根据Choice数据，截至2026年2月3日，A股和港股市场已有24家上市券商披露业绩预告或业绩快报，且 全部实现净利润正增长。 | 公司简称 | 预告净利润中值 | 预告类型 | 预告净利润变动中值 | 预告净利润 | 预告净利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | /业绩快报净利润(亿元) | | /业绩快报变动幅度(%) | 上限(亿元) | 下限(亿元) | | 中信证券 | 300.51 | 预增 | 38.46 | | | | 国泰海通 | 277.70 | 预增 | 113.00 | 280.06 | 275.33 | | 招商证券 | 123.00 | 预增 | 18.43 | 1 | i | | 甲万宏源 | 96.00 | 预增 | 84.24 | 101.00 | 91.00 | | 中美公司 | 95.39 | 预增 | 67.50 | 105.35 | 85.42 | | 东方证券 | 56.20 | 预增 | 67.80 | 56.20 | 56.20 | | 方正证券 | 39.70 | 预增 | 80.00 | 40.80 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations, with brokerage stocks showing strength against the trend, indicating a potential recovery in the brokerage sector's performance [1][10]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 4, A-shares opened lower but saw brokerage stocks like Huayin Securities rising over 4%, Dongwu Securities and Guotai Junan increasing nearly 2%, and others like Huatai Securities and Southwest Securities rising over 1% [1][10]. - The 390 billion yuan brokerage ETF (512000) saw an increase of 0.71% in its market price, with a significant net inflow of 1.139 billion yuan over the past five days [1][10]. Group 2: Brokerage Business Outlook - In January 2026, new A-share accounts reached 4.9158 million, a month-on-month increase of 89% and a year-on-year increase of 213% compared to January 2025, indicating a robust brokerage business environment [2][12]. - Analysts noted a significant recovery in self-operated investment income for brokerages in January, with brokerage business activity reaching historical highs, suggesting a strong start to the year for listed brokerages [3][12]. Group 3: Profit Forecasts - As of now, 26 listed brokerages have reported or forecasted their earnings, all showing year-on-year profit growth, a rare "full house" scenario, with six firms reporting over 100% growth [3][12]. - Notably, Citic Securities reported a record net profit exceeding 30 billion yuan, while Guotai Junan's net profit increased by 111% to 115% [3][12]. Group 4: Valuation and Market Position - Despite the overall bullish market, the brokerage sector has not seen significant momentum, with the CSI All Share Securities Index only rising 2.54% in 2025, compared to a 22.70% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [4][12]. - The sector's valuation remains low, with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 1.43, indicating a significant disconnect between high growth in earnings and stock performance [4][12].

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 中国经济网北京2月4日讯 北京证券交易所上市委员会2026年第12次审议会议于2026年2月3日上午召 开，审议结果显示，安徽新富新能源科技股份有限公司（以下简称"新富科技"）符合发行条件、上市条 件和信息披露要求符合发行条件、上市条件和信息披露要求。这是2026年过会的第16家企业（其中，上 交所和深交所一共过会5家，北交所过会11家）。 新富科技本次发行的保荐人、主承销商为中信证券股份有限公司，签字保荐代表人为万同、姚玉洁。这 是中信证券今年保荐成功的第3单IPO项目。1月13日，中信证券股份有限公司保荐的杭州高特电子设备 股份有限公司过会。1月14日，中信证券股份有限公司保荐的苏州联讯仪器股份有限公司过会。 新富科技自成立以来，一直专注于新能源汽车热管理零部件的研发、生产和销售，主要产品包括电池液 冷管、电池液冷板。相关产品使电芯保持在合理的工作温度范围内，以优化电芯老化速度、循环效率、 充放电效率，在提高电池组寿命的同时，极大降低热失控风险。 截至招股说明书签署日，安庆创新壹号企业管理合伙企业（有限合伙）（以下简称"创新壹号"）持有新 富科技14,81 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of listed securities firms in the A-share market has shown steady growth, driven by a favorable equity market and increased trading activity, with all reported firms expecting profit increases for 2025 [1][6]. Group 1: Performance of Major Securities Firms - Three securities firms are expected to exceed 10 billion yuan in revenue for 2025: CITIC Securities, China Merchants Securities, and Everbright Securities [2]. - CITIC Securities reported a revenue of 74.83 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30.05 billion yuan, up 38.46% [2]. - China Merchants Securities achieved a total revenue of 24.9 billion yuan and a net profit of 12.3 billion yuan for 2025, both showing growth [3]. - Everbright Securities reported a revenue of 10.863 billion yuan, a 13.18% increase, and a net profit of 3.729 billion yuan, up 21.92% [3]. - Guotai Junan is expected to achieve a net profit of 27.53 billion to 28.01 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 111% to 115% [3]. Group 2: Performance of Small and Medium-sized Securities Firms - Smaller securities firms are demonstrating significant growth resilience through differentiated development based on niche markets and regional advantages [4]. - Huaxi Securities anticipates a net profit of 1.27 billion to 1.65 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 74.46% to 126.66% [4]. - Xiangcai Securities expects a substantial net profit growth of 266.4% to 403.8% due to significant increases in wealth management and proprietary business [4]. - Guolian Minsheng is projected to achieve a net profit of 2.008 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of approximately 406% [4]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The overall market activity in 2025 is expected to significantly benefit securities firms, with a total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 413.78 trillion yuan, marking a historical high [7]. - The average daily trading volume has set a new record, and the margin trading balance reached 2.54 trillion yuan, a 36% year-on-year increase, indicating a recovery in investor confidence [7]. - Analysts remain optimistic about the securities sector's future performance, with expectations of continued growth driven by favorable policies and market conditions in 2026 [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance expectations for listed securities firms in 2025, driven by a vibrant capital market and robust growth in brokerage and proprietary trading businesses [1][2] - As of January 30, 2025, 21 listed securities firms have disclosed their performance forecasts, with leading firms like CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan expected to maintain their market dominance, projecting CITIC Securities' net profit to exceed 30 billion yuan and Guotai Haitong's net profit growth rate to exceed 100% year-on-year [1] - Smaller securities firms are anticipated to show even greater profit elasticity, with Guolian Minsheng forecasting a year-on-year net profit growth rate exceeding 400% [1] Group 2 - The growth drivers for the 2025 performance of these listed securities firms include brokerage and proprietary trading businesses, supported by a favorable A-share market environment and government policies aimed at stabilizing growth and boosting the capital market [2] - Factors such as a moderately loose liquidity environment, continuous optimization of the capital market, and the restoration of investor confidence are expected to collectively enhance the performance of the securities sector [2] - The current valuation of the securities sector is at a historical low, presenting a defensive rebound opportunity, with recommendations to focus on strong leading firms and those with competitive advantages in wealth management, proprietary trading, and cross-border business [2]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new Value-Added Tax Law and its regulations in China will officially begin on January 1, 2026, with no current adjustments to tax rates for internet companies [1] Group 1: Tax Policy Changes - The new Value-Added Tax Law and its implementation regulations will take effect on January 1, 2026 [1] - Current tax policies continue to focus on supporting technological innovation [1] Group 2: High-Tech Enterprise Certification - The management measures for high-tech enterprise certification may be updated, potentially leading to stricter standards [1] - If the certification standards become more stringent, some non-leading internet companies may struggle to benefit from preferential income tax rates [1]

智通财经APP获悉，中信证券发布研报称，判断当前餐饮行业正处于"基本面边际改善—政策持续发力 —价格机制修复—估值提升可期"多重因素的共振阶段。经营层面，2H25以来社零餐饮收入与主要餐饮 细分赛道同店表现持续回暖，叠加供给扩张节奏放缓，行业竞争烈度边际下降，为企业经营修复与盈利 改善提供了更友好的外部环境。政策层面，服务消费导向持续强化，餐饮凭借高频、强场景与短决策链 条特征，成为消费刺激政策中受益路径最为清晰的方向之一。价格层面，在国家明确推动物价合理回升 的背景下，餐饮企业顺价行为陆续展开，历史经验显示成本扰动更多体现为阶段性影响，中长期毛利率 有望修复抬升。估值层面，对标海外经验，通胀预期改善往往推动餐饮板块估值中枢回升。餐饮行业在 基本面、政策、价格与估值的多重因素作用下，正向着更为积极的复苏方向发展。 中信证券主要观点如下： 行业：边际改善明确，龙头率先修复 2H25以来，餐饮行业经营呈现边际改善趋势。根据国家统计局数据，2025年10-12月社零餐饮收入同比 分别+3.8% /3.2%/2.2%，明显高于社零增速。供给层面，根据久谦数据，2H25各月全国美食类门店总数 同比增速较1H25各月明显 ...

Core Viewpoint - The electronic components industry is experiencing a price increase across various segments, driven by strong downstream demand and rising upstream metal prices, with a recommendation to focus on segments like storage, CCL, BT substrates, wafer foundry, and packaging that are likely to benefit from this trend [1][2]. Downstream Demand - Downstream customer inventory replenishment is stronger than expected, with AI and automotive sectors driving demand despite pressures on automotive sales. The localization of upstream components is accelerating, and low inventory levels among downstream customers are contributing to strong replenishment motivation [2][3]. - Advanced packaging and storage expansions are occupying mature process capacities, leading to increased demand for replenishment from downstream customers [2]. Upstream Costs - Key raw materials for electronic manufacturing, including gold, silver, and copper, are experiencing significant price increases, with futures prices expected to rise by over 50% for gold, 150% for silver, and 50% for copper by 2025 [2]. Midstream Components - Since the downturn in 2022, many segments within the electronic components industry have maintained relatively low profit margins, creating a strong demand for price increases amid tight supply and rising costs [3]. - Price increase notices have been observed across various segments, including storage, CCL, BT substrates, wafer foundry, packaging testing, LED, power devices, analog chips, and passive components, with some segments experiencing multiple rounds of price hikes [3]. Specific Segment Insights - **Storage**: The AI supercycle is causing ongoing shortages, with TrendForce predicting a 55%-60% increase in traditional DRAM contract prices and a 33%-38% increase in NAND Flash contract prices by Q1 2026, with some NAND modules already increasing by over 40% this year [4]. - **CCL**: The latest round of price increases is expected to take effect by December 2025, supported by low industry inventory levels [4]. - **Wafer Foundry**: High utilization rates are reported, with some categories already seeing price increases, and the trend of advanced packaging and storage expansions affecting mature process capacities is beneficial for domestic supply-demand dynamics [4]. - **Packaging Testing**: High utilization rates (80%-90%) are noted among major companies, with some clients actively requesting price increases to secure capacity [4]. - **Analog Chips**: Strong demand from automotive and industrial sectors is driving price increases, with domestic design companies also showing willingness to raise prices [5]. - **Power Devices**: Strong price increase momentum is observed for mid-low voltage products, with extended delivery times reported [5]. - **SoC**: Initial price increases for internal storage SoC products are expected to enhance market share and profitability for leading manufacturers [5]. - **MCU**: A price increase of 15%-50% for MCU and Nor Flash products is set to take effect on January 27, 2026 [5].

中信证券研报称，我们判断当前餐饮行业正处于"基本面边际改善—政策持续发力—价格机制修复—估 值提升可期"多重因素的共振阶段。经营层面，2H25以来社零餐饮收入与主要餐饮细分赛道同店表现持 续回暖，叠加供给扩张节奏放缓，行业竞争烈度边际下降，为企业经营修复与盈利改善提供了更友好的 外部环境。政策层面，服务消费导向持续强化，餐饮凭借高频、强场景与短决策链条特征，成为消费刺 激政策中受益路径最为清晰的方向之一。价格层面，在国家明确推动物价合理回升的背景下，餐饮企业 顺价行为陆续展开，历史经验显示成本扰动更多体现为阶段性影响，中长期毛利率有望修复抬升。估值 层面，对标海外经验，通胀预期改善往往推动餐饮板块估值中枢回升。餐饮行业在基本面、政策、价格 与估值的多重因素作用下，正向着更为积极的复苏方向发展。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that over 20 A-share listed brokerages have released positive earnings forecasts for 2025, with many expected to double their profits. Major firms like CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan are projected to achieve net profits exceeding 100 billion CNY [13][14]. - The insurance sector is seeing increased investment in pension and technology innovation, with a significant shift towards equity investments due to declining interest rates and new accounting standards. By the end of 2024, insurance equity investment assets are expected to reach 1.92 trillion CNY, a year-on-year increase of nearly 13% [40][41]. Summary by Sections 1. Securities Business Overview and Weekly Review - As of January 30, 2026, more than 20 A-share listed brokerages have issued earnings forecasts for 2025, with most reporting year-on-year profit growth. Notably, CITIC Securities is expected to achieve a net profit of 300.51 billion CNY, a 38.46% increase [13][14]. - The report anticipates a favorable performance for the securities industry in 2025, driven by a recovery in both primary and secondary markets [13]. 2. Insurance Business Overview and Weekly Review - Insurance capital is increasingly directed towards pension and technology sectors, with significant investments in healthcare and elderly care. By the end of 2025, the market size of China's health and elderly care industry is projected to reach 9.8 trillion CNY [41][42]. - Major insurance companies are establishing specialized health management subsidiaries to enhance service offerings and customer retention, aiming to create a second growth curve through a "product + service" model [42]. 3. Market Liquidity Tracking - The report notes that the central bank conducted a net injection of 530.5 billion CNY in the open market during the week of January 26-30, 2026, indicating a proactive approach to managing liquidity in the financial system [47].