 yuan to more than 100 yuan per gram within a few days [1][2]. - On November 6, the market price for gold jewelry fluctuated, with a reported price of approximately 989 yuan per gram, which later increased to 993 yuan per gram, including about 70 yuan per gram in tax [2][4]. - The main recovery price remained around 898 yuan per gram, indicating a significant increase in the buy-sell price difference compared to just 27 yuan per gram six months prior [2]. Group 2: Impact on Consumer Behavior - The new tax policy has led to a decrease in actual transactions, with many consumers opting to wait and observe the market rather than making purchases, except for those with urgent needs [4][6]. - The demand for "one-price" gold products, which have smaller price adjustments and appeal to younger consumers, has increased, becoming a popular choice in the gift market [4][8]. Group 3: Tax Policy Implications - The tax policy changes have resulted in increased costs for non-member jewelry brands, as their input tax deduction rates have decreased from 13% to 6%, leading to higher VAT payments and potential profit pressure [6][8]. - The gold price increase is primarily attributed to the heightened tax burden on upstream suppliers, which has raised raw material costs for jewelers [7][8]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that non-member jewelry companies will face increased profit pressures in the short term, while member companies may be less affected [8]. - The long-term outlook suggests that the industry will see increased concentration, with brands that possess pricing power demonstrating greater resilience in performance [8].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong IPO market has been thriving since 2025, with expectations to maintain its leading position in the global new stock financing market due to attractive listing systems, broad industry coverage, and ample liquidity [1][7]. Summary by Sections IPO Market Performance - In the first ten months of this year, the total IPO fundraising in Hong Kong reached HKD 215.46 billion (approximately USD 27.72 billion), significantly exceeding the initial annual fundraising expectation of USD 17-20 billion [2]. - The improvement in liquidity and the rapid decline in Hong Kong dollar interest rates have lowered borrowing costs, enhancing investor enthusiasm for new listings [2]. Characteristics of the Current IPO Wave - A+H listing model has become mainstream, with over 50% of new companies having overseas operations, accounting for 80% of the fundraising amount [3]. - The "technology + consumption" dual-drive model is evident, with the consumer sector dominating IPOs, particularly in emerging consumption and service-oriented segments [3]. - New IPOs have shown significantly better performance compared to the average of the past five years, with an average return of approximately 38% on the first trading day and 60% after three months [3]. Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - The new stock breaking rate has dropped to a new low, with many newly listed companies experiencing minimal price discounts, which may encourage more companies to consider listing [4]. - Investors are increasingly focusing on future growth potential and cornerstone shareholder ratios rather than just company size when considering new listings [4]. Foreign Investment Trends - Global investors have actively participated in the Hong Kong IPO market, with cornerstone investments and institutional placements seeing significant involvement from international institutions [6]. - Passive foreign capital has maintained a net inflow trend, while active foreign capital is expected to increase due to the attractive performance of new stocks [6]. Regulatory and Market Environment - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has implemented several reforms since 2018 to optimize the listing process, significantly improving listing efficiency [7]. - The number of companies preparing for IPOs has increased to nearly 300, surpassing the previous peak of about 200 in August 2021, indicating a robust pipeline for future listings [7]. Return of Chinese Companies - The return of Chinese companies listed in the U.S. to Hong Kong is anticipated to provide new growth in the IPO market, driven by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Gold Jewelry Industry Association emphasizes the importance of implementing the new tax policies issued by the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation, urging member units to enhance compliance and operational standards to ensure market stability [1] Group 1: Policy Implementation - Member units are required to accurately understand the policy requirements and standardize tax collection operations [1] - Companies should strengthen internal compliance management and ensure effective implementation of the new tax policies [1] Group 2: Market Development - There is a call for further improvement in product quality, service levels, and brand influence to ensure stable market development [1]

Core Viewpoint - The price of gold jewelry has suddenly increased, with wholesale prices in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market rising from approximately 930 yuan per gram to 991 yuan per gram within a single day, reflecting a significant market shift [1][4][6]. Price Changes - On November 3, the overall markup for gold in Shui Bei was about 7%, with prices reaching 991 yuan per gram, an increase of approximately 60 yuan per gram from the previous day [3][4]. - Major retail brands also raised their prices, with Chow Tai Fook increasing from 1198 yuan to 1259 yuan per gram, and Chow Sang Sang from 1193 yuan to 1255 yuan per gram, both reflecting a rise of around 60 yuan per gram [3][7]. Market Dynamics - Prior to the price increase, many gold shops in Shui Bei had suspended sales, indicating a cautious approach among retailers [5][6]. - Despite the price hike, customer traffic in Shui Bei remained stable, although some potential buyers may choose to wait before making purchases due to the increased prices [7]. Recovery Prices - The current gold buyback price stands at 902 yuan per gram, which has remained stable, leading to an increase in the price difference for consumers from 30 yuan per gram to 90 yuan per gram [8]. Tax Policy Impact - A recent announcement from the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation has classified gold into investment and non-investment categories, resulting in a reduction of input tax deductions for non-investment gold jewelry, which has increased the VAT cost for businesses [9]. Banking Sector Adjustments - Some banks have temporarily halted the acceptance of physical gold withdrawals, citing macroeconomic policy impacts, although this was later reversed by some institutions [10][11]. International Market Trends - Following a peak in mid-October, international gold prices have been on a downward trend due to profit-taking by investors and a decrease in market risk appetite, influenced by geopolitical factors and economic conditions [12].

Core Insights - The new tax policy has led to a noticeable price increase in the offline gold trading market, with retail prices rising by approximately 7% to 8%, and some instances reaching up to 13% [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Retail and wholesale gold merchants have generally begun to raise prices in response to the new tax policy [1] - A small amount of "duty-free" gold is still available for sale, indicating some market segments are less affected [1] Group 2: Merchant Behavior - Many gold plate merchants have urgently suspended their shipping and pricing activities, opting to observe market trends before making further decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The price of gold jewelry has suddenly increased, with wholesale prices in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market rising approximately 7% on November 3, 2023, reaching 991 yuan per gram from around 930 yuan earlier that day [1][3][4]. Price Changes - On November 2, 2023, the price of gold at Chow Tai Fook was 1198 yuan per gram, which increased to 1259 yuan per gram on November 3, marking a rise of 61 yuan per gram [1][3]. - Other brands also saw similar increases, with Chow Sang Sang's price rising from 1193 yuan to 1255 yuan per gram, an increase of 62 yuan [1][3]. Market Dynamics - Despite the price increase, customer traffic at Shui Bei remained stable, although some potential buyers may choose to wait due to the higher prices [9]. - The current gold buyback price is 902 yuan per gram, indicating a widening price gap for consumers from 30 yuan to 90 yuan per gram [9]. Tax Policy Impact - A recent announcement from the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation has classified gold into investment and non-investment categories, affecting the tax rates for non-investment gold jewelry, which has increased the VAT cost for manufacturers [11]. International Gold Price Trends - Following a peak in mid-October, international gold prices have been on a downward trend due to profit-taking by investors and a decrease in market risk appetite amid easing geopolitical tensions [13]. - Analysts suggest that while there are concerns regarding tax policies and geopolitical events, the fundamental factors supporting long-term gold price increases, such as declining real interest rates, remain unchanged [13].

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of a new tax policy on gold trading has led to a significant decline in the stock prices of major gold retail brands in Hong Kong, with analysts indicating that the policy is the direct cause of this downturn [2][3]. Impact on Gold Retail Companies - Major gold retail brands such as Chow Tai Fook, Lao Pu Gold, and Luk Fook have seen stock declines of nearly 9%, 7%, and over 6% respectively due to the new tax regulations [2]. - The new tax policy differentiates between investment and non-investment gold, which is expected to pressure the profits of gold retail companies, particularly in the context of rising gold prices [2][3]. - The tax burden for retailers purchasing non-investment gold through exchanges will increase, as the input tax deduction rate decreases from 13% to 6%, leading to a potential profit squeeze [2][3]. Consumer Pricing and Market Dynamics - Retailers are likely to pass on the increased tax burden to consumers, resulting in higher costs for purchasing gold jewelry [3]. - For example, under the new tax policy, a retailer's tax liability on a sale of gold jewelry could increase significantly, impacting pricing strategies [3]. - Analysts predict that the cost increase for consumers could be around 60 yuan per gram due to the reduced input tax deduction [3]. Structural Changes in Gold Consumption - The new tax policy is expected to accelerate a restructuring of the gold consumption market, with consumers potentially shifting towards purchasing gold through exchange members to benefit from tax advantages [4]. - There is an anticipated migration of investment demand from physical gold to standardized financial products like gold ETFs and accumulative gold, which remain tax-exempt and offer higher liquidity [4]. - The policy may lead to a structural price adjustment in the gold market, favoring businesses focused on the physical gold supply chain while encouraging individual investors to explore compliant investment channels [4]. Bank Adjustments and Market Risks - Banks may need to adjust their operations and systems to comply with the new tax regulations, which could impact their gold-related business activities [5]. - Despite the changes in tax policy, analysts believe the direct impact on gold prices will be limited, as the core tax framework for on-exchange transactions remains unchanged [5].