中信证券研报表示，展望2026年，锂电行业整体供需结构有望进一步改善。需求端，受益电动化渗透率 进一步提升叠加单车带电量的显著增长，全球动力电池需求有望保持稳定增长；电池成本下降、收益模 式丰富、融资成本下降等因素推动储能装机经济性显著提升，全球储能迎来国内外需求共振向上的发展 阶段。供给端，电池和中游材料环节资本开支增速触底信号明确，新增扩产仍集中在少数重点企业，且 聚焦在高端品及海外产能上，预计2026年行业供需有望进一步改善；受益供需结构改善，产业链价格企 稳回升，高端产品有望攫取更高的技术溢价。此外，固态电池产业化加速，有望带来电池、材料、设备 环节的投资机会。重点关注技术差异化程度更高、成本控制能力更强的供应链优质头部企业。 ...

中信证券研报称，上周市场波动较大，银行股相对收益显著，资金流入力度加大，板块防守价值显著， 低估值大行表现更加显著。我们认为，低估值隐含的价值空间依旧显著，年底步入长线资金配置时段， 有助催化银行股市场表现，建议机构积极布局，收获确定性回报。 ...

中信证券研报认为，2026年，周期和成长仍然是驱动农业板块主要投资逻辑。周期视角来看，在市场化 亏损以及行政去产能合力下，2025年第四季度以及2026年上半年产能去化或呈现加速态势，2026年猪价 或震荡上行。此外，畜禽产业链上持续推荐经营能力领先、穿越周期的公司。种子种植领域推荐品种资 源优势强劲的公司。成长视角来看，宠物板块国内需求稳健，国货势头强劲，2026H2或继续迎业绩高 增。果蔬种植方面，预计蓝莓红利仍将持续。重点推荐种植面积持续增长、种植效率持续提升、品牌和 渠道持续进步、出海节奏加快的蓝莓龙头。功能糖领域迎超级代糖大单品。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector demonstrates significant defensive value amid market volatility, with low valuation large banks showing notable performance, suggesting a favorable environment for long-term institutional investment [1][4]. Market Performance - The A-share market experienced increased volatility, with major indices recording substantial declines, while the CITIC Bank Index only saw a minor drop of 0.9%, highlighting the defensive nature of the banking sector [1]. - The top-performing bank stocks included China Bank (+8.1%), Everbright Bank (+2.6%), and Construction Bank (+2.4%), indicating that low valuation large banks are performing particularly well [1]. Shareholder and Executive Activity - Nanjing Bank reported that its major shareholder, BNP Paribas, increased its stake by 1.04%, raising its total holding to 18.06%, a record high [2]. - Senior executives from Changshu Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank have also announced plans to purchase shares, indicating confidence in the bank's future performance [2]. Interest Rate and Loan Market - The People's Bank of China announced that the November Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remains unchanged at 3.0% for one year and 3.5% for five years, reflecting a stable interest rate environment [3]. - The average interest rates for various loans have shown minimal changes, suggesting a stabilization in the banking sector's interest margins [3]. Investment Outlook - The banking sector's defensive characteristics are expected to attract long-term capital allocation as the year-end approaches, providing opportunities for certain returns [4].

人民财讯11月24日电，中信证券研报认为，近期英伟达FY26Q3业绩表现及FY26Q4业绩指引超预期，同 时谷歌发布Gemini 3，模型性能大幅提升，表现超预期。研报认为背后本质是AI产业仍在加速上行阶 段，看好PCB作为AI芯片端最同频升级环节的产业机会，近期PCB板块亦存在密集催化，持续推荐AI PCB板块的重点厂商。建议关注：1.技术能力/客户卡位领先、业绩高确定性的龙头厂商。2.边际变化突 出，积极扩张产能、AI业务预期持续强化的厂商。3.受益于覆铜板价格上行周期的利润改善，以及高端 材料放量的覆铜板龙头。 转自：证券时报 ...

Core Viewpoint - The New York Fed President Williams hinted at a potential interest rate cut in December, with the market now pricing in a 70% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in that month [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve will enter a quiet period starting November 29, during which Chairman Powell has no scheduled public appearances or media engagements, making Williams' comments potentially the last influential remarks from Fed officials before the meeting [1] - The expectation is for a "close call" rate cut in December, likely by 25 basis points [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - The reversal of rate cut expectations, combined with the advancement of the "28-point" plan and news regarding the Trump administration's consideration of exporting H200 chips to China, suggests that macroeconomic factors will no longer be a source of pressure for the market in the short term [1] - The market is expected to shift its focus towards issues such as AI companies issuing bonds and the trends in cryptocurrency [1]

中信证券研报认为，展望2026年，锂电行业整体供需结构有望进一步改善。需求端，受益电动化渗透率 进一步提升叠加单车带电量的显著增长，全球动力电池需求有望保持稳定增长；电池成本下降、收益模 式丰富、融资成本下降等因素推动储能装机经济性显著提升，全球储能迎来国内外需求共振向上的发展 阶段。供给端，电池和中游材料环节资本开支增速触底信号明确，新增扩产仍集中在少数重点企业，且 聚焦在高端品及海外产能上，研报预计2026年行业供需有望进一步改善；受益供需结构改善，产业链价 格企稳回升，高端产品有望攫取更高的技术溢价。此外，固态电池产业化加速，有望带来电池、材料、 设备环节的投资机会。重点关注技术差异化程度更高、成本控制能力更强的供应链优质头部企业。 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations last Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling over 2% and the ChiNext Index dropping over 4% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.97 trillion, an increase of 257.5 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - By the end of last Friday, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index by 4.02% [1] Investment Strategies - Huatai Securities emphasized the importance of focusing on mid-term themes and maintaining a safety margin in current market conditions, suggesting that the market adjustment has begun to show potential for recovery [2] - The firm noted that the current market valuation is close to a "reasonable" central point, and if there is an overshoot, investors could consider increasing their positions [2] - Recommended sectors include low-level domestic consumption, domestic computing power, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while continuing to hold large financial stocks to reduce volatility [2] Monetary Policy Insights - CITIC Securities highlighted that the recent issuance of offshore central bank bills in Hong Kong aims to stabilize the offshore RMB exchange rate and curb speculative trading [3] - The issuance is intended to tighten offshore RMB liquidity, thereby increasing the cost of short-selling and preventing a consensus on unilateral depreciation [3] - The central bank's strategy is based on three considerations: managing liquidity to avoid excessive market fluctuations, enhancing the competitiveness of the offshore RMB bond market, and preventing abnormal cross-border capital flows to maintain financial stability [3] Policy Focus - Zhongtai Securities indicated that the current "anti-involution" policies are likely to focus more on key sectors with global "rare earth-like" characteristics, particularly in industries like photovoltaics, batteries, and automobiles, where low-price competition has intensified [4] - The characteristics of these key sectors include holding dominant capacity and technology in the global market, facing challenges from disorderly expansion and low-price competition, and having potential for long-term growth driven by external demand [4] - The policies aim to ensure healthy industry development and leverage these sectors as strategic tools or bargaining chips between nations [4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index falling over 2% and the ChiNext Index dropping over 4% last Friday [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.97 trillion, an increase of 257.5 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Key sectors showing gains included the shipbuilding sector and AI applications, while battery, silicon energy, and lithium mining sectors faced declines [1] Group 2: Securities Insights - Huatai Securities emphasized the importance of focusing on mid-term themes and maintaining a safety margin in current market conditions [1] - CITIC Securities noted that the central bank's issuance of offshore central bank bills in Hong Kong could help stabilize the offshore RMB exchange rate [2] - Zhongtai Securities indicated that the current "anti-involution" policies may increasingly focus on key areas with global "rare earth-like" characteristics, particularly in industries facing low-price competition [3] Group 3: Policy Implications - The issuance of offshore central bank bills is aimed at tightening offshore RMB liquidity, increasing short-selling costs, and stabilizing exchange rate expectations [2] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to address industries that dominate global capacity and technology, face chaotic expansion, and have long-term growth potential driven by external demand [3]

中信证券首席经济学家明明表示，近期离岸人民币有所走弱，央行此时发行离岸央票，一方面能够收紧 离岸人民币流动性，提高做空成本，抑制投机性交易，另一方面能稳定离岸人民币汇率预期，防止形成 单边贬值共识。明明又称，尽管2025年美联储处于降息周期，但三季度以来美元指数出现边际抬升。央 行维持离岸央票高位发行，主要基于三点考量：一是满足常态化流动性管理需求，避免市场过度波动； 二是完善离岸人民币债券市场，提升其国际竞争力；三是防范跨境资本异常流动，维护金融稳定。 ...